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← Back to GamesSep 4, 2021Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Toledo by 9.7

Home Win Probability

Toledo 71%

Market (consensus)

Toledo -39.5

Edge: Norfolk State +39.5 (29.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 4, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Norfolk State
700310
ToledoToledo
141414749

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-014-721-728-735-742-742-1049-10
ToledoNorfolk State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NSTOLNSNSTOLNSNSTOLNSTOLTOLNSTOLNSTOLNSTOLNSTOLNSPUNT32ydTD752ydTD619ydTD975ydPUNT25ydTD34ydPUNT1030ydTD1488ydEND36ydTD750ydDOWNS724ydTO575ydTD184ydDOWNS959ydPUNT33ydFG720ydTD880ydPUNT30ydDOWNS720ydEND310yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Norfolk State and Toledo
StatisticNorfolk StateToledo
Passing8-1813-18
Pass Yards125236
Rush Yards147205
Total Yards272441
Turnovers20
3rd Down5-154-9
Penalties4-3512-140
Possession33:2329:58

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Norfolk State
passing
Juwan Carter
8/18, 125 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kevin Johnson
4 CAR, 56 YDS
receiving
Justin Smith
2 REC, 48 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Toledo
passing
Carter Bradley
8/12, 183 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Dequan Finn
9 CAR, 82 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Devin Maddox
2 REC, 91 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Juwan Carter pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+7 yds

Ryan Richter punt for 32 yds , Devin Maddox returns for 7 yds to the Toled 48

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Carter Bradley run for 8 yds to the NflkS 44

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Bryant Koback run for 1 yd for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK)

4th & 10Blocked Punt Touchdown+25 ydsPPA -6.81

Maxen Hook 25 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Thomas Cluckey Kick)

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.39

Justin Smith run for 3 yds to the Toled 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Cameryn Brent run for 1 yd to the Toled 47

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +4.52

Juwan Carter pass complete to Justin Smith for 47 yds for a TD, (Josh Nardone KICK)

3rd & 5Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 41 yds, fair catch by J.J. Davis at the NflkS 20

4th & 6Blocked Punt Touchdown+14 ydsPPA -6.77

Justin Clark 14 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Thomas Cluckey Kick)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Cameryn Brent run for 8 yds to the NflkS 35

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.03

Rayquan Smith run for 3 yds to the NflkS 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Rayquan Smith run for 4 yds to the NflkS 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.11

Juwan Carter pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 22 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.93

Cameryn Brent run for a loss of 6 yards to the Toled 42

2nd & 16Sack0 ydsPPA -0.99

Juwan Carter sacked by D'Andre Ragin and Dyontae Johnson for 0 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Juwan Carter pass incomplete

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Ryan Richter punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Devin Maddox at the Toled 12

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Jacquez Stuart run for 6 yds to the NflkS 24

4th & 3Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.80

Dequan Finn run for 24 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK)

0th & 4End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

J.J. Davis run for no gain to the NflkS 48

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

#2 C.Bradley pass to the right incomplete intended for #14 I.Winstead thrown to the NSU36, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY NSU Pass Interference on #5 D.Coles enforced 15 yards from the TOL35 to the TOL50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Bryant Koback run for 6 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK)

4th & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -3.87

Carter Bradley run for 4 yds to the NflkS 2

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Juwan Carter run for 4 yds to the Toled 26

1st & 10Interception+15 ydsPPA -4.34

Juwan Carter pass intercepted for a 1ST down TOLEDO Penalty, Personal Foul (Samuel Womack) to the Toled 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+84 ydsPPA +6.58

Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Maddox for 84 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Rayquan Smith run for no gain to the NflkS 27 TOLEDO Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Samuel Womack) to the NflkS 32

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -4.00

J.J. Davis run for no gain to the Toled 9

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Jacquez Stuart run for 1 yd to the Toled 10

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Dequan Finn run for 3 yds to the Toled 13

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Justin Smith at the Toled 35

4th & 12Field Goal Good+32 yds

Josh Nardone 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Jacquez Stuart run for 15 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK)

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ryan Richter punt for 32 yds, downed at the Toled 38

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.29

Jordan Lowe run for a loss of 3 yards to the NflkS 39

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Cameryn Brent run for 9 yds to the Toled 49

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.93

Rayquan Smith run for 1 yd to the Toled 48 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Norfolk State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
7 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Toledo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
60%
5 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play