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← Back to GamesOct 23, 2021Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

TCU by 9.3

Home Win Probability

TCU 71%

Market (consensus)

TCU -4.5

Edge: TCU -4.5 (4.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 23, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
West VirginiaWest Virginia
10103629
TCUTCU
7100017

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-37-1014-1317-2017-2317-29
TCUWest Virginia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WVTCUWVTCUWVTCUWVTCUWVWVTCUWVTCUWVTCUWVTCUWVTCUWVTCUFG979ydPUNT629ydTD1594ydPUNT632ydFG671ydTD974ydTD665ydFG973ydEND15ydPUNT619ydTO957ydFG510ydPUNT35ydPUNT835ydTO10ydTD315ydDOWNS932ydFG639ydTO243ydDOWNS940ydDOWNS738yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing West Virginia and TCU
StatisticWest VirginiaTCU
Passing22-2916-26
Pass Yards258244
Rush Yards229149
Total Yards487393
Turnovers03
3rd Down6-144-12
Penalties5-457-45
Possession35:3024:30

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

West Virginia
passing
Jarret Doege
21/28, 257 YDS
rushing
Leddie Brown
24 CAR, 111 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Sean Ryan
4 REC, 81 YDS
defense
TCU
passing
Max Duggan
16/26, 244 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Zach Evans
18 CAR, 62 YDS
receiving
Quentin Johnston
5 REC, 113 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 8 yds to the WVirg 18

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the WVirg 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 6 yds to the WVirg 28

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.63

Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +2.69

Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 44 yds to the TCU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Doege,Jarret pass incomplete to Ryan,Sean PENALTY TCU Pass Interference (Ceasar,C.J.) 5 yards from TCU22 to TCU17, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Leddie Brown run for no gain to the TCU 17

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Jarret Doege pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 6 yds to the TCU 11

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sean Ryan

4th & 4Field Goal Good+27 yds

Casey Legg 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 19 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Zach Evans run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Zach Evans run for 8 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the WVirg 39

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Blair Conwright

3rd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.15

Max Duggan sacked by Dante Stills for a loss of 7 yards to the WVirg 46

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.32

Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 10 yds to the WVirg 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.89

Leddie Brown run for 14 yds to the WVirg 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Doege,Jarret pass incomplete to Esdale,Isaiah PENALTY TCU Holding (Bethley,Corey) 10 yards from WVU30 to WVU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 3 yds to the WVirg 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.34

Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 10 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 10 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 7 yds to the TCU 28

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.08

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 5 yds to the TCU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 6 yds to the TCU 17

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Winston Wright Jr.

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the TCU 14

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.57

Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the TCU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the TCU 8

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the TCU 5

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.71

Leddie Brown run for 5 yds for a TD (Casey Legg KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 17 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Zach Evans run for 1 yd to the TCU 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.01

Max Duggan pass complete to Zach Evans for 12 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Zach Evans run for 4 yds to the WVirg 41

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the WVirg 38

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.04

Derius Davis run for 5 yds to the WVirg 43

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Esdale at the WVirg 8

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVirg 11

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY WVU False Start (Yates,Brandon) 5 yards from WVU11 to WVU06. NO PLAY.

2nd & 12Rush+67 ydsPPA +4.50

Garrett Greene run for 67 yds to the TCU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Garrett Greene run for 2 yds to the TCU 25

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 3 yds to the TCU 22

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Garrett Greene pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 1 yd to the TCU 21

4th & 4Field Goal Good+38 yds

Casey Legg 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.00

Max Duggan pass complete to Zach Evans for 22 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Duggan,Max pass incomplete to Barber,Taye PENALTY WVU Pass Interference (Woods,Charles) 15 yards from TCU48 to WVU37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.39

Max Duggan pass complete to Savion Williams for 14 yds to the WVirg 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Max Duggan run for 2 yds to the WVirg 21

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the WVirg 18

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.51

Max Duggan pass complete to Quincy Brown for 6 yds to the WVirg 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Zach Evans run for 5 yds to the WVirg 7

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the WVirg 5

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.96

Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 5 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jarret Doege pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 2 yds to the WVirg 37

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Jarret Doege run for 7 yds to the WVirg 44

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.02

Jarret Doege run for 1 yd to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +1.72

Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 40 yds to the TCU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.62

Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 14 yds to the TCU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Leddie Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Casey Legg KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Zach Evans run for 4 yds to the TCU 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.73

Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 49 yds to the WVirg 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY TCU False Start (Coker,Andrew) 5 yards from WVU27 to WVU32. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the WVirg 29

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Max Duggan run for 5 yds to the WVirg 24

3rd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.24

Max Duggan run for 17 yds to the WVirg 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Penalty-10 yds

Evans,Zach rush for 4 yards gain to the WVU03 (Loe,Exree) PENALTY TCU Holding (Eze,Obinna) 10 yards from WVU07 to WVU17. NO PLAY.

1st & 17Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 1 yd to the WVirg 18

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston

3rd & 18Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.12

Max Duggan pass complete to Savion Williams for 16 yds to the WVirg 2

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY TCU Delay Of Game 5 yards from WVU02 to WVU07. NO PLAY.

4th & 7Field Goal Good+24 yds

Griffin Kell 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the WVirg 30

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Kell,Griffin kickoff 65 yards to the WVU00 Wright,Winston return 21 yards to the WVU21 (Foster,Josh) PENALTY TCU Offside (Brooks,Marcel) 5 yards from TCU35 to TCU30. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Brown,Leddie rush for 6 yards gain to the WVU38, out of bounds PENALTY WVU Holding (Milum,Wyatt) 10 yards from WVU32 to WVU22. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.56

Jarret Doege pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 10 yds to the WVirg 32

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 8 yds to the WVirg 40

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.53

Jarret Doege pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 5 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Winston Wright Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the TCU 49

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Leddie Brown

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Kendre Miller run for 9 yds to the TCU 29

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kendre Miller run for 4 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.29

Kendre Miller run for 28 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the WVirg 42

2nd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Emari Demercado run for 7 yds to the WVirg 35

3rd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.30

Max Duggan run for 6 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY TCU False Start (Coleman,Brandon) 5 yards from WVU29 to WVU34. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Max Duggan run for 7 yds to the WVirg 27

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Emari Demercado run for 4 yds to the WVirg 23

3rd & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -3.86

Max Duggan pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.45

Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 11 yds to the TCU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the TCU 27

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the TCU 26

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY WVU False Start (O'Laughlin,Mike) 5 yards from TCU26 to TCU31. NO PLAY.

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the TCU 32

4th & 11Field Goal Good+49 yds

Casey Legg 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Zach Evans run for 4 yds to the TCU 35

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Max Duggan pass complete to Zach Evans for 1 yd to the TCU 36

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 49 yds , Isaiah Esdale returns for no gain to the WVirg 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 2 yds to the WVirg 15

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVirg 17

3rd & 6Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.75

Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 27 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sam James

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.05

Jarret Doege pass complete to Reese Smith for 11 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.51

Jarret Doege sacked by Corey Bethley for a loss of 7 yards to the WVirg 48

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sean Ryan

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Leddie Brown

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.61

Max Duggan pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the TCU 14

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.35

Leddie Brown run for 11 yds to the TCU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Leddie Brown run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Zach Evans run for 6 yds to the TCU 34

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.13

Zach Evans run for 10 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Kendre Miller run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Kendre Miller run for 3 yds to the WVirg 47

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.07

Kendre Miller run for 4 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Zach Evans

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the WVirg 40

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Zach Evans run for 5 yds to the WVirg 35

4th & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.79

Zach Evans run for 5 yds to the WVirg 40

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the WVirg 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.14

Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 27 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the TCU 28

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 3 yds to the TCU 31

3rd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 10 yds to the TCU 21

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Casey Legg 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.80

Max Duggan pass complete to Quincy Brown for 14 yds to the TCU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+29 ydsPPA +2.50

Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 29 yds Quentin Johnston fumbled, forced by Sean Mahone, recovered by WVirg Charles Woods

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.56

Leddie Brown run for 24 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the TCU 28

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the TCU 25

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.40

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 4 yds to the TCU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 2 yds to the TCU 19

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 17 yds to the TCU 2 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Reese Smith) to the TCU 25

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 2 yds to the TCU 23

3rd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 6 yds to the TCU 17

4th & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -3.39

Tony Mathis Jr. run for no gain to the TCU 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.78

Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 23 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Marcel Brooks

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.20

Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 12 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quincy Brown

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Max Duggan pass complete to Marcel Brooks for 6 yds to the WVirg 42

3rd & 4Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.69

Max Duggan sacked by Akheem Mesidor for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 45

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Derius Davis

Situational Analysis

West Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
48%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
58%
12 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

TCU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
54%
24 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
6 plays
38%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play