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← Back to GamesSep 2, 2021Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ball State by 23.8

Home Win Probability

Ball State 91%

Market (consensus)

Ball State -31

Edge: Western Illinois +31 (7.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 2, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western Illinois
077721
Ball StateBall State
70141031

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-714-721-1428-1431-1431-21
Ball StateWestern Illinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WIBSWIBSWIBSWIBSWIBSWIBSWIBSBSWIBSWIBSWIBSWIBSWIBSWIBSPUNT34ydPUNT38ydPUNT33ydTD668ydDOWNS655ydPUNT77ydPUNT518ydPUNT934ydPUNT615ydPUNT34ydTD1396ydTO14ydPUNT3-3ydEND14ydTD1068ydTD175ydTD469ydPUNT746ydPUNT524ydTO10ydPUNT516ydPUNT39ydTD567ydDOWNS950ydFG857ydTD775ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Illinois and Ball State
StatisticWestern IllinoisBall State
Passing30-4317-28
Pass Yards367188
Rush Yards70216
Total Yards437404
Turnovers11
3rd Down3-135-15
Penalties7-735-26
Possession31:0228:58

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Illinois
passing
Connor Sampson
30/43, 367 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Myles Wanza
8 CAR, 37 YDS
receiving
Dennis Houston
12 REC, 237 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Ball State
passing
Drew Plitt
17/28, 188 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Will Jones
18 CAR, 93 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Justin Hall
8 REC, 137 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Connor Sampson pass complete to Tony Tate for 2 yds to the WIll 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the WIll 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Connor Sampson pass incomplete to Dallas Daniels

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Adam Fellner punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Justin Hall run for 1 yd to the BalSt 17

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Will Jones run for 8 yds to the BalSt 25

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Will Jones run for 1 yd to the BalSt 26

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Tony Tate at the WIll 28

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the WIll 31

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Ludovick Choquette run for no gain to the WIll 31

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Connor Sampson pass incomplete to Dallas Daniels

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Adam Fellner punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 7 yds to the BalSt 39

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.66

Drew Plitt run for 5 yds to the BalSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Will Jones run for 5 yds to the BalSt 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 2 yds to the WIll 49

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +4.97

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 49 yds for a TD (Jake Chanove KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Gaej Walker run for no gain to the WIll 10

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Connor Sampson pass incomplete, broken up by Nic Jones for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Connor Sampson pass complete to Gaej Walker for 5 yds to the BalSt 36

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Connor Sampson pass incomplete to Jaylen Reed

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Connor Sampson pass complete to Gaej Walker for 4 yds to the BalSt 32

4th & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.41

Connor Sampson pass complete to Tony Tate for 3 yds to the BalSt 35

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Justin Hall run for 4 yds to the BalSt 39

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Donny Marcus run for 4 yds to the BalSt 43

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Drew Plitt run for 1 yd to the BalSt 44

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.03

Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin Hall

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 4 yds to the BalSt 49

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tony Tate at the WIll 18

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Myles Wanza run for 6 yds to the WIll 24

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.61

Connor Sampson pass complete to Ludovick Choquette for 7 yds to the WIll 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Gaej Walker run for no gain to the WIll 31

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Connor Sampson run for 5 yds to the WIll 36

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Connor Sampson pass incomplete to Dennis Houston

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Adam Fellner punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Justin Hall at the BalSt 28

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Will Jones run for 3 yds to the BalSt 31

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler

3rd & 7Penalty+10 yds

Plitt,Drew sacked for loss of 6 yards to the BSU25 (Preston,Eryk) PENALTY WIU Holding (Francisco,Akil) 10 yards from BSU31 to BSU41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Will Jones run for 8 yds to the BalSt 49

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.34

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler

3rd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.64

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 8 yds to the WIll 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.56

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 14 yds to the WIll 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 6 yds to the WIll 23

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler

3rd & 4Penalty-15 yds

Plitt,Drew pass complete to Hall,Justin for 3 yards to the WIU20 (Francisco,Akil) PENALTY BSU Chop Block 15 yards from WIU23 to WIU38. NO PLAY.

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin Hall

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Drew Plitt punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WIll 5

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Myles Wanza run for 7 yds to the WIll 12

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Myles Wanza run for 1 yd to the WIll 13

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.36

Connor Sampson run for 2 yds to the WIll 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Connor Sampson pass incomplete to Dennis Houston

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Connor Sampson pass complete to Mason Sikes for 5 yds to the WIll 20

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Connor Sampson pass incomplete to Tony Tate

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Adam Fellner punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Justin Hall at the BalSt 46

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the BalSt 47

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Tony Tate at the WIll 4

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Connor Sampson pass complete to Dennis Houston for 7 yds to the WIll 11

2nd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.29

Connor Sampson pass complete to Dallas Daniels for 10 yds to the WIll 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.72

Connor Sampson pass complete to Gaej Walker for 10 yds to the WIll 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Connor Sampson pass complete to Dennis Houston for 5 yds to the WIll 36

2nd & 5Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.15

Connor Sampson pass complete to Dennis Houston for 21 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Connor Sampson pass incomplete to Nathan Karsjens

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Connor Sampson pass complete to Dallas Daniels for 5 yds to the BalSt 38

3rd & 5Penalty0 yds

Sampson,Connor pass incomplete PENALTY WIU Holding offsetting BSU Holding offsetting. NO PLAY.

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.38

Connor Sampson pass complete to Dallas Daniels for 7 yds to the BalSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Tony Tate run for no gain to the BalSt 31

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.80

Connor Sampson pass complete to Jaylen Reed for no gain to the BalSt 31

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Connor Sampson pass complete to Dallas Daniels for 8 yds to the BalSt 23

4th & 2Penalty+6 yds

Laramie,Mason field goal attempt from 39 yards NO GOOD, clock 02:31 PENALTY BSU Illegal Formation (Ward,Jordan) 6 yards from BSU23 to BSU17, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.64

Connor Sampson pass complete to Dennis Houston for 16 yds to the BalSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Tony Tate run for 1 yd for a TD (Mason Laramie KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+4 yds

WESTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, Lawson,Michael at BSU35, End Of Play PENALTY UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jalen Powe) to the BalSt 35

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

WESTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, Lawson,Michael at BSU35, End Of Play PENALTY UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jalen Powe) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

WESTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, Lawson,Michael at BSU35, End Of Play PENALTY UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jalen Powe) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.79

Connor Sampson sacked by Tavion Woodard for a loss of 3 yards to the WIll 47

2nd & 13Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.46

Connor Sampson sacked by Tavion Woodard for a loss of 7 yards to the WIll 40

3rd & 20Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.14

Myles Wanza run for 7 yds to the WIll 47

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Adam Fellner punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

PENALTY BSU False Start (Rudy,Cody). NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

PENALTY BSU False Start (Turner,Jaylen). NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Drew Plitt run for 4 yds to the BalSt 5

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Will Jones run for 14 yds to the BalSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Justin Hall run for 5 yds to the WIll 49

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Will Jones run for 3 yds to the WIll 46

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Will Jones run for 1 yd to the WIll 45

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.02

Drew Plitt run for 1 yd to the WIll 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Donny Marcus run for 4 yds to the WIll 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.71

Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 10 yds to the WIll 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Donny Marcus run for 9 yds to the WIll 21

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Donny Marcus run for no gain to the WIll 21

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.78

Will Jones run for 21 yds for a TD (Jake Chanove KICK)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Connor Sampson pass complete to Dennis Houston for 75 yds for a TD (Mason Laramie KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Will Jones run for 3 yds to the BalSt 34

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Will Jones run for 4 yds to the BalSt 38

3rd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.41

Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 14 yds to the WIll 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +3.69

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 48 yds for a TD (Jake Chanove KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Myles Wanza run for 8 yds to the WIll 25

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.38

Connor Sampson pass complete to Dennis Houston for 8 yds to the WIll 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Connor Sampson pass complete to Ludovick Choquette for 5 yds to the WIll 38

2nd & 5Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.18

Ludovick Choquette run for 23 yds to the BalSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Connor Sampson pass incomplete to Nathan Karsjens

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Myles Wanza run for 2 yds to the BalSt 37

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Connor Sampson pass incomplete to Ludovick Choquette

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Connor Sampson punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Will Jones run for 1 yd to the BalSt 3

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Will Jones run for 2 yds to the BalSt 5

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Plitt,Drew pass incomplete PENALTY WIU Pass Interference (Francisco,Akil) 15 yards from BSU05 to BSU20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Justin Hall run for 4 yds to the BalSt 24

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Will Jones run for 2 yds to the BalSt 26

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Donny Marcus

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Michael Lawson at the WIll 40

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.24

Connor Sampson pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Will Jones run for 2 yds to the BalSt 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.80

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 11 yds to the WIll 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin Hall

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY BSU False Start 5 yards from WIU46 to BSU49. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Drew Plitt pass complete to Donny Marcus for 3 yds to the WIll 48

3rd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 5 yds to the WIll 43

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Michael Lawson at the WIll 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Connor Sampson pass complete to Nathan Karsjens for 4 yds to the WIll 19

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Myles Wanza run for 5 yds to the WIll 24

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Connor Sampson pass incomplete to Nathan Karsjens

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Adam Fellner punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Justin Hall at the BalSt 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 1 yd to the BalSt 34

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

WESTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (JJ Ross) to the WIll 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Will Jones run for 7 yds to the WIll 37

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +2.91

Carson Steele run for 37 yds for a TD (Jake Chanove KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Myles Wanza run for 1 yd to the WIll 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.10

Connor Sampson pass complete to Dennis Houston for 16 yds to the WIll 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.09

Connor Sampson pass complete to Dennis Houston for 13 yds to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Connor Sampson pass complete to Ludovick Choquette for 9 yds to the BalSt 36

2nd & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Connor Sampson pass complete to Dennis Houston for 2 yds to the BalSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Connor Sampson run for 7 yds to the BalSt 27

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Ludovick Choquette run for no gain to the BalSt 27

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Ludovick Choquette run for 2 yds to the BalSt 25

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.35

Connor Sampson pass incomplete to Dallas Daniels

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the BalSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.24

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 9 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the BalSt 40

2nd & 8Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.88

Carson Steele run for 33 yds to the WIll 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Will Jones run for 5 yds to the WIll 22

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Will Jones run for 3 yds to the WIll 19

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the WIll 18

4th & 1Field Goal Good+35 yds

Jake Chanove 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor Sampson pass incomplete to Daniel Bender

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Connor Sampson pass complete to Ludovick Choquette for 9 yds to the WIll 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.69

Connor Sampson pass complete to Dennis Houston for 22 yds to the BalSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Connor Sampson pass complete to Dallas Daniels for 9 yds to the BalSt 35

2nd & 1Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.54

Connor Sampson pass complete to Daniel Bender for 34 yds to the BalSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush+2 yds

Ludovick Choquette run for 2 yds to the BalSt 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Connor Sampson pass complete to Dennis Houston for 3 yds for a TD (Mason Laramie KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.31

run for a loss of 2 yards to the WIll 43

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIll 44

Situational Analysis

Western Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
52%
27 plays
2nd
57%
7 plays
80%
5 plays
50%
10 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays

Ball State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
37%
27 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
25%
8 plays
33%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
56%
9 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays