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← Back to GamesNov 6, 2021Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Iowa State by 12.6

Home Win Probability

Iowa State 80%

Market (consensus)

Iowa State -6

Edge: Iowa State -6 (6.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 6, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TexasTexas
07007
Iowa StateIowa State
3021630

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-710-724-727-730-7
Iowa StateTexas

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TEXISTEXISTEXISTEXISTEXISTEXISTEXISTEXISISTEXISTEXISTEXISTEXISTEXISTEXISTEXTO214ydFG732ydPUNT32ydDOWNS843ydPUNT30ydPUNT420ydPUNT39ydTO124ydPUNT520ydPUNT939ydTD1478ydPUNT33ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT615ydPUNT3-9ydEND1-1ydTD475ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT516ydPUNT34ydTD149ydPUNT3-9ydTD449ydPUNT514ydFG1186ydTO737ydFG928ydPUNT420ydPUNT3-2ydEND318yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas and Iowa State
StatisticTexasIowa State
Passing16-2928-39
Pass Yards103301
Rush Yards104175
Total Yards207476
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-163-13
Penalties7-646-45
Possession25:0234:58

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas
passing
Hudson Card
14/23, 101 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Bijan Robinson
18 CAR, 90 YDS
receiving
Bijan Robinson
8 REC, 36 YDS
defense
Iowa State
passing
Brock Purdy
27/38, 252 YDS
rushing
Breece Hall
19 CAR, 136 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Xavier Hutchinson
8 REC, 96 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Bijan Robinson run for 14 yds to the Texas 39 run for 14 yds to the Texas 39 Bijan Robinson fumbled, forced by Isheem Young, recovered by IowSt Isheem Young

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Breece Hall run for 11 yds to the Texas 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

run for 8 yds to the Texas 20

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA -0.25

Brock Purdy run for 10 yds to the Texas 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the Texas 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Brock Purdy pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Brock Purdy pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+24 yds

Andrew Mevis 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Bijan Robinson run for 6 yds to the Texas 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.26

Casey Thompson pass complete to Bijan Robinson for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 24

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.35

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 19 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 6 yds to the IowSt 49

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 9 yds to the Texas 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 4 yds to the Texas 38

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.64

Breece Hall run for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 41

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 4 yds to the Texas 37

4th & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -1.80

Brock Purdy run for 4 yds to the Texas 33

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.96

Casey Thompson sacked by Eyioma Uwazurike and Will McDonald IV for 0 yards to the Texas 27

2nd & 16Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Casey Thompson pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 6 yds to the Texas 33

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 26

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Brock Purdy run for 4 yds to the IowSt 30

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

HALL, Breece rush to the left for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU28 (BROCKERMEYER, Luke). PENALTY TEX Personal Foul on OJOMO, Moro enforced 15 yards from the ISU30 to the ISU45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

PURDY, Brock scrambles to the left for a gain of 27 yards to the TEX28 (FORD, Jaylan), out of bounds. PENALTY ISU Holding on DOWNING, Trevor enforced 10 yards from the ISU45 to the ISU35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.22

Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 11 yds to the IowSt 46

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Brock Purdy pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Brock Purdy pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the Texas 19

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.19

Casey Thompson run for 8 yds to the Texas 27

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.00

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 24 yds to the Texas 41

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Bijan Robinson run for 6 yds to the Texas 47

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.65

Bijan Robinson run for 6 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Hudson Card pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 2 yds to the IowSt 45

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Roschon Johnson run for 7 yds to the IowSt 38

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Hudson Card run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 39

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 38 yds, downed at the IowSt 1

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Brock Purdy run for 3 yds to the IowSt 4

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.43

Brock Purdy pass complete to Jared Rus for 10 yds to the IowSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 14

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 10 yds to the IowSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.05

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 23 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Brock Purdy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the IowSt 41

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Brock Purdy pass incomplete

3rd & 16Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.30

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 40

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Andrew Mevis punt for 38 yds, downed at the Texas 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Hudson Card pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 3 yds to the Texas 25

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Hudson Card pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.09

Hudson Card pass complete to Joshua Moore for 24 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.87

Bijan Robinson run for 14 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the IowSt 35

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the IowSt 30

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.64

Hudson Card run for 3 yds to the IowSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Roschon Johnson run for 6 yds to the IowSt 21

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the IowSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Hudson Card pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 6 yds to the IowSt 11

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.51

Bijan Robinson run for 6 yds to the IowSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the IowSt 3

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Xavier Worthy 4 Yd pass from Hudson Card (Cameron Dicker Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 5 yds to the IowSt 30

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.95

Breece Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Brock Purdy pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Andrew Mevis punt for 31 yds, fair catch by D'Shawn Jamison at the Texas 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Hudson Card pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Texas 44

3rd & 7Sack0 ydsPPA -0.65

Hudson Card sacked by Eyioma Uwazurike for 0 yards to the Texas 38

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 6 yds to the IowSt 24

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 2 yds to the IowSt 26

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.95

Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 4 yds to the IowSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Jirehl Brock run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 29

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Brock Purdy pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Brock Purdy run for 4 yds to the IowSt 33

4th & 7Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by Kelvontay Dixon blocked by Kelvontay Dixon

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Hudson Card pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Hudson Card pass complete to Cade Brewer for 3 yds to the IowSt 43

3rd & 7Penalty-15 yds

TEXAS Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Unsportsmanlike Conduct on WORTHY, Xavier enforced (-15 Yards) to the Texas 45

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 38 yds, downed at the IowSt 17

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 2 yds to the IowSt 27

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Breece Hall run for 6 yds to the IowSt 33

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Darrell Simmons Jr.) to the IowSt 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 10 yds to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PURDY, Brock pass to the right incomplete intended for HUTCHINSON, Xavier thrown to the TEX28. PENALTY TEX Pass Interference on THOMPSON, Josh enforced 15 yards to the TEX47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +3.61

Breece Hall 47 Yd Run (Andrew Mevis Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Andrew Mevis kickoff for 65 yds , D'Shawn Jamison return for 20 yds to the Texas 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Hudson Card run for 1 yd to the Texas 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Hudson Card pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 5 yds to the Texas 26

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brock Purdy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.00

Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 10 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Jarrod Hufford) to the IowSt 41

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the IowSt 46

2nd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.94

Brock Purdy sacked by Byron Murphy II for 0 yards to the IowSt 45

3rd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Brock Purdy run for 7 yds to the Texas 48

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Corey Dunn punt for 44 yds, downed at the Texas 4

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Texas 7

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.17

Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the Texas 8

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Hudson Card pass incomplete TEXAS Penalty, Holding Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on IMADE, Tope (Christian Jones) declined

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the Texas 49

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +3.76

Tarique Milton 49 Yd pass from Xavier Hutchinson (Andrew Mevis Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Andrew Mevis kickoff for 65 yds , D'Shawn Jamison return for 20 yds to the Texas 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Bijan Robinson run for no gain to the Texas 20

2nd & 10Penalty0 yds

TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Christian Jones) declined

3rd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.12

Hudson Card sacked by Will McDonald IV for 0 yards to the Texas 11

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 38 yds, downed at the Texas 49

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.00

Breece Hall run for 21 yds to the Texas 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the Texas 25

2nd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.71

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 23 yds to the Texas 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Breece Hall 2 Yd Run (Andrew Mevis Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Hudson Card pass complete to Joshua Moore for 8 yds to the Texas 33

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS Penalty, False Start (Junior Angilau) to the Texas 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Hudson Card pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 9 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the Texas 38

2nd & 9Sack0 ydsPPA -0.75

Hudson Card sacked for 0 yards to the Texas 39

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Hudson Card pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 59 yds, downed at the IowSt 2

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Breece Hall run for 7 yds to the IowSt 9

2nd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.29

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 11 yds to the IowSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Breece Hall run for 7 yds to the IowSt 27

2nd & 3Penalty+5 yds

TEXAS Penalty, Offsides (Moro Ojomo) to the IowSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the IowSt 36

2nd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.98

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 16 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.68

Breece Hall run for 12 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.43

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 19 yds to the Texas 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the Texas 12

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Breece Hall run for no gain to the Texas 12

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Brock Purdy pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+29 yds

Andrew Mevis 29 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Hudson Card pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Bijan Robinson run for 7 yds to the Texas 32

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.61

Bijan Robinson run for 7 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.11

Hudson Card pass complete to Cade Brewer for no gain to the Texas 39

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Bijan Robinson run for 6 yds to the Texas 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.07

Hudson Card pass complete to Kelvontay Dixon for 8 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Hudson Card pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 9 yds to the IowSt 38 TEXAS Penalty, Holding Holding on ANGILAU, Junior (Cade Brewer) declined

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Brock Purdy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.43

Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 15 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jirehl Brock run for 5 yds to the Texas 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 3 yds to the Texas 39

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.86

Brock Purdy run for 3 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Deon Silas run for 4 yds to the Texas 32

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 4 yds to the Texas 28

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Jirehl Brock run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 29

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Joey Ramos) to the Texas 34

4th & 8Field Goal Good+51 yds

Andrew Mevis 51 Yd Field Goal

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Andrew Mevis kickoff for 59 yds , D'Shawn Jamison return for 23 yds to the IOWAST 42 TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Morice Blackwell Jr.) to the Texas 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.94

Hudson Card pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 18 yds to the Texas 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Hudson Card pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Hudson Card pass complete to Keilan Robinson for 2 yds to the Texas 30

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Hudson Card pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 45 yds , Jaylin Noel returns for no gain to the IowSt 16

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

Deon Silas run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 14

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Deon Silas run for 1 yd to the IowSt 15

3rd & 11Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.09

Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 14

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Andrew Mevis punt for 43 yds, downed at the Texas 43

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Keilan Robinson run for 6 yds to the Texas 49

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.53

Keilan Robinson run for 5 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Keilan Robinson run for 7 yds to the IowSt 39

Situational Analysis

Texas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
40%
25 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
60%
5 plays
50%
14 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
25%
8 plays
4th

Iowa State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
52%
31 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
8 plays
70%
10 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
20%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play