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← Back to GamesOct 2, 2021Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Iowa State by 33.3

Home Win Probability

Iowa State 97%

Market (consensus)

Iowa State -34.5

Edge: Kansas +34.5 (1.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 2, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
KansasKansas
00707
Iowa StateIowa State
281014759

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-021-028-035-038-038-745-752-759-7
Iowa StateKansas

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KANISKANISKANISKANISKANISKANISKANISISKANISKANISKANISKANISKANPUNT35ydTD670ydTO2-1ydTD324ydDOWNS519ydTD144ydMISS858ydTD432ydPUNT528ydPUNT32ydTO946ydTD780ydPUNT37ydFG1158ydPUNT35ydTD966ydTD775ydPUNT36ydTD458ydPUNT627ydPUNT629ydDOWNS923ydTD657ydEND513yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kansas and Iowa State
StatisticKansasIowa State
Passing11-2219-27
Pass Yards127274
Rush Yards175290
Total Yards302564
Turnovers20
3rd Down5-144-9
Penalties2-155-35
Possession33:1526:45

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kansas
passing
Jason Bean
10/20, 120 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Devin Neal
15 CAR, 83 YDS
receiving
Trevor Wilson
3 REC, 55 YDS
defense
Iowa State
passing
Brock Purdy
17/22, 245 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Breece Hall
17 CAR, 123 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Xavier Hutchinson
7 REC, 96 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the Kans 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Torry Locklin run for 2 yds to the Kans 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jason Bean pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Reis Vernon punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Breece Hall run for 17 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 3 yds to the Kans 47

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.83

Brock Purdy run for 9 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the Kans 36

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.51

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 36 yds for a TD (Andrew Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Jason Bean run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 21 fumbled, recovered by Kans Jason Bean

2nd & 14Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA +0.09

Jason Bean run for 3 yds to the Kans 24 fumbled, recovered by IowSt Zach Petersen

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.26

Brock Purdy run for 15 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the Kans 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 6 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Jason Bean pass complete to Steven McBride for 11 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jason Bean run for 4 yds to the Kans 40

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the Kans 41

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jason Bean pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 4 yds to the Kans 45

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Devin Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 44

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.41

Brock Purdy pass complete to Joe Scates for 44 yds for a TD (Andrew Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Torry Locklin run for 1 yd to the Kans 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.39

Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 19 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.04

Jason Bean pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 14 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.62

Devin Neal run for 21 yds to the IowSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Torry Locklin run for 1 yd to the IowSt 19

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jason Bean pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Torry Locklin run for 2 yds to the IowSt 17

4th & 7Blocked Field Goal0 yds

Jacob Borcila 34 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by , Greg Eisworth II return for no gain to the Kans 32

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.22

Breece Hall run for 10 yds to the Kans 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.45

Breece Hall run for 15 yds to the Kans 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Breece Hall run for no gain to the Kans 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Brock Purdy pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 7 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Devin Neal run for 12 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Devin Neal run for 10 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Torry Locklin run for 5 yds to the IowSt 48

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.94

Jason Bean pass complete to Torry Locklin for 1 yd to the IowSt 47

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Jason Bean pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Reis Vernon punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the IowSt 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 3 yds to the IowSt 27

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 22

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Brock Purdy pass incomplete IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Cameron Shook punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Kwamie Lassiter II at the Kans 44

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the Kans 45

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.11

Torry Locklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 44

3rd & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.60

Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 26 yds to the IowSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the IowSt 29

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Jason Bean pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.38

Jason Bean run for 13 yds to the IowSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Torry Locklin run for 4 yds to the IowSt 12

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Torry Locklin run for 2 yds to the IowSt 10

3rd & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.22

Jason Bean pass intercepted, touchback. return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.92

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 23 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Breece Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 42

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the IowSt 46

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.83

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 15 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.54

Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 20 yds to the Kans 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.18

Brock Purdy run for 10 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Breece Hall run for 9 yds for a TD (Andrew Mevis KICK)

0th & 65Penalty-5 yds

MEVIS, Andrew kickoff 65 yards to the KAN0, Touchback . PENALTY ISU Offsides on JACKSON, Kendell enforced at the deadball spot for 5 yards after the change of possession from the ISU25 to the ISU20. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the Kans 32

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Jason Bean pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Torry Locklin run for 5 yds to the Kans 37

4th & 3Punt+9 yds

Reis Vernon punt for 39 yds , Jaylin Noel returns for 9 yds to the IowSt 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 14 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the IowSt 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.41

Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 8 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.61

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 16 yds to the Kans 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Brock Purdy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 3 yds to the Kans 24

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.02

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 15 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Brock Purdy pass incomplete

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 3 yds to the Kans 6

3rd & 6Sack0 ydsPPA -0.30

Brock Purdy sacked for 0 yards to the Kans 9

4th & 9Field Goal Good+26 yds

Connor Assalley 26 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 9 yds to the IowSt 34

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

HALL, Breece rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the ISU37 (JOHNSON, Kyron;POTTER, Gavin). PENALTY ISU Holding on FOSTER, Sean enforced 10 yards from the ISU34 to the ISU24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brock Purdy pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Brock Purdy run for 6 yds to the IowSt 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Cameron Shook punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 10 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Jason Bean pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 7 yds to the IowSt 49

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.22

Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.81

Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 22 yds to the IowSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Torry Locklin run for 3 yds to the IowSt 20

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the IowSt 14

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.09

Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the IowSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jason Bean pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.83

Torry Locklin run for 12 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Breece Hall run for 10 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +2.48

Breece Hall run for 37 yds to the Kans 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.44

Brock Purdy pass complete to Brock Purdy for 20 yds to the Kans 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the Kans 6

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the Kans 1

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Brock Purdy pass incomplete

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Breece Hall run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Torry Locklin run for 3 yds to the Kans 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jason Bean run for 3 yds to the Kans 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jason Bean pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+8 yds

Reis Vernon punt for 35 yds , Jaylin Noel returns for 8 yds to the IowSt 42

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Eli Sanders run for 11 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Jirehl Brock run for 6 yds to the Kans 41

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +4.35

Hunter Dekkers run for 41 yds for a TD (Andrew Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Devin Neal run for 17 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the Kans 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Jason Bean pass complete to Steven McBride for 6 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jason Bean pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Devin Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 48

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jason Bean pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Reis Vernon punt for 47 yds, downed at the IowSt 1

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Hunter Dekkers run for 6 yds to the IowSt 7

2nd & 4Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.22

Jirehl Brock run for 24 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.49

Deon Silas run for 27 yds to the IOWAST 42 for a 1ST down IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jarrod Hufford) to the IowSt 24 for a 1ST down

2nd & 17Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.53

Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Tarique Milton for 11 yds to the IowSt 35

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Myles Purchase) to the IowSt 30

4th & 11Punt+24 yds

Cameron Shook punt for 49 yds , Kwamie Lassiter II returns for 24 yds to the IOWAST 46 KANSAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jamahl Horne) to the Kans 35

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 6 yds to the Kans 41

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.75

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 6 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 6 yds to the IowSt 44

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS Penalty, False Start (Trevor Kardell) to the IowSt 49

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.12

Miles Kendrick pass complete to Amauri Pesek-Hickson for 7 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 5 yds to the IowSt 37

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.60

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 40

3rd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.38

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 42

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Miles Kendrick pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.92

Deon Silas run for 11 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.78

Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Easton Dean for 18 yds to the Kans 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Eli Sanders run for 6 yds to the Kans 22

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.02

Eli Sanders run for 5 yds to the Kans 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the Kans 16

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.84

Deon Silas run for 16 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 2 yds to the Kans 27

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 6 yds to the Kans 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 4 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 2 yds to the Kans 39

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.96

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 38

Situational Analysis

Kansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
29 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
33%
6 plays
38%
13 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Iowa State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
61%
33 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
67%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play