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← Back to GamesOct 30, 2021Week 9
TexasTexas
24
-Final
31
BaylorBaylor
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Baylor by 7.2

Home Win Probability

Baylor 65%

Market (consensus)

Baylor -2.5

Edge: Baylor -2.5 (4.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 30, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TexasTexas
1407324
BaylorBaylor
10071431

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-710-710-1410-2117-2124-2131-24
BaylorTexas

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BAYTEXBAYTEXBAYTEXBAYTEXBAYTEXBAYTEXBAYTEXBAYTEXBAYTEXBAYTEXBAYTEXBAYTEXBAYTO222ydTD431ydTD1175ydPUNT3-9ydFG953ydTD275ydMISS639ydDOWNS623ydDOWNS47ydTO632ydPUNT513ydPUNT430ydTO416ydTO35ydEND10ydTD1475ydTD975ydPUNT421ydTD1480ydDOWNS828ydTD353ydFG1066ydPUNT512ydDOWNS40ydEND3-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas and Baylor
StatisticTexasBaylor
Passing23-3818-31
Pass Yards280196
Rush Yards102231
Total Yards382427
Turnovers22
3rd Down3-145-12
Penalties4-301-10
Possession27:0632:54

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas
passing
Casey Thompson
23/38, 280 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Bijan Robinson
17 CAR, 43 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Xavier Worthy
4 REC, 115 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Baylor
passing
Gerry Bohannon
17/30, 190 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Abram Smith
21 CAR, 145 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
R.J. Sneed
8 REC, 94 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 22 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.90

Gerry Bohanon pass intercepted return for no gain to the Bayl 31

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.90

Gerry Bohanon pass intercepted return for no gain to the Bayl 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.27

Casey Thompson pass complete to Joshua Moore for 15 yds to the Bayl 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Casey Thompson pass complete to Cade Brewer for 1 yd to the Bayl 15

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Bayl 10

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.78

C. Thompson pass,to J. Moore for 10 yds for a TD, (C. Dicker KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Abram Smith run for 7 yds to the Bayl 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Abram Smith run for 4 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Drew Estrada for 12 yds to the Bayl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.91

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 11 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Trestan Ebner run for 5 yds to the Texas 36

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.33

Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 38

3rd & 7Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.87

Trestan Ebner run for 18 yds to the Texas 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 7 yds to the Texas 13

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 7 yds to the Texas 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

T. Thornton pass,to R. Sneed for 6 yds for a TD, (I. Hankins KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS Penalty, Delay Of Game (Brenden Schooler) to the Texas 20

1st & 15Sack0 ydsPPA -0.33

Casey Thompson sacked by Siaki Ika for 0 yards to the Texas 12

2nd & 23Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Texas 15

3rd & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.02

Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the Texas 16

4th & 19Punt+2 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 58 yds , Trestan Ebner returns for 2 yds to the Bayl 28

4th & 19Punt+2 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 58 yds , Trestan Ebner returns for 2 yds to the Bayl 28

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Abram Smith run for 9 yds to the Bayl 37

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.35

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete

3rd & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +1.03

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Gavin Yates for 2 yds to the Bayl 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Trestan Ebner run for 2 yds to the Bayl 41

2nd & 8Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.39

Abram Smith run for 20 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

SMITH, Abram rush to the right for a gain of 1 yard to the TEX38 (OJOMO, Moro). PENALTY TEX Personal Foul on OJOMO, Moro enforced 15 yards from the TEX39 to the TEX24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.09

Abram Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 27

3rd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 8 yds to the Texas 19

4th & 5Field Goal Good+38 yds

Isaiah Hankins 38 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Casey Thompson pass complete to Joshua Moore for 12 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +5.05

C. Thompson pass,to X. Worthy for 63 yds for a TD, (C. Dicker KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Cameron Dicker kickoff for 64 yds , Trestan Ebner return for 27 yds to the Bayl 28

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Trestan Ebner run for 4 yds to the Bayl 32

2nd & 6Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.97

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Abram Smith for 32 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Trestan Ebner run for no gain to the Texas 36

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Abram Smith run for 3 yds to the Texas 33

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+51 yds

Isaiah Hankins 51 yd FG MISSED

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+51 yds

Isaiah Hankins 51 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the Texas 34

2nd & 9Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.38

Casey Thompson run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Casey Thompson pass complete to Jared Wiley for 3 yds to the Bayl 47

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the Bayl 46

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Bayl 44

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.27

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.27

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Trestan Ebner run for 4 yds to the Bayl 48

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Abram Smith run for 5 yds to the Texas 47

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.38

Abram Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 49

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.38

Abram Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 49

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Juan Davis run for 3 yds to the Bayl 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 6 yds to the Bayl 42

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.95

run for 6 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Bayl 32

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.25

Casey Thompson pass complete to Joshua Moore for 13 yds to the Bayl 29

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Abram Smith run for 1 yd to the Bayl 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.65

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 10 yds to the Bayl 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.69

Abram Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 38

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 4 yds to the Bayl 42

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 58 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.92

Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 23 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 6 yds to the Texas 49

2nd & 4Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.48

Casey Thompson pass complete to Keilan Robinson for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 48

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 8

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Gerry Bohanon run for 6 yds to the Bayl 14

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Gerry Bohanon run for 10 yds to the Bayl 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.85

Gerry Bohanon pass intercepted return for no gain to the Bayl 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Casey Thompson pass complete to Cade Brewer for 5 yds to the Bayl 29

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.46

Casey Thompson pass intercepted return for no gain to the Texas 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 19 yds to the Texas 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Texas 48

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Bayl 48

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the Bayl 47

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.26

run for 4 yds to the Bayl 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS Penalty, False Start (Xavier Worthy) to the Bayl 48

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Bijan Robinson run for 7 yds to the Bayl 41

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.30

Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 22 yds to the Bayl 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Casey Thompson pass complete to Cade Brewer for 9 yds to the Bayl 10

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Bayl 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Bayl 5

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Casey Thompson pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 4 yds to the Bayl 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

B. Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD, (C. Dicker KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 23 yds to the Bayl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Abram Smith run for 4 yds to the Texas 48

2nd & 6Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.46

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 23 yds to the Texas 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Abram Smith run for 6 yds to the Texas 19

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.72

Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 20

4th & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.66

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 14 yds to the Texas 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Abram Smith run for no gain to the Texas 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

G. Bohanon run for 6 yds for a TD, (I. Hankins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Casey Thompson run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Bijan Robinson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 46

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

4th & 14Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by R.J. Sneed blocked by R.J. Sneed

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.55

Trestan Ebner run for 9 yds to the Bayl 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Abram Smith run for 2 yds to the Bayl 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Abram Smith run for 4 yds to the Bayl 35

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.93

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 6 yds to the Bayl 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Trestan Ebner run for 6 yds to the Bayl 47

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.57

Gerry Bohanon run for 5 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Drew Estrada for 5 yds to the Texas 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.03

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Ben Sims for 28 yds to the Texas 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 7 yds to the Texas 8

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.04

Abram Smith run for 6 yds to the Texas 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Abram Smith run for 1 yd to the Texas 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

B. Sims run for 1 yd for a TD, (I. Hankins KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 4 yds to the Texas 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.44

Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 11 yds to the Texas 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Casey Thompson run for 4 yds to the Texas 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.24

Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 8 yds to the Bayl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -1.07

Casey Thompson sacked for 0 yards to the Texas 46

2nd & 16Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.12

Casey Thompson pass complete to Jared Wiley for 10 yds to the Bayl 44

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS Penalty, False Start (Tope Imade) to the Bayl 49

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

4th & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Cameron Dicker run for 2 yds to the Bayl 47

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Trestan Ebner run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.64

Trestan Ebner run for 18 yds to the Texas 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

A. Smith run for 32 yds for a TD, (I. Hankins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Texas 29

2nd & 6Penalty+10 yds

THOMPSON, Casey pass up the middle incomplete intended for MOORE, Joshua thrown to the TEX45. PENALTY BAY Holding on BARNES, Kalon enforced 10 yards from the TEX29 to the TEX39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.17

Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 13 yds to the Bayl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Bijan Robinson run for 9 yds to the Bayl 39

2nd & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA -0.14

Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 10 yds to the Bayl 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.76

Casey Thompson pass complete to Joshua Moore for 14 yds to the Bayl 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

run for 6 yds to the Bayl 9

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Bijan Robinson run for no gain to the Bayl 9

4th & 4Field Goal Good+27 yds

Cameron Dicker 27 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Cameron Dicker kickoff for 65 yds , Trestan Ebner return for 16 yds to the Bayl 16

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Abram Smith run for 7 yds to the Bayl 23

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.60

Abram Smith run for 9 yds to the Bayl 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Abram Smith for 1 yd to the Bayl 33

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -0.90

Drew Estrada run for a loss of 5 yards to the Bayl 28 fumbled, recovered by Bayl Drew Estrada

3rd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.13

Gerry Bohanon run for no gain to the Bayl 28

4th & 14Punt+4 yds

Issac Power punt for 44 yds , D'Shawn Jamison returns for 4 yds to the Texas 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.21

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

No play data available

Situational Analysis

Texas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
26 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Baylor

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
45%
31 plays
2nd
83%
6 plays
56%
9 plays
56%
9 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play