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← Back to GamesNov 20, 2021Week 12
SMUSMU
14
-Final
48
CincinnatiCincinnati
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Cincinnati by 21

Home Win Probability

Cincinnati 90%

Market (consensus)

Cincinnati -10

Edge: Cincinnati -10 (11.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 20, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
SMUSMU
0001414
CincinnatiCincinnati
141314748

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-020-027-034-041-048-048-748-14
CincinnatiSMU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SMUCINSMUCINSMUCINSMUCINSMUCINSMUCINSMUCINSMUCINSMUCINSMUCINSMUCINSMUCINPUNT39ydTD153ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT33ydPUNT3-2ydTD625ydTO1053ydTD678ydPUNT3-3ydTD871ydPUNT3-6ydMISS69ydPUNT33ydMISS646ydEND29ydTD792ydTO3-9ydTD842ydMISS1033ydTD1274ydTD663ydDOWNS721ydTD946ydEND26yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing SMU and Cincinnati
StatisticSMUCincinnati
Passing15-2621-30
Pass Yards66295
Rush Yards133249
Total Yards199544
Turnovers10
3rd Down2-116-13
Penalties3-2712-82
Possession24:3935:21

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

SMU
passing
Tanner Mordecai
15/26, 66 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Ulysses Bentley IV
11 CAR, 68 YDS
receiving
Rashee Rice
7 REC, 21 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Cincinnati
passing
Desmond Ridder
17/23, 274 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Jerome Ford
20 CAR, 82 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tre Tucker
7 REC, 114 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 6 yds to the SMU 31

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

SMU Penalty, False Start (Beau Morris) to the SMU 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 6 yds to the SMU 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 2 yds to the SMU 34

4th & 1Punt+22 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 41 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 22 yds to the Cincy 47

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +4.10

Tyler Scott 53 Yd pass from Desmond Ridder (Alex Bales Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 1 yd to the SMU 26

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 1 yd to the SMU 27

3rd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.35

Tanner Mordecai sacked by Curtis Brooks for a loss of 7 yards to the SMU 20

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jerome Ford run for 3 yds to the Cincy 43

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Desmond Ridder run for no gain to the Cincy 43

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Tyler Scott

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Reggie Roberson Jr. at the SMU 15

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Tre Siggers run for 6 yds to the SMU 21

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.

3rd & 4Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -0.41

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for a loss of 8 yards to the SMU 13

4th & 12Blocked Punt+12 yds

Brendan Hall punt blocked by Wilson Huber blocked by Wilson Huber

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Jerome Ford run for 1 yd to the SMU 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 10 yds to the SMU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 3 yds to the SMU 11

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jerome Ford run for 5 yds to the SMU 6

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.90

Jerome Ford run for 2 yds to the SMU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Jerome Ford 4 Yd Run (Alex Bales Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 10 yds to the SMU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Tre Siggers run for 7 yds to the SMU 42

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.35

Tre Siggers run for 4 yds to the SMU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for 6 yds to the Cincy 48

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.40

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 4 yds to the Cincy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 7 yds to the Cincy 37

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete, broken up by Deshawn Pace

3rd & 3Penalty-15 yds

Mordecai, Tanner pass incomplete to Goffney, Dylan, PENALTY SMU illegal block 15 yards to the SMU48, NO PLAY.

3rd & 18Penalty+5 yds

Mordecai, Tanner pass incomplete to Goffney, Dylan, PENALTY CINCINNATI offside (Taylor, Jabari) 5 yards to the CINCINNATI47, NO PLAY.

3rd & 13Rush+13 ydsPPA +3.11

Tanner Mordecai run for 13 yds to the Cincy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 10 yds to the Cincy 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -4.32

Tre Siggers run for 2 yds to the Cincy 22 Tre Siggers fumbled, forced by Coby Bryant, recovered by Cincy Marcus Brown

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Ryan Montgomery run for 4 yds to the Cincy 26

2nd & 6Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.61

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tyler Scott for 25 yds to the SMU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 3 yds to the SMU 46

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Ryan Montgomery run for 1 yd to the SMU 45

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 5 yds to the SMU 40

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +4.95

Desmond Ridder 40 Yd Run (Alex Bales PAT failed)

4th & 0Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SMU 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 3 yds to the SMU 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 1 yd to the SMU 29

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.49

Tanner Mordecai sacked by Wilson Huber for a loss of 7 yards to the SMU 22

4th & 13Punt+3 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 52 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 3 yds to the Cincy 29

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Desmond Ridder run for 6 yds to the Cincy 35

2nd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.22

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tyler Scott for 11 yds to the Cincy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec Pierce

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jerome Ford run for 6 yds to the SMU 48

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.73

Jerome Ford run for 6 yds to the SMU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.63

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 19 yds to the SMU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Jerome Ford run for 6 yds to the SMU 17

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.47

Alec Pierce 17 Yd pass from Desmond Ridder (Alex Bales Kick)

2nd & 4Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Alex Bales kickoff for 65 yds , Bryan Massey return for 12 yds to the SMU 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for 1 yd to the SMU 13

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds to the SMU 15

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.21

Tanner Mordecai sacked by Curtis Brooks for a loss of 9 yards to the SMU 6

4th & 16Punt+27 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 46 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 27 yds to the SMU 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 5 yds to the SMU 20

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jerome Ford run for 5 yds to the SMU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (Jake Renfro) to the SMU 20

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jerome Ford run for 3 yds to the SMU 17

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Leonard Taylor

3rd & 12Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jerome Ford for 1 yd to the SMU 16

4th & 11Blocked Field Goal+8 yds

Alex Bales 34 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Terrance Newman Brandon Crossley return for 8 yds to the SMU 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Rashee Rice

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 3 yds to the SMU 31

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Rashee Rice

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.92

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jerome Ford for 22 yds to the SMU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.78

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 23 yds to the SMU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Tre Tucker, broken up by Chace Cromartie

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Jerome Ford run for 1 yd to the SMU 20

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec Pierce, broken up by Jahari Rogers

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Alex Bales 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tre Siggers run for 5 yds to the SMU 25

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Tre Siggers run for 4 yds to the SMU 29

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Brendan Hall kickoff for 60 yds , Tre Tucker return for 12 yds to the Cincy 17 CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive Holding (Will Adams) to the Cincy 8

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jerome Ford run for 5 yds to the Cincy 13

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Jerome Ford run for 10 yds to the Cincy 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.26

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 15 yds to the Cincy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tyler Scott for 6 yds to the Cincy 44

2nd & 4Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.36

Ryan Montgomery run for 16 yds to the SMU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.25

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 39 yds to the SMU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty-4 yds

Ford, Jerome rush for 1 yard to the SMU0, PENALTY CINCINNATI false start (Taylor, Leonard) 4 yards to the SMU5, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Desmond Ridder 5 Yd pass from Jordan Jones (Alex Bales Kick)

1st & 15Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Alex Bales kickoff for 65 yds , Bryan Massey return for 14 yds to the SMU 14

1st & 10Penalty-7 yds

Mordecai, Tanner pass incomplete to Rice, Rashee, PENALTY SMU pass interference (Roberson Jr., Reggie) 7 yards to the SMU7, NO PLAY.

1st & 17Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.15

Ulysses Bentley IV run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 5

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Grant Calcaterra

4th & 19Punt+11 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 48 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 11 yds to the SMU 42 Ryan Montgomery fumbled, recovered by Cincy Ryan Montgomery

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Jerome Ford run for 6 yds to the SMU 36

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Josh Whyle, broken up by Jimmy Phillips Jr.

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.15

Jerome Ford run for 8 yds to the SMU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jerome Ford run for 3 yds to the SMU 25

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jerome Ford run for 4 yds to the SMU 21

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jerome Ford run for 2 yds to the SMU 19

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.73

Jerome Ford run for 2 yds to the SMU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Alec Pierce 17 Yd pass from Desmond Ridder (Alex Bales Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 1 yd to the SMU 42

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Austin Upshaw, broken up by Darrian Beavers

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.04

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 14 yds to the Cincy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Tre Siggers run for 12 yds to the Cincy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Tre Siggers run for 6 yds to the Cincy 26

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 5 yds to the Cincy 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Roderick Daniels Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.30

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for a loss of 5 yards to the Cincy 26

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Dylan Goffney

4th & 15Blocked Field Goal+44 yds

Blake Mazza 44 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Arquon Bush

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Evan Prater pass complete to Tyler Scott for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 25

2nd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Charles McClelland run for 9 yds to the Cincy 34

3rd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.96

Charles McClelland run for 11 yds to the Cincy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (Joe Huber) to the Cincy 40

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Evan Prater pass incomplete to Will Pauling

2nd & 15Rush+33 ydsPPA +3.65

Evan Prater run for 33 yds to the SMU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Charles McClelland run for 1 yd to the SMU 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Evan Prater pass incomplete to Charles McClelland

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Evan Prater run for 5 yds to the SMU 21

4th & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.13

Evan Prater pass complete to Will Pauling for 6 yds to the SMU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Ethan Wright run for 3 yds to the SMU 12

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Ethan Wright run for 6 yds to the SMU 6

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (Noah Davis) to the SMU 11

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.91

Jordan Jones 11 Yd pass from Evan Prater (Alex Bales Kick)

3rd & 6Penalty-15 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (James Tunstall) to the Cincy 5

3rd & 36Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Alex Bales kickoff for 73 yds , Bryan Massey return for 15 yds to the SMU 37

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.44

Tre Siggers run for 16 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Tanner Mordecai run for 1 yd to the Cincy 46

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Austin Upshaw, broken up by Bryon Threats

3rd & 9Penalty+13 yds

Mordecai, Tanner pass incomplete to Goffney, Dylan, PENALTY CINCINNATI pass interference (Sheppard, Jaquan) 13 yards to the CINCINNATI33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SMU.

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +1.44

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 30 yds to the Cincy 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Tanner Mordecai run for no gain to the Cincy 3

2nd & 0Penalty+1 yds

Mordecai, Tanner pass incomplete to Rice, Rashee, PENALTY CINCINNATI pass interference (Sheppard, Jaquan) 1 yards to the CINCINNATI2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SMU.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Tre Siggers 2 Yd Run (Blake Mazza Kick)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Ethan Wright run for 7 yds to the Cincy 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Ethan Wright run for 2 yds to the Cincy 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Ethan Wright run for 3 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Evan Prater pass incomplete to Will Pauling

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (Cody Lamb) to the Cincy 32

2nd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Charles McClelland run for 8 yds to the Cincy 40

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Evan Prater run for 6 yds to the Cincy 46

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.82

Ethan Wright run for no gain to the Cincy 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 4 yds to the Cincy 42

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 8 yds to the Cincy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.40

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Beau Barker for 21 yds to the Cincy 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyler Lavine run for 5 yds to the Cincy 8

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Dylan Goffney

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tyler Lavine run for 4 yds to the Cincy 4

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.62

Tyler Lavine run for 2 yds to the Cincy 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Tyler Lavine run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Rashee Rice 3 Yd pass from Tanner Mordecai (Blake Mazza Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Charles McClelland run for 4 yds to the Cincy 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Charles McClelland run for 2 yds to the Cincy 31

Situational Analysis

SMU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
61%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
13%
8 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
52%
27 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
75%
8 plays
44%
9 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play