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← Back to GamesOct 14, 2021Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Alabama by 6.2

Home Win Probability

South Alabama 65%

Market (consensus)

South Alabama -2.5

Edge: South Alabama -2.5 (3.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 14, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern
083314
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
10217341

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-010-017-031-831-1138-1441-14
South AlabamaGeorgia Southern

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SAGSSAGSSAGSSAGSSAGSSAGSSAGSGSSAGSSAGSSAGSSAGSSATD1084ydPUNT34ydPUNT31ydPUNT30ydFG1161ydPUNT3-7ydTD755ydTO34ydTD140ydPUNT4-1ydTD370ydTD1575ydPUNT3-10ydDOWNS716ydFG1048ydPUNT617ydPUNT3-1ydTD582ydFG1058ydMISS650ydPUNT3-12ydFG749ydDOWNS729ydEND636yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Georgia Southern and South Alabama
StatisticGeorgia SouthernSouth Alabama
Passing7-2525-33
Pass Yards112405
Rush Yards121140
Total Yards233545
Turnovers10
3rd Down9-217-12
Penalties5-305-15
Possession30:0229:58

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Georgia Southern
passing
Cam Ransom
2/12, 63 YDS
rushing
Logan Wright
14 CAR, 60 YDS
receiving
Amare Jones
4 REC, 90 YDS
defense
South Alabama
passing
Jake Bentley
24/31, 389 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Bryan Hill
8 CAR, 65 YDS
receiving
Jalen Tolbert
11 REC, 174 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Anthony Beck II kickoff for 65 yds , Devin Rockette return for 16 yds to the SAlab 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 9 yds to the SAlab 25

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the SAlab 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Jake Bentley run for 6 yds to the SAlab 34

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.64

Terrion Avery run for 5 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.17

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 13 yds to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.92

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 20 yds to the GeoSo 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.20

Terrion Avery run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Terrion Avery run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Hadon Merchant) to the GeoSo 10

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.40

Bryan Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 12

2nd & 12Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.91

Jake Bentley 12 Yd Run (Diego Guajardo Kick)

2nd & 12Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Diego Guajardo kickoff for 65 yds , Khaleb Hood return for 17 yds to the GeoSo 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

J.D. King run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 21

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

J.D. King run for no gain to the GeoSo 21

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Jjay Mcafee, broken up by Darrell Luter Jr.

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 59 yds, downed at the SAlab 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Terrion Avery run for no gain to the SAlab 20

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Terrion Avery run for 1 yd to the SAlab 21

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert, broken up by Seth Robertson

4th & 9Punt+2 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 42 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for 2 yds to the GeoSo 39

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 42

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.40

Justin Tomlin run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 39

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Sam Kenerson, broken up by Darrell Luter Jr.

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jalen Tolbert at the SAlab 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 11 yds to the SAlab 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Bryan Hill run for 2 yds to the SAlab 28

3rd & 8Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +4.01

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 37 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Bryan Hill run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 12 yds to the GeoSo 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.62

Jake Bentley sacked by AJ Watkins for a loss of 9 yards to the GeoSo 31 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Jake Bentley) to the GeoSo 31

2nd & 19Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 7 yds to the GeoSo 24

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert, broken up by NaJee Thompson

4th & 12Field Goal Good+42 yds

Diego Guajardo 42 Yd Field Goal

4th & 12Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Diego Guajardo kickoff for 65 yds , Khaleb Hood return for 16 yds to the GeoSo 16

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

J.D. King run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 14

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

GA SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (Logan Langemeier) to the GeoSo 9

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Cam Ransom pass incomplete to Beau Johnson

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Cam Ransom pass incomplete to Khaleb Hood

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jalen Wayne at the SAlab 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.49

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 26 yds to the GeoSo 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Terrion Avery run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 23

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Terrion Avery run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 22

3rd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.96

Jake Bentley pass complete to Brandon Crum for 16 yds to the GeoSo 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Terrion Avery run for no gain to the GeoSo 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jake Bentley pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Jake Bentley 6 Yd Run (Diego Guajardo Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Justin Tomlin pass complete to Beau Johnson for 2 yds to the GeoSo 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Justin Tomlin run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 29

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.16

Justin Tomlin pass intercepted CJ Rias return for no gain to the GeoSo 40

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Jalen Tolbert 40 Yd pass from Jake Bentley (Diego Guajardo Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28

2nd & 7Rush-9 ydsPPA -0.94

Gerald Green run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 29 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the GeoSo 19

2nd & 16Rush0 ydsPPA -0.13

Justin Tomlin run for no gain to the GeoSo 19

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Sam Kenerson, broken up by Ryan Melton

4th & 16Penalty+5 yds

Beck II, Anthony punt 32 yards to the SOUTHALA49, downed, PENALTY SOUTHALA running into kicker 5 yards to the GASOUTHERN24, NO PLAY.

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jalen Tolbert at the SAlab 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 3 yds to the SAlab 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+62 ydsPPA +4.17

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jay'juan Townsend for 62 yds to the GeoSo 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Jalen Wayne 5 Yd pass from Jake Bentley (Diego Guajardo Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Justin Tomlin run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Justin Tomlin run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 31

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.47

Logan Wright run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 39

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Logan Wright run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 45

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.36

Logan Wright run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Logan Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 48

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.27

Justin Tomlin pass complete to Emil Smith for 11 yds to the SAlab 41

4th & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.21

Khaleb Hood run for 10 yds to the SAlab 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Justin Tomlin run for 2 yds to the SAlab 29

2nd & 8Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.46

Justin Tomlin pass complete to Amare Jones for 25 yds to the SAlab 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Cam Ransom run for 2 yds to the SAlab 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Logan Wright run for no gain to the SAlab 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

J.D. King 2 Yd Run (Justin Tomlin Pass to Amare Jones for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Bryan Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 24

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Bryan Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 23

3rd & 12Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.18

Jake Bentley sacked by Justin Ellis for a loss of 8 yards to the SAlab 15

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 46 yds, downed at the GeoSo 39

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Justin Tomlin pass complete to Amare Jones for 2 yds to the GeoSo 44

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.14

Justin Tomlin run for 7 yds to the SAlab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Beau Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Jjay Mcafee

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

GA SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (Khalil Crowder) to the GeoSo 46

3rd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Justin Tomlin pass complete to Emil Smith for 9 yds to the SAlab 45

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Justin Tomlin pass incomplete, broken up by Jalen Wayne

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 32

3rd & 3Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.99

Logan Wright run for 23 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the SAlab 42

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the SAlab 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.74

Cam Ransom pass complete to Amare Jones for 17 yds to the SAlab 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

GA SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (Caleb Kelly) to the SAlab 28

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Cam Ransom pass incomplete to Sam Kenerson

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Cam Ransom run for 1 yd to the SAlab 27

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Cam Ransom pass incomplete to Amare Jones, broken up by Kwameh Lewis

4th & 14Field Goal Good+44 yds

Alex Raynor 44 Yd Field Goal

4th & 14Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Britton Williams kickoff for 64 yds , Devin Rockette return for 22 yds to the SAlab 23

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Terrion Avery run for 4 yds to the SAlab 27

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 3 yds to the SAlab 30

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.71

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 9 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert, broken up by Anthony Wilson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jacob Hopper for 6 yds to the SAlab 45

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 40

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 39

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

J.D. King run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 47

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -2.96

J.D. King run for a loss of 9 yards to the GeoSo 38 J.D. King fumbled, forced by Brock Higdon, recovered by GeoSo Aaron Dowdell

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Cam Ransom pass incomplete to Jjay Mcafee

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jalen Tolbert at the SAlab 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.71

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 11 yds to the SAlab 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Bryan Hill run for 6 yds to the SAlab 35

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Bryan Hill run for 2 yds to the SAlab 37

3rd & 2Rush+58 ydsPPA +4.15

Bryan Hill run for 58 yds to the GeoSo 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Lincoln Sefcik 5 Yd pass from Jake Bentley (Diego Guajardo Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Logan Wright run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Cam Ransom pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr., broken up by A.J. DeShazor Jr.

3rd & 9Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +4.31

Cam Ransom pass complete to Amare Jones for 46 yds to the SAlab 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Gerald Green run for 5 yds to the SAlab 23

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the SAlab 21

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.39

Cam Ransom run for 3 yds to the SAlab 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the SAlab 15

2nd & 7Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.56

Cam Ransom sacked by Jamall Hickbottom for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 17

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Cam Ransom pass incomplete to Amare Jones, broken up by Keith Gallmon Jr.

4th & 9Field Goal Good+34 yds

Alex Raynor 34 Yd Field Goal

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

Williams, Britton kickoff 11 yards to the GASOUTHERN46, on-side kick, recovered by GASOUTHERN on GASOUTHERN46, PENALTY GASOUTHERN offside 5 yards to the GASOUTHERN30, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jake Bentley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 4 yds to the SAlab 29

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.74

AJ Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +4.09

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 41 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 1 yd to the GeoSo 30

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 5 yds to the GeoSo 25

3rd & 4Penalty0 yds

Bentley, Jake pass complete to Wayne, Jalen for 25 yards to the GASOUTHERN0, PENALTY SOUTHALA illegal touching (Wayne, Jalen) 0 yards to the GASOUTHERN25, NO PLAY.

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Diego Guajardo 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Cam Ransom run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 26

2nd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.68

Cam Ransom sacked by Lamondre Brooks and Christian Bell for a loss of 9 yards to the GeoSo 17

3rd & 18Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.05

Cam Ransom sacked by CJ Rias for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 13

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jalen Tolbert at the SAlab 38

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

AJ Phillips run for no gain to the SAlab 38

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jake Bentley pass complete to Cade Sutherland for 5 yds to the SAlab 43

3rd & 5Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.37

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 38 yds to the GeoSo 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Jake Bentley run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 18

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

AJ Phillips run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 15

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

AJ Phillips run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 13

4th & 4Field Goal Good+31 yds

Diego Guajardo 31 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Jalen White run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 23

2nd & 12Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.67

Cam Ransom run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 33

3rd & 2Rush+32 ydsPPA +3.32

Cam Ransom run for 32 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Cam Ransom pass incomplete to Darius Lewis

2nd & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.95

Cam Ransom sacked by Terry Perry for a loss of 11 yards to the SAlab 46

3rd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Cam Ransom pass incomplete to Gerald Green

4th & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.04

Cam Ransom pass incomplete to Amare Jones

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jared Wilson run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.17

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jacob Hopper for 16 yds to the GeoSo 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Todd Justice

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.91

Jared Wilson run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Desmond Trotter run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 20

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jared Wilson run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 18

Situational Analysis

Georgia Southern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
10%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
14%
14 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
25%
8 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

South Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
67%
3 plays
43%
28 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
29%
7 plays
64%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th