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← Back to GamesOct 12, 2021Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisiana by 2.3

Home Win Probability

Louisiana 57%

Market (consensus)

Louisiana +4

Edge: Louisiana +4 (6.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 12, 2021

Line Movement

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Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
App StateApp State
337013
LouisianaLouisiana
20071441

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-320-320-627-1334-1341-13
LouisianaApp State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUTD875ydFG1062ydTD687ydTO31ydTD431ydPUNT37ydPUNT30ydTO525ydTO1355ydFG1070ydPUNT419ydTO36ydTD219ydTD1251ydPUNT36ydPUNT721ydTD1398ydTO15ydTD439ydPUNT33ydEND939yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing App State and Louisiana
StatisticApp StateLouisiana
Passing15-2615-25
Pass Yards133209
Rush Yards78246
Total Yards211455
Turnovers41
3rd Down0-118-15
Penalties5-439-97
Possession23:2836:32

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

App State
passing
Chase Brice
15/26, 133 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Nate Noel
17 CAR, 44 YDS
receiving
Malik Williams
6 REC, 38 YDS
defense
Louisiana
passing
Levi Lewis
15/25, 209 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Montrell Johnson
14 CAR, 103 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kyren Lacy
2 REC, 57 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Chris Smith run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+55 ydsPPA +3.62

Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 55 yds to the AppSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Chris Smith run for 7 yds to the AppSt 9

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the AppSt 7

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.63

Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the AppSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Emani Bailey run for 3 yds to the AppSt 2

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Levi Lewis run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Levi Lewis 3 Yd Run (Nate Snyder Kick)

3rd & 8Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Nate Snyder kickoff for 52 yds , Jalen Virgil return for 11 yds to the AppSt 24

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the AppSt 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Chase Brice pass complete to Henry Pearson for 9 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 8 yds to the AppSt 42

2nd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Nate Noel run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.78

Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 18 yds to the LaLaf 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.22

Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 14 yds to the LaLaf 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 10

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Corey Sutton

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (Jalen Virgil) to the LaLaf 15

3rd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 14

4th & 10Field Goal Good+31 yds

Chandler Staton 31 Yd Field Goal

4th & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Michael Hughes kickoff for 65 yds , Chris Smith return for no gain to the LaLaf 13 Chris Smith fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Chris Smith , return for 13 yds to the LaLaf 13

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Montrell Johnson run for no gain to the LaLaf 13

2nd & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +3.17

Montrell Johnson run for 36 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +1.37

Levi Lewis pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 36 yds to the AppSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Levi Lewis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Montrell Johnson run for no gain to the AppSt 15

3rd & 10Penalty+13 yds

Lewis, Levi pass incomplete to Stephens Jr., John, PENALTY APP STATE pass interference (Small, Donte) 13 yards to the APP STATE2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ULLAFAYTTE.

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Kyren Lacy 2 Yd pass from Levi Lewis (Nate Snyder Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Nate Snyder kickoff for 60 yds , Jalen Virgil return for 25 yds to the AppSt 30 Jalen Virgil fumbled, forced by Jayrin Wilson, recovered by AppSt KeSean Brown

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the AppSt 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Corey Sutton

3rd & 7Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.44

Chase Brice sacked by Zi'Yon Hill for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 31 Chase Brice fumbled, forced by Zi'Yon Hill, recovered by LaLaf Percy Butler , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.96

Levi Lewis pass complete to Johnny Lumpkin for 26 yds to the AppSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Chris Smith run for 4 yds to the AppSt 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Chris Smith run for no gain to the AppSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Chris Smith 1 Yd Run (Nate Snyder PAT failed)

3rd & 6Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Nate Snyder kickoff for 53 yds , Jalen Virgil return for 14 yds to the AppSt 26

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Jahmir Smith run for 2 yds to the AppSt 28

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Malik Williams

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jahmir Smith run for 5 yds to the AppSt 33

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to John Stephens Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to John Stephens Jr.

3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.12

Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for no gain to the LaLaf 20

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 43 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for no gain to the AppSt 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Corey Sutton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.70

Chase Brice pass complete to Mike Evans for 19 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Nate Noel run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 46

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 8 yds to the LaLaf 38

3rd & 4Pass Interception Return+11 ydsPPA -2.92

Chase Brice pass intercepted Brandon Bishop return for 11 yds to the LaLaf 38

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Emani Bailey run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 36

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Levi Lewis pass complete to Emani Bailey for 6 yds to the LaLaf 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.48

Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 10 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.36

Levi Lewis sacked by Nick Hampton for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 46

2nd & 16Penalty-5 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (Jalen Williams) to the LaLaf 41

2nd & 21Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.70

Levi Lewis pass complete to John Stephens Jr. for 22 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 5 yds to the AppSt 32

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Emani Bailey run for 1 yd to the AppSt 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Michael Jefferson

4th & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.91

Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 14 yds to the AppSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.70

Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 12 yds to the AppSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

Johnson, Montrell rush for no gain to the APP STATE5, PENALTY ULLAFAYTTE illegal formation 5 yards to the APP STATE10, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Montrell Johnson run for 3 yds to the AppSt 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to John Stephens Jr.

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.12

Levi Lewis pass intercepted, touchback. Steven Jones Jr. return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Chase Brice run for 1 yd to the AppSt 21

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.16

Daetrich Harrington run for 9 yds to the AppSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Brice, Chase pass incomplete to Sutton, Corey, PENALTY ULLAFAYTTE pass interference (Garror, Eric) 15 yards to the APP STATE45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN APP STATE.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Nate Noel run for no gain to the AppSt 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.62

Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 10 yds to the ULLAFAYTTE 45 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Lorenzo McCaskill) to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Mike Evans

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.80

Chase Brice pass complete to Christan Horn for 14 yds to the LaLaf 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 13

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Nate Noel run for no gain to the LaLaf 13

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Chase Brice run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 10

4th & 4Field Goal Good+27 yds

Chandler Staton 27 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Chris Smith run for 17 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Levi Lewis pass complete to Johnny Lumpkin for 5 yds to the LaLaf 47

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jalen Williams

3rd & 5Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.20

Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 44

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 56 yds for a touchback

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Nate Snyder kickoff for 50 yds , Jalen Virgil return for 12 yds to the AppSt 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Jalen Virgil

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Nate Noel run for 6 yds to the AppSt 33

3rd & 4Pass Interception Return+21 ydsPPA -0.48

Chase Brice pass intercepted Eric Garror return for 21 yds to the AppSt 19

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.53

Chris Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 21

2nd & 12Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.14

Chris Smith 21 Yd Run (Nate Snyder Kick)

2nd & 12Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Nate Snyder kickoff for 45 yds , Jalen Virgil return for 29 yds to the AppSt 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 2 yds to the LaLaf 49

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Chase Brice run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, Failure to Wear Required Equipment (Dalvin Hutchinson) to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 37

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 2 yds to the LaLaf 35

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Nate Noel run for no gain to the LaLaf 35

4th & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.08

Chase Brice pass complete to Henry Pearson for 12 yds to the LaLaf 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Mike Evans

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 18

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 15

4th & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 8 yds to the LaLaf 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Chase Brice 5 Yd Run (Chandler Staton Kick)

2nd & 8Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Michael Hughes kickoff for 63 yds , Chris Smith return for 12 yds to the LaLaf 14 LOUISIANA Penalty, Illegal Block (Kendre' Gant) to the LaLaf 7

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Levi Lewis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Levi Lewis run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 13

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy

4th & 4Punt+5 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 49 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 5 yds to the AppSt 43

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Daetrich Harrington run for 2 yds to the AppSt 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 7 yds to the LaLaf 48

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.18

Nate Noel run for no gain to the LaLaf 48

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.09

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Brice, Chase pass incomplete to Sutton, Corey, PENALTY ULLAFAYTTE pass interference (Garror, Eric) 15 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN APP STATE.

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.33

Chase Brice sacked by Kris Moncrief for a loss of 9 yards to the LaLaf 41

2nd & 19Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 5 yds to the LaLaf 36

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Corey Sutton

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaLaf 2

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.24

Levi Lewis pass complete to Pearse Migl for 10 yds to the LaLaf 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Montrell Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 14

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Montrell Johnson run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 20

3rd & 2Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.65

Montrell Johnson run for 26 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Montrell Johnson run for 6 yds to the AppSt 48

2nd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.84

Chris Smith run for 13 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.29

Chris Smith run for 11 yds to the AppSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Chris Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 25

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jalen Williams

3rd & 11Penalty+5 yds

Lewis, Levi rush for 9 yards to the APP STATE16, PENALTY APP STATE offside 5 yards to the APP STATE20, NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Chris Smith run for 5 yds to the AppSt 15

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the AppSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Levi Lewis run for 7 yds to the AppSt 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Montrell Johnson run for 1 yd to the AppSt 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Montrell Johnson 2 Yd Run (Nate Snyder Kick)

3rd & 2Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Nate Snyder kickoff for 61 yds , Milan Tucker return for 25 yds to the ULLAFAYTTE 40 LOUISIANA Penalty, Defensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 34

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -1.66

Jahmir Smith run for 5 yds to the AppSt 39 Jahmir Smith fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Lorenzo McCaskill

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.22

Emani Bailey run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 41

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Emani Bailey run for 6 yds to the AppSt 35

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Levi Lewis pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 9 yds to the AppSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Emani Bailey 26 Yd Run (Nate Snyder Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Emani Bailey) to the LaLaf 20

1st & 25Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Nate Snyder kickoff for 68 yds , Milan Tucker return for 26 yds to the AppSt 38

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.58

Chase Brice pass complete to Daetrich Harrington for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 35

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan

3rd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Chase Brice run for 6 yds to the AppSt 41

4th & 7Punt+43 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 43 yds , Eric Garror returns for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 15

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.54

Montrell Johnson run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Montrell Johnson run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 26

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Montrell Johnson run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 27

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.86

Montrell Johnson run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

T.J. Wisham run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 39

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.72

T.J. Wisham run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

T.J. Wisham run for 1 yd to the AppSt 49

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

T.J. Wisham run for 4 yds to the AppSt 45

3rd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

T.J. Wisham run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 46

Situational Analysis

App State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
18%
22 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
75%
12 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
3 plays

Louisiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
46%
28 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
44%
9 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play