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← Back to GamesOct 9, 2021Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio by 2.7

Home Win Probability

Ohio 62%

Market (consensus)

Ohio +5

Edge: Ohio +5 (7.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 9, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Central MichiganCentral Michigan
7671030
OhioOhio
379827

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-73-1010-1010-1319-1319-2027-2027-2327-30
OhioCentral Michigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OHICMOHICMOHICMOHICMOHICMOHICMOHICMOHICMOHICMOHICMOHICMTO421ydTO33ydMISS860ydTD770ydFG1057ydPUNT611ydPUNT446ydFG1170ydTD975ydFG958ydEND20ydTO522ydTD345ydPUNT32ydFG1124ydTD975ydTD860ydFG748ydPUNT618ydTD783ydPUNT3-7ydDOWNS74yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Central Michigan and Ohio
StatisticCentral MichiganOhio
Passing16-3013-19
Pass Yards257190
Rush Yards204179
Total Yards461369
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-134-13
Penalties8-956-65
Possession26:3333:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Central Michigan
passing
Daniel Richardson
16/30, 257 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Lew Nichols
30 CAR, 186 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Dallas Dixon
4 REC, 91 YDS
defense
Devonni Reed
1 TFL, 1 PD
Ohio
passing
Armani Rogers
13/18, 190 YDS
rushing
De'Montre Tuggle
19 CAR, 83 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Cameron Odom
4 REC, 88 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

De'Montre Tuggle run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 23

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

OHIO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 18

2nd & 17Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.15

De'Montre Tuggle run for 8 yds to the Ohio 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.70

Armani Rogers pass complete to Cameron Odom for 18 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

De'Montre Tuggle run for 2 yds to the Ohio 46

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the Ohio 43

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return+10 ydsPPA -2.03

Daniel Richardson pass intercepted return for no gain to the Ohio 43 OHIO Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Ohio 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.87

Armani Rogers pass complete to Miles Cross for 39 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Gage Kreski) to the CMich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.84

De'Montre Tuggle run for 9 yds to the CMich 31

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.37

Armani Rogers run for 5 yds to the CMich 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.47

Armani Rogers sacked by Devonni Reed for 0 yards to the CMich 31

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

De'Montre Tuggle run for no gain to the CMich 31

3rd & 15Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Armani Rogers pass complete to Ty Walton for 1 yd to the CMich 30

4th & 14Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Stephen Johnson 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 7 yds to the CMich 37

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.26

Myles Bailey run for 3 yds to the CMich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Daniel Richardson run for 5 yds to the CMich 45

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Marion Lukes run for 4 yds to the CMich 49

3rd & 1Rush+47 ydsPPA +3.13

Lew Nichols III run for 47 yds to the Ohio 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the Ohio 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Josh Rolston kickoff for 65 yds , De'Montre Tuggle return for 31 yds to the Ohio 31

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

De'Montre Tuggle run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 30

2nd & 11Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.98

Armani Rogers run for 11 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

De'Montre Tuggle run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

De'Montre Tuggle run for 3 yds to the CMich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.80

Armani Rogers pass complete to Cameron Odom for 17 yds to the CMich 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.20

Armani Rogers pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 10 yds to the CMich 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Jake Neatherton run for 6 yds to the CMich 14

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.70

Jake Neatherton run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 17

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

De'Montre Tuggle run for 5 yds to the CMich 12

4th & 2Field Goal Good+29 yds

Stephen Johnson 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 2 yds to the CMich 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kenny Brewer III for 6 yds to the CMich 33

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Lew Nichols III run for 5 yds to the CMich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Lew Nichols III run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 36

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Luke Elzinga punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +3.41

Armani Rogers pass complete to Cameron Odom for 45 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

De'Montre Tuggle run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 36

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Armani Rogers run for 2 yds to the CMich 34

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Armani Rogers pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jonah Wieland punt for 20 yds, fair catch by Kalil Pimpleton at the CMich 14

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.82

Lew Nichols III run for 36 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.77

Lew Nichols III run for 10 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds to the Ohio 36

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.63

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Levar Gumms for 14 yds to the Ohio 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Myles Bailey run for 4 yds to the Ohio 18

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.79

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 13 yds to the Ohio 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Penalty-15 yds

RICHARDSON, Daniel pass to the left complete for 5 yards to PIMPLETON, Kalil caught at the OHI0 and advanced to the OHI0, TOUCHDOWN CMU, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY CMU Pass Interference on NICHOLS, Lew enforced 15 yards to the OHI20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the Ohio 18

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete

3rd & 18Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the Ohio 16

4th & 16Field Goal Good+34 yds

Marshall Meeder 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

De'Montre Tuggle run for 8 yds to the Ohio 33

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.02

De'Montre Tuggle run for 3 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ROGERS, Armani pass to the right incomplete intended for ODOM, Cameron thrown to the CMU46. PENALTY CMU Pass Interference on KENT, Donte enforced 15 yards to the CMU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

De'Montre Tuggle run for 7 yds to the CMich 42

2nd & 3Rush+25 ydsPPA +0.61

Armani Rogers run for 10 yds to the CMich 32 for a 1ST down CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Alonzo McCoy) to the CMich 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jake Neatherton run for 5 yds to the CMich 12

2nd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.72

Armani Rogers run for a loss of 4 yards to the CMich 16

3rd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.53

De'Montre Tuggle run for 12 yds to the CMich 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Isiah Cox pass incomplete

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Armani Rogers 4 Yd Run (Stephen Johnson Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 16 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CENTRAL MICH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 36

1st & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 4 yds to the CMich 40

2nd & 11Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.95

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 23 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds to the Ohio 33

2nd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.54

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 15 yds to the Ohio 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the Ohio 17

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+35 yds

Marshall Meeder 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Phillip Cole run for 1 yd to the Ohio 26

0th & 9End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the CMich 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.83

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 26 yds to the Ohio 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the Ohio 43

2nd & 7Sack0 ydsPPA -1.08

Daniel Richardson sacked by Rodney Mathews for 0 yards to the CMich 47

3rd & 17Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.27

Daniel Richardson pass intercepted return for no gain to the CMich 45

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ROGERS, Armani pass up the middle incomplete dropped by COX, Isiah thrown to the CMU34. PENALTY CMU Roughing the Passer on HAIRSTON, Troy enforced 15 yards from the CMU45 to the CMU30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.25

De'Montre Tuggle run for 14 yds to the CMich 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.36

Armani Rogers run for 14 yds to the CMich 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

De'Montre Tuggle 2 Yd Run (Stephen Johnson PAT failed)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

NICHOLS, Lew rush to the right for a gain of 6 yards to the CMU31 (DRAKE, Tariq;WOOD, Jeremiah). PENALTY CMU Holding on GOEDEKE, Luke enforced 10 yards from the CMU25 to the CMU15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Marion Lukes run for 5 yds to the CMich 20

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete

3rd & 15Penalty0 yds

CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Bernhard Raimann) declined

4th & 8Punt+13 yds

Luke Elzinga punt for 36 yds , Javon Conner returns for 13 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

O'Shaan Allison run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 48

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the CMich 48

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Armani Rogers pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for 7 yds to the CMich 41

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.00

Armani Rogers run for 4 yds to the CMich 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

O'Shaan Allison run for 6 yds to the CMich 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Armani Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Armani Rogers pass complete to Miles Cross for 8 yds to the CMich 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

QB Keeper ROGERS, Armani rush to the right for no gain to the CMU23 (WHITESIDE, Justin). PENALTY OHI Face mask on ROGERS, Armani enforced 15 yards from the CMU23 to the CMU38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Armani Rogers run for 1 yd to the CMich 37

2nd & 24Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.27

Armani Rogers pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 11 yds to the CMich 26

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Armani Rogers pass incomplete

4th & 13Field Goal Good+44 yds

Stephen Johnson 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.60

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Remi Simmons for 30 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.54

Lew Nichols III run for 11 yds to the Ohio 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Lew Nichols III run for 10 yds to the Ohio 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Lew Nichols III run for 7 yds to the Ohio 17

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.17

Lew Nichols III run for 5 yds to the Ohio 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the Ohio 10

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Daniel Richardson run for 3 yds to the Ohio 7

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.79

Kalil Pimpleton run for 7 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Josh Rolston kickoff for 52 yds , Jake Neatherton return for 27 yds to the Ohio 40

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

De'Montre Tuggle run for 5 yds to the Ohio 45

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

De'Montre Tuggle run for 2 yds to the Ohio 47

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Armani Rogers run for 2 yds to the Ohio 49

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.19

O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the CMich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Armani Rogers pass complete to Chase Cokley for 3 yds to the CMich 46

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the CMich 46

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return+5 ydsPPA -1.74

Armani Rogers pass intercepted return for no gain to the CMich 46 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offsides (Thomas Incoom) to the CMich 41

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Armani Rogers run for 1 yd to the CMich 40

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +4.95

Sieh Bangura run for 40 yds for a TD, (Isiah Cox pass to Adam Luehrman for Two-Point Conversion)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Tristian Vandenberg kickoff for 65 yds , Marion Lukes return for 25 yds to the CMich 30

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Lew Nichols III run for 6 yds to the CMich 36

2nd & 4Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.23

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 26 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.41

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Joel Wilson for 14 yds to the Ohio 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the Ohio 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+40 yds

Marshall Meeder 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.70

Armani Rogers sacked by Justin Whiteside and Tico Brown for 0 yards to the Ohio 21

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.15

O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the Ohio 22

3rd & 13Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.29

Armani Rogers pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 16 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Armani Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.88

De'Montre Tuggle run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 36

3rd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Armani Rogers pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 7 yds to the Ohio 43

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

RICHARDSON, Daniel pass up the middle incomplete intended for DIXON, Dallas broken up by KEMENI, Pierre at the CMU33. PENALTY OHI Face mask on KEMENI, Pierre enforced 15 yards from the CMU17 to the CMU32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds to the CMich 36

2nd & 6Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.57

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 26 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the Ohio 35

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Lew Nichols III run for 5 yds to the Ohio 30

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.50

Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the Ohio 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.28

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 28 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Armani Rogers run for no gain to the Ohio 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Armani Rogers pass complete to Cameron Odom for 8 yds to the Ohio 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Armani Rogers pass incomplete

4th & 2Penalty-15 yds

OHIO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the Ohio 18

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Jonah Wieland punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kalil Pimpleton at the CMich 44

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Lew Nichols III run for 5 yds to the CMich 49

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the Ohio 49

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.42

Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the Ohio 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the Ohio 44

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Lew Nichols III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 45

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Lew Nichols III run for no gain to the Ohio 45

Situational Analysis

Central Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
37%
27 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
71%
7 plays
50%
12 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
100%
1 play
0%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
4th

Ohio

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
56%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
67%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
3 plays