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← Back to GamesOct 16, 2021Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Iowa State by 4.1

Home Win Probability

Kansas State 35%

Market (consensus)

Kansas State +6.5

Edge: Kansas State +6.5 (2.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 16, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Iowa StateIowa State
10107633
Kansas StateKansas State
7001320

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-107-177-207-2713-2720-3020-33
Kansas StateIowa State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ISKSISKSISKSISKSISKSISKSISKSISKSISKSTD175ydPUNT36ydPUNT37ydTO29ydFG625ydTD764ydPUNT39ydMISS941ydTD1380ydPUNT3-10ydEND740ydPUNT421ydTD1893ydTD1175ydFG552ydTD1175ydFG822ydUncategorized766yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Iowa State and Kansas State
StatisticIowa StateKansas State
Passing22-2515-23
Pass Yards208206
Rush Yards210136
Total Yards418342
Turnovers01
3rd Down9-156-11
Penalties4-344-15
Possession33:4526:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Iowa State
passing
Brock Purdy
22/25, 208 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Breece Hall
30 CAR, 197 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jaylin Noel
5 REC, 48 YDS
defense
Kansas State
passing
Skylar John Thompson
15/23, 206 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Deuce Vaughn
18 CAR, 99 YDS
receiving
Phillip Brooks III
3 REC, 54 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Breece Hall run for 75 yds for a TD, (Andrew Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+32 yds

Andrew Mevis kickoff for 62 yds , Malik Knowles return for 32 yds to the KanSt 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 38

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 41

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 59 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the IowSt 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 5 yds to the IowSt 27

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 27

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Cameron Shook punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 38

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Deuce Vaughn run for 9 yds to the KanSt 47

2nd & 1Pass Interception Return+18 ydsPPA -3.41

Skylar Thompson pass intercepted Greg Eisworth II return for 18 yds to the IowSt 48

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the KanSt 48

2nd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.32

Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 17 yds to the KanSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the KanSt 26

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie Kolar

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 4 yds to the KanSt 22

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 27

4th & 6Field Goal Good+44 yds

Andrew Mevis 44 yd FG GOOD

4th & 6Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Andrew Mevis kickoff for 59 yds , Malik Knowles return for 30 yds to the KanSt 36

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 39

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Joe Ervin run for 5 yds to the KanSt 44

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Joe Ervin run for 3 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -2.98

Skylar Thompson sacked by Eyioma Uwazurike for a loss of 13 yards to the KanSt 34 KANSAS ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the KanSt 34

2nd & 23Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.44

Deuce Vaughn run for 10 yds to the KanSt 44

3rd & 13Rush+16 ydsPPA +3.45

Joe Ervin run for 16 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 40 yds for a TD, (Taiten Winkel KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Ty Zentner kickoff for 65 yds , Jaylin Noel return for 21 yds to the IowSt 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 6 yds to the IowSt 27

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the IowSt 30

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 30

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Cameron Shook punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Kade Warner for 5 yds to the KanSt 49

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the IowSt 49

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.67

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 7 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the IowSt 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.94

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 17 yds to the IowSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Tyrone Howell

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 27

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Phillip Brooks

3rd & 15Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Deuce Vaughn run for 12 yds to the IowSt 15

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Taiten Winkel 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the IowSt 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Tarique Milton

3rd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.26

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 17 yds to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Brock Purdy run for no gain to the IowSt 39

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 5 yds to the IowSt 44

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.06

Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.05

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 21 yds to the KanSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the KanSt 26

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the KanSt 36

2nd & 17Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.97

Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 25 yds to the KanSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the KanSt 7

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the KanSt 4

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.70

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the KanSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Breece Hall run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 20

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Joe Ervin run for 3 yds to the KanSt 23

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd to the KanSt 24

3rd & 11Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.22

Skylar Thompson sacked by Will McDonald IV for a loss of 9 yards to the KanSt 15 Skylar Thompson fumbled, recovered by KanSt

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 11 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Brock Purdy pass complete to Darren Wilson Jr. for 4 yds to the KanSt 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.35

Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 16 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Breece Hall run for 6 yds to the KanSt 27

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.14

Breece Hall run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 30

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 6 yds to the KanSt 24

4th & 1Field Goal Good+41 yds

Andrew Mevis 41 yd FG GOOD

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 17 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KanSt 46

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the KanSt 46

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Phillip Brooks

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Breece Hall run for 6 yds to the IowSt 13

2nd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.60

Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 12 yds to the IowSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 24

3rd & 11Penalty+5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the IowSt 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.70

Brock Purdy pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 7 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Tarique Milton

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Breece Hall run for 6 yds to the IowSt 42

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.01

Brock Purdy run for 7 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Breece Hall run for 9 yds to the KanSt 42

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Brock Purdy run for no gain to the KanSt 42

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.91

Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.37

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 13 yds to the KanSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the KanSt 20

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Jirehl Brock run for 1 yd to the KanSt 19

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.53

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 6 yds to the KanSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the KanSt 12

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the KanSt 11

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.01

Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 11 yds for a TD, (Andrew Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Deuce Vaughn run for 11 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 10 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.94

Joe Ervin run for 13 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.43

Skylar Thompson run for 11 yds to the IowSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Joe Ervin run for 9 yds to the IowSt 21

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.42

Joe Ervin run for 7 yds to the IowSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Deuce Vaughn run for 8 yds to the IowSt 6

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the IowSt 5

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.03

Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the IowSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Skylar Thompson run for 2 yds to the IowSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Taiten Winkel PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+43 ydsPPA +3.21

Breece Hall run for 43 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.61

Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for no gain to the KanSt 32

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jirehl Brock run for 5 yds to the KanSt 27

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 32

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 9 yds to the KanSt 23

4th & 1Field Goal Good+41 yds

Andrew Mevis 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Deuce Vaughn run for 11 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 35

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Phillip Brooks

3rd & 11Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.43

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 20 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.54

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Landry Weber for 11 yds to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the IowSt 30

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Joe Ervin run for 4 yds to the IowSt 26

3rd & 2Penalty+15 yds

Thompson, Skylar pass incomplete to Howell, Tyrone, PENALTY IOWAST pass interference 15 yards to the IOWAST11, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KANSASST.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Tyrone Howell

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Malik Knowles

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the IowSt 9

4th & 8Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.34

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 9 yds for a TD, (Taiten Winkel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the KanSt 43

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the KanSt 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.53

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 8 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.27

Breece Hall run for 13 yds to the KanSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the KanSt 16

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.82

Breece Hall run for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 20

3rd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.37

Breece Hall run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 23

4th & 14Field Goal Good+40 yds

Andrew Mevis 40 yd FG GOOD

4th & 14Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Andrew Mevis kickoff for 65 yds , Malik Knowles return for 23 yds to the KanSt 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 3 yds to the KanSt 26

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 6 yds to the KanSt 32

3rd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.37

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 7 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.75

Skylar Thompson sacked by Will McDonald IV for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 35 Skylar Thompson fumbled, recovered by KanSt

2nd & 14Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.13

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 20 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.66

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 15 yds to the IowSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.29

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 19 yds to the IowSt 11 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Iowa State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
44%
25 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
38%
8 plays
44%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
83%
6 plays
100%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Kansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
56%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play