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← Back to GamesNov 13, 2021Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Memphis by 3

Home Win Probability

Memphis 57%

Market (consensus)

Memphis -4

Edge: East Carolina +4 (1.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 13, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
East CarolinaEast Carolina
7907730
MemphisMemphis
7673629

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-77-107-1313-1620-1620-2323-23
MemphisEast Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MEMECMEMECMEMECMEMECMEMECMEMECMEMECMEMECMEMECMEMMEMPUNT620ydTO516ydTD333ydTD1275ydPUNT614ydFG965ydPUNT36ydFG1965ydTD275ydFG1372ydEND1-1ydDOWNS1341ydTO34ydTO535ydTD880ydPUNT1127ydPUNT517ydTD1675ydFG1569ydTD225yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing East Carolina and Memphis
StatisticEast CarolinaMemphis
Passing29-4615-28
Pass Yards313233
Rush Yards189108
Total Yards502341
Turnovers21
3rd Down18-264-11
Penalties3-272-20
Possession42:4717:13

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

East Carolina
passing
Holton Ahlers
29/46, 313 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Keaton Mitchell
17 CAR, 81 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tyler Snead
13 REC, 113 YDS
defense
Memphis
passing
Seth Henigan
15/26, 233 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Seth Henigan
12 CAR, 61 YDS
receiving
Eddie Lewis
3 REC, 93 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.86

Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 13 yds to the Memph 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Rodrigues Clark run for 2 yds to the Memph 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Seth Henigan pass complete to Rodrigues Clark for 1 yd to the Memph 37

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Seth Henigan run for 4 yds to the Memph 41

4th & 3Punt+4 yds

Joe Doyle punt for 56 yds , Tyler Snead returns for 4 yds to the ECaro 7

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Keaton Mitchell run for 1 yd to the ECaro 8

2nd & 9Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.05

Holton Ahlers run for 17 yds to the ECaro 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Keaton Mitchell run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.21

Holton Ahlers pass intercepted return for no gain to the ECaro 33

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 38

1st & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Seth Henigan pass complete to Sean Dykes for 5 yds to the ECaro 33

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Brandon Thomas run for 2 yds to the ECaro 31

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +4.00

Seth Henigan pass complete to Asa Martin for 31 yds for a TD, (David Kemp KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the ECaro 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.48

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 10 yds to the ECaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 11 yds to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the Memph 48

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Holton Ahlers run for 5 yds to the Memph 43

3rd & 1Penalty+15 yds

MEMPHIS Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Memph 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the Memph 10

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the Memph 6

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.65

Rahjai Harris run for 5 yds to the Memph 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Holton Ahlers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 2

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Holton Ahlers run for 2 yds for a TD, (Owen Daffer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Seth Henigan run for 4 yds to the Memph 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Seth Henigan run for 2 yds to the Memph 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.56

Seth Henigan pass complete to Khi Mathieu for 6 yds to the Memph 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Seth Henigan run for 2 yds to the Memph 39

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+17 yds

Joe Doyle punt for 49 yds , Tyler Snead returns for 17 yds to the ECaro 29

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Keaton Mitchell run for 4 yds to the ECaro 33

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Holton Ahlers run for no gain to the ECaro 33

3rd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.00

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 19 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.04

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Ryan Jones for 26 yds to the Memph 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.60

Keaton Mitchell run for 16 yds to the Memph 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Keaton Mitchell run for no gain to the Memph 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Owen Daffer 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Brandon Thomas run for 2 yds to the Memph 24

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Brandon Thomas run for 1 yd to the Memph 25

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Brandon Thomas run for 3 yds to the Memph 28

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Joe Doyle punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

AHLERS, Holton pass to the left complete for 20 yards to OMOTOSHO, Audie caught at the ECU36 and advanced to the ECU45 (OLIVER, Sylvonta). PENALTY ECU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on JONES, Avery enforced 5 yards from the ECU25 to the ECU20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.41

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 10 yds to the ECaro 30

3rd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Holton Ahlers run for 10 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the ECaro 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.60

Holton Ahlers run for 9 yds to the Memph 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Rahjai Harris for 6 yds to the Memph 43

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the Memph 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.53

Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 7 yds to the Memph 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the Memph 36

3rd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.09

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Ryan Jones for 19 yds to the Memph 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 7 yds to the Memph 10

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.78

Rahjai Harris run for 9 yds to the Memph 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Rahjai Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 2

2nd & 2Sack0 ydsPPA -0.48

Holton Ahlers sacked by Jaylon Allen for 0 yards to the Memph 10

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+29 yds

Owen Daffer 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.78

Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 75 yds for a TD, (David Kemp PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Keaton Mitchell run for 7 yds to the ECaro 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Keaton Mitchell run for 2 yds to the ECaro 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Keaton Mitchell run for 3 yds to the ECaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 5 yds to the ECaro 42

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.02

Holton Ahlers run for 7 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.05

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Audie Omotosho for 19 yds to the Memph 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Ryan Jones for 3 yds to the Memph 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Shane Calhoun for 4 yds to the Memph 25

3rd & 3Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.67

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Ryan Jones for 22 yds to the Memph 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 yds

Owen Daffer 21 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Rahjai Harris run for 6 yds to the ECaro 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the ECaro 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.71

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 8 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Rahjai Harris run for 5 yds to the ECaro 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.96

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 7 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.63

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 11 yds to the Memph 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Holton Ahlers run for 6 yds to the Memph 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 3 yds to the Memph 28

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.34

Holton Ahlers run for 3 yds to the Memph 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.45

Holton Ahlers sacked by CamRon Jackson for 0 yards to the Memph 28

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the Memph 28

3rd & 13Penalty0 yds

EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 13Sack0 ydsPPA -1.72

Holton Ahlers sacked by Morris Joseph and Wardalis Ducksworth for 0 yards to the Memph 34

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Gabriel Rogers run for 2 yds to the Memph 36

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Rodrigues Clark run for 2 yds to the Memph 38

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.57

Seth Henigan pass intercepted return for no gain to the Memph 46

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-11 ydsPPA -3.10

Tyler Snead run for a loss of 11 yards to the ECaro 47 fumbled, recovered by ECaro Tyler Snead

2nd & 17Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.52

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Keaton Mitchell for 39 yds to the Memph 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Keaton Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Memph 12

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Keaton Mitchell run for 1 yd to the Memph 11

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.04

Holton Ahlers pass intercepted, touchback. return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.53

Seth Henigan pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 19 yds to the Memph 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Seth Henigan run for 6 yds to the Memph 45

2nd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.40

Seth Henigan pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 18 yds to the ECaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Rodrigues Clark run for 6 yds to the ECaro 31

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.14

Seth Henigan run for 8 yds to the ECaro 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.34

Seth Henigan pass complete to Sean Dykes for 15 yds to the ECaro 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 8Penalty+6 yds

HENIGAN, Seth pass to the right incomplete intended for MATHIEU, Khi broken up by MCMILLIAN, Ja'Quan at the ECU0. PENALTY ECU Pass Interference on MCMILLIAN, Ja'Quan enforced at the spot of the foul for 6 yards to the ECU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Seth Henigan pass complete to Sean Dykes for 2 yds for a TD, (David Kemp KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Rahjai Harris for 1 yd to the ECaro 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.61

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 11 yds to the ECaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Rahjai Harris run for 8 yds to the ECaro 45

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.36

Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the ECaro 45

3rd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.90

Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 10 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Keaton Mitchell run for 4 yds to the Memph 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.94

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Audie Omotosho for 16 yds to the Memph 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the Memph 24

2nd & 9Sack0 ydsPPA -0.56

Holton Ahlers sacked by Wardalis Ducksworth for 0 yards to the Memph 25

3rd & 10Penalty-16 yds

AHLERS, Holton pass up the middle complete for 5 yards to JONES, Ryan caught at the MEM20 and advanced to the MEM20 (OWENS, Rodney). PENALTY ECU Personal Foul on JONES, Avery enforced 16 yards from the MEM25 to the MEM41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 26Sack0 ydsPPA -0.40

Holton Ahlers sacked by Wardalis Ducksworth for 0 yards to the Memph 48

4th & 33Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Seth Henigan run for 4 yds to the Memph 12

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Asa Martin run for 6 yds to the Memph 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Asa Martin run for 1 yd to the Memph 19

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.28

Seth Henigan pass complete to Sean Dykes for no gain to the Memph 19

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Seth Henigan run for 6 yds to the Memph 25

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Joe Doyle punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Holton Ahlers run for 2 yds to the ECaro 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 7 yds to the ECaro 34

4th & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.04

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 6 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 6 yds to the ECaro 46

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Keaton Mitchell run for 3 yds to the ECaro 49

3rd & 1Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.84

Rahjai Harris run for 16 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.69

Holton Ahlers sacked by Jaylon Allen for 0 yards to the Memph 40

2nd & 15Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.95

Holton Ahlers run for 16 yds to the Memph 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Keaton Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Memph 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 5 yds to the Memph 16

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.23

Keaton Mitchell run for 5 yds to the Memph 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Keaton Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Memph 9

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Keaton Mitchell run for 6 yds to the Memph 3

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.62

Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the Memph 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Owen Daffer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Seth Henigan run for 11 yds to the Memph 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Seth Henigan run for 11 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +4.01

Seth Henigan pass complete to Asa Martin for 23 yds to the ECaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Asa Martin run for 1 yd to the ECaro 29

2nd & 9Sack0 ydsPPA -0.71

Seth Henigan sacked by Immanuel Hickman for 0 yards to the ECaro 31

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Seth Henigan pass complete to Sean Dykes for 10 yds to the ECaro 21

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.84

Seth Henigan run for 5 yds to the ECaro 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.23

Seth Henigan pass complete to Asa Martin for 10 yds to the ECaro 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

David Kemp 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Keaton Mitchell for 1 yd to the Memph 24 Holton Ahlers pass complete to Keaton Mitchell for 1 yd to the Memph 24 Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 5 yds to the ECaro 20

Situational Analysis

East Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
41%
34 plays
2nd
0%
6 plays
27%
11 plays
45%
11 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
92%
12 plays
80%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Memphis

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
35%
20 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
9%
11 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
8 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play