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← Back to GamesDec 11, 2021Week 15
NavyNavy
17
-Final
13
ArmyArmy

House Prediction

Model Margin

Army by 24.5

Home Win Probability

Army 93%

Market (consensus)

Army +7

Edge: Army +7 (31.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 11, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NavyNavy
707317
ArmyArmy
1030013

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40147-77-107-1314-1317-13
ArmyNavy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ARMNAVARMNAVARMNAVARMNAVARMNAVNAVARMNAVARMNAVARMNAVARMNAVTD475ydTD1183ydFG1261ydPUNT36ydPUNT37ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-12ydMISS530ydFG849ydEND1-1ydTD1074ydPUNT31ydPUNT615ydPUNT511ydFG1549ydPUNT624ydPUNT34ydDOWNS721ydEND3-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Navy and Army
StatisticNavyArmy
Passing4-67-16
Pass Yards82108
Rush Yards196124
Total Yards278232
Turnovers00
3rd Down6-154-12
Penalties5-402-10
Possession34:2525:35

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Navy
passing
Tai Lavatai
4/6, 82 YDS
rushing
Tai Lavatai
20 CAR, 62 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Mychal Cooper
1 REC, 28 YDS
defense
Army
passing
Christian Anderson
7/15, 108 YDS
rushing
Christian Anderson
9 CAR, 67 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Isaiah Alston
1 REC, 35 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyrell Robinson run for 3 yds to the Army 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.47

Christian Anderson pass complete to Cole Caterbone for 14 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Army 44

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +4.11

Christian Anderson run for 56 yds for a TD (Cole Talley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Carlinos Acie run for 1 yd to the Navy 18

2nd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.00

Carlinos Acie run for 13 yds to the Navy 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.21

Xavier Arline run for 10 yds to the Navy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Carlinos Acie run for 1 yd to the Navy 42

2nd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.39

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Mark Walker for 18 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tai Lavatai run for 3 yds to the Army 37

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Isaac Ruoss run for 2 yds to the Army 35

3rd & 5Rush+27 ydsPPA +3.41

Jayden Umbarger run for 27 yds to the Army 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Maquel Haywood run for no gain to the Army 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete to Mychal Cooper

3rd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +7.27

Tai Lavatai run for 8 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Brandon Walters, broken up by Michael McMorris

2nd & 10Pass Reception+35 yds

Christian Anderson pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 35 yds to the Navy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Tyrell Robinson run for 1 yd to the Navy 39

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the Navy 36

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.07

Tyrell Robinson run for 7 yds to the Navy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Christian Anderson run for 2 yds to the Navy 27

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Anthony Adkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 28

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.27

Christian Anderson pass complete to Cade Barnard for 12 yds to the Navy 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Anthony Adkins run for 3 yds to the Navy 13

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Tyhier Tyler run for no gain to the Navy 13

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

ARMY Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Navy 18

3rd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Tyrell Robinson run for 4 yds to the Navy 14

4th & 8Field Goal Good+31 yds

Cole Talley 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Carlinos Acie run for 1 yd to the Navy 16

2nd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.84

Tai Lavatai sacked by Nolan Cockrill for a loss of 4 yards to the Navy 12

3rd & 13Rush+9 yds

Carlinos Acie run for 9 yds to the Navy 21

4th & 4Punt+11 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 48 yds , Tyrell Robinson returns for 11 yds to the Army 42

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Army 44

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the Army 45

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Christian Anderson run for 4 yds to the Army 49

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Zach Harding punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 1

1st & 10Rush+3 yds

James Harris II run for 3 yds to the Navy 4

2nd & 7Rush+2 yds

Tai Lavatai run for 2 yds to the Navy 6

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Maquel Haywood run for 2 yds to the Navy 8

4th & 3Punt-2 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 38 yds , Cameron Jones returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 48

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ARMY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Army 47

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Isaiah Alston

2nd & 15Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.44

Christian Anderson sacked by Nicholas Straw for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 43

3rd & 19Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.78

Christian Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 40

4th & 22Punt+22 yds

Zach Harding punt for 48 yds , Chance Warren returns for 22 yds to the Navy 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.88

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Mychal Cooper for 28 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Maquel Haywood run for 6 yds to the Army 32

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Carlinos Acie run for 1 yd to the Army 31

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Army 36

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+53 yds

Bijan Nichols 53 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Army 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.09

Christian Anderson pass complete to Michael Roberts for 8 yds to the Navy 46 for a 1ST down NAVY Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Navy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Christian Anderson run for 1 yd to the Navy 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.78

Christian Anderson pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 23 yds to the Navy 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Navy 13

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Navy 11

3rd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyhier Tyler run for a loss of 4 yards to the Navy 15

4th & 10Field Goal Good+32 yds

Cole Talley 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tai Lavatai run for 5 yds to the Navy 31

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.74

Carlinos Acie run for no gain to the Navy 31

3rd & 5Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.47

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Maquel Haywood for 24 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Tai Lavatai run for 3 yds to the Army 42

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.44

Isaac Ruoss run for 8 yds to the Army 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Carlinos Acie run for 2 yds to the Army 32

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Isaac Ruoss run for 3 yds to the Army 29

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Tai Lavatai run for 1 yd to the Army 28

4th & 4Rush+26 ydsPPA +3.57

Chance Warren run for 26 yds to the Army 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +5.74

Tai Lavatai run for 2 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Tyrell Robinson run for 1 yd to the Army 26

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.62

Anthony Adkins run for no gain to the Army 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Tyrell Robinson

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Zach Harding punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Chance Warren at the Navy 36

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Isaac Ruoss run for 4 yds to the Navy 40

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tai Lavatai run for 5 yds to the Navy 45

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.05

Isaac Ruoss run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Tai Lavatai run for 1 yd to the Army 49

2nd & 9Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.98

Jayden Umbarger run for a loss of 7 yards to the Navy 44

3rd & 16Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.51

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Chance Warren for 12 yds to the Army 44

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Army 49

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 30 yds, downed at the Army 19

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Jakobi Buchanan run for 7 yds to the Army 26

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the Army 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyson Riley run for 2 yds to the Army 31

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Tyhier Tyler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 30

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Isaiah Alston

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Zach Harding punt for 45 yds , Chance Warren returns for no gain to the Navy 25

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Tai Lavatai run for 6 yds to the Navy 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Isaac Ruoss run for 2 yds to the Navy 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Tai Lavatai run for 1 yd to the Navy 34

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.56

Diego Fagot run for 4 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Carlinos Acie run for 6 yds to the Navy 44

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Isaac Ruoss run for 3 yds to the Navy 47

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.01

Tai Lavatai run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.79

Tai Lavatai run for 13 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tai Lavatai run for no gain to the Army 37

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Tai Lavatai run for 6 yds to the Army 31

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Isaac Ruoss run for 4 yds to the Army 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Isaac Ruoss run for 2 yds to the Army 25

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Maquel Haywood run for 1 yd to the Army 24

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Tai Lavatai run for 3 yds to the Army 21

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Army 26

4th & 9Field Goal Good+43 yds

Bijan Nichols 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Christian Anderson run for 6 yds to the Army 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyrell Robinson run for 3 yds to the Army 34

3rd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.73

Jakobi Buchanan run for 13 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Tyrell Robinson, broken up by Eavan Gibbons

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Tyrell Robinson run for 2 yds to the Army 49

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Tyrell Robinson pass incomplete to Jabari Moore

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Zach Harding punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 16

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Tai Lavatai run for 2 yds to the Navy 18

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Tai Lavatai run for 3 yds to the Navy 21

3rd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.81

Tai Lavatai run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 20

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 47 yds, downed at the Army 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Christian Anderson pass complete to Cole Caterbone for 9 yds to the Army 42

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Tyrell Robinson

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.82

Christian Anderson run for 3 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Isaiah Alston

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Ay'Juan Marshall, broken up by Rayuan Lane

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Christian Anderson pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 7 yds to the Navy 48

4th & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.75

Christian Anderson run for 2 yds to the Navy 46

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 45

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.25

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 44

3rd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.05

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 42

Situational Analysis

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
33%
21 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
36%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Army

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
18%
17 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
31%
13 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play