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← Back to GamesOct 30, 2021Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

App State by 24.6

Home Win Probability

App State 92%

Market (consensus)

App State -27

Edge: UL Monroe +27 (2.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 30, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UL MonroeUL Monroe
0714728
App StateApp State
21283759

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842566-020-027-034-035-649-1352-2059-27
App StateUL Monroe

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ASUMASUMASUMASUMASUMASUMASUMASUMASUMUMASUMASUMASUMASUMASDOWNS838ydPUNT34ydTD872ydTO13ydTD528ydTO10ydTD645ydDOWNS948ydTD1073ydPUNT36ydTD569ydPUNT33ydDOWNS49ydTD442ydPUNT33ydTO2-1ydTD527ydTD2-2ydTD1075ydFG761ydTD1675ydPUNT32ydDOWNS720ydTD350ydTD186ydPUNT3-2ydTO1160ydEND536yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UL Monroe and App State
StatisticUL MonroeApp State
Passing11-2222-32
Pass Yards161270
Rush Yards231251
Total Yards392521
Turnovers50
3rd Down8-165-15
Penalties2-105-45
Possession30:0629:54

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UL Monroe
passing
Jiya Wright
9/17, 158 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jiya Wright
20 CAR, 91 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jevin Frett
1 REC, 40 YDS
defense
App State
passing
Chase Brice
20/30, 256 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Nate Noel
17 CAR, 132 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Corey Xavier Sutton
5 REC, 77 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the AppSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the AppSt 33

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.83

Nate Noel run for 10 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.92

Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 11 yds to the LaMon 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the LaMon 40

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Camerun Peoples run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 41

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Chase Brice pass incomplete

4th & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -1.42

Chase Brice run for 4 yds to the LaMon 37

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Charlie Norman run for 3 yds to the LaMon 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Charlie Norman for 1 yd to the LaMon 41

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Chandler Rogers pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+11 yds

Devyn McCormick punt for 42 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 11 yds to the AppSt 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 7 yds to the AppSt 35

2nd & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.09

Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for no gain to the AppSt 35

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.64

Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 6 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +0.81

Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 38 yds to the LaMon 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Camerun Peoples run for 5 yds to the LaMon 7

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the LaMon 3

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.47

Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Andrew Henry run for 3 yds to the LaMon 28 run for 3 yds to the LaMon 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Chase Brice pass complete to Henry Pearson for 1 yd to the LaMon 27

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the LaMon 22

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the LaMon 20

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.88

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the LaMon 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 16 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.31

Chandler Rogers pass intercepted return for no gain to the LaMon 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Chase Brice pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Chase Brice pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 3 yds to the LaMon 42

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Chase Brice run for 3 yds to the LaMon 39

4th & 4Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.75

Chase Brice pass complete to Henry Pearson for 29 yds to the LaMon 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Camerun Peoples run for 9 yds to the LaMon 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Chase Brice pass complete to Caleb Spurlin for 1 yd for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Chandler Rogers run for 3 yds to the LaMon 28

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.62

Chandler Rogers run for 12 yds to the LaMon 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Andrew Henry run for 1 yd to the LaMon 41

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Chandler Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Chandler Rogers run for 8 yds to the LaMon 49

4th & 1Penalty+15 yds

ROGERS, Chandler pass to the right incomplete intended for KNIGHT, Boogie broken up by CONE, Madison at the APP45. PENALTY APP Roughing the Passer on JACKSON, D'Marco enforced 15 yards from the ULM49 to the APP36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the AppSt 33

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Andrew Henry run for 1 yd to the AppSt 32

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Andrew Henry for 2 yds to the AppSt 30

4th & 4Rush+30 yds

run for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the AppSt 28

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 8 yds to the AppSt 36

3rd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.11

Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 3 yds to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Nate Noel run for 8 yds to the AppSt 47

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Nate Noel run for 7 yds to the LaMon 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.67

Nate Noel run for 14 yds to the LaMon 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Chase Brice pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Chase Brice pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the LaMon 26

4th & 4Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +4.06

Camerun Peoples run for 26 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Andrew Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Jiya Wright run for 7 yds to the LaMon 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Devyn McCormick punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 31

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Nate Noel run for 17 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.87

Chase Brice pass complete to Henry Pearson for 13 yds to the LaMon 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.62

Chase Brice pass complete to Mike Evans for 28 yds to the LaMon 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.58

Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 10 yds to the LaMon 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Chase Brice pass complete to Caleb Spurlin for 1 yd for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jiya Wright run for 3 yds to the LaMon 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+7 yds

Devyn McCormick punt for 46 yds , Malik Williams returns for 7 yds to the AppSt 33

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the AppSt 39

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the AppSt 42

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the AppSt 42

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the AppSt 42

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.99

Jiya Wright pass complete to Jevin Frett for 40 yds to the AppSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Abraham Alce run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Jiya Wright run for 3 yds for a TD (Calum Sutherland KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the AppSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Chase Brice pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Chase Brice pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Boogie Knight at the LaMon 28

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Jiya Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 27

2nd & 11Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.23

Jiya Wright pass intercepted return for no gain to the LaMon 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the LaMon 24

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the LaMon 18

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the LaMon 18

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.71

Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the LaMon 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 14 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.60

Andrew Henry run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 15

2nd & 12Interception Return Touchdown0 ydsPPA -6.86

Jiya Wright pass intercepted for a TD return for no gain for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

0th & 3End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Andrew Henry run for 8 yds to the LaMon 33

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Jiya Wright run for no gain to the LaMon 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Jiya Wright pass complete to Jared Sparks for 5 yds to the LaMon 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Jiya Wright run for 1 yd to the LaMon 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.70

Jiya Wright pass complete to Zach Jackson for 22 yds to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Andrew Henry run for 4 yds to the AppSt 35

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.08

Jiya Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 36

3rd & 7Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.77

Jiya Wright pass complete to Jared Sparks for 24 yds to the AppSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Jiya Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 13

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.89

Jiya Wright pass complete to Dariyan Wiley for 13 yds for a TD (Calum Sutherland KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the AppSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Chase Brice pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+56 ydsPPA +4.28

Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 56 yds to the LaMon 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Chase Brice pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Nate Noel run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 16

3rd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Chase Brice pass complete to Henry Pearson for 2 yds to the LaMon 14

4th & 9Field Goal Good+31 yds

Chandler Staton 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Andrew Henry run for 5 yds to the LaMon 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Andrew Henry run for 4 yds to the LaMon 34

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.64

Jiya Wright run for 9 yds to the LaMon 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Andrew Henry run for 1 yd to the LaMon 44

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jiya Wright run for 3 yds to the LaMon 47

3rd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.63

Jiya Wright run for 14 yds to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Andrew Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 40

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

UL MONROE Penalty, False Start (Malik Jackson) to the AppSt 45

2nd & 16Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.10

Jiya Wright pass complete to Zach Rasmussen for 15 yds to the AppSt 30

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.37

Andrew Henry run for 2 yds to the AppSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jiya Wright run for 5 yds to the AppSt 23

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

WRIGHT, Jiya pass to the right incomplete intended for SPARKS, Jared thrown to the APP15; QB hurried by TAYLOR, Demetrius and EARLE, Jordon. PENALTY ULM Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on DAVIS, Aries enforced 5 yards from the APP23 to the APP28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Jiya Wright run for 8 yds to the AppSt 20

4th & 2Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.98

Jiya Wright pass complete to Dariyan Wiley for 17 yds to the AppSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Andrew Henry run for no gain to the AppSt 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Andrew Henry run for 1 yd to the AppSt 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Abraham Alce run for 2 yds for a TD (Calum Sutherland KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Chase Brice pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the AppSt 38

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Chase Brice pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Boogie Knight at the LaMon 30

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Jiya Wright run for 9 yds to the LaMon 39

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.39

Andrew Henry run for no gain to the LaMon 39

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.07

Abraham Alce run for 2 yds to the LaMon 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jiya Wright run for 5 yds to the LaMon 46

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jiya Wright run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Charlie Norman run for no gain to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Jiya Wright pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.94

Nate Noel run for 17 yds to the LaMon 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +0.71

Nate Noel run for 26 yds to the LaMon 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Nate Noel run for 7 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +6.66

Jiya Wright run for 18 yds for a TD (Calum Sutherland KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Jahmir Smith run for 1 yd to the AppSt 27

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jahmir Smith run for 3 yds to the AppSt 30

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (Christian Wells) to the AppSt 25

3rd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jahmir Smith run for 4 yds to the AppSt 29

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (KeSean Brown) to the AppSt 24

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Boogie Knight at the LaMon 38

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jakyle Holmes run for 3 yds to the LaMon 41

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.54

Jiya Wright run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jakyle Holmes run for 5 yds to the AppSt 45

2nd & 5Penalty+5 yds

WRIGHT, Jiya pass to the left incomplete intended for CAVIL, Coby thrown to the APP20. PENALTY APP Offsides on MCKNIGHT, DeShawn enforced 5 yards from the APP45 to the APP40 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Abraham Alce run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 42

2nd & 12Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.76

Jiya Wright pass complete to Coby Cavil for 17 yds to the AppSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jiya Wright run for 5 yds to the AppSt 20

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Charlie Norman run for 3 yds to the AppSt 17

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.46

Jiya Wright run for 9 yds to the AppSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Abraham Alce run for 1 yd to the AppSt 7

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jiya Wright pass complete to Will Derrick for 5 yds to the AppSt 2

3rd & 2Rush-98 yds

Abraham Alce run for a loss of 98 yards to the AppSt 2

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Anderson Castle run for 3 yds to the AppSt 5

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.38

Jacob Huesman pass complete to Eli Wilson for 8 yds to the AppSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Anderson Castle run for 9 yds to the AppSt 22

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.07

Jacob Huesman pass complete to Christian Wells for 6 yds to the AppSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Anderson Castle run for 10 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

UL Monroe

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
30%
27 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
0%
5 plays
50%
10 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
86%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays

App State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
66%
32 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
0%
5 plays
40%
10 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays