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← Back to GamesOct 9, 2021Week 6
SMUSMU
31
-Final
24
NavyNavy
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

SMU by 15.7

Home Win Probability

Navy 14%

Market (consensus)

Navy +13.5

Edge: SMU -13.5 (2.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 9, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
SMUSMU
7143731
NavyNavy
7143024

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-714-721-2121-2424-2424-31
NavySMU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUTD475ydPUNT717ydPUNT35ydTD750ydPUNT510ydTD671ydTO765ydPUNT33ydTD3-12ydTD00ydPUNT33ydTD1169ydPUNT38ydMISS951ydPUNT513ydFG936ydFG1342ydPUNT33ydPUNT34ydTD965ydDOWNS717ydPUNT34ydDOWNS4-7ydEND58yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing SMU and Navy
StatisticSMUNavy
Passing30-404-7
Pass Yards32464
Rush Yards80177
Total Yards404241
Turnovers20
3rd Down2-117-17
Penalties6-456-30
Possession27:4132:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

SMU
passing
Tanner Mordecai
30/40, 324 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Tre Siggers
14 CAR, 49 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Reggie Roberson Jr.
5 REC, 100 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Navy
passing
Tai Lavatai
4/7, 64 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Tai Lavatai
24 CAR, 53 YDS
receiving
Kai Puailoa Rojas
1 REC, 37 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Johnny Hodges
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tre Siggers run for 2 yds to the SMU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 4 yds to the SMU 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 3 yds to the SMU 34

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+66 ydsPPA +6.80

Reggie Roberson Jr. 66 Yd pass from Tanner Mordecai (Blake Mazza Kick)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+38 yds

Brendan Hall kickoff for 64 yds , Maquel Haywood return for 38 yds to the Navy 39

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Carlinos Acie run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 38

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Isaac Ruoss run for 1 yd to the Navy 39

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Isaac Ruoss run for 1 yd to the Navy 40

4th & 9Rush+16 ydsPPA +3.60

Riley Riethman run for 16 yds to the SMU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

LAVATAI, Tai rush for 2 yards to the SMU42 (Levelston, DeVe;Robinson, Delan), PENALTY NAVY holding (BANBURY, Pierce) 10 yards to the NAVY46, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

James Harris II run for 2 yds to the Navy 48

2nd & 18Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Jayden Umbarger for 7 yds to the SMU 45

3rd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Tai Lavatai run for 1 yd to the SMU 44

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tre Siggers run for 5 yds to the SMU 15

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Danny Gray

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Rashee Rice, broken up by Jamal Glenn

4th & 5Punt+3 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 38 yds , Chance Warren returns for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.65

Carlinos Acie run for 10 yds to the SMU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tai Lavatai run for 2 yds to the SMU 38

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Carlinos Acie run for 4 yds to the SMU 34

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.98

Tai Lavatai run for 5 yds to the SMU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tai Lavatai run for no gain to the SMU 29

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Carlinos Acie run for 6 yds to the SMU 23

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.14

Chance Warren run for 23 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tre Siggers run for 2 yds to the SMU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.48

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 10 yds to the SMU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.53

Tre Siggers run for a loss of 3 yards to the SMU 34

2nd & 13Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tyler Lavine for 1 yd to the SMU 35

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Rashee Rice, broken up by Johnny Hodges

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 36 yds, downed at the Navy 29

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

James Harris II run for 2 yds to the Navy 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.62

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Chance Warren for 21 yds to the SMU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

James Harris II run for 4 yds to the SMU 44

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Tai Lavatai run for 4 yds to the SMU 40

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA +0.91

Tai Lavatai run for no gain to the SMU 37 Tai Lavatai fumbled, recovered by Navy Tai Lavatai for a 1ST down , return for 3 yds to the SMU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Kai Puailoa-Rojas for 37 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Evan Warren kickoff for 49 yds , Tyler Lavine return for 10 yds to the SMU 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 5 yds to the SMU 31

2nd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.45

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 12 yds to the SMU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.92

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Austin Upshaw for 11 yds to the Navy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Tyler Lavine run for 3 yds to the Navy 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.08

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jr. Roberson for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.18

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 25 yds to the Navy 7 for a 1ST down NAVY Penalty, targeting (Jamal Glenn) to the Navy 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

SMU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 9

1st & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.58

Tanner Mordecai pass intercepted, touchback. Johnny Hodges return for no gain

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Tai Lavatai run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 17

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Carlinos Acie run for 6 yds to the Navy 23

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, false start (Joshua Pena) to the Navy 18

3rd & 12Penalty+5 yds

SMU Penalty, Defensive offside (Mike Williams) to the Navy 23

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete to Jayden Umbarger NAVY Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declined

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Danny Gray

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 8 yds to the SMU 40

3rd & 2Penalty-10 yds

Siggers, Tre rush for 3 yards to the SMU43 (WARREN, J'arius), PENALTY SMU holding (Ali, Alan) 10 yards to the SMU30, NO PLAY.

3rd & 12Sack+20 ydsPPA +3.25

Tanner Mordecai sacked by Clay Cromwell for a loss of 10 yards Tanner Mordecai fumbled, recovered by Navy Diego Fagot , return for 0 yards , return for 20 yds, (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+95 yds

Evan Warren kickoff for 60 yds , Bryan Massey return for 95 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Isaac Ruoss run for 1 yd to the Navy 26

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Tai Lavatai run for 3 yds to the Navy 29

3rd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Tai Lavatai run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 28

4th & 7Punt+6 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 47 yds , Jordan Kerley returns for 6 yds to the SMU 31

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 5 yds to the SMU 36

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.32

Ulysses Bentley IV run for a loss of 3 yards to the SMU 33

3rd & 8Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.47

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 24 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Rashee Rice

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.06

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jr. Roberson for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Austin Upshaw for 7 yds to the Navy 20

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.13

Tre Siggers run for 8 yds to the Navy 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Tre Siggers run for 6 yds to the Navy 6

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.41

Tre Siggers run for 3 yds to the Navy 3 for a 1ST down NAVY Penalty, face mask (2 yards) (2 Yards) to the Navy 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Tre Siggers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Tre Siggers run for 2 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Tai Lavatai run for 6 yds to the Navy 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

James Harris II run for 1 yd to the Navy 32

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Isaac Ruoss run for 1 yd to the Navy 33

4th & 2Punt+52 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NAVY 25 SMU Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the SMU 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tre Siggers for 3 yds to the SMU 18

2nd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.76

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 19 yds to the SMU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tre Siggers for 2 yds to the SMU 39

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.86

Tyler Lavine run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.77

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 10 yds to the Navy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tyler Lavine for 5 yds to the Navy 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 6 yds to the Navy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SMU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 34

1st & 15Field Goal Missed+51 yds

Brendan Hall 51 yd FG MISSED

0th & 15End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tai Lavatai run for 3 yds to the Navy 28

2nd & 7Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.37

Tai Lavatai run for 20 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Isaac Ruoss run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, false start (Pierce Banbury) to the Navy 45

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Tyger Goslin run for 1 yd to the Navy 46

3rd & 12Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.84

Tai Lavatai sacked by Mike Williams for a loss of 8 yards to the Navy 38

4th & 20Punt+24 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 41 yds , Jordan Kerley returns for 24 yds to the SMU 45

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jr. Roberson

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.94

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jr. Roberson

4th & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.74

Tanner Mordecai run for 17 yds to the Navy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.23

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Austin Upshaw for 14 yds to the Navy 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Austin Upshaw for 5 yds to the Navy 10

2nd & 5Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.22

Tanner Mordecai run for a loss of 9 yards to the Navy 19

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Danny Gray

4th & 14Field Goal Good+37 yds

Blake Mazza 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

James Harris II run for 2 yds to the Navy 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Tai Lavatai run for 2 yds to the Navy 29

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Daniel Jones run for 8 yds to the Navy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Tai Lavatai run for 3 yds to the Navy 40

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tai Lavatai run for 5 yds to the Navy 45

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.61

James Harris II run for 6 yds to the SMU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Isaac Ruoss run for 4 yds to the SMU 45

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Isaac Ruoss run for 3 yds to the SMU 42

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.20

Kai Puailoa-Rojas run for 4 yds to the SMU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.98

Tai Lavatai sacked by Gary Wiley for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 39

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Tai Lavatai run for 1 yd to the SMU 38

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Chance Warren run for 5 yds to the SMU 33

4th & 5Field Goal Good+50 yds

Bijan Nichols 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Siggers, Tre rush for 3 yards to the SMU28 (BRENNAN, Kevin), PENALTY SMU holding (Hickman, Branso) 10 yards to the SMU15, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 2 yds to the SMU 17

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Rashee Rice

3rd & 18Penalty0 yds

SMU Penalty, tripping (Bryan Massey) declined

3rd & 18Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.14

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tyler Lavine for 11 yds to the SMU 28

4th & 7Punt+7 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 48 yds , Chance Warren returns for 7 yds to the Navy 31

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Tai Lavatai run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 30

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Tai Lavatai run for 4 yds to the Navy 34

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

James Harris II run for 1 yd to the Navy 35

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 35

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Tre Siggers run for 10 yds to the SMU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Jordan Kerley

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.14

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 13 yds to the Navy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Tanner Mordecai run for 4 yds to the Navy 38

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Tyler Lavine run for 6 yds to the Navy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Tre Siggers run for 9 yds to the Navy 23

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.83

Tyler Lavine run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 24

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.34

Tre Siggers run for 2 yds to the Navy 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jordan Kerley for 22 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tai Lavatai run for 5 yds to the Navy 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Isaac Ruoss run for 2 yds to the Navy 32

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.22

Isaac Ruoss run for 3 yds to the Navy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaac Ruoss run for 4 yds to the Navy 39

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Tai Lavatai run for 2 yds to the Navy 41

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Tai Lavatai run for 1 yd to the Navy 42

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete, broken up by Gary Wiley

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Tre Siggers run for 3 yds to the Navy 39

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Tre Siggers run for 1 yd to the Navy 38

3rd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.06

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for no gain to the Navy 38

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tanner Mordecai punt for 15 yds , Mbiti Williams Jr. returns for no gain to the Navy 23

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Chance Warren run for 2 yds to the Navy 25

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete to Chance Warren

3rd & 8Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.22

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Isaac Ruoss for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 24

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, false start (Pierce Banbury) to the Navy 19

4th & 14Sack-3 ydsPPA +0.36

Tai Lavatai sacked by Elijah Chatman and DeVere Levelston for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 16

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyler Lavine run for 3 yds to the Navy 13

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Tyler Lavine run for 8 yds to the Navy 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 6

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 7

3rd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 8

Situational Analysis

SMU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
46%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
58%
12 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
20%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
5 plays
50%
8 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play