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← Back to GamesNov 20, 2021Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

West Virginia by 5.3

Home Win Probability

West Virginia 63%

Market (consensus)

West Virginia -2.5

Edge: West Virginia -2.5 (2.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 20, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TexasTexas
0107623
West VirginiaWest Virginia
7147331

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-021-721-1028-1731-23
West VirginiaTexas

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WVTEXWVTEXWVTEXWVTEXWVTEXWVTEXWVTEXTEXWVTEXWVTEXWVTEXWVTEXWVTD975ydPUNT36ydPUNT49ydPUNT31ydPUNT32ydPUNT34ydTD1180ydPUNT33ydPUNT35ydTD679ydTD1282ydFG733ydMISS744ydEND1-1ydPUNT520ydPUNT930ydTD779ydTD975ydTD872ydFG1447ydDOWNS926ydDOWNS715ydDOWNS44ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas and West Virginia
StatisticTexasWest Virginia
Passing14-3028-44
Pass Yards152301
Rush Yards203158
Total Yards355459
Turnovers10
3rd Down2-1012-20
Penalties4-413-19
Possession21:2438:36

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas
passing
Hudson Card
10/16, 123 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Keilan Robinson
9 CAR, 111 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Xavier Worthy
7 REC, 85 YDS, 1 TD
defense
West Virginia
passing
Jarret Doege
27/43, 290 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Leddie Brown
33 CAR, 158 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Winston Wright
6 REC, 67 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Jarret Doege pass complete to Kaden Prather for 23 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jarret Doege pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.01

Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 13 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 4 yds to the Texas 35

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 1 yd to the Texas 34

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.23

Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 11 yds to the Texas 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Leddie Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 24

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the Texas 20

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.25

Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 20 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)

0th & 0Penalty+26 yds

STALEY, Evan kickoff 59 yards to the TEX6, JAMISON, D'Shawn return 26 yards to the TEX32 (MAHONE, Sean). PENALTY TEX Personal Foul enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards after the change of possession from the TEX18 to the TEX9. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Roschon Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 8

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.13

Casey Thompson pass complete to Cade Brewer for 7 yds to the Texas 15

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+1 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 44 yds , Isaiah Esdale returns for 1 yd to the WVirg 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Garrett Greene pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 11 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jarret Doege sacked by Ben Davis for 0 yards to the WVirg 37

2nd & 26Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Jarret Doege pass incomplete

3rd & 26Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.51

Leddie Brown run for 14 yds to the Texas 49

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Texas 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 55 yds , Isaiah Esdale returns for no gain to the WVirg 18

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 55 yds , Isaiah Esdale returns for no gain to the WVirg 18

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.68

Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 15

2nd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Banks for 5 yds to the WVirg 20

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Jarret Doege pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 6 yds to the Texas 41

3rd & 4Sack0 ydsPPA -0.72

Casey Thompson sacked by Josh Chandler-Semedo and Edward Vesterinen for 0 yards to the Texas 39

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Esdale at the WVirg 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jarret Doege pass complete to Kaden Prather for 3 yds to the WVirg 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jarret Doege pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.52

Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 31 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the Texas 44

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Leddie Brown run for 7 yds to the Texas 37

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.63

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 3 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Jarret Doege pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Leddie Brown run for no gain to the Texas 34

3rd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.92

Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 18 yds to the Texas 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the Texas 14 TEXAS Penalty, Targeting (7 Yards) to the Texas 14

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.75

Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 14 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 8

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Evan Staley kickoff for 58 yds , D'Shawn Jamison return for 28 yds to the Texas 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Keilan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Texas 38

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+4 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 41 yds , Isaiah Esdale returns for 4 yds to the WVirg 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 9 yds to the WVirg 34

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28

Leddie Brown run for no gain to the WVirg 34

3rd & 1Penalty-4 yds

WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the WVirg 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jarret Doege pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 49 yds , D'Shawn Jamison returns for no gain to the Texas 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 7 yds to the Texas 28

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.45

Roschon Johnson run for 6 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Roschon Johnson run for 7 yds to the Texas 41

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.45

Roschon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Keilan Robinson run for 5 yds to the WVirg 49

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +4.08

Keilan Robinson run for 49 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Cameron Dicker kickoff for 62 yds , Graeson Malashevich return for 15 yds to the WVirg 18

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the WVirg 23

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.63

Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Jarret Doege pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.79

Jarret Doege pass complete to Reese Smith for 9 yds to the WVirg 38

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.06

Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.57

Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 20 yds to the Texas 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the Texas 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.14

Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 14 yds to the Texas 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Leddie Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 26

2nd & 11Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.07

Jarret Doege pass complete to Kaden Prather for 19 yds to the Texas 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the Texas 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Leddie Brown run for 2 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 9 yds to the Texas 44

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.17

Roschon Johnson run for 8 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.90

Roschon Johnson run for 19 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

JOHNSON, Roschon rush up the middle for a loss of 4 yards to the WVU33 (ALSTON, Taijh;MATTHEWS, Jackie). PENALTY TEX Holding on WORTHY, Xavier enforced 10 yards from the WVU29 to the WVU39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

4th & 13Field Goal Good+50 yds

Cameron Dicker 50 yd FG GOOD

3rd & 20Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Roschon Johnson run for 7 yds to the WVirg 32

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the WVirg 29

2nd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.63

Leddie Brown run for 13 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.42

Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 19 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Jarret Doege pass complete to Kaden Prather for 3 yds to the Texas 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 5 yds to the Texas 31

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Jarret Doege pass incomplete

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Casey Legg 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 30

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Keilan Robinson run for 7 yds to the Texas 32

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Keilan Robinson run for 8 yds to the Texas 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Hudson Card pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty0 yds

TEXAS Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on ANGILAU, Junior ( Yards) declined

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Hudson Card run for 5 yds to the Texas 45

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Esdale at the WVirg 15

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the WVirg 21

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the WVirg 22

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.00

Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 6 yds to the WVirg 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Jarret Doege run for 3 yds to the WVirg 31

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 6 yds to the WVirg 37

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.13

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the WVirg 45

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

Jarret Doege pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Jarret Doege pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Hudson Card pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Roschon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Texas 26

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.73

Hudson Card pass complete to Marcus Washington for 10 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Texas 39

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Texas 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.92

Hudson Card pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 6 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +4.01

Hudson Card pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 52 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jarret Doege sacked by David Gbenda and Vernon Broughton for 0 yards to the WVirg 21

2nd & 14Sack0 ydsPPA -0.18

Jarret Doege sacked by T'Vondre Sweat for 0 yards to the WVirg 17

3rd & 18Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.19

Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 19 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.05

Leddie Brown run for 26 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.48

Leddie Brown run for 18 yds to the Texas 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

TEXAS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Darion Dunn) to the Texas 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the Texas 6

2nd & 6Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 7

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 7 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Keilan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Texas 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.80

Hudson Card pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 5 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.48

Hudson Card pass complete to Cade Brewer for 17 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.00

Hudson Card pass complete to Xavier Worthy for no gain to the WVirg 45

2nd & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.86

Keilan Robinson run for 25 yds to the WVirg 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Hudson Card pass complete to Cade Brewer for 9 yds to the WVirg 11

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.06

Keilan Robinson run for 5 yds to the WVirg 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Roschon Johnson 6 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jarret Doege pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.51

Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 20

3rd & 15Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.54

Jarret Doege pass complete to Reese Smith for 20 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Leddie Brown run for 12 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the Texas 43

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.54

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 6 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 5 yds to the Texas 32

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jarret Doege pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jarret Doege pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.99

Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 6 yds to the Texas 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.71

Leddie Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 28

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jarret Doege pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Jarret Doege pass incomplete

4th & 12Field Goal Good+45 yds

Casey Legg 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Hudson Card pass complete to Keilan Robinson for 16 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Roschon Johnson run for 7 yds to the Texas 48

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.28

Hudson Card pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 4 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the WVirg 45

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.18

Hudson Card run for 13 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Keilan Robinson run for 4 yds to the WVirg 28

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Hudson Card pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.31

Roschon Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 30

4th & 8Penalty-15 yds

TEXAS Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Block below the waist on KERSTETTER, Derek enforced (-15 Yards) to the WVirg 49

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the Texas 46

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the Texas 43

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the Texas 40

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the Texas 39

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the Texas 36

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.90

Jarret Doege pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Hudson Card pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Hudson Card pass complete to Cade Brewer for 4 yds to the Texas 40

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Hudson Card pass incomplete

No play data available

Situational Analysis

Texas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
83%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

West Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
35 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
9 plays
64%
11 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays