Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 9, 2021Week 6
TCUTCU
52
-Final
31
Texas TechTexas Tech
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas Tech by 5.2

Home Win Probability

Texas Tech 59%

Market (consensus)

Texas Tech +2.5

Edge: Texas Tech +2.5 (7.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 9, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TCUTCU
142110752
Texas TechTexas Tech
7314731

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-70-147-1410-2810-3510-3824-4531-52
Texas TechTCU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TCUTTTCUTTTCUTTTTTCUTTTCUTTTCUTTTCUTTTCUTTTCUTTTCUTTTCUTTTD775ydPUNT37ydTD879ydTD875ydTD675ydTD10ydFG1555ydTD1475ydPUNT39ydEND1-3ydDOWNS739ydFG733ydTD475ydTD175ydTD375ydPUNT423ydDOWNS1166ydPUNT612ydTD1368ydTD145ydDOWNS754ydPUNT3-11ydEND426yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing TCU and Texas Tech
StatisticTCUTexas Tech
Passing8-1023-41
Pass Yards104344
Rush Yards394214
Total Yards498558
Turnovers01
3rd Down9-144-13
Penalties4-504-25
Possession28:5431:06

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

TCU
passing
Max Duggan
8/10, 104 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kendre Miller
12 CAR, 185 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Blair Conwright
3 REC, 46 YDS
defense
Texas Tech
passing
Henry Colombi
23/41, 344 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
SaRodorick Thompson
18 CAR, 118 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Kaylon Geiger
5 REC, 85 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TCU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TCU 20

1st & 15Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.54

Zach Evans run for 25 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +1.66

Zach Evans run for 35 yds to the TexTc 20 Zach Evans fumbled, recovered by TCU

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Max Duggan run for 1 yd to the TexTc 19

2nd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.02

Kendre Miller run for 14 yds to the TexTc 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Kendre Miller run for 2 yds to the TexTc 3

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Max Duggan run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Max Duggan pass complete to Quincy Brown for 4 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Henry Colombi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Henry Colombi pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 4 yds to the TexTc 32

4th & 3Punt+8 yds

Austin McNamara punt for 55 yds , Derius Davis returns for 8 yds to the TCU 21

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Zach Evans run for 7 yds to the TCU 28

2nd & 3Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.25

Zach Evans run for 26 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Zach Evans run for 4 yds to the TexTc 42

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Emari Demercado run for 2 yds to the TexTc 40

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.29

Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 5 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Emari Demercado run for 8 yds to the TexTc 27

2nd & 2Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.76

Emari Demercado run for a loss of 6 yards to the TexTc 33

3rd & 8Rushing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +4.16

Kendre Miller run for 33 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

SaRodorick Thompson run for 12 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

SaRodorick Thompson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.74

Henry Colombi pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 14 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Xavier White run for 7 yds to the TCU 38

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Xavier White run for 3 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Henry Colombi pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 9 yds to the TCU 26

2nd & 1Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.53

SaRodorick Thompson run for 22 yds to the TCU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

SaRodorick Thompson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Zach Evans run for 4 yds to the TCU 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Zach Evans run for 4 yds to the TCU 33

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.48

Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 16 yds to the TexTc 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +1.57

Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 42 yds to the TexTc 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Zach Evans run for 7 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+29 ydsPPA -7.92

Henry Colombi pass intercepted for a TD Tre'Vius Hodges-Tomlinson return for 29 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Henry Colombi run for 1 yd to the TexTc 26

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

SaRodorick Thompson run for 6 yds to the TexTc 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.51

Henry Colombi pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 6 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Xavier White run for 4 yds to the TexTc 42

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Colombi, Henry pass complete to Tharp, Mason for 42 yards to the TCU16, PENALTY TEXASTECH ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the TEXASTECH37, NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Loic Fouonji

3rd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.07

Henry Colombi pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 14 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Henry Colombi pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 11 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Xavier White run for 6 yds to the TCU 32

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Xavier White run for no gain to the TCU 32

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.95

SaRodorick Thompson run for no gain to the TCU 32

4th & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.78

Henry Colombi pass complete to Mason Tharp for 8 yds to the TCU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Henry Colombi run for 4 yds to the TCU 20

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Dalton Rigdon

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Trey Cleveland

4th & 6Field Goal Good+38 yds

Jonathan Garibay 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Zach Evans run for 10 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Zach Evans run for 1 yd to the TCU 36

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the TCU 38

3rd & 7Rush+32 ydsPPA +3.70

Max Duggan run for 32 yds to the TexTc 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Zach Evans run for 7 yds to the TexTc 23

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the TexTc 21

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.22

Kendre Miller run for 5 yds to the TexTc 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Kendre Miller run for 2 yds to the TexTc 14

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Max Duggan pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 7 yds to the TexTc 7

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.43

Zach Evans run for 4 yds to the TexTc 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the TexTc 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Max Duggan run for no gain to the TexTc 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Zach Evans run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)

3rd & 8Penalty-15 yds

TCU Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the TCU 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Henry Colombi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

SaRodorick Thompson run for 9 yds to the TexTc 34

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Erik Ezukanma

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Austin McNamara punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 22

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.83

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 19

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Henry Colombi pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 10 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the TexTc 40

2nd & 5Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.12

SaRodorick Thompson run for 24 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the TCU 31

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Travis Koontz

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TCU 29

4th & 3Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.81

Henry Colombi sacked by Khari Coleman for a loss of 7 yards to the TCU 36

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.04

Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for no gain to the TCU 36

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Max Duggan run for 3 yds to the TCU 39

3rd & 7Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.45

Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 25 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Max Duggan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Max Duggan run for 8 yds to the TexTc 28

4th & 5Field Goal Good+48 yds

Griffin Kell 48 Yd Field Goal

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.46

Emari Demercado run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexTc 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Henry Colombi pass complete to Xavier White for 17 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+55 ydsPPA +3.10

Henry Colombi pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 55 yds to the TCU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Xavier White run for 2 yds to the TCU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Kendre Miller run for 75 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

White, Xavier rush for 6 yards to the TEXASTECH31, PENALTY TEXASTECH holding 10 yards to the TEXASTECH15, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+75 ydsPPA +4.65

Henry Colombi pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 75 yds to the TCU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

SaRodorick Thompson run for 6 yds to the TCU 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Xavier White run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Emari Demercado run for 18 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Emari Demercado run for 2 yds to the TCU 45

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Emari Demercado run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 43

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Max Duggan pass complete to Dominic DiNunzio for 5 yds to the TCU 48

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 15

1st & 15Penalty+15 yds

Colombi, Henry pass incomplete to Rigdon, Dalton, PENALTY TCU pass interference 15 yards to the TEXASTECH30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASTECH.

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Xavier White run for 9 yds to the TexTc 39

2nd & 1Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.86

Xavier White run for 16 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Trey Cleveland

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.63

Henry Colombi pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 14 yds to the TCU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the TCU 30

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Henry Colombi run for 1 yd to the TCU 29

3rd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.31

Erik Ezukanma run for 16 yds to the TCU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Henry Colombi run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 15

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Henry Colombi run for 1 yd to the TCU 14

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Henry Colombi pass incomplete to SaRodorick Thompson

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.17

Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Erik Ezukanma

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Kendre Miller run for 7 yds to the TCU 21

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Kendre Miller run for 1 yd to the TCU 22

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.84

Kendre Miller run for 5 yds to the TCU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Kendre Miller run for 1 yd to the TCU 28

2nd & 9Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.68

Kendre Miller run for a loss of 5 yards to the TCU 23

3rd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Emari Demercado run for 3 yds to the TCU 26

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexTc 32

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.93

Henry Colombi pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for no gain to the TexTc 32

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 9 yds to the TexTc 41

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.64

SaRodorick Thompson run for 8 yds to the TexTc 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Henry Colombi run for 7 yds to the TCU 44

2nd & 3Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.53

Myles Price run for 15 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Henry Colombi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Trey Cleveland

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 5 yds to the TCU 24

4th & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.45

Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 9 yds to the TCU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Dalton Rigdon run for 9 yds to the TCU 6

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Mason Tharp

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Myles Price

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.87

SaRodorick Thompson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +3.48

Kendre Miller run for 45 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Griffin Kell kickoff for 65 yds , Kaylon Geiger return for 19 yds to the TexTc 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Henry Colombi pass complete to Xavier White for 5 yds to the TexTc 24

2nd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.40

Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 14 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.98

Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 27 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Henry Colombi pass complete to Xavier White for 4 yds to the TCU 31

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TCU 36

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Henry Colombi pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 9 yds to the TCU 27

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Trey Cleveland

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.09

Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Myles Price

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Daimarqua Foster run for 4 yds to the TCU 31

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.81

Daimarqua Foster run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 30

3rd & 7Penalty-15 yds

Foster, Daimarqua rush for 6 yards to the TCU36, PENALTY TCU illegal block 15 yards to the TCU15, NO PLAY.

3rd & 22Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.02

Daimarqua Foster run for 1 yd to the TCU 16

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 43 yds, fair catch by McLane Mannix at the TexTc 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Henry Colombi pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 11 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.75

Henry Colombi pass complete to Mason Tharp for 14 yds to the TCU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Henry Colombi pass incomplete to SaRodorick Thompson

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the TCU 33

Situational Analysis

TCU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
52%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
17%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Texas Tech

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
56%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
6 plays
57%
7 plays
50%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
33%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play