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← Back to GamesOct 2, 2021Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

East Carolina by 3.2

Home Win Probability

East Carolina 52%

Market (consensus)

East Carolina +3

Edge: East Carolina +3 (6.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 2, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TulaneTulane
0716629
East CarolinaEast Carolina
171402152

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-010-017-024-731-731-1531-2338-2345-2345-2952-29
East CarolinaTulane

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ECTULECTULECTULECTULECECTULECTULTULECTULECTULECTULECTULECTULFG1070ydPUNT511ydTD755ydPUNT616ydTD280ydPUNT3-16ydTD461ydTD1075ydPUNT33ydMISS916ydPUNT517ydTD1176ydTO534ydTD975ydPUNT944ydTD1091ydTD1075ydTO516ydTD730ydTD475ydDOWNS516ydTO516ydTD361ydEND25yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tulane and East Carolina
StatisticTulaneEast Carolina
Passing23-3822-34
Pass Yards280302
Rush Yards124310
Total Yards404612
Turnovers40
3rd Down5-143-14
Penalties3-155-51
Possession25:4134:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tulane
passing
Michael Pratt
22/36, 268 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Cameron Carroll
9 CAR, 80 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Duece Watts
4 REC, 79 YDS
defense
East Carolina
passing
Holton Ahlers
21/32, 288 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Keaton Mitchell
15 CAR, 222 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Tyler Snead
4 REC, 78 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+62 ydsPPA +4.24

Keaton Mitchell run for 62 yds to the Tulan 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Keaton Mitchell run for 6 yds to the Tulan 7

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the Tulan 6

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Mason Garcia run for 2 yds to the Tulan 4

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.37

Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the Tulan 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Sack0 ydsPPA -0.75

Holton Ahlers sacked by JoJo Dorceus for 0 yards to the Tulan 8

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.40

Keaton Mitchell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 10

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

AHLERS, Holton pass to the right incomplete intended for SNEAD, Tyler thrown to the TLN0. PENALTY TLN Offsides on ANDERSON, Angelo enforced 5 yards from the TLN10 to the TLN5 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Owen Daffer 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Cameron Carroll run for 4 yds to the Tulan 19

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Cameron Carroll run for 8 yds to the Tulan 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Michael Pratt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Cameron Carroll run for 1 yd to the Tulan 28

3rd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.26

Michael Pratt run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 26

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Ryan Wright punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.98

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Shane Calhoun for 13 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the Tulan 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.15

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Ryan Jones for 19 yds to the Tulan 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 6 yds to the Tulan 15

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Rahjai Harris run for 8 yds to the Tulan 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Penalty-10 yds

HARRIS, Rahjai rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the TLN3 (KERR, Ajani). PENALTY ECU Holding on HENDERSON, Noah enforced 10 yards from the TLN7 to the TLN17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 17Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the Tulan 17

2nd & 17Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.26

Holton Ahlers run for 17 yds for a TD (Owen Daffer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Ygenio Booker run for 2 yds to the Tulan 21

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 5 yds to the Tulan 26

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.21

Ygenio Booker run for 6 yds to the Tulan 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.46

Michael Pratt pass complete to Michael Pratt for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulan 27

2nd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Michael Pratt pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 6 yds to the Tulan 33

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the Tulan 35

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ryan Wright punt for 65 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Audie Omotosho for 12 yds to the ECaro 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+68 ydsPPA +5.52

Keaton Mitchell run for 68 yds for a TD (Owen Daffer KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Cameron Carroll run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 22

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Cameron Carroll run for 2 yds to the Tulan 24

3rd & 9Sack0 ydsPPA -0.17

Michael Pratt sacked by Jireh Wilson and Jeremy Lewis for 0 yards to the Tulan 7

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Ryan Wright punt for 54 yds, downed at the ECaro 39

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the ECaro 39

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 8 yds to the ECaro 47

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +6.22

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 53 yds for a TD (Owen Daffer KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Michael Pratt pass complete to Phat Watts for 8 yds to the Tulan 33

2nd & 2Sack0 ydsPPA -1.13

Michael Pratt sacked by Rick D'Abreu and Aaron Ramseur for 0 yards to the Tulan 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.00

Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 22 yds to the ECaro 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Michael Pratt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.44

Michael Pratt pass complete to Phat Watts for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 49

3rd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.11

Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 10 yds to the ECaro 39

4th & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.98

Michael Pratt pass complete to Will Wallace for 3 yds to the ECaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Michael Pratt run for 6 yds to the ECaro 30

2nd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.20

Ygenio Booker run for 14 yds to the ECaro 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Michael Pratt pass complete to Ygenio Booker for 16 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Keaton Mitchell run for 2 yds to the ECaro 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Ryan Jones for 1 yd to the ECaro 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Tyler Snead pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Holton Ahlers run for 1 yd to the Tulan 37

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

4th & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.95

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 11 yds to the Tulan 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the Tulan 24

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Noah Henderson) to the Tulan 33

2nd & 17Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.96

Rahjai Harris run for 11 yds to the Tulan 22

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Owen Daffer 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Michael Pratt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.23

Michael Pratt pass complete to Phat Watts for 19 yds to the Tulan 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Michael Pratt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Jaetavian Toles run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 39

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Michael Pratt pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Ryan Wright punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Keaton Mitchell run for 2 yds to the ECaro 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.72

Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 13 yds to the ECaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Keaton Mitchell run for 2 yds to the ECaro 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Ryan Jones for 6 yds to the ECaro 47

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the ECaro 48

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

TULANE Penalty, Offsides (Noah Seiden) to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

EAST CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Nishad Strother) to the ECaro 48

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Rahjai Harris run for 6 yds to the Tulan 46

2nd & 9Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.84

Rahjai Harris run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 13Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.84

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Audie Omotosho for 41 yds to the Tulan 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Shane Calhoun for 6 yds to the Tulan 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Rahjai Harris for 3 yds for a TD (Owen Daffer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Cameron Carroll run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Michael Pratt run for 4 yds to the ECaro 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 5 yds to the ECaro 41

4th & 1Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.95

Michael Pratt pass intercepted, touchback. return for no gain

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Michael Pratt pass incomplete

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+40 ydsPPA +3.11

Cameron Carroll run for 40 yds to the ECaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Michael Pratt pass complete to Cameron Carroll for 8 yds to the ECaro 27

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

Cameron Carroll run for no gain to the ECaro 27

3rd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.63

Tyjae Spears run for a loss of 4 yards to the ECaro 31

4th & 6Penalty+11 yds

PRATT, Michael pass to the left incomplete intended for WATTS, Phat thrown to the ECU20. PENALTY ECU Pass Interference on SABA, Warren enforced at the spot of the foul for 11 yards to the ECU20 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Michael Pratt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.42

Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 9 yds to the ECaro 11

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.25

Michael Pratt run for 3 yds to the ECaro 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyjae Spears run for 1 yd to the ECaro 7

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Michael Pratt run for 7 yds for a TD (Michael Pratt pass to Tyrick James for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 23 yds to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.91

Keaton Mitchell run for 11 yds to the Tulan 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.53

Holton Ahlers run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 44

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Keaton Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Tulan 41

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Audie Omotosho for 9 yds to the Tulan 32

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

AHLERS, Holton pass up the middle incomplete intended for SNEAD, Tyler thrown to the TLN10. PENALTY TLN Offsides on COOPER JR, Keith enforced 5 yards from the TLN32 to the TLN27 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.49

Holton Ahlers sacked by Adonis Friloux and Marvin Moody for 0 yards to the Tulan 31

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Holton Ahlers punt for 22 yds, downed at the Tulan 9

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Holton Ahlers punt for 22 yds, downed at the Tulan 9

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Michael Pratt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.83

Michael Pratt pass complete to Ygenio Booker for 12 yds to the Tulan 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Michael Pratt pass complete to Ygenio Booker for 9 yds to the Tulan 30

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Michael Pratt pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.82

Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the Tulan 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.76

Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 19 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +2.55

Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 47 yds to the ECaro 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Ygenio Booker run for 1 yd to the ECaro 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Michael Pratt run for no gain to the ECaro 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Cameron Carroll run for 1 yd for a TD (M. Pratt Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 16 yds to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.18

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Audie Omotosho for 14 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Rahjai Harris run for 6 yds to the Tulan 39

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Holton Ahlers run for 6 yds to the Tulan 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 8 yds to the Tulan 25

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the Tulan 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

AHLERS, Holton pass to the left complete for 21 yards to OMOTOSHO, Audie caught at the TLN5 and advanced to the TLN1 (CANDY, Jadon). PENALTY ECU Pass Interference on OMOTOSHO, Audie enforced 15 yards to the TLN37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 8 yds to the Tulan 29

2nd & 17Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.03

Rahjai Harris run for 24 yds to the Tulan 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the Tulan 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd for a TD (Owen Daffer KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Michael Pratt pass complete to Michael Pratt for 4 yds to the Tulan 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Michael Pratt pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Michael Pratt pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.50

Ryan Wright pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 12 yds to the Tulan 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.34

Michael Pratt pass intercepted return for no gain to the Tulan 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Ryan Jones for 8 yds to the Tulan 22

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Keaton Mitchell run for 1 yd to the Tulan 21

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.62

Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the Tulan 21

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.79

Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the Tulan 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Keaton Mitchell run for 5 yds to the Tulan 15

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Keaton Mitchell run for 1 yd to the Tulan 14

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.86

Mason Garcia pass complete to Ryan Jones for 14 yds for a TD (Owen Daffer KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 5 yds to the Tulan 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.13

Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 9 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+59 ydsPPA +3.64

Michael Pratt pass complete to Cameron Carroll for 59 yds to the ECaro 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Michael Pratt run for 2 yds for a TD (M. Pratt Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Ryan Jones for 10 yds to the Tulan 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the Tulan 32

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Mason Garcia run for 4 yds to the Tulan 28

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.84

Mason Garcia run for no gain to the Tulan 28

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.78

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Michael Pratt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.41

Michael Pratt pass complete to Ygenio Booker for no gain to the Tulan 28

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.19

Ygenio Booker run for no gain to the Tulan 28

4th & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.89

Michael Pratt run for 16 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.63

Michael Pratt pass intercepted return for no gain to the ECaro 39

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.95

Keaton Mitchell run for 28 yds to the Tulan 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Keaton Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Tulan 30

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +3.10

Keaton Mitchell run for 30 yds for a TD (Owen Daffer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyjae Spears run for 5 yds to the Tulan 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Tyjae Spears run for no gain to the Tulan 30

Situational Analysis

Tulane

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
43%
28 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
56%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

East Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
54%
28 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
12 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play