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← Back to GamesOct 23, 2021Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Alabama by 7

Home Win Probability

UL Monroe 30%

Market (consensus)

UL Monroe +13.5

Edge: UL Monroe +13.5 (6.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 23, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
71014031
UL MonroeUL Monroe
71714341

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-714-717-1017-1724-2431-3138-3141-31
UL MonroeSouth Alabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UMSAUMSAUMSAUMSAUMSAUMSASAUMSAUMSAUMSAUMSAUMSAUMSAUMTD775ydUncategorized432ydTO646ydTD862ydPUNT37ydTO714ydTD649ydFG755ydFG1053ydTD965ydTD1175ydEND1-1ydTD1075ydDOWNS641ydTD466ydTD675ydPUNT37ydTD282ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-5ydFG1051ydMISS1159ydPUNT38ydDOWNS417ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Alabama and UL Monroe
StatisticSouth AlabamaUL Monroe
Passing30-4125-35
Pass Yards320369
Rush Yards89186
Total Yards409555
Turnovers31
3rd Down6-167-13
Penalties3-353-45
Possession34:1825:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Alabama
passing
Jake Bentley
30/41, 320 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Terrion Avery
14 CAR, 87 YDS
receiving
Jalen Tolbert
10 REC, 155 YDS, 2 TD
defense
UL Monroe
passing
Chandler Rogers
25/35, 369 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Andrew Henry
18 CAR, 88 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Will Derrick
5 REC, 135 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Andrew Henry run for 12 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Chandler Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.64

Chandler Rogers run for 18 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Andrew Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 46

2nd & 11Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.96

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Boogie Knight for 19 yds to the SAlab 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Chandler Rogers run for 7 yds to the SAlab 20

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.40

Andrew Henry run for 20 yds for a TD (Calum Sutherland KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jake Bentley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 1 yd to the SAlab 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jake Bentley pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.61

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 17 yds to the SAlab 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.11

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 14 yds to the LaMon 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Malik Jackson run for 11 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Andrew Henry run for 3 yds to the SAlab 44

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Chandler Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.16

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Will Derrick for 11 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Andrew Henry run for no gain to the SAlab 33

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.01

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Will Derrick for 21 yds to the SAlab 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 1 yd to the SAlab 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.54

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 19 yds to the LaMon 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

BENTLEY, Jake pass to the left incomplete intended for TOLBERT, Jalen broken up by NEWTON, Josh at the ULM2. PENALTY ULM Pass Interference on NEWTON, Josh enforced 15 yards to the ULM27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.16

Terrion Avery run for 10 yds to the LaMon 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Terrion Avery run for 4 yds to the LaMon 11

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jalen Wayne) to the LaMon 15

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.56

Terrion Avery run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 13

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 3 yds to the LaMon 10

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.09

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 10 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Malik Jackson for 4 yds to the LaMon 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Boogie Knight for 5 yds to the LaMon 34

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.88

Andrew Henry run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Devyn McCormick punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the SAlab 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jake Bentley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Jake Bentley pass complete to Terrion Avery for 8 yds to the SAlab 28

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Kareem Walker run for 1 yd to the SAlab 29

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.43

Kareem Walker run for 3 yds to the SAlab 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Kareem Walker run for no gain to the SAlab 32

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Jake Bentley pass complete to Kareem Walker for 2 yds to the SAlab 34

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.22

Jake Bentley pass intercepted return for no gain to the SAlab 49

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Chandler Rogers run for 7 yds to the SAlab 42

2nd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.40

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Boogie Knight for 13 yds to the SAlab 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.26

Andrew Henry run for 17 yds to the SAlab 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Andrew Henry run for no gain to the SAlab 12

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Chandler Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.14

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jared Sparks for 12 yds for a TD (Calum Sutherland KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Kareem Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 34

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Jake Bentley pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+55 ydsPPA +4.42

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 55 yds to the LaMon 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Kareem Walker run for no gain to the LaMon 11

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jake Bentley run for 4 yds to the LaMon 7

3rd & 6Sack0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jake Bentley sacked by Sir'Darrius Ellis for 0 yards to the LaMon 10

4th & 9Field Goal Good+28 yds

Diego Guajardo 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Chandler Rogers run for 2 yds to the LaMon 27

2nd & 8Penalty+10 yds

ROGERS, Chandler pass up the middle incomplete intended for DERRICK, Will thrown to the ULM36. PENALTY USA Pass Interference on LEWIS, Kwameh enforced at the spot of the foul for 10 yards to the ULM37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.76

Chandler Rogers run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaMon 32

2nd & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.80

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jevin Frett for 16 yds to the LaMon 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Andrew Henry run for 3 yds to the SAlab 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Will Derrick for 16 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.24

Isaiah Phillips run for 10 yds to the SAlab 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.74

Chandler Rogers run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 26

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Chandler Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Isaiah Phillips for 4 yds to the SAlab 22

4th & 9Field Goal Good+39 yds

Calum Sutherland 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jake Bentley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Bryan Hill run for 3 yds to the SAlab 38

3rd & 7Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.65

Jake Bentley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 30 yds to the LaMon 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Bryan Hill run for 1 yd to the LaMon 31

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Bryan Hill run for 2 yds to the LaMon 29

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.18

Jake Bentley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 13 yds to the LaMon 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Bryan Hill run for 4 yds to the LaMon 12

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Bryan Hill run for no gain to the LaMon 12

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.94

Jake Bentley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 12 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Chandler Rogers run for 3 yds to the LaMon 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Andrew Henry run for 2 yds to the LaMon 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.55

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Boogie Knight for 16 yds to the LaMon 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.25

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jared Sparks for 20 yds to the SAlab 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Jackson for 4 yds to the SAlab 30

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Jackson for 8 yds to the SAlab 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Chandler Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Chandler Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.15

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Boogie Knight for 13 yds to the SAlab 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Chandler Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Boogie Knight for 9 yds for a TD (Calum Sutherland KICK) (Calum Sutherland KICK)

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jake Bentley pass complete to Brandon Crum for 7 yds to the SAlab 32

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.81

Terrion Avery run for 9 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Terrion Avery run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.08

Terrion Avery run for 6 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.62

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 15 yds to the LaMon 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Terrion Avery run for 5 yds to the LaMon 24

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Terrion Avery run for 4 yds to the LaMon 20

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.20

Terrion Avery run for 5 yds to the LaMon 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Jake Bentley pass complete to Brandon Crum for 7 yds to the LaMon 8

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.25

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 8 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Andrew Henry run for 14 yds to the LaMon 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.67

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Malik Jackson for 6 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Keith Gallmon Jr.) to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

QB Keeper ROGERS, Chandler rush to the left for a gain of 13 yards to the USA27 (LUTER JR., Darrell). PENALTY ULM Personal Foul on JACKSON, Zach enforced 15 yards from the USA39 to the ULM46, from the the spot of the ball when the foul occurred, runner is credited with 1 yards on the play [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 24Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jared Sparks for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Chandler Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 20Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.21

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Andrew Henry for 17 yds to the SAlab 33

4th & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -2.45

Chandler Rogers run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 34

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Terrion Avery run for no gain to the SAlab 34

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.56

Terrion Avery run for 17 yds to the LaMon 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Terrion Avery run for 9 yds to the LaMon 40

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +2.70

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 40 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+38 ydsPPA +3.03

Malik Jackson run for 38 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Andrew Henry run for 8 yds to the SAlab 29

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Andrew Henry run for 3 yds to the SAlab 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Chandler Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Chandler Rogers run for 5 yds to the SAlab 21

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.14

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Fred Lloyd Jr. for 21 yds for a TD (Calum Sutherland KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Terrion Avery run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.58

Jake Bentley pass complete to Terrion Avery for 9 yds to the SAlab 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.68

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Boogie Knight at the LaMon 18

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Andrew Henry run for 1 yd to the LaMon 19

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+81 ydsPPA +6.92

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Will Derrick for 81 yds for a TD (Calum Sutherland KICK)

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jake Bentley sacked by Caleb Thomas for 0 yards to the SAlab 18

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Jake Bentley pass incomplete

3rd & 17Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Jake Bentley pass complete to Terrion Avery for 5 yds to the SAlab 23

4th & 12Punt-5 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 52 yds , Boogie Knight returns for a loss of 5 yards to the LaMon 20

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.83

Chandler Rogers run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaMon 15

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Chandler Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.10

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jared Sparks for 9 yds to the LaMon 24

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Devyn McCormick punt for 50 yds, downed at the SAlab 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jake Bentley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jake Bentley sacked by Caleb Thomas and Ty Shelby for 0 yards to the SAlab 16

3rd & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 5 yds to the SAlab 21

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Boogie Knight at the LaMon 26

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Andrew Henry run for no gain to the LaMon 26

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Chandler Rogers run for 4 yds to the LaMon 30

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.15

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Jackson for 11 yds to the LaMon 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Chandler Rogers run for 5 yds to the LaMon 46

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Chandler Rogers run for 2 yds to the LaMon 48

3rd & 3Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.47

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jevin Frett for 23 yds to the SAlab 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Kadyn Roach run for no gain to the SAlab 29

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Chandler Rogers run for no gain to the SAlab 29

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Will Derrick for 6 yds to the SAlab 23

4th & 4Field Goal Good+40 yds

Calum Sutherland 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

BENTLEY, Jake pass to the right incomplete intended for TOLBERT, Jalen thrown to the ULM50. PENALTY ULM Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Jabari enforced 15 yards to the USA35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jake Bentley pass complete to Terrion Avery for 5 yds to the SAlab 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.06

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for no gain to the SAlab 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jake Bentley pass complete to Terrion Avery for 3 yds to the SAlab 43

4th & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +2.37

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 4 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Jake Bentley pass complete to Terrion Avery for 12 yds to the LaMon 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jake Bentley pass complete to Terrion Avery for 6 yds to the LaMon 35

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.25

Jake Bentley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 9 yds to the LaMon 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.47

Jake Bentley sacked by Quae Drake and Seth Mason for 0 yards to the LaMon 35

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jake Bentley pass incomplete

3rd & 19Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.84

Jake Bentley run for 14 yds to the LaMon 21

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+39 yds

Diego Guajardo 39 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.73

Andrew Henry run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 19

2nd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.41

Andrew Henry run for 9 yds to the LaMon 28

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Andrew Henry run for 1 yd to the LaMon 29

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Devyn McCormick punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the SAlab 36

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Jake Bentley run for 1 yd to the SAlab 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jake Bentley pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Jake Bentley pass incomplete

4th & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.09

Jake Bentley pass intercepted return for no gain to the LaMon 47

No play data available

Situational Analysis

South Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
27 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
30%
10 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
4 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play

UL Monroe

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
32 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
12 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
100%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play