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← Back to GamesSep 25, 2021Week 4
SMUSMU
42
-Final
34
TCUTCU

House Prediction

Model Margin

TCU by 6.8

Home Win Probability

TCU 64%

Market (consensus)

TCU -9.5

Edge: SMU +9.5 (2.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 25, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
SMUSMU
14714742
TCUTCU
1476734

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-614-1621-2324-3024-3727-4234-42
TCUSMU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SMUTCUSMUTCUSMUTCUSMUTCUSMUTCUSMUTCUSMUTCUSMUTCUSMUTCUSMUTCUSMUTCUSMUTD377ydTD654ydTD675ydTD375ydTO828ydFG634ydPUNT528ydTD686ydTD775ydPUNT88ydTO1467ydTO1-6ydTD23ydFG843ydTD875ydDOWNS931ydTO412ydFG43ydTD775ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT729ydTD791ydEND941yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing SMU and TCU
StatisticSMUTCU
Passing17-2816-28
Pass Yards245276
Rush Yards350170
Total Yards595446
Turnovers31
3rd Down8-126-12
Penalties4-309-61
Possession33:5226:08

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

SMU
passing
Tanner Mordecai
17/28, 245 YDS, 4 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Ulysses Bentley IV
20 CAR, 153 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Danny Gray
4 REC, 130 YDS, 1 TD
defense
TCU
passing
Max Duggan
16/28, 276 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Zach Evans
15 CAR, 113 YDS
receiving
Taye Barber
5 REC, 114 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Griffin Kell kickoff for 62 yds , Ulysses Bentley IV return for 20 yds to the SMU 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Danny Gray

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 9 yds to the SMU 32

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+68 ydsPPA +6.23

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 68 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+41 yds

Brendan Hall kickoff for 60 yds , JD Spielman return for 41 yds to the TCU 46

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Zach Evans run for 9 yds to the SMU 45

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.26

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Savion Williams

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY TCU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from SMU45 to SMU50. NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.36

Max Duggan pass complete to Zach Evans for 11 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY TCU False Start (Coker,Andrew) 5 yards from SMU39 to SMU44. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Penalty+15 yds

Duggan,Max pass incomplete to Johnston,Quentin PENALTY SMU Pass Interference (Denbow,Trevor) 15 yards from SMU44 to SMU29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Zach Evans run for 6 yds to the SMU 23

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the SMU 20

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.76

Kendre Miller run for 20 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+46 ydsPPA +3.99

Tre Siggers run for 46 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY SMU False Start (Rice,Rashee) 5 yards from TCU29 to TCU34. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.66

Tre Siggers run for 10 yds to the TCU 24

2nd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.02

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 20 yds to the TCU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Jordan Kerley

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Tanner Mordecai 4 Yd Run (Ben Redding Run for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+60 ydsPPA +3.52

Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 60 yds to the SMU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Max Duggan run for 2 yds to the SMU 13

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.74

Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 13 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 3 yds to the SMU 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 9 yds to the SMU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 3 yds to the SMU 40

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Grant Calcaterra

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.64

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 11 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Tre Siggers run for 1 yd to the TCU 48

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 1 yd to the TCU 47

3rd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -1.52

Tanner Mordecai pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Max Duggan run for 3 yds to the TCU 48

2nd & 7Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.00

Zach Evans run for 27 yds to the SMU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Savion Williams

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Zach Evans run for 4 yds to the SMU 21

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Griffin Kell 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 9 yds to the SMU 30

2nd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.82

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 14 yds to the SMU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Roderick Daniels Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Tre Siggers

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Mordecai,Tanner pass complete to Bentley IV,Ulysses for 1 yard loss to the SMU43 (VanZandt,La'Kendrick) PENALTY TCU Offside (Horton,Dylan) 5 yards from SMU44 to SMU49. NO PLAY.

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Danny Gray

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Derius Davis at the TCU 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Kendre Miller run for 2 yds to the TCU 16

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.13

Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 9 yds to the TCU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.46

Max Duggan run for 28 yds to the SMU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Kendre Miller run for 1 yd to the SMU 46

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +4.43

Max Duggan pass complete to Zach Evans for 46 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 15 yds to the SMU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 8 yds to the SMU 48

2nd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.50

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 11 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Tre Siggers run for 7 yds to the TCU 34

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Tyler Lavine run for 1 yd to the TCU 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.65

Tanner Mordecai run for 4 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 29 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-12 yds

PENALTY TCU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Rogers,D'Andre) 12 yards from TCU25 to TCU13. NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.25

Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 14 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

TCU Penalty, Personal Foul ( Yards) declined

2nd & 18Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY TCU False Start (Coker,Andrew) 5 yards from TCU33 to TCU28. NO PLAY.

2nd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Derius Davis

3rd & 23Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Max Duggan run for 5 yds to the TCU 33

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Zach Evans run for 5 yds to the TCU 18

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.41

Max Duggan pass complete to JD Spielman for 5 yds to the TCU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 4 yds to the TCU 27

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Max Duggan run for no gain to the TCU 27

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jordan Kerley at the SMU 30

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds to the SMU 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.68

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 10 yds to the SMU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tre Siggers run for 4 yds to the SMU 46

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.24

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for 7 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.68

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 13 yds to the TCU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.27

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 11 yds to the TCU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Tre Siggers run for no gain to the TCU 23

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.46

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 9 yds to the TCU 14

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 7 yds to the TCU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 3 yds to the TCU 4

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 2 yds to the TCU 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Tre Siggers run for 1 yd to the TCU 3

4th & 3Interception0 ydsPPA -4.08

Tanner Mordecai pass intercepted

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+33 yds

Brendan Hall kickoff for 65 yds , JD Spielman return for 33 yds to the TCU 9

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -0.51

Max Duggan sacked by Turner Coxe for a loss of 6 yards to the TCU 3 Max Duggan fumbled, recovered by SMU DeVere Levelston , return for 0 yards

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds to the TCU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+34 yds

Brendan Hall kickoff for 65 yds , JD Spielman return for 34 yds to the TCU 34

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.20

Zach Evans run for 27 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the SMU 36

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Zach Evans run for 6 yds to the SMU 30

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Zach Evans run for 8 yds to the SMU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the SMU 20

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Derius Davis

3rd & 8Penalty-10 yds

Duggan,Max rush for 10 yards gain to the SMU10 (Wiley,Gary) PENALTY TCU Holding (Coker,Andrew) 10 yards from SMU20 to SMU30. NO PLAY.

3rd & 18Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Max Duggan pass complete to Kendre Miller for 7 yds to the SMU 23

4th & 11Field Goal Good+40 yds

Griffin Kell 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ulysses Bentley IV run for no gain to the SMU 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for 6 yds to the SMU 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.52

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 31 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Tre Siggers run for 6 yds to the TCU 32

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.16

Tyler Lavine run for 8 yds to the TCU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Austin Upshaw for 3 yds to the TCU 27

2nd & 13Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.94

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 16 yds to the TCU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 11 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Max Duggan run for 1 yd to the TCU 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.02

Max Duggan pass complete to JD Spielman for 11 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the TCU 40

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.38

Zach Evans run for 7 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Max Duggan run for 8 yds to the TCU 39 Max Duggan fumbled, forced by Jimmy Phillips Jr., recovered by TCU Andrew Coker

2nd & 18Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.49

Max Duggan run for 13 yds to the SMU 48

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kendre Miller run for 4 yds to the SMU 44

4th & 1Penalty0 yds

PENALTY SMU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting TCU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting. NO PLAY.

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.66

Kendre Miller run for no gain to the SMU 44

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Ulysses Bentley IV run for no gain to the SMU 44

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.18

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 13 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY SMU False Start (Thomas,Jaylon) 5 yards from TCU43 to TCU48. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tre Siggers run for 4 yds to the TCU 44

2nd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA -2.49

Tanner Mordecai pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

TCU Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass ( Yards) declined

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the SMU 13

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Derius Davis

4th & 7Field Goal Good+30 yds

Griffin Kell 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 9 yds to the SMU 34

2nd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.90

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 15 yds to the SMU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tre Siggers run for 4 yds to the TCU 47

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.88

Tre Siggers run for 7 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.45

Tyler Lavine run for 13 yds to the TCU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Tyler Lavine run for 1 yd to the TCU 26

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.12

Jordan Kerley 26 Yd pass from Tanner Mordecai (Blake Mazza Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Max Duggan pass complete to Quincy Brown for no gain to the TCU 25

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Zach Evans run for no gain to the TCU 25

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY TCU False Start (Johnston,Quentin) 5 yards from TCU25 to TCU20. NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quincy Brown

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Jordan Kerley at the SMU 29

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Tre Siggers run for 6 yds to the SMU 35

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Tre Siggers run for 1 yd to the SMU 36

3rd & 3Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.62

Tanner Mordecai run for 17 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.68

Tyler Lavine run for 13 yds to the TCU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Tyler Lavine run for 1 yd to the TCU 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 3 yds to the TCU 36

3rd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Tre Siggers run for 1 yd to the TCU 37

4th & 13Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY SMU False Start (Bryant,Marcus) 5 yards from TCU37 to TCU42. NO PLAY.

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Matt Fraanje punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.88

Max Duggan pass complete to Zach Evans for 13 yds to the TCU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Savion Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.55

Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 12 yds to the TCU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 12 yds to the TCU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY TCU False Start (Coker,Andrew) 5 yards from TCU46 to TCU41. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.78

Max Duggan pass complete to JD Spielman for 38 yds to the SMU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 21 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Griffin Kell kickoff for 63 yds , Rashee Rice return for 10 yds to the SMU 12

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Tre Siggers run for no gain to the SMU 12

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.04

Tre Siggers run for 13 yds to the SMU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tre Siggers run for 3 yds to the SMU 28

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.52

Tyler Lavine run for 11 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyler Lavine run for 4 yds to the SMU 43

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tre Siggers run for no gain to the SMU 43

3rd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.62

Tanner Mordecai run for 12 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 46

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 47

Situational Analysis

SMU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
39%
33 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
80%
5 plays
50%
8 plays
71%
14 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

TCU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
39%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
54%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play