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← Back to GamesOct 22, 2021Week 8
MemphisMemphis
7
-Final
24
UCFUCF
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

UCF by 5.8

Home Win Probability

UCF 67%

Market (consensus)

UCF -1

Edge: UCF -1 (4.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 22, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MemphisMemphis
07007
UCFUCF
1407324

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-721-724-7
UCFMemphis

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UCFMEMUCFUCFMEMUCFMEMUCFMEMUCFMEMUCFMEMMEMUCFMEMUCFMEMUCFMEMUCFMEMUCFMEMUCFMEMUCFTD968ydPUNT1545ydTO35ydTD327ydTD978ydPUNT413ydPUNT30ydPUNT32ydPUNT68ydPUNT32ydDOWNS49ydMISS514ydEND1-5ydPUNT617ydPUNT615ydDOWNS730ydTD664ydPUNT3-7ydFG954ydTO25ydTO31ydTO1273ydPUNT31ydTO334ydPUNT36ydDOWNS860ydEND48yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Memphis and UCF
StatisticMemphisUCF
Passing31-4813-21
Pass Yards21580
Rush Yards77215
Total Yards292295
Turnovers41
3rd Down4-143-12
Penalties4-2511-104
Possession31:5028:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Memphis
passing
Peter Parrish
31/48, 215 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Peter Parrish
22 CAR, 60 YDS
receiving
Calvin Austin III
7 REC, 44 YDS
defense
UCF
passing
Mikey Keene
11/19, 63 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Isaiah Bowser
26 CAR, 111 YDS
receiving
Ryan O'Keefe
6 REC, 41 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Johnny Richardson run for 12 yds to the UCF 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Isaiah Bowser run for 7 yds to the Memph 49

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Ryan O'Keefe run for 8 yds to the Memph 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Memph 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Mikey Keene pass complete to Amari Johnson for 3 yds to the Memph 36

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Mikey Keene pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 8 yds to the Memph 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.23

Isaiah Bowser run for 16 yds to the Memph 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the Memph 11

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.76

Mikey Keene pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 11 yds for a TD (Daniel Obarski KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brandon Thomas run for 5 yds to the Memph 29

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Peter Parrish pass incomplete to Calvin Austin III

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Peter Parrish pass complete to Javon Ivory for 4 yds to the Memph 33

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.79

Peter Parrish run for 4 yds to the Memph 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Brandon Thomas run for 2 yds to the Memph 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.70

Peter Parrish pass complete to Brandon Thomas for 9 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Peter Parrish pass incomplete to Eddie Lewis

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Peter Parrish run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.52

Peter Parrish run for 9 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Parrish, Peter pass incomplete to Dykes, Sean, PENALTY UCF holding (Bethune, Tatum) 10 yards to the UCF31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MEMPHIS.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Brandon Thomas run for 1 yd to the UCF 30

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (Matt Dale) to the UCF 35

2nd & 14Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.61

Peter Parrish sacked by Landon Woodson for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 38

3rd & 17Rush+19 ydsPPA +3.08

Peter Parrish run for 19 yds to the UCF 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (Isaac Ellis) to the UCF 24

1st & 15Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -1.38

Peter Parrish run for a loss of 6 yards to the UCF 30 Peter Parrish fumbled, recovered by Memph Peter Parrish

2nd & 21Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Peter Parrish pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 8 yds to the UCF 22

3rd & 13Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.59

Peter Parrish sacked by Davonte Brown and Tre'mon Morris-Brash for a loss of 9 yards to the UCF 31

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Joe Doyle punt for 31 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the UCF 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Mikey Keene pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 1 yd to the UCF 25

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Andrew Osteen punt for 48 yds , Calvin Austin III returns for no gain to the Memph 27 Calvin Austin III fumbled, recovered by UCF Alex Ward

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.16

Isaiah Bowser run for 10 yds to the Memph 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Memph 13

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.60

Joey Gatewood pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 13 yds for a TD (Daniel Obarski KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.84

Peter Parrish pass complete to Sean Dykes for 11 yds to the Memph 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Peter Parrish run for 8 yds to the Memph 41

2nd & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Peter Parrish pass complete to Brandon Thomas for 2 yds to the Memph 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Peter Parrish pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 2 yds to the Memph 45

2nd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.01

Peter Parrish run for 16 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Peter Parrish pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 5 yds to the UCF 34

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Peter Parrish pass complete to Koby Drake for 7 yds to the UCF 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.32

Peter Parrish pass complete to Roc Taylor for 9 yds to the UCF 18 for a 1ST down UCF Penalty, Face Mask (9 yards) (Jeremiah Jean-Baptiste) to the UCF 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Brandon Thomas run for 9 yds for a TD (Joe Doyle KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Isaiah Bowser run for 10 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Isaiah Bowser run for 5 yds to the UCF 40

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Joey Gatewood run for 1 yd to the UCF 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.99

Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 38

4th & 7Punt+51 yds

Andrew Osteen punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Calvin Austin III at the MEMPHIS 21 MEMPHIS Penalty, Face Mask (10 yards) (Greg Rubin) to the Memph 11

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Peter Parrish pass incomplete to Calvin Austin III

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.14

Peter Parrish run for 1 yd to the Memph 12

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (Matt Dale) to the Memph 7

3rd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Peter Parrish run for 4 yds to the Memph 11

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Joe Doyle punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Titus Mokiao-Atimalala at the UCF 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mikey Keene pass incomplete to Ryan O'Keefe

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Johnny Richardson run for 5 yds to the UCF 48

3rd & 5Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.24

Mikey Keene sacked by Thomas Pickens for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 45

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Andrew Osteen punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Calvin Austin III at the Memph 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Peter Parrish pass complete to Kylan Watkins for 5 yds to the Memph 18

2nd & 5Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Peter Parrish pass complete to Javon Ivory for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 17

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.05

Peter Parrish run for 8 yds to the Memph 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Kylan Watkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 24

2nd & 11Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.39

Peter Parrish sacked by Cam Goode for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 21

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Peter Parrish pass incomplete to Marcayll Jones

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Joe Doyle punt for 50 yds, downed at the UCF 29

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the UCF 29

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Mikey Keene pass complete to Isaiah Bowser for 2 yds to the UCF 31

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Andrew Osteen punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Calvin Austin III at the Memph 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Gabriel Rogers run for 3 yds to the Memph 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Peter Parrish pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Peter Parrish pass complete to Javon Ivory for 6 yds to the Memph 39

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Peter Parrish run for no gain to the Memph 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Memph 35

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Mikey Keene run for 7 yds to the Memph 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Mikey Keene pass complete to Isaiah Bowser for 8 yds to the Memph 20

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Mikey Keene pass incomplete to Brandon Johnson

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Memph 25

3rd & 7Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Daniel Obarski 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Memph 20

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Peter Parrish pass complete to Javon Ivory for 5 yds to the Memph 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Peter Parrish pass incomplete to Sean Dykes

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.78

Peter Parrish run for 8 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Peter Parrish pass incomplete to Calvin Austin III

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Peter Parrish pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 4 yds to the Memph 42

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Peter Parrish pass incomplete to Calvin Austin III

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Joe Doyle punt for 42 yds, downed at the UCF 16

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Isaiah Bowser run for 8 yds to the UCF 24

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.05

Isaiah Bowser run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 22

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.07

Mikey Keene pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 6 yds to the UCF 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Isaiah Bowser run for 5 yds to the UCF 33

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.08

Isaiah Bowser run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 31

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Mikey Keene pass incomplete to Brandon Johnson

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Andrew Osteen punt for 35 yds, downed at the Memph 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Peter Parrish pass complete to Gabriel Rogers for 12 yds to the Memph 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Brandon Thomas run for 2 yds to the Memph 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.51

Peter Parrish pass complete to Roc Taylor for 9 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Gabriel Rogers run for 1 yd to the UCF 42

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Peter Parrish pass incomplete to Sean Dykes

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Peter Parrish pass complete to Gabriel Rogers for 6 yds to the UCF 36

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.16

Peter Parrish pass incomplete to Javon Ivory

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Isaiah Bowser run for 7 yds to the UCF 43

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.34

Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the UCF 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Isaiah Bowser run for 9 yds to the Memph 44

2nd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.10

Isaiah Bowser run for 14 yds to the Memph 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Isaiah Bowser run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 31

2nd & 11Rushing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +3.51

Ryan O'Keefe run for 31 yds for a TD (Daniel Obarski KICK)

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.20

Peter Parrish sacked by Big Kat Bryant for a loss of 9 yards to the Memph 16

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Peter Parrish pass incomplete to Calvin Austin III

3rd & 19Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.02

Peter Parrish pass complete to Brandon Thomas for 2 yds to the Memph 18

4th & 17Punt+9 yds

Joe Doyle punt for 52 yds , Titus Mokiao-Atimalala returns for 9 yds to the UCF 39

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the UCF 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.23

Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 17 yds to the Memph 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the Memph 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.15

Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 10 yds to the Memph 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.32

Johnny Richardson run for 20 yds to the Memph 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.29

Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for no gain to the Memph 11

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Joey Gatewood pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 4 yds to the Memph 7

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Mikey Keene pass incomplete to Charlie Browder

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Daniel Obarski 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Peter Parrish pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 5 yds to the Memph 30

2nd & 5Pass Interception Return+24 ydsPPA -1.02

Peter Parrish pass intercepted Davonte Brown return for 14 yds to the Memph 44 UCF Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Memph 45

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Johnny Richardson run for 6 yds to the Memph 39

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Johnny Richardson run for no gain to the Memph 39

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, False Start (Brandon Johnson) to the Memph 44

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.68

Mikey Keene pass intercepted, touchback. Tyrez Lindsey return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Peter Parrish pass complete to Gabriel Rogers for 11 yds to the Memph 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Peter Parrish run for 9 yds to the Memph 40

2nd & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Peter Parrish pass complete to Marquavius Weaver for 11 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.71

Peter Parrish run for 2 yds to the UCF 47 for a 1ST down UCF Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the UCF 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Peter Parrish pass complete to Roc Taylor for 10 yds to the UCF 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.38

Peter Parrish sacked by Tatum Bethune for a loss of 6 yards to the UCF 33

2nd & 16Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Peter Parrish pass complete to Marquavius Weaver for 5 yds to the UCF 28

3rd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Peter Parrish run for 8 yds to the UCF 20

4th & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.98

Peter Parrish pass complete to Javon Ivory for 5 yds to the UCF 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Peter Parrish pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 6 yds to the UCF 9

2nd & 4Penalty+11 yds

UCF Penalty, Defensive Holding (11 Yards) to the UCF 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.28

Peter Parrish sacked by Big Kat Bryant for a loss of 9 yards to the UCF 13

2nd & 13Pass Interception Return+25 ydsPPA -4.03

Peter Parrish pass intercepted Divaad Wilson return for 25 yds to the UCF 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the UCF 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCF 22

3rd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Johnny Richardson run for 4 yds to the UCF 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Andrew Osteen punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Calvin Austin III at the Memph 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Peter Parrish pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 4 yds to the Memph 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.73

Peter Parrish pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 15 yds to the UCF 42 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

UCF Penalty, Personal Foul (Marco Domio) to the UCF 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+49 ydsPPA -4.26

Peter Parrish pass intercepted Dyllon Lester return for 34 yds to the UCF 0 UCF Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the UCF 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Mark-Antony Richards run for 3 yds to the UCF 22

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the UCF 23

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Ryan O'Keefe run for 2 yds to the UCF 25

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Andrew Osteen punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the Memph 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Peter Parrish pass complete to Asa Martin for 5 yds to the Memph 40

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Peter Parrish pass incomplete

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

UCF Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (Trillion Coles) to the UCF 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Peter Parrish pass complete to Asa Martin for 8 yds to the UCF 37

2nd & 2Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.21

Peter Parrish pass complete to Marcayll Jones for 24 yds to the UCF 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Peter Parrish pass complete to Asa Martin for 1 yd to the UCF 12

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Peter Parrish pass incomplete to Marcayll Jones

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Peter Parrish pass incomplete to Gabriel Rogers

4th & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA -3.52

Peter Parrish run for 7 yds to the UCF 5

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.32

Isaiah Bowser run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 4

2nd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.35

Joey Gatewood run for 10 yds to the UCF 14

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.27

Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the UCF 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 13

Situational Analysis

Memphis

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
52%
33 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
33%
9 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play

UCF

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
28 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
44%
9 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
29%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th