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← Back to GamesOct 30, 2021Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisiana by 32.7

Home Win Probability

Louisiana 97%

Market (consensus)

Louisiana -21

Edge: Louisiana -21 (11.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 30, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas StateTexas State
00000
LouisianaLouisiana
017181045

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-020-028-038-045-0
LouisianaTexas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSLOUTSLOUTSLOUTSLOUTSLOUTSLOULOUTSLOUTSLOUTSLOUTSLOUTSTO14ydMISS42ydPUNT626ydPUNT32ydPUNT514ydTD1486ydTO569ydPUNT36ydMISS818ydTD763ydPUNT417ydFG741ydFG860ydDOWNS735ydTD651ydPUNT30ydTD654ydTO21ydFG4-8ydPUNT828ydTD1388ydEND23yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas State and Louisiana
StatisticTexas StateLouisiana
Passing6-1324-35
Pass Yards42260
Rush Yards178165
Total Yards220425
Turnovers30
3rd Down2-104-13
Penalties4-351-10
Possession28:4631:14

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas State
passing
Tyler Vitt
6/13, 42 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Tyler Vitt
15 CAR, 94 YDS
receiving
Marcell Barbee
1 REC, 17 YDS
defense
Louisiana
passing
Levi Lewis
22/32, 228 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Chris Smith
9 CAR, 70 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Errol Rogers Jr.
3 REC, 44 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Calvin Hill run for 4 yds to the TexSt 29

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Chris Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 30

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Levi Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Levi Lewis pass complete to Chris Smith for 3 yds to the TexSt 27

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Nate Snyder 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyler Vitt run for 3 yds to the TexSt 30

3rd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.77

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Marcell Barbee for 17 yds to the TexSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyler Vitt run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 49

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Brock Sturges run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 46

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Tyler Vitt run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 47

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Montrell Johnson run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 17

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Montrell Johnson run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 18

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Levi Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 47 yds , Rontavious Groves returns for no gain to the TexSt 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Calvin Hill for 6 yds to the TexSt 41

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.66

Calvin Hill run for 5 yds to the TexSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, False Start (Rontavious Groves) to the TexSt 41

1st & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.81

Tyler Vitt run for 8 yds to the TexSt 49

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Calvin Hill run for no gain to the TexSt 49

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Levi Lewis run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 22

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Terrence Williams run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 6 yds to the LaLaf 32

2nd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.90

Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for no gain to the LaLaf 32

3rd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.56

Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 16 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST down

3rd & 5Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.46

Chris Smith run for 27 yds to the TexSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Chris Smith run for 6 yds to the TexSt 14

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 7 yds to the TexSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Chris Smith run for 3 yds to the TexSt 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Levi Lewis pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 5 yds to the TexSt 47

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

Levi Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Montrell Johnson run for 2 yds to the TexSt 2

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

Chris Smith 2 Yd pass from Levi Lewis (Nate Snyder Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brock Sturges run for 5 yds to the TexSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.23

Tyler Vitt run for 10 yds to the TexSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Brock Sturges run for 2 yds to the TexSt 42

2nd & 8Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.65

Tyler Vitt run for 29 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+23 ydsPPA -4.21

Brock Sturges run for 23 yds to the LaLaf 6 fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Kam Pedescleaux

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Montrell Johnson run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 9

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Montrell Johnson run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 12

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Levi Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Tyler Vitt run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 49

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Tyler Vitt run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 41

4th & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.04

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 5 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Tyler Vitt run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 33

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.66

Jahmyl Jeter run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 37

3rd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tyler Vitt run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 32

4th & 6Blocked Field Goal0 yds

Seth Keller 49 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by , Lorenzo McCaskill return for no gain to the LaLaf 37

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.91

Chris Smith run for 24 yds to the TexSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.60

Levi Lewis pass complete to Johnny Lumpkin for 26 yds to the TexSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 8 yds to the TexSt 5

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the TexSt 4

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.27

Levi Lewis run for 2 yds to the TexSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Montrell Johnson run for 1 yd to the TexSt 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Hunter Bergeron 1 Yd pass from Levi Lewis (Nate Snyder Kick)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.80

Calvin Hill run for 13 yds to the TexSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Calvin Hill run for 1 yd to the TexSt 30

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Calvin Hill run for 3 yds to the TexSt 33

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 5 yds to the LaLaf 36

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

SMITH, Chris rush to the left for a gain of 42 yards to the TXS22 (LEFEGED JR., Troy). PENALTY LA Holding on VALLOT, Shane enforced 10 yards from the LA 36 to the LA 26 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Montrell Johnson run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 34

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 6 yds to the LaLaf 40

4th & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.53

Montrell Johnson run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.96

Levi Lewis pass complete to Montrell Johnson for 15 yds to the TexSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 9 yds to the TexSt 28

2nd & 1Field Goal Good+45 yds

Nate Snyder 45 Yd Field Goal

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 10 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Montrell Johnson run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.31

Levi Lewis pass complete to Pearse Migl for 8 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +1.52

Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 36 yds to the TexSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Levi Lewis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.92

Montrell Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSt 21

3rd & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Chris Smith run for 6 yds to the TexSt 15

4th & 8Field Goal Good+32 yds

Nate Snyder 32 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Brock Sturges run for 6 yds to the TexSt 22

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.81

Tyler Vitt run for 10 yds to the TexSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Javen Banks for 12 yds to the TexSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Brock Sturges run for 2 yds to the TexSt 46

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Brock Sturges run for 3 yds to the TexSt 49

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Tyler Vitt run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 49

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.35

Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 35 yds to the TexSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Terrence Williams run for 6 yds to the TexSt 10

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 4 yds to the TexSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Terrence Williams run for 3 yds to the TexSt 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Levi Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

L. Lewis pass,to J. Williams for 3 yds for a TD, (L. Lewis pass to P. LeBlanc for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Calvin Hill run for 1 yd to the TexSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+16 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 45 yds , Eric Garror returns for 16 yds to the LaLaf 46

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

LEWIS, Levi pass to the left incomplete intended for JEFFERSON, Michael thrown to the TXS17. PENALTY TXS Pass Interference on WILLIAMS, DC enforced 15 yards to the TXS39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the TexSt 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.10

Levi Lewis pass complete to Johnny Lumpkin for 15 yds to the TexSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Levi Lewis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.56

Levi Lewis run for 12 yds to the TexSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 8 yds to the TexSt 3

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.08

Chris Smith 3 Yd Run (Nate Snyder Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Jahmyl Jeter run for 1 yd to the TexSt 27

2nd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.38

Tyler Vitt pass intercepted return for no gain to the TexSt 12

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.30

Levi Lewis sacked by Jordan Revels for 0 yards to the TexSt 20

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Levi Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Levi Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 18Field Goal Good+37 yds

Nate Snyder 37 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Caleb Twyford for 3 yds to the TexSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.62

Caleb Twyford run for 12 yds to the TexSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Caleb Twyford run for 3 yds to the TexSt 43

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tyler Vitt run for 5 yds to the TexSt 48

3rd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.90

Tyler Vitt run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST down

2nd & 15Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.74

Caleb Twyford run for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSt 49

3rd & 21Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Caleb Twyford run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 47

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 35 yds, downed at the LaLaf 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.52

Chandler Fields pass complete to Pearse Migl for 11 yds to the LaLaf 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Terrence Williams run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 26

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.33

Chandler Fields run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Chandler Fields run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 41

2nd & 5Penalty-15 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the TexSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Chandler Fields pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

T.J. Wisham run for 3 yds to the TexSt 33

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

T.J. Wisham run for 1 yd to the TexSt 32

4th & 6Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.32

Chandler Fields pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 21 yds to the TexSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

T.J. Wisham run for 4 yds to the TexSt 7

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

T.J. Wisham run for 5 yds to the TexSt 2

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

T.J. Wisham run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 3

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.87

T. Wisham run for 3 yds for a TD, (N. Snyder KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Caleb Twyford run for 4 yds to the TexSt 29

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.74

Caleb Twyford run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 28

Situational Analysis

Texas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
26%
19 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
60%
5 plays
27%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Louisiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
59%
29 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
43%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play