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← Back to GamesOct 23, 2021Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas Tech by 3.5

Home Win Probability

Texas Tech 57%

Market (consensus)

Texas Tech +1

Edge: Texas Tech +1 (4.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 23, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Kansas StateKansas State
0109625
Texas TechTexas Tech
14100024

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142814-014-721-724-1024-1924-25
Texas TechKansas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TTTTKSTTKSTTKSTTKSTTKSTTKSTTKSTTKSTTKSTD275ydTD623ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT3-6ydTD1478ydTD1075ydPUNT725ydTO20ydFG629ydFG1066ydPUNT38ydSAF10ydTD669ydPUNT725ydTO961ydDOWNS738ydTD966ydDOWNS923ydEND311yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kansas State and Texas Tech
StatisticKansas StateTexas Tech
Passing24-3010-19
Pass Yards306148
Rush Yards71170
Total Yards377318
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-132-11
Penalties12-935-40
Possession35:3024:30

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kansas State
passing
Skylar John Thompson
24/30, 306 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Deuce Vaughn
15 CAR, 52 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Deuce Vaughn
7 REC, 68 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Texas Tech
passing
Henry Colombi
10/17, 148 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Erik Ezukanma
2 CAR, 45 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Myles Price
4 REC, 64 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +3.48

Erik Ezukanma run for 45 yds for a TD (Jonathan Garibay KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the KanSt 22

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Henry Colombi run for 5 yds to the KanSt 17 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jahron McPherson) to the KanSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 6

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 3 yds to the KanSt 3

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Donovan Smith run for 2 yds to the KanSt 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Garibay KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.54

Skylar Thompson run for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 21

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt+27 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 54 yds , Myles Price returns for 27 yds to the KanSt 48

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Henry Colombi run for no gain to the KanSt 48

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Henry Colombi pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.77

Henry Colombi sacked by Nate Matlack for 0 yards to the TexTc 46

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Austin McNamara punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 23

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 18

2nd & 14Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.63

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 14 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.93

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 30 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Joe Ervin run for 1 yd to the TexTc 34

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

ERVIN, Joe rush to the right for no gain to the TTU34 (SCHOOLER, Colin). PENALTY KSU Holding on RIVAS, Josh enforced 10 yards from the TTU34 to the TTU44 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 19Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.52

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Landry Weber for 12 yds to the TexTc 32

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 3 yds to the TexTc 29

4th & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.66

Skylar Thompson run for 7 yds to the TexTc 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 27

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the TexTc 22

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the TexTc 20

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 11 yds to the TexTc 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Skylar Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 10

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.35

Deuce Vaughn run for 9 yds to the TexTc 1

3rd & 1Penalty0 yds

QB Keeper THOMPSON, Skylar rush up the middle for no gain to the TTU1 (HUTCHINGS, Jaylon). PENALTY TTU Offsides on WILSON, Tyree enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the TTU1 to the TTU0 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd for a TD (Taiten Winkel KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 7 yds to the TexTc 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Xavier White run for 2 yds to the TexTc 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Henry Colombi run for 1 yd to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Xavier White run for 3 yds to the TexTc 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.00

Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 40 yds to the KanSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Donovan Smith run for 6 yds to the KanSt 16

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the KanSt 13

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Donovan Smith run for no gain to the KanSt 13

4th & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

SaRodorick Thompson run for 9 yds to the KanSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

SaRodorick Thompson run for 4 yds for a TD (Jonathan Garibay KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Deuce Vaughn run for 14 yds to the KanSt 39 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the KanSt 17

1st & 18Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Malik Knowles run for 4 yds to the KanSt 21

2nd & 14Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.20

Joe Ervin run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 20

3rd & 15Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.11

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Kade Warner for 26 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Erik Ezukanma run for no gain to the TexTc 20

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.06

Henry Colombi pass intercepted return for no gain to the TexTc 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 5 yds to the TexTc 30

2nd & 5Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.57

Malik Knowles run for 22 yds to the TexTc 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 9

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 3 yds to the TexTc 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Taiten Winkel 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Henry Colombi run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 24

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +4.31

Henry Colombi pass complete to Travis Koontz for 48 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.81

Henry Colombi pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 28

2nd & 13Sack0 ydsPPA -0.78

Henry Colombi sacked by Tyrone Taleni for 0 yards to the KanSt 30

3rd & 15Penalty+12 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, Roughing the Passer on HENTZ II, Robert enforced half the distance from the goal (12 Yards) to the KanSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Henry Colombi pass incomplete

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Henry Colombi run for no gain to the KanSt 9

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Henry Colombi pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+27 yds

Jonathan Garibay 27 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 1 yd to the KanSt 27

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Skylar Thompson run for 6 yds to the KanSt 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 63 yds, downed at the TexTc 4

1st & 10Safety-4 ydsPPA -2.06

SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 4 yards for a SAFETY

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.56

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 32 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.53

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 26 yds to the TexTc 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the TexTc 11

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.35

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Jax Dineen for 9 yds to the TexTc 2

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Joe Ervin run for no gain to the TexTc 2

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.80

Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds for a TD (Taiten Winkel KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.59

Henry Colombi pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 21 yds to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Xavier White run for 4 yds to the TexTc 48

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, Offsides (Eli Huggins) to the KanSt 47

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Henry Colombi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Kaylon Geiger pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Henry Colombi pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Austin McNamara punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 8 yds to the KanSt 28

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.77

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Landry Weber for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Joe Ervin run for 9 yds to the TexTc 41

2nd & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA -0.09

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 10 yds to the TexTc 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

THOMPSON, Skylar pass to the left incomplete dropped by WEBER, Landry thrown to the TTU0. PENALTY KSU Holding on SINNOTT, Ben enforced 10 yards from the TTU31 to the TTU41 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.42

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 14 yds to the TexTc 27

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 26

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.77

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Nick Lenners for 7 yds to the TexTc 28

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Donovan Smith run for 5 yds to the TexTc 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.90

Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 6 yds to the TexTc 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.76

Tahj Brooks run for 23 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the KanSt 35

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

COLOMBI, Henry pass up the middle complete for 3 yards to KOONTZ, Travis caught at the KSU37 and advanced to the KSU32 (MCPHERSON, Jahron). PENALTY TTU Holding on STORMENT, T.J. enforced 10 yards from the KSU35 to the KSU45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Henry Colombi pass incomplete

3rd & 17Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.23

Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 11 yds to the KanSt 34

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.97

Henry Colombi pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Deuce Vaughn run for 12 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (Jax Dineen) to the KanSt 41

1st & 15Sack0 ydsPPA -0.91

Skylar Thompson sacked by Tyree Wilson for 0 yards to the KanSt 37

2nd & 19Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (Christian Duffie) to the KanSt 32

2nd & 24Sack0 ydsPPA -0.15

Skylar Thompson sacked by Tyree Wilson for 0 yards to the KanSt 22

3rd & 34Penalty+15 yds

TEXAS TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Devin Drew) to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 7 yds to the TexTc 38

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Kade Warner for 9 yds to the TexTc 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Sammy Wheeler for 7 yds to the TexTc 22

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.44

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 22 yds for a TD

0th & 65Penalty-5 yds

ZENTNER, Ty kickoff 60 yards to the TTU5, MARTINEZ, Nehemiah return 23 yards to the TTU28 (MOORE, Austin;DANIELS, Omar). PENALTY KSU Offsides on MUNOZ, Eric enforced 5 yards from the KSU35 to the KSU30. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

THOMPSON, SaRodorick rush to the left for a gain of 13 yards to the TTU38 (FLETCHER, Cody). PENALTY TTU Holding on KOONTZ, Travis enforced 10 yards from the TTU25 to the TTU15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.69

SaRodorick Thompson run for 28 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 45

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Myles Price run for 4 yds to the TexTc 49

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Donovan Smith run for 2 yds to the KanSt 49

4th & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +2.37

Henry Colombi pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 3 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the KanSt 42

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.53

Myles Price run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 44

3rd & 8Sack0 ydsPPA -0.96

Henry Colombi sacked by Felix Anudike-Uzomah for 0 yards to the TexTc 48

4th & 16Rush0 ydsPPA +0.04

Henry Colombi run for no gain to the TexTc 48

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Deuce Vaughn run for 6 yds to the TexTc 42

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.31

Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Kansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
20 plays
50%
4 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Texas Tech

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
25%
20 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play