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← Back to GamesNov 20, 2021Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kansas State by 1.6

Home Win Probability

Kansas State 55%

Market (consensus)

Kansas State -2.5

Edge: Baylor +2.5 (0.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 20, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BaylorBaylor
7100320
Kansas StateKansas State
073010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-147-1710-1710-20
Kansas StateBaylor

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BAYBAYKSBAYKSBAYKSBAYKSBAYKSBAYKSBAYKSBAYKSBAYKSBAYPUNT36ydTD524ydDOWNS1045ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT53ydPUNT634ydPUNT721ydTD1574ydTD475ydFG1371ydPUNT34ydDOWNS537ydFG943ydTO727ydPUNT34ydFG1372ydMISS754ydDOWNS736ydTO519ydEND824yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Baylor and Kansas State
StatisticBaylorKansas State
Passing25-3515-30
Pass Yards213158
Rush Yards174105
Total Yards387263
Turnovers12
3rd Down7-164-13
Penalties3-252-17
Possession35:5424:06

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Baylor
passing
Blake Shapen
16/21, 137 YDS
rushing
Trestan Ebner
11 CAR, 66 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tyquan Thornton
5 REC, 75 YDS
defense
Kansas State
passing
Skylar John Thompson
15/29, 158 YDS
rushing
Deuce Vaughn
11 CAR, 128 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Malik Knowles
1 REC, 48 YDS
defense
Ross Elder
0.5 TFL

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY BAY Delay Of Game (Bohanon,Gerry) 5 yards from BAY20 to BAY15. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Abram Smith run for 5 yds to the Bayl 20

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Trestan Ebner run for 4 yds to the Bayl 24

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Abram Smith run for 2 yds to the Bayl 26

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Abram Smith run for 6 yds to the KanSt 18

2nd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 1 yd to the KanSt 17

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.54

Gerry Bohanon run for 9 yds to the KanSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 2 yds to the KanSt 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Trestan Ebner run for 6 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the KanSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 4 yds to the KanSt 29

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Thompson,Skylar pass incomplete to Knowles,Malik PENALTY BAY Roughing The Passer (Bernard,Terrel) 15 yards from KSU29 to KSU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd to the KanSt 43

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Skylar Thompson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 45

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.16

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 13 yds to the Bayl 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Sammy Wheeler for 4 yds to the Bayl 33

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Skylar Thompson run for 4 yds to the Bayl 37

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Tyrone Howell

4th & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -1.22

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 7 yds to the Bayl 30

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Trestan Ebner run for 2 yds to the Bayl 32

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to R.J. Sneed

3rd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.49

Gerry Bohanon sacked by Daniel Green for a loss of 8 yards to the Bayl 24

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 29

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the KanSt 36

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.55

Deuce Vaughn run for 6 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Skylar Thompson run for 10 yds to the KanSt 32

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Tyrone Howell

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Joe Ervin

4th & 20Punt+15 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 52 yds , Trestan Ebner returns for 15 yds to the Bayl 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Drew Estrada

2nd & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.76

Trestan Ebner run for 29 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 10 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.23

Gerry Bohanon sacked by Nate Matlack for a loss of 12 yards to the Bayl 43

2nd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Drew Estrada

3rd & 22Penalty0 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 18

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.02

Deuce Vaughn run for 25 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.45

Joe Ervin run for 3 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Malik Knowles run for 4 yds to the KanSt 49

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 5 yds to the Bayl 46

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Phillip Brooks

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 11

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 26

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Abram Smith run for 2 yds to the Bayl 28

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Trestan Ebner run for 1 yd to the Bayl 27

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 8 yds to the Bayl 35

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.91

Trestan Ebner run for 4 yds to the Bayl 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Abram Smith run for 2 yds to the Bayl 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.39

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Drake Dabney for 20 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Tyquan Thornton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 9 yds to the KanSt 30

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.42

Gerry Bohanon run for 4 yds to the KanSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Abram Smith run for 3 yds to the KanSt 29

2nd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.01

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Ben Sims for 14 yds to the KanSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Abram Smith run for 3 yds to the KanSt 12

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Abram Smith run for no gain to the KanSt 12

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.78

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 10 yds to the KanSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Drake Dabney for 2 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the KanSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Phillip Brooks

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Phillip Brooks

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the KanSt 35

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +5.24

Deuce Vaughn run for 65 yds for a TD, (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete pass complete to for 2 yds to the Bayl 25

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Trestan Ebner run for 11 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Abram Smith run for 2 yds to the Bayl 38

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Gerry Bohanon run for 7 yds to the Bayl 45

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.79

Gerry Bohanon run for 11 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Blake Shapen pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 1 yd to the KanSt 45

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Blake Shapen pass complete to Ben Sims for 7 yds to the KanSt 38

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Trestan Ebner run for 2 yds to the KanSt 40

4th & 6Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.29

Blake Shapen pass complete to Drew Estrada for 32 yds to the KanSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Blake Shapen pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 4 yds to the KanSt 4

2nd & 4Penalty+2 yds

Shapen,Blake pass incomplete to Thornton,Tyquan PENALTY KSU Pass Interference (Brents,Julius) 2 yards from KSU04 to KSU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rush+2 yds

Abram Smith run for 2 yds to the KanSt 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Drew Estrada

3rd & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

Isaiah Hankins 21 Yd Field Goal

0th & 4End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KanSt 39

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Deuce Vaughn

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.26

Blake Shapen pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 28 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Abram Smith run for 3 yds to the Bayl 48

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Monaray Baldwin run for 1 yd to the Bayl 49

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Blake Shapen pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 4 yds to the KanSt 47

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.25

Trestan Ebner run for 1 yd to the KanSt 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Landry Weber for 12 yds to the Bayl 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Joe Ervin run for 2 yds to the Bayl 40

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Sammy Wheeler

3rd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.16

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 18 yds to the Bayl 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.13

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 11 yds to the Bayl 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Sammy Wheeler

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Phillip Brooks

4th & 10Field Goal Good+28 yds

Chris Tennant 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Ty Zentner kickoff for 59 yds , Drew Estrada return for 26 yds to the Bayl 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Blake Shapen pass complete to Ben Sims for 4 yds to the Bayl 36

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kalon Barnes run for 4 yds to the Bayl 40

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.62

Blake Shapen pass complete to Abram Smith for 6 yds to the Bayl 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Abram Smith run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.25

Blake Shapen pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 12 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Blake Shapen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -3.12

Blake Shapen run for 3 yds to the KanSt 41 Blake Shapen fumbled, forced by Nate Matlack, recovered by KanSt TJ Smith

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 40

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 5 yds to the KanSt 45

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Phillip Brooks

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Blake Shapen pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 3 yds to the Bayl 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.56

Blake Shapen pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 15 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Blake Shapen pass incomplete to R.J. Sneed

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Blake Shapen pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 8 yds to the Bayl 44

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Blake Shapen pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 3 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Tyquan Thornton

2nd & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.55

Blake Shapen run for 28 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Blake Shapen pass complete to Drew Estrada for 7 yds to the KanSt 18

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.05

Abram Smith run for 9 yds to the KanSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Blake Shapen pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 3 yds to the KanSt 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Tyquan Thornton

3rd & 6Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.69

Blake Shapen sacked by Timmy Horne for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 10

4th & 10Field Goal Good+28 yds

Isaiah Hankins 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Skylar Thompson sacked by Gabe Hall for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 20

2nd & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.30

Deuce Vaughn run for 9 yds to the KanSt 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +4.18

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 48 yds to the Bayl 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Bayl 22

2nd & 9Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.65

Skylar Thompson sacked by Gabe Hall for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 23

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 2 yds to the Bayl 21

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+39 yds

Chris Tennant 39 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Blake Shapen pass complete to Drew Estrada for 2 yds to the Bayl 23

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Abram Smith run for 4 yds to the Bayl 27

3rd & 4Rush+31 ydsPPA +3.48

Trestan Ebner run for 31 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Trestan Ebner run for 1 yd to the KanSt 41

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Abram Smith run for 3 yds to the KanSt 38

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Abram Smith run for 5 yds to the KanSt 33

4th & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.62

Abram Smith run for 10 yds to the KanSt 43

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.05

Skylar Thompson sacked by Brayden Utley for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 38

2nd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Sammy Wheeler for 4 yds to the KanSt 42

3rd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.25

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Sammy Wheeler for 15 yds to the Bayl 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 5 yds to the Bayl 38

2nd & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -3.74

Jaren Lewis pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Blake Shapen run for 7 yds to the Bayl 45

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Blake Shapen run for 9 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Abram Smith run for 5 yds to the KanSt 41

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Abram Smith run for 1 yd to the KanSt 40

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Abram Smith run for 3 yds to the KanSt 37

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.69

Abram Smith run for 2 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 36

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.39

run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 38

Situational Analysis

Baylor

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
20%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
50%
16 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
29%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play

Kansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
20 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play