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← Back to GamesNov 6, 2021Week 10
BaylorBaylor
28
-Final
30
TCUTCU
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Baylor by 7.3

Home Win Probability

TCU 33%

Market (consensus)

TCU +7.5

Edge: TCU +7.5 (0.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 6, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BaylorBaylor
777728
TCUTCU
797730

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-710-713-1416-1423-1423-2130-2130-28
TCUBaylor

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TCUBAYTCUBAYTCUBAYTCUBAYTCUBAYTCUBAYTCUBAYTCUBAYTCUBAYTCUBAYTCUBAYTCUPUNT64ydTD362ydTO233ydPUNT31ydTD482ydPUNT41ydFG1164ydPUNT3-3ydFG710ydTD1175ydFG1068ydPUNT31ydEND1-1ydPUNT32ydTD1283ydTD775ydMISS555ydTO249ydTD1280ydTD1386ydMISS959ydTO446ydEND3-8yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Baylor and TCU
StatisticBaylorTCU
Passing14-2030-42
Pass Yards214468
Rush Yards17994
Total Yards393562
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-117-15
Penalties6-6513-111
Possession29:3630:24

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Baylor
passing
Gerry Bohannon
14/20, 214 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Abram Smith
18 CAR, 125 YDS
receiving
Tyquan Thornton
5 REC, 121 YDS, 2 TD
defense
TCU
passing
Chandler Morris
29/41, 461 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Chandler Morris
11 CAR, 70 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Quentin Johnston
5 REC, 142 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Chandler Morris run for 3 yds to the TCU 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.56

Chandler Morris pass complete to Dominic DiNunzio for no gain to the TCU 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Chandler Morris pass complete to Taye Barber for 10 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.06

Chandler Morris sacked by Gabe Hall for a loss of 8 yards to the TCU 30 Chandler Morris fumbled, recovered by TCU

2nd & 18Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.25

Kendre Miller run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 29

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Blair Conwright

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 33 yds, downed at the Bayl 38

1st & 10Rush+48 ydsPPA +2.40

Abram Smith run for 48 yds to the TCU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Abram Smith run for 7 yds to the TCU 7

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.24

Tyquan Thornton 7 Yd pass from Gerry Bohanon (Isaiah Hankins Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.78

Chandler Morris pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 33 yds to the Bayl 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -3.71

Kendre Miller run for no gain to the Bayl 42 Kendre Miller fumbled, recovered by Bayl Jalen Pitre

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Tyquan Thornton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 4 yds to the Bayl 46

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Bohanon, Gerry pass complete to Ebner, Trestan for 9 yards to the TCU45, PENALTY BAYLOR ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the BAYLOR41, NO PLAY.

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Gerry Bohanon run for 2 yds to the Bayl 43

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 39 yds, downed at the TCU 18

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chandler Morris run for 5 yds to the TCU 23

2nd & 5Pass Reception+63 ydsPPA +3.86

Chandler Morris pass complete to Derius Davis for 63 yds to the Bayl 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Emari Demercado run for 2 yds to the Bayl 12

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.72

Chandler Morris 12 Yd Run (Griffin Kell Kick)

3rd & 7Kickoff Return (Offense)+38 yds

Griffin Kell kickoff for 65 yds , Trestan Ebner return for 38 yds to the Bayl 38

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.60

Gerry Bohanon run for 19 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Abram Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 44

2nd & 11Penalty-15 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the Bayl 41

2nd & 26Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Abram Smith for 7 yds to the Bayl 48

3rd & 19Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.55

Gerry Bohanon sacked by Nook Bradford for a loss of 9 yards to the Bayl 39

4th & 28Punt+38 yds

Issac Power punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 33 TCU Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the TCU 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.55

Chandler Morris pass complete to Derius Davis for 3 yds to the TCU 26 for a 1ST down BAYLOR Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the TCU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Morris, Chandler rush for 6 yards to the TCU47, PENALTY TCU holding 10 yards to the TCU31, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.56

Chandler Morris pass complete to Emari Demercado for 13 yds to the TCU 44

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Emari Demercado run for 2 yds to the TCU 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.12

Chandler Morris pass complete to Blair Conwright for 7 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.08

Chandler Morris pass complete to Blair Conwright for 35 yds to the Bayl 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

TCU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Bayl 22

1st & 20Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.64

Chandler Morris pass complete to Quincy Brown for 14 yds to the Bayl 8

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.33

Chandler Morris pass complete to Derius Davis for 6 yds to the Bayl 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-14 ydsPPA -1.96

Emari Demercado run for 1 yd to the Bayl 1 TCU Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Bayl 16

2nd & 0Rush+3 yds

Chandler Morris run for 3 yds to the Bayl 13

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

4th & 13Field Goal Good+30 yds

Griffin Kell 30 yd FG GOOD

4th & 21Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Griffin Kell kickoff for 58 yds , Abram Smith return for 13 yds to the Bayl 48 BAYLOR Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Bayl 10

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Abram Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 8

2nd & 12Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.16

Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 6 yards to the Bayl 2

3rd & 18Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Trestan Ebner run for 5 yds to the Bayl 7

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Taye Barber pass complete to Chandler Morris for 7 yds to the Bayl 32

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Emari Demercado run for 3 yds to the Bayl 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Emari Demercado run for 3 yds to the Bayl 26

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.47

Emari Demercado run for 7 yds to the Bayl 19 TCU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Bayl 29

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+46 yds

Griffin Kell 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Trestan Ebner run for 6 yds to the Bayl 31

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Trestan Ebner run for 5 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Abram Smith run for 8 yds to the Bayl 44

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.10

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Ben Sims for 4 yds to the Bayl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 46

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 5 yds to the TCU 49

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Trestan Ebner run for 5 yds to the TCU 44

4th & 2Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.73

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Ben Sims for 17 yds to the TCU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Abram Smith run for 2 yds to the TCU 25

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Abram Smith run for 4 yds to the TCU 21

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.06

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Drake Dabney for 21 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chandler Morris run for 5 yds to the TCU 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Chandler Morris pass complete to Derius Davis for 6 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.46

Chandler Morris pass complete to Taye Barber for 16 yds to the Bayl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.68

Chandler Morris pass complete to Taye Barber for 12 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TCU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 41

1st & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.09

Chandler Morris pass complete to Emari Demercado for 16 yds to the Bayl 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.16

Chandler Morris pass complete to Emari Demercado for 12 yds to the Bayl 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the Bayl 8

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Chandler Morris run for 1 yd to the Bayl 7

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+24 yds

Griffin Kell 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Trestan Ebner run for 1 yd to the Bayl 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 23

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Emari Demercado run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 22

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Gerry Bohanon run for 3 yds to the Bayl 28

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Gerry Bohanon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+7 yds

Issac Power punt for 53 yds , Derius Davis returns for 7 yds to the TCU 34 TCU Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the TCU 17

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.48

Chandler Morris pass complete to Geor'Quarius Spivey for no gain to the TCU 17

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.22

Chandler Morris run for no gain to the TCU 17

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.38

Chandler Morris pass complete to Taye Barber for 11 yds to the TCU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TCU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TCU 23

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Emari Demercado run for no gain to the TCU 23

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.26

Chandler Morris pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 10 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST down BAYLOR Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the TCU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

TCU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TCU 38

1st & 20Penalty-5 yds

TCU Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the TCU 33

1st & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

2nd & 25Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.57

Chandler Morris pass complete to Blake Nowell for 12 yds to the TCU 45

3rd & 13Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.86

Chandler Morris pass complete to Taye Barber for 29 yds to the Bayl 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.16

Emari Demercado run for 11 yds to the Bayl 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.67

Chandler Morris run for 10 yds to the Bayl 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Chandler Morris pass complete to Dominic DiNunzio for 5 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Gerry Bohanon run for 1 yd to the Bayl 26

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Abram Smith run for 3 yds to the Bayl 29

3rd & 6Rush+28 ydsPPA +3.49

Abram Smith run for 28 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Abram Smith run for 1 yd to the TCU 42

2nd & 9Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.14

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 41 yds to the TCU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Abram Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 2

2nd & 0Penalty+1 yds

TCU Penalty, Defensive Offside (1 Yards) to the TCU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Trestan Ebner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+53 ydsPPA +3.43

Chandler Morris pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 53 yds to the Bayl 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Emari Demercado run for 2 yds to the Bayl 20

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston

4th & 8Blocked Field Goal+37 yds

Griffin Kell 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Chidi Ogbonnaya

1st & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.54

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 49 yds to the TCU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.16

Gerry Bohanon pass intercepted, touchback. Kee'Yon Stewart return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Emari Demercado run for 4 yds to the TCU 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.52

Chandler Morris pass complete to Emari Demercado for 14 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.09

Chandler Morris pass complete to Taye Barber for no gain to the TCU 38

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.44

Chandler Morris pass complete to Quincy Brown for 20 yds to the Bayl 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Emari Demercado run for 2 yds to the Bayl 40

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.89

Emari Demercado run for a loss of 4 yards to the Bayl 44

3rd & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.81

Chandler Morris pass complete to Quincy Brown for 12 yds to the Bayl 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Emari Demercado run for 5 yds to the Bayl 27

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.24

Chandler Morris run for 13 yds to the Bayl 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.68

Emari Demercado run for a loss of 5 yards to the Bayl 19

2nd & 15Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +3.23

Chandler Morris pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 19 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)

2nd & 15Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Griffin Kell kickoff for 65 yds , Trestan Ebner return for 14 yds to the Bayl 14

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Abram Smith run for 9 yds to the Bayl 23

2nd & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Ben Sims for no gain to the Bayl 23

3rd & 1Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.18

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 20 yds to the Bayl 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Trestan Ebner run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.31

Abram Smith run for 5 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Smith, Abram rush for no gain to the TCU45, PENALTY TCU face mask 15 yards to the TCU30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BAYLOR.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Abram Smith run for 2 yds to the TCU 28

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Abram Smith run for 1 yd to the TCU 27

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Trestan Ebner run for 8 yds to the TCU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Abram Smith for 4 yds to the TCU 15

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Abram Smith run for 5 yds to the TCU 10

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.50

Abram Smith run for 4 yds to the TCU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Abram Smith run for 2 yds to the TCU 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 4 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Emari Demercado run for 2 yds to the TCU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Chandler Morris pass complete to Derius Davis for 3 yds to the TCU 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.38

Chandler Morris pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 27 yds to the Bayl 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.84

Emari Demercado run for a loss of 4 yards to the Bayl 47

2nd & 14Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.56

Chandler Morris run for 26 yds to the Bayl 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Emari Demercado run for no gain to the Bayl 21

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Emari Demercado run for 5 yds to the Bayl 16

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Griffin Kell 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.70

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Ben Sims for 32 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

TCU Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the TCU 43

1st & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.37

Trestan Ebner run for 9 yds to the TCU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Trestan Ebner run for no gain to the TCU 34

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.40

Gerry Bohanon pass intercepted Shadrach Banks return for no gain to the TCU 28

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.10

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 25

2nd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.31

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 23

3rd & 15Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.11

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 20

Situational Analysis

Baylor

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
41%
22 plays
2nd
80%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
13%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

TCU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
43%
30 plays
60%
5 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
83%
6 plays
10%
10 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
50%
6 plays
4th