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← Back to GamesOct 23, 2021Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ball State by 9.1

Home Win Probability

Ball State 69%

Market (consensus)

Ball State -3.5

Edge: Ball State -3.5 (5.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 23, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Miami (OH)Miami (OH)
1060824
Ball StateBall State
737017

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-1010-1010-1617-1617-24
Ball StateMiami (OH)

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BSM(BSM(BSM(BSM(BSM(M(BSM(BSM(BSM(BSM(BSM(TD775ydPUNT39ydTO410ydTD546ydPUNT33ydFG849ydFG1454ydTD1375ydPUNT522ydEND20ydPUNT419ydTD867ydPUNT414ydPUNT1033ydTD1291ydPUNT522ydPUNT316ydPUNT33ydFG846ydTO748ydEND48yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Miami (OH) and Ball State
StatisticMiami (OH)Ball State
Passing21-2522-34
Pass Yards234227
Rush Yards126100
Total Yards360327
Turnovers02
3rd Down5-126-14
Penalties8-806-68
Possession34:3225:28

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Miami (OH)
passing
Brett Gabbert
20/24, 207 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Tyre Shelton
14 CAR, 46 YDS
receiving
Jack Sorenson
8 REC, 138 YDS
defense
Ball State
passing
Drew Plitt
22/34, 227 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Carson Steele
11 CAR, 49 YDS
receiving
Jayshon Jackson
8 REC, 121 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 12 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Plitt,Drew pass incomplete to Tyler,Yo'Heinz PENALTY MIA Pass Interference (Boswell,Cedric) 15 yards from BSU37 to MIA48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Drew Plitt pass complete to Cody Rudy for 4 yds to the MiaOh 44

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Justin Hall run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 47

3rd & 9Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.18

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 38 yds to the MiaOh 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Will Jones run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 7

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 1 yd to the MiaOh 6

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 6 yds for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaylon Bester run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 6 yds to the MiaOh 32

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Tyre Shelton run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 33

4th & 1Punt+7 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 53 yds , Justin Hall returns for 7 yds to the BalSt 21

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the BalSt 26

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the BalSt 29

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.08

Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the BalSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MIAMI OH Penalty, Kimpler,Ben at BSU31 Kimpler,Ben return UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ivan Pace Jr.) to the BalSt 46

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Kevin Davis run for 11 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.65

Jalen Walker pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 27 yds to the BalSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kenny Tracy run for 5 yds to the BalSt 3

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the BalSt 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Andrew Homer for 3 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin Hall

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Drew Plitt run for 3 yds to the BalSt 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 9 yds to the BalSt 48

2nd & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.09

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 10 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the BalSt 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.77

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 19 yds to the BalSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kenny Tracy run for 4 yds to the BalSt 12

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MIA False Start (Paulson,Derek) 5 yards from BSU12 to BSU17. NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Keyon Mozee run for 9 yds to the BalSt 8

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the BalSt 8

4th & 2Field Goal Good+26 yds

Graham Nicholson 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Carson Steele run for 8 yds to the BalSt 43

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Carson Steele run for 6 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.73

Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 11 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 37

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Drew Plitt run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 31

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

Will Jones run for no gain to the MiaOh 31

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.29

Drew Plitt run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Justin Hall run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 29

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Jayshon Jackson run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 21

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.18

Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.42

Drew Plitt sacked by Sterling Weatherford for a loss of 9 yards to the MiaOh 28

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin Hall

3rd & 19Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.89

Will Jones run for 17 yds to the MiaOh 11

4th & 2Field Goal Good+29 yds

Jake Chanove 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Tyre Shelton run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 13 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 11 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Mac Hippenhammer

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kevin Davis run for 4 yds to the BalSt 48

3rd & 6Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.63

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 24 yds to the BalSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Tyre Shelton run for 9 yds to the BalSt 15

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Tyre Shelton run for 2 yds to the BalSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the BalSt 10

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 4 yds to the BalSt 6

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.19

Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the BalSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Tyre Shelton run for 2 yds to the BalSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd for a TD, (Graham Nicholson PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 6 yds to the BalSt 27

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 7 yds to the BalSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 6 yds to the BalSt 40

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Drew Plitt run for 3 yds to the BalSt 43

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 56 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Brett Gabbert run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 2

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.14

run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 1

0th & 9End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.62

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 31 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Tyre Shelton run for 2 yds to the BalSt 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 1 yd to the BalSt 48

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-13 ydsPPA -1.61

Brett Gabbert sacked by Christian Albright for a loss of 13 yards to the MiaOh 39 Brett Gabbert fumbled, recovered by MiaOh Brett Gabbert , return for 0 yards

4th & 22Punt+17 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 45 yds , Justin Hall returns for 17 yds to the BalSt 33

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the BalSt 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Drew Plitt pass complete to Cody Rudy for 5 yds to the BalSt 41

3rd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.11

Drew Plitt pass complete to Carson Steele for 12 yds to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Plitt,Drew pass incomplete to Steele,Carson PENALTY MIA Personal Foul (Hilton,Kobe) 15 yards from MIA47 to MIA32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.28

Carson Steele run for 14 yds to the MiaOh 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 5 yds to the MiaOh 13

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.30

Justin Hall run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+2 yds

Will Jones run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 11 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the BalSt 48

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Brett Gabbert run for 3 yds to the BalSt 45

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Tyre Shelton run for 1 yd to the BalSt 44

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 24 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.63

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 20 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the BalSt 39

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler

3rd & 11Rush+14 ydsPPA +3.14

Drew Plitt run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, Defensive Holding (Cedric Boswell) to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Will Jones run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 45

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 24

2nd & 8Penalty-15 yds

BALL ST Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the MiaOh 42

3rd & 26Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY BSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from MIA42 to MIA47. NO PLAY.

3rd & 31Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Will Jones

4th & 31Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jalen Walker at the MiaOh 9

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.55

Keyon Mozee run for 13 yds to the MiaOh 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+43 ydsPPA +3.30

Keyon Mozee run for 28 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Brett Anderson II) to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 6 yds to the BalSt 29

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Keyon Mozee run for 5 yds to the BalSt 34

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 4 yds to the BalSt 30

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MIA False Start (Nank,Peter) 5 yards from BSU30 to BSU35. NO PLAY.

4th & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.97

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 14 yds to the BalSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Brett Gabbert run for 7 yds to the BalSt 14

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Tyre Shelton run for 2 yds to the BalSt 12

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.16

Tyre Shelton run for 3 yds to the BalSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 3 yds to the BalSt 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Kenny Tracy

3rd & 6Penalty0 yds

BALL ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 7 yds to the BalSt 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 8 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Drew Plitt pass complete to Cody Rudy for 7 yds to the BalSt 47

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.30

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jalen Walker at the MiaOh 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack Sorenson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyre Shelton run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 13

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

Gabbert,Brett pass complete to Hippenhammer,Mac for 22 yards to the MIA35 (Uzodinma,Amechi), out of bounds PENALTY MIA Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Shaffer,Caleb) 5 yards from MIA13 to MIA08. NO PLAY.

3rd & 17Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.16

Tyre Shelton run for 13 yds to the MiaOh 21

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Hassan Littles at the BalSt 38

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Justin Hall run for no gain to the BalSt 38

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Cody Rudy

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Drew Plitt pass complete to Will Jones for 3 yds to the BalSt 41

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jalen Walker at the MiaOh 21

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyre Shelton run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 26

2nd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.68

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 16 yds to the MiaOh 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 6 yds to the BalSt 49

3rd & 1Penalty+13 yds

Gabbert,Brett pass incomplete to Paulson,Derek, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY BSU Pass Interference (Uzodinma,Amechi) 13 yards from BSU49 to BSU36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Tyre Shelton run for 1 yd to the BalSt 35

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

Gabbert,Brett rush for 11 yards gain to the BSU24, End Of Play PENALTY MIA Holding (Vaughan,Sam) 10 yards from BSU35 to BSU45. NO PLAY.

2nd & 19Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.54

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Devon Dorsey for 12 yds to the BalSt 33

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Mac Hippenhammer

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+51 yds

Graham Nicholson 51 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.82

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 20 yds to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 7 yds to the MiaOh 40

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Will Jones run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 9 yds to the MiaOh 24

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.42

Will Jones run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.03

Drew Plitt pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Tyre Shelton run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 28

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.14

run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 29

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 28

Situational Analysis

Miami (OH)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
28 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
0%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Ball State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
26 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
44%
9 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play