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← Back to GamesNov 26, 2021Week 13
TCUTCU
14
-Final
48
Iowa StateIowa State
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Iowa State by 17.7

Home Win Probability

Iowa State 86%

Market (consensus)

Iowa State -15.5

Edge: Iowa State -15.5 (2.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 26, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TCUTCU
070714
Iowa StateIowa State
314102148

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-010-017-724-727-741-1448-14
Iowa StateTCU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ISTCUISTCUISTCUISTCUISTCUTCUISTCUISTCUISTCUISTCUISTCUISFG950ydPUNT39ydPUNT625ydPUNT929ydTD580ydDOWNS1262ydTD786ydTD675ydPUNT3-6ydEND525ydPUNT621ydTD338ydDOWNS535ydFG1042ydTO863ydTD180ydTD419ydTD475ydPUNT3-2ydTD467ydPUNT48ydEND3-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing TCU and Iowa State
StatisticTCUIowa State
Passing15-2621-30
Pass Yards216262
Rush Yards132279
Total Yards348541
Turnovers10
3rd Down6-145-10
Penalties4-242-20
Possession34:3525:25

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

TCU
passing
Max Duggan
15/26, 216 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Emari Demercado
15 CAR, 65 YDS
receiving
Derius Davis
4 REC, 63 YDS
defense
Iowa State
passing
Brock Purdy
21/30, 262 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Breece Hall
18 CAR, 242 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Xavier Hutchinson
7 REC, 107 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+39 yds

Griffin Kell kickoff for 64 yds , Jaylin Noel return for 39 yds to the IowSt 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.57

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 20 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.45

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 13 yds to the TCU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 4 yds to the TCU 23

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the TCU 22

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 8 yds to the TCU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the TCU 13

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the TCU 10

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Brock Purdy pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+27 yds

Andrew Mevis 27 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Andrew Mevis kickoff for 65 yds , Derius Davis return for 16 yds to the TCU 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Max Duggan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.18

Emari Demercado run for 1 yd to the TCU 17

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.17

Max Duggan run for 8 yds to the TCU 25

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 33

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Breece Hall run for 12 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Brock Purdy pass complete to Darren Wilson Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 44

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.25

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 12 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 2 yds to the TCU 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Brock Purdy pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Brock Purdy pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Corey Dunn punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Derius Davis at the TCU 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Emari Demercado run for 3 yds to the TCU 18

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Emari Demercado run for 1 yd to the TCU 19

3rd & 6Penalty-36 yds

DUGGAN, Max pass to the left complete for 36 yards to BROWN, Quincy caught at the ISU45 and advanced to the ISU45, End of Play. PENALTY TCU Pass Interference on BROWN, Quincy enforced half the distance from the goal, 10 yards to the TCU9 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 15Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.42

Emari Demercado run for 17 yds to the TCU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Emari Demercado run for 3 yds to the TCU 30

2nd & 7Sack0 ydsPPA -0.62

Max Duggan sacked by Isaiah Lee for 0 yards to the TCU 23

3rd & 14Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.97

Max Duggan pass complete to Quincy Brown for 22 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Max Duggan pass complete to Andrew Coker for no gain to the TCU 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Max Duggan pass complete to Emari Demercado for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 44

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

DUGGAN, Max pass to the right complete for 15 yards to HENDERSON, Gunnar caught at the ISU44 and advanced to the ISU41 (HUMMEL, Jake). PENALTY TCU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on MCMILLON, Coy enforced 5 yards from the TCU44 to the TCU39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 16Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.54

Max Duggan pass complete to Emari Demercado for 10 yds to the TCU 49

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

TCU Penalty, False Start (Derius Davis) to the TCU 44

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 20

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.02

Breece Hall run for 24 yds to the IowSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 3 yds to the IowSt 47

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Brock Purdy pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.70

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 13 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Jirehl Brock run for 40 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Max Duggan run for 7 yds to the TCU 32

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.37

Derius Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.09

Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 11 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Emari Demercado run for no gain to the TCU 40

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.53

Max Duggan run for 17 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Emari Demercado run for 7 yds to the IowSt 36

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Emari Demercado run for 4 yds to the IowSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.22

Ahmonte Watkins run for 10 yds to the IowSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Max Duggan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Ahmonte Watkins run for 4 yds to the IowSt 18

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Emari Demercado run for 5 yds to the IowSt 13

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.94

Max Duggan run for no gain to the IowSt 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.90

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 26 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the IowSt 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 5 yds to the IowSt 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.83

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 5 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Brock Purdy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.72

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 10 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Breece Hall run for 39 yds for a TD, (Andrew Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 15 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Max Duggan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.04

Max Duggan run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Max Duggan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Max Duggan run for 3 yds to the IowSt 47

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +5.35

Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 47 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+36 yds

Griffin Kell kickoff for 63 yds , Jaylin Noel return for 36 yds to the IowSt 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Brock Purdy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -1.43

Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for a loss of 6 yards to the IowSt 37

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Brock Purdy pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt+35 yds

Andrew Mevis punt for 35 yds TCU Penalty, Offsides ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Max Duggan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Emari Demercado run for 4 yds to the TCU 32

3rd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.17

Max Duggan run for 10 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 11 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Max Duggan pass incomplete

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Jake Neufeld run for 14 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Emari Demercado run for 9 yds to the TCU 48

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.04

Emari Demercado run for 6 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Emari Demercado run for 1 yd to the IowSt 45

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Max Duggan pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack0 ydsPPA -0.90

Max Duggan sacked by Will McDonald IV for 0 yards to the TCU 46

4th & 18Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by Darien Porter blocked by Darien Porter

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.45

Breece Hall run for 16 yds to the TCU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Breece Hall run for no gain to the TCU 22

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.05

Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 22 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Andrew Mevis kickoff for 65 yds , Derius Davis return for 21 yds to the TCU 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.24

Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 26 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Ahmonte Watkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 45

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Max Duggan pass complete to Ahmonte Watkins for 9 yds to the IowSt 46

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Emari Demercado run for 2 yds to the IowSt 44

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.66

Max Duggan pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Brock Purdy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the IowSt 47

3rd & 7Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.15

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 26 yds to the TCU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 1 yd to the TCU 26

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the TCU 21

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.49

Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the TCU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.33

Brock Purdy sacked by Dylan Horton for 0 yards to the TCU 18

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the TCU 14

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Brock Purdy pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+32 yds

Andrew Mevis 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Max Duggan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

DUGGAN, Max sacked for a loss of 7 yards at the TCU18 (LEE, Isaiah). PENALTY ISU Roughing the Passer on LEE, Isaiah enforced 15 yards from the TCU25 to the TCU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Emari Demercado run for 2 yds to the TCU 42

2nd & 8Sack0 ydsPPA -0.93

Max Duggan sacked by Eyioma Uwazurike for 0 yards to the TCU 29

3rd & 21Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +4.67

Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 51 yds to the IowSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Max Duggan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Max Duggan pass complete to Emari Demercado for 2 yds to the IowSt 18

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Max Duggan run for 6 yds to the IowSt 12

4th & 2Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.90

Max Duggan pass intercepted, touchback. return for no gain

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+80 ydsPPA +6.39

Breece Hall run for 80 yds for a TD, (Andrew Mevis KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+78 yds

Andrew Mevis kickoff for 62 yds , Derius Davis return for 78 yds to the IowSt 19

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Max Duggan run for 7 yds to the IowSt 12

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Ahmonte Watkins run for 4 yds to the IowSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Ahmonte Watkins run for 2 yds to the IowSt 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Max Duggan pass complete to Tyler Guyton for 6 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Griffin Kell kickoff for 65 yds , Jaylin Noel return for 25 yds to the IowSt 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.73

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 32 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +1.03

Breece Hall run for 35 yds to the TCU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the TCU 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Breece Hall run for 4 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.70

Max Duggan sacked by Blake Peterson for 0 yards to the TCU 16

2nd & 19Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.05

Max Duggan pass complete to Emari Demercado for 2 yds to the TCU 18

3rd & 17Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 5 yds to the TCU 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.59

Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Derek Schweiger) to the IowSt 45

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.98

Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 15 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 35 yds for a TD, (Andrew Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+13 ydsPPA +1.12

run for 13 yds to the TCU 36 Ahmonte Watkins fumbled, forced by Anthony Johnson Jr., recovered by IowSt Beau Freyler for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Ahmonte Watkins run for no gain to the TCU 36

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.72

Ahmonte Watkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 35

3rd & 11Sack0 ydsPPA -0.28

Max Duggan sacked by Tucker Robertson for 0 yards to the TCU 33

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 37 yds, downed at the IowSt 30

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jirehl Brock run for 1 yd to the IowSt 31

Situational Analysis

TCU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
36%
28 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
100%
1 play
15%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
100%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
83%
6 plays
4th
0%
3 plays

Iowa State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th