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← Back to GamesSep 18, 2021Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wyoming by 4

Home Win Probability

Wyoming 58%

Market (consensus)

Wyoming -6.5

Edge: Ball State +6.5 (2.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 18, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ball StateBall State
006612
WyomingWyoming
102101445

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284210-017-024-031-031-638-638-1245-12
WyomingBall State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BSWYOBSWYOBSBSWYOBSWYOBSWYOBSWYOBSWYOBSWYOBSWYOBSWYOBSBSWYOPUNT37ydPUNT421ydPUNT34ydFG753ydTD523ydPUNT625ydTD880ydPUNT610ydPUNT35ydDOWNS721ydTD668ydTO86ydTD531ydMISS24ydPUNT817ydPUNT33ydPUNT35ydTD1587ydDOWNS1175ydTD875ydPUNT33ydTD10ydPUNT920ydEND525yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ball State and Wyoming
StatisticBall StateWyoming
Passing21-3414-23
Pass Yards142201
Rush Yards118177
Total Yards260378
Turnovers30
3rd Down9-174-11
Penalties3-254-40
Possession30:1129:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ball State
passing
John Paddock
13/20, 82 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Carson Steele
13 CAR, 76 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jayshon Jackson
10 REC, 92 YDS
defense
Jaylin Thomas
1 TFL, 1 PD
Wyoming
passing
Sean Chambers
14/23, 201 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Xazavian Valladay
14 CAR, 61 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Isaiah Neyor
4 REC, 84 YDS
defense
Chad Muma
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Justin Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 8 yds to the BalSt 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ayden Eberhardt at the Wyom 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Sean Chambers pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 12 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.61

Sean Chambers pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 7 yds to the Wyom 47

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the Wyom 47

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ralph Fawaz punt for 53 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Will Jones run for 2 yds to the BalSt 22

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Drew Plitt run for 2 yds to the BalSt 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 36 yds, downed at the Wyom 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Sean Chambers pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 9 yds to the Wyom 49

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.20

Titus Swen run for 4 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +1.10

Sean Chambers pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 37 yds to the BalSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Titus Swen run for 3 yds to the BalSt 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+24 yds

John Hoyland 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.70

Drew Plitt sacked by Cole Godbout and Ravontae Holt for 0 yards to the BalSt 23

2nd & 12Sack0 ydsPPA -0.25

Drew Plitt sacked by Ravontae Holt for 0 yards to the BalSt 21

3rd & 14Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.51

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 19 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Carson Steele run for 8 yds to the BalSt 48

2nd & 2Interception Return Touchdown+50 ydsPPA -10.26

Keyon Blankenbaker 50 Yd Interception Return (John Hoyland Kick)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Drew Plitt run for 10 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Will Jones run for 2 yds to the BalSt 37

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.78

Will Jones run for 10 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -1.15

Drew Plitt sacked by Solomon Byrd for 0 yards to the BalSt 45

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the Wyom 25

2nd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.54

Titus Swen run for 15 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.04

Sean Chambers pass complete to Colin O'Brien for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +1.26

Xazavian Valladay run for 33 yds to the BalSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Titus Swen run for 7 yds to the BalSt 10

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.33

Dawaiian McNeely run for 9 yds to the BalSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Welch for 1 yd for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the BalSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the BalSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Drew Plitt run for 2 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -1.04

Drew Plitt sacked by Ravontae Holt for 0 yards to the BalSt 26

2nd & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 6 yds to the BalSt 32

3rd & 14Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 3 yds to the BalSt 35

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Ayden Eberhardt at the Wyom 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Titus Swen run for 2 yds to the Wyom 17

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Titus Swen run for 3 yds to the Wyom 20

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+17 yds

Ralph Fawaz punt for 50 yds , Justin Hall returns for 17 yds to the BalSt 47

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the BalSt 49

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the Wyom 48

3rd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.08

Drew Plitt run for 10 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Donny Marcus run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Drew Plitt run for 3 yds to the Wyom 32

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.41

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 34

3rd & 8Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.94

Sean Chambers pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 35 yds to the BalSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the BalSt 31

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.86

Sean Chambers pass complete to Trey Smith for 15 yds to the BalSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Dawaiian McNeely run for 16 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Will Jones run for 3 yds to the BalSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Drew Plitt pass complete to Cody Rudy for 6 yds to the BalSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Drew Plitt run for 2 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Will Jones run for 3 yds to the BalSt 39

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.64

Justin Hall run for 10 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Carson Steele run for no gain to the BalSt 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jordan Williams for 4 yds to the Wyom 47

3rd & 6Sack0 ydsPPA -0.97

Drew Plitt sacked for 0 yards to the BalSt 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.32

Sean Chambers pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 20 yds to the BalSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Sean Chambers run for 7 yds to the BalSt 4

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.70

Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the BalSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Sean Chambers run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BALL ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (Clayton Coll) to the Wyom 31

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+72 yds

John Hoyland kickoff for 63 yds , Justin Hall return for 72 yds to the Wyom 26

1st & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.48

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 9 yds to the Wyom 22

2nd & 6Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Jake Chanove 40 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the Wyom 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Welch for 6 yds to the Wyom 32

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.22

Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Sean Chambers pass complete to Parker Christensen for 9 yds to the Wyom 44

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Titus Swen run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 48

3rd & 12Sack0 ydsPPA -0.56

Sean Chambers sacked by Tavion Woodard for 0 yards to the Wyom 42

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Ralph Fawaz punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the BalSt 10

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Carson Steele run for no gain to the BalSt 10

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

John Paddock pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 53 yds , Ayden Eberhardt returns for no gain to the Wyom 37

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Titus Swen run for no gain to the Wyom 37

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Ayden Eberhardt run for 2 yds to the Wyom 39

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Sean Chambers run for 3 yds to the Wyom 42

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ralph Fawaz punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Justin Hall at the BalSt 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

John Paddock pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 7 yds to the BalSt 20

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.41

John Paddock pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 2 yds to the BalSt 22

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.61

Will Jones run for 3 yds to the BalSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

John Paddock pass complete to Chevy Brenson for 9 yds to the BalSt 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Will Jones run for 2 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Donny Marcus run for no gain to the BalSt 36

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

John Paddock pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.52

John Paddock pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 22 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

John Paddock pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.36

Carson Steele run for 11 yds to the Wyom 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the Wyom 26

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

John Paddock pass incomplete

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

PADDOCK, John pass to the left incomplete intended for JACKSON, Jayshon thrown to the WYO3. PENALTY WYO Pass Interference enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the WYO11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.58

Will Jones run for 10 yds to the Wyom 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

John Paddock run for no gain to the Wyom 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Will Jones 1 Yd Run (Jacob Lewis PAT failed)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

BALL ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the Wyom 8

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WYOMING Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the Wyom 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Sean Chambers pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 8 yds to the Wyom 28

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

WYOMING Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the Wyom 23

2nd & 12Penalty+15 yds

BALL ST Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Brett Anderson II) to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the Wyom 45

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.88

Xazavian Valladay run for 6 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.89

Sean Chambers pass complete to Colin O'Brien for 17 yds to the BalSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Sean Chambers run for 9 yds to the BalSt 23

2nd & 1Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA -0.16

Sean Chambers pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 15 yds to the BalSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Sean Chambers run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 9 fumbled, recovered by Wyom Sean Chambers

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.22

Sean Chambers run for 8 yds to the BalSt 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Xazavian Valladay 1 Yd Run (John Hoyland Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

John Paddock pass complete to Jordan Williams for 1 yd to the BalSt 26

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

PADDOCK, John pass to the right incomplete intended for TYLER, Yo'Heinz thrown to the BSU37. PENALTY WYO Pass Interference enforced 15 yards to the BSU41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

John Paddock pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 4 yds to the BalSt 45

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.41

Will Jones run for 11 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.93

John Paddock pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 9 yds to the Wyom 35

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

John Paddock pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.78

Carson Steele run for 13 yds to the Wyom 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the Wyom 19

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.77

Carson Steele 19 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Titus Swen run for 2 yds to the Wyom 27

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Titus Swen run for 1 yd to the Wyom 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+9 yds

Ralph Fawaz punt for 41 yds , Justin Hall returns for 9 yds to the BalSt 40

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+45 ydsPPA -9.24

Chad Muma 45 Yd Interception Return (John Hoyland Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

John Paddock pass complete to Isaiah Dunnuck for no gain to the BalSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

John Paddock pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 6 yds to the BalSt 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.66

John Paddock pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 7 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

John Paddock pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

John Paddock pass complete to Dean Tate for 4 yds to the BalSt 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.24

John Paddock pass complete to Justin Hall for 7 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

John Paddock pass complete to Jalen McGaughy for 4 yds to the Wyom 47

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Donny Marcus run for 1 yd to the Wyom 46

3rd & 5Sack0 ydsPPA -1.03

John Paddock sacked by Easton Gibbs for 0 yards to the BalSt 45

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 41 yds, downed at the Wyom 14

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Dawaiian McNeely run for 6 yds to the Wyom 20

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Dawaiian McNeely run for 3 yds to the Wyom 23

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.13

Dawaiian McNeely run for 9 yds to the Wyom 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Jeremy Hollingsworth run for 2 yds to the Wyom 34

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dawaiian McNeely run for 5 yds to the Wyom 39

Situational Analysis

Ball State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
24%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
46%
13 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Wyoming

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
54%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
42%
12 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play