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← Back to GamesOct 16, 2021Week 7
BYUBYU
24
-Final
38
BaylorBaylor

House Prediction

Model Margin

BYU by 0.8

Home Win Probability

Baylor 47%

Market (consensus)

Baylor -5.5

Edge: BYU +5.5 (6.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 16, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BYUBYU
0771024
BaylorBaylor
31414738

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-710-717-724-1431-1431-1738-1738-24
BaylorBYU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BAYBYUBAYBYUBAYBYUBAYBYUBAYBAYBYUBAYBYUBAYBYUBAYBYUBAYBYUBAYBYUBAYPUNT36ydPUNT38ydTO1175ydPUNT46ydFG853ydTD875ydTD775ydMISS542ydTD867ydDOWNS729ydPUNT33ydEND10ydTD675ydTD978ydTO442ydTD467ydPUNT525ydPUNT35ydFG1243ydTD1282ydTD775ydEND3-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing BYU and Baylor
StatisticBYUBaylor
Passing22-3118-28
Pass Yards342231
Rush Yards67303
Total Yards409534
Turnovers11
3rd Down5-147-15
Penalties2-150-0
Possession24:2435:36

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

BYU
passing
Jaren Hall
22/31, 342 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Tyler Allgeier
15 CAR, 33 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Puka Nacua
5 REC, 168 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Baylor
passing
Gerry Bohannon
18/28, 231 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Abram Smith
27 CAR, 188 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Tyquan Thornton
5 REC, 84 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 6 yds to the Bayl 25

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Tyquan Thornton

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Drew Estrada

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 53 yds, downed at the BYU 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 5 yds to the BYU 27

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the BYU 29

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd to the BYU 30

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 19

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Abram Smith run for 7 yds to the Bayl 26

2nd & 3Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.32

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Ben Sims for 27 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Abram Smith run for 4 yds to the BYU 43

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Abram Smith

4th & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.21

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 20 yds to the BYU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.13

Abram Smith run for 11 yds to the BYU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Abram Smith run for 3 yds to the BYU 9

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Abram Smith run for 2 yds to the BYU 7

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Gerry Bohanon run for 1 yd to the BYU 6

4th & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.97

Gerry Bohanon pass intercepted, touchback. Payton Wilgar return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.34

Jaren Hall pass complete to Isaac Rex for 17 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.17

Jaren Hall sacked by Jalen Pitre for a loss of 12 yards to the BYU 25

2nd & 22Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jaren Hall pass complete to Lopini Katoa for a loss of 4 yards to the BYU 21

3rd & 26Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the BYU 26

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 12 yds to the Bayl 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Abram Smith for 7 yds to the BYU 47

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 6 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.66

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 24 yds to the BYU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Ben Sims

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Trestan Ebner

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 4 yds to the BYU 13

4th & 6Field Goal Good+31 yds

Isaiah Hankins 31 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the BYU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +3.90

Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 52 yds to the Bayl 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Tyler Allgeier run for no gain to the Bayl 21

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jaren Hall pass complete to Isaac Rex for 3 yds to the Bayl 18

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.12

Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 12 yds to the Bayl 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jaren Hall pass incomplete

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jaren Hall pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for 5 yds to the Bayl 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Tyler Allgeier 1 Yd Run (Jake Oldroyd Kick)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Trestan Ebner run for 10 yds to the Bayl 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Trestan Ebner run for 4 yds to the Bayl 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.79

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 14 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +1.04

Abram Smith run for 31 yds to the BYU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Abram Smith run for 3 yds to the BYU 13

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Trestan Ebner run for 4 yds to the BYU 9

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.70

Abram Smith 9 Yd Run (Isaiah Hankins Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +3.26

Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 45 yds to the Bayl 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Puka Nacua

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the Bayl 27

3rd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.13

Jaren Hall sacked by Bryson Jackson for a loss of 6 yards to the Bayl 33

4th & 13Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Jake Oldroyd 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 9 yds to the Bayl 42

2nd & 1Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.08

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Ben Sims for 23 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Trestan Ebner run for 9 yds to the BYU 26

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Ben Sims

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Abram Smith run for 6 yds to the BYU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.30

Abram Smith run for 12 yds to the BYU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Josh Fleeks run for 6 yds to the BYU 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Dillon Doyle 2 Yd Run (Isaiah Hankins Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Abram Smith run for 2 yds to the Bayl 49

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Abram Smith run for 4 yds to the BYU 47

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.02

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 14 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 34

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 7 yds to the BYU 27

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Abram Smith run for 3 yds to the BYU 24

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.41

Gerry Bohanon run for no gain to the BYU 24

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Tyler Allgeier run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 23

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the BYU 25

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the BYU 27

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 8 yds to the BYU 33

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Neil Pau'u

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Puka Nacua run for 9 yds to the BYU 44

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Tyler Allgeier run for no gain to the BYU 44

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +6.31

Jaren Hall 56 Yd Run (Jake Oldroyd Kick)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.84

Abram Smith run for 11 yds to the Bayl 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Abram Smith run for 2 yds to the Bayl 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Abram Smith for 7 yds to the Bayl 42

3rd & 1Rush+38 ydsPPA +2.86

Abram Smith run for 38 yds to the BYU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Trestan Ebner run for 6 yds to the BYU 14

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.61

Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 16

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Gerry Bohanon run for 9 yds to the BYU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Abram Smith run for 5 yds to the BYU 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Dillon Doyle 2 Yd pass from Gerry Bohanon (Isaiah Hankins Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +3.31

Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 47 yds to the Bayl 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the Bayl 24

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jaren Hall pass incomplete

3rd & 6Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.59

Jaren Hall sacked by TJ Franklin for a loss of 9 yards to the Bayl 33 Jaren Hall fumbled, forced by TJ Franklin, recovered by Bayl Jalen Pitre , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Abram Smith run for 6 yds to the Bayl 39

2nd & 4Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +2.47

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 45 yds to the BYU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Abram Smith run for 9 yds to the BYU 7

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +1.95

Abram Smith 7 Yd Run (Isaiah Hankins Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Jaren Hall pass complete to Isaac Rex for 20 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 11 yds to the Bayl 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Hall, Jaren pass incomplete to Pau'u, Neil, PENALTY BYU holding (Allgeier, Tyler) 10 yards to the BYU46, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 16Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jaren Hall pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Jaren Hall pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Abram Smith run for 3 yds to the Bayl 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Tyquan Thornton

3rd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 2 yds to the Bayl 25

4th & 5Punt+1 yds

Issac Power punt for 50 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 1 yd to the BYU 26

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.07

Jaren Hall sacked by Terrel Bernard for a loss of 4 yards to the BYU 22

2nd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Jaren Hall pass complete to Isaac Rex for 7 yds to the BYU 29

3rd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.76

Tyler Allgeier run for 7 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.67

Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 19 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Puka Nacua

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Gunner Romney

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 8 yds to the Bayl 37

4th & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.14

Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 14 yds to the Bayl 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Gunner Romney

2nd & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.66

Jaren Hall sacked by Dillon Doyle for a loss of 11 yards to the Bayl 34

3rd & 21Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Jaren Hall pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for 3 yds to the Bayl 31

4th & 18Field Goal Good+48 yds

Jake Oldroyd 48 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Trestan Ebner run for 6 yds to the Bayl 24

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.44

Drew Estrada run for 5 yds to the Bayl 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Abram Smith run for 3 yds to the Bayl 32

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Trestan Ebner run for 4 yds to the Bayl 36

3rd & 3Rush+37 ydsPPA +3.49

Trestan Ebner run for 37 yds to the BYU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Abram Smith run for 2 yds to the BYU 25

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Abram Smith run for 2 yds to the BYU 23

3rd & 6Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.42

Trestan Ebner run for 18 yds to the BYU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Abram Smith run for 2 yds to the BYU 3

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Ben Sims for 2 yds to the BYU 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Abram Smith run for no gain to the BYU 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Abram Smith 1 Yd Run (Isaiah Hankins Kick)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jaren Hall run for 7 yds to the BYU 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 2 yds to the BYU 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +2.49

Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 48 yds to the Bayl 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jaren Hall run for 4 yds to the Bayl 11

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

BYU Penalty, False Start (Campbell Barrington) to the Bayl 16

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Samson Nacua

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.34

Puka Nacua 16 Yd pass from Jaren Hall (Jake Oldroyd Kick)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 47

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 46

3rd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.57

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 45

Situational Analysis

BYU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Baylor

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
58%
31 plays
2nd
75%
8 plays
60%
5 plays
11%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays