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← Back to GamesSep 4, 2021Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

SMU by 18.6

Home Win Probability

SMU 86%

Market (consensus)

SMU -32

Edge: Abilene Christian +32 (13.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 4, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Abilene Christian
03609
SMUSMU
72814756

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-028-342-342-949-956-9
SMUAbilene Christian

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ACSMUACSMUACSMUACSMUACSMUACSMUACSMUACSMUACSMUACSMUSMUACSMUACSMUACPUNT35ydTD344ydPUNT728ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT36ydFG645ydPUNT419ydTD1168ydPUNT3-5ydTD564ydTO37ydTD431ydFG560ydTD875ydEND321ydTD965ydTD1675ydTD975ydPUNT33ydPUNT515ydTD12ydTO10ydFG43ydDOWNS751ydPUNT732ydTO762yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Abilene Christian and SMU
StatisticAbilene ChristianSMU
Passing15-3626-35
Pass Yards213319
Rush Yards119171
Total Yards332490
Turnovers40
3rd Down5-165-12
Penalties6-382-10
Possession28:0031:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Abilene Christian
passing
Stone Earle
14/29, 176 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Peyton Mansell
2 CAR, 33 YDS
receiving
Kobe Clark
6 REC, 89 YDS, 1 TD
defense
SMU
passing
Tanner Mordecai
24/30, 317 YDS, 7 TD
rushing
Ulysses Bentley IV
10 CAR, 48 YDS
receiving
Danny Gray
4 REC, 72 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Jermiah Dobbins run for 7 yds to the AblCh 22

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jermiah Dobbins run for 2 yds to the AblCh 24

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ACU False Start (Caldwell,Noah) 5 yards from ACU24 to ACU19. NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.15

Stone Earle run for 1 yd to the AblCh 20

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Logan Burke punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AblCh 44

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 6 yds to the AblCh 38

2nd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.48

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 17 yds to the AblCh 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 21 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Stone Earle pass complete to Kobe Clark for 12 yds to the AblCh 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Stone Earle pass complete to Kobe Clark for 8 yds to the AblCh 45

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Stone Earle pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Tyrese White run for 1 yd to the AblCh 46

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Tyrese White run for 1 yd to the AblCh 46

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

Stafford,Rece rush for 1 yard loss to the ACU45 (Hailey,Shaine) PENALTY SMU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from ACU46 to SMU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Anthony Smith run for 2 yds to the SMU 47

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Stone Earle pass incomplete to Kobe Clark

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Stone Earle pass incomplete to Darius Lewis

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Logan Burke punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jordan Kerley at the SMU 11

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +5.24

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 21 yds for a TD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 5 yds to the SMU 16

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.42

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tre Siggers for 6 yds to the SMU 10

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Grant Calcaterra

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Matt Fraanje punt for 67 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Stone Earle pass complete to Quae Walton for 3 yds to the AblCh 26

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Stone Earle pass incomplete to Darius Lewis

4th & 4Blocked Punt+31 yds

Logan Burke punt blocked by Trevor Denbow blocked by Trevor Denbow

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds to the SMU 38

2nd & 12Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +3.69

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jr. Reggie Roberson for 47 yds to the AblCh 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Tre Siggers run for no gain to the AblCh 15

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Austin Upshaw

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Danny Gray

4th & 10Field Goal Good+33 yds

Blake Mazza 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Stone Earle pass complete to Denver Holman for 11 yds to the AblCh 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jermiah Dobbins run for no gain to the AblCh 31

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Stone Earle pass complete to Darius Lewis for 9 yds to the AblCh 40

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.99

Jermiah Dobbins run for 1 yd to the AblCh 39

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Logan Burke punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Jordan Kerley at the SMU 32

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 5 yds to the SMU 37

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.32

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 10 yds to the SMU 47 for a 1ST down

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.32

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 10 yds to the SMU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Ulysses Bentley IV run for no gain to the SMU 47

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Austin Upshaw for 9 yds to the AblCh 44

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.90

Tre Siggers run for 3 yds to the AblCh 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Tre Siggers run for 2 yds to the AblCh 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Nolan Matthews for 11 yds to the AblCh 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Tre Siggers run for 4 yds to the AblCh 24

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

Mordecai,Tanner pass incomplete to Daniels, Jr.,Roderick PENALTY ACU Offside (Obadyei,Osaretin) 5 yards from ACU24 to ACU19. NO PLAY.

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.45

Tre Siggers run for 5 yds to the AblCh 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+7 yds

Mordecai,Tanner pass incomplete to Gray,Danny QB hurried by Adams,Trey PENALTY ACU Roughing The Passer (Adams,Trey) 7 yards from ACU14 to ACU07, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Tre Siggers run for 1 yd to the AblCh 8

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 8 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyrese White run for 2 yds to the AblCh 27

2nd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.76

Stone Earle sacked by Richard Moore for a loss of 7 yards to the AblCh 20

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Stone Earle pass incomplete to Kobe Clark

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Stone Earle pass incomplete to Kobe Clark

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Logan Burke punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jordan Kerley at the SMU 36

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +6.03

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 8 yds for a TD

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.85

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 22 yds to the AblCh 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.45

run for 11 yds to the SMU 47

2nd & 21Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.61

Tyler Lavine run for 13 yds to the AblCh 40

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.99

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tommy McIntyre for 10 yds to the AblCh 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 30 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 30 yds for a TD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Davion Johnson run for 1 yd to the AblCh 19

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Stone Earle pass complete to Alex Spadone for 6 yds to the AblCh 25

3rd & 3Interception0 ydsPPA -0.23

Stone Earle pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 4 yds to the AblCh 27

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.63

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for no gain to the AblCh 27

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Ulysses Bentley IV

4th & 6Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +4.37

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 27 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)

4th & 6Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +4.37

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 27 yds for a TD

1st & 10Pass Reception+59 ydsPPA +3.95

Stone Earle pass complete to Remington Lutz for 59 yds to the SMU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Jermiah Dobbins run for 2 yds to the SMU 29

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Stone Earle pass complete to Darius Lewis for 1 yd to the SMU 30

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Stone Earle pass incomplete to Kobe Clark

4th & 9Field Goal Good+47 yds

Blair Zepeda 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Tre Siggers run for 9 yds to the SMU 34

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Tre Siggers run for 5 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tyler Lavine for 5 yds to the SMU 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.45

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Austin Upshaw for 14 yds to the AblCh 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Jordan Kerley

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jr. Reggie Roberson for 4 yds to the AblCh 38

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.54

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jr. Reggie Roberson for 8 yds to the AblCh 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 30 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 30 yds for a TD

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.77

Stone Earle pass complete to Kobe Clark for 13 yds to the AblCh 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Stone Earle pass complete to Kobe Clark for 8 yds to the AblCh 36

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Stone Earle pass incomplete to Alex Spadone

0th & 2End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.15

Danny Gray run for 27 yds to the AblCh 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 1 yd to the AblCh 39

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Tommy McIntyre

3rd & 11Penalty0 yds

Mordecai,Tanner pass incomplete to Matthews,Nolan broken up by Stapp,Ryan, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ACU Pass Interference (Stapp,Ryan) 11 yard from ACU39 to ACU28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Tyler Lavine run for 7 yds to the AblCh 21

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler Lavine run for 4 yds to the AblCh 17 for a 1ST down

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.92

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Nolan Matthews for 8 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Stone Earle pass incomplete to Kobe Clark

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tyrese White run for 5 yds to the AblCh 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.27

Stone Earle pass complete to Alex Spadone for 13 yds to the AblCh 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tyrese White run for 5 yds to the AblCh 48

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Stone Earle pass incomplete to Jordan Brooks-Wess

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.08

Stone Earle run for 7 yds to the SMU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Stone Earle pass incomplete to Alex Spadone

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jermiah Dobbins run for 6 yds to the SMU 39

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.33

Stone Earle pass complete to Denver Holman for 8 yds to the SMU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Anthony Smith run for 3 yds to the SMU 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Stone Earle pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.17

Stone Earle run for 18 yds to the SMU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Tyrese White run for 3 yds to the SMU 7

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Stone Earle pass incomplete to Remington Lutz

4th & 11Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.64

Stone Earle pass complete to Kobe Clark for 11 yds for a TD Timeout ABIL CHRISTIAN, clock 04:38 (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 6 yds to the SMU 31

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 8 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 5 yds to the SMU 44

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.94

Jr. Brandon Epton run for 1 yd to the SMU 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.84

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Tre Siggers run for 3 yds to the AblCh 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for 1 yd to the AblCh 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.28

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jordan Kerley for 15 yds to the AblCh 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.84

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Nolan Matthews for 31 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Stone Earle sacked by Gary Wiley for a loss of 6 yards to the AblCh 19

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Stone Earle pass incomplete to Jermiah Dobbins

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ACU Delay Of Game (Burke,Logan) 5 yards from ACU33 to ACU28. NO PLAY.

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Logan Burke punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Derek Green pass incomplete to Dylan Goffney

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.46

Tre Siggers run for 11 yds to the SMU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Derek Green pass incomplete to Tre Siggers

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tre Siggers run for 5 yds to the SMU 38

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Derek Green pass complete to Tre Siggers for 1 yd to the SMU 37

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Matt Fraanje punt for 50 yds

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jr. Brandon Epton run for 2 yds for a TD (Brendan Hall KICK)

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.66

Stone Earle pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Derek Green run for 1 yd to the AblCh 34

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Jr. Brandon Epton run for 2 yds to the AblCh 32

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Derek Green pass incomplete to Beau Barker

4th & 7Field Goal Good+49 yds

Blake Mazza 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Peyton Mansell pass complete to Davion Johnson for 16 yds to the AblCh 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Peyton Mansell pass incomplete to Noah Caldwell

2nd & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.59

Peyton Mansell pass complete to Kobe Clark for 37 yds to the SMU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jermiah Dobbins run for 2 yds to the SMU 17

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Peyton Mansell pass incomplete to Davion Johnson

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Peyton Mansell pass incomplete to Denver Holman

4th & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.85

Peyton Mansell pass incomplete to Denver Holman

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Blake Bedwell run for 8 yds to the SMU 25

2nd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Derek Green pass complete to Dylan Goffney for 3 yds to the SMU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY ACU Offside (Obadyei,Osaretin) 5 yards from SMU28 to SMU33. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Blake Bedwell run for 4 yds to the SMU 37

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Blake Bedwell run for 4 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Blake Bedwell run for 4 yds to the SMU 45

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Jr. Brandon Epton run for 1 yd to the SMU 46

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Matt Fraanje punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Peyton Mansell pass incomplete to Dax Neece

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Quae Walton run for 5 yds to the AblCh 24

3rd & 5Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.56

Peyton Mansell run for 20 yds to the AblCh 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.02

Peyton Mansell run for 13 yds to the SMU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Tyrese White run for 9 yds to the SMU 34

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Mansell,Peyton pass incomplete broken up by DeArman,Ty PENALTY SMU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from SMU24 to SMU19. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -4.98

Peyton Mansell pass intercepted

Situational Analysis

Abilene Christian

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
42%
26 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
60%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

SMU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
58%
33 plays
2nd
0%
5 plays
67%
9 plays
60%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays