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← Back to GamesSep 25, 2021Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oklahoma State by 1.3

Home Win Probability

Oklahoma State 46%

Market (consensus)

Oklahoma State -6

Edge: Kansas State +6 (4.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 25, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Kansas StateKansas State
1037020
Oklahoma StateOklahoma State
21100031

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-314-1028-1031-1031-1331-20
Oklahoma StateKansas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KSOSOSKSKSOSKSOSKSOSKSOSKSOSKSOSKSOSKSOSKSOSKSOSKSOSFG1368ydTD775ydTD773ydTD1-7ydPUNT631ydTD1190ydPUNT38ydFG1188ydTO953ydPUNT35ydFG433ydFG727ydPUNT33ydPUNT30ydPUNT38ydPUNT36ydDOWNS44ydPUNT3-3ydTD385ydPUNT30ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT434ydPUNT36ydFG836ydPUNT3-12ydEND1037yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kansas State and Oklahoma State
StatisticKansas StateOklahoma State
Passing14-3122-34
Pass Yards198344
Rush Yards62137
Total Yards260481
Turnovers20
3rd Down2-128-17
Penalties4-418-79
Possession24:5435:06

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kansas State
passing
Jaren Lewis
10/19, 148 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Will Howard
3 CAR, 28 YDS
receiving
Deuce Vaughn
5 REC, 73 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Nick Allen
0.5 TFL
Oklahoma State
passing
Spencer Sanders
22/34, 344 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jaylen Warren
27 CAR, 123 YDS
receiving
Davontavean Martin
9 REC, 100 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.58

Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the OKSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Will Howard pass incomplete to Kade Warner

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Malik Knowles run for no gain to the OKSt 14

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Will Howard pass incomplete to Malik Knowles

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 7 yds to the KanSt 25

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.14

Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +2.88

Will Howard run for 37 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Will Howard pass incomplete to Malik Knowles

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Will Howard pass complete to Landry Weber for 11 yds to the OKSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Vaughn,Deuce rush for 2 yards loss to the OSU26 (Lacy,Tyler; Asi,Sione) PENALTY KSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from OSU24 to OSU29. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Will Howard pass incomplete to Keenan Garber

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Joe Ervin run for 5 yds to the OKSt 24

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.56

Will Howard pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 9 yds to the OKSt 15

4th & 10Field Goal Good+32 yds

Taiten Winkel 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +3.41

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaylen Warren for 52 yds to the KanSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Rashod Owens

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.55

Spencer Sanders run for 11 yds to the KanSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+6 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, Face Mask (6 yards) (Cody Fletcher) to the KanSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Spencer Sanders pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the KanSt 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex Hale KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return Touchdown+99 yds

T. Brown kick for 64 yds,M. Knowles return for 99 yds for a TD, (T. Winkel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the OKSt 30

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jaylen Warren run for 5 yds to the OKSt 35

3rd & 2Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.08

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 12 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Russ Yeast) to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.41

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 14 yds to the KanSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the KanSt 21

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Spencer Sanders run for 1 yd to the KanSt 20

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.18

Brennan Presley 20 Yd pass from Spencer Sanders (Alex Hale Kick)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +6.87

W. Howard run for 7 yds for a TD, (A. Hale KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Deuce Vaughn run for 6 yds to the KanSt 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Will Howard pass incomplete to Malik Knowles

3rd & 4Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.07

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 23 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Keenan Garber run for 4 yds to the OKSt 42

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Will Howard run for 2 yds to the OKSt 44

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Will Howard pass incomplete to Tyrone Howell

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 10

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 10

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.02

Jaylen Warren run for 19 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.09

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Blaine Green for 23 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 9 yds to the KanSt 39

2nd & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 2 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Jaylen Warren run for 8 yds to the KanSt 29

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd to the KanSt 28

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.32

Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds to the KanSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.30

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaylen Warren for 17 yds to the KanSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd to the KanSt 10

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Dominic Richardson run for 3 yds to the KanSt 7

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Tay Martin 7 Yd pass from Spencer Sanders (Alex Hale Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Deuce Vaughn run for 6 yds to the KanSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 32

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 58 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 9

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 58 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 9

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.55

Jaylen Warren run for 13 yds to the OKSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Spencer Sanders run for 1 yd to the OKSt 23

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Brennan Presley

3rd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.47

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Rashod Owens for 18 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.52

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 20 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, Targeting (15 Yards) to the KanSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.24

Jaylen Warren run for 14 yds to the KanSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd to the KanSt 8

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds to the KanSt 6

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the KanSt 3

4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 yds

Alex Hale 20 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jaren Lewis pass complete to Malik Knowles for 7 yds to the KanSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 30

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

Lewis,Jaren pass incomplete to Knowles,Malik PENALTY OSU Pass Interference (McCalister,Tanner) 15 yards from KSU30 to KSU45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jaren Lewis pass incomplete to Keenan Garber

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Jaren Lewis run for 8 yds to the OKSt 47

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Jaren Lewis run for 4 yds to the OKSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jaren Lewis pass incomplete to Deuce Vaughn

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.64

Jaren Lewis pass complete to Kade Warner for 21 yds to the OKSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jaren Lewis pass incomplete to Tyrone Howell

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.95

Jaren Lewis pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Dominic Richardson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 19

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tay Martin

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jaylen Warren run for 4 yds to the OKSt 23

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tom Hutton punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Jaren Lewis pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 9 yds to the KanSt 49

2nd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.00

Jaren Lewis pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 7 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.67

Jaren Lewis pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 17 yds to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+45 yds

Taiten Winkel 45 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Jaylen Warren

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jaylen Warren run for 5 yds to the OKSt 47

3rd & 5Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.85

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Blaine Green for 24 yds to the KanSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Cole Birmingham) to the KanSt 44

2nd & 25Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jaylen Warren run for 5 yds to the KanSt 39

3rd & 20Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 8 yds to the KanSt 31

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Alex Hale 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 34

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Will Howard pass incomplete to Nick Lenners

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Will Howard pass incomplete to Sammy Wheeler

4th & 7Punt+14 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 14 , Brennan Presley returns for 14 yds to the OKSt 48 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Kanion Williams) to the OKSt 14

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds to the OKSt 16

2nd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.33

Spencer Sanders sacked by Felix Anudike-Uzomah for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 14

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tay Martin

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tom Hutton punt for 48 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for no gain to the KanSt 34

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the KanSt 41

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.75

Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 43

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.02

Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 42

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 8

1st & 10Penalty-4 yds

Warren,Jaylen rush for 3 yards gain to the OSU11 (Trussell,Spencer; Fletcher,Cody) PENALTY OSU Holding (Springfield,Jake) 4 yards from OSU08 to OSU04. NO PLAY.

1st & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Jaylen Warren run for 6 yds to the OKSt 10

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.20

Dominic Richardson run for no gain to the OKSt 10

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braden Cassity for 4 yds to the OKSt 14

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tom Hutton punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jaren Lewis pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 3 yds to the KanSt 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Jaren Lewis pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 1 yd to the KanSt 48

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

Lewis,Jaren pass incomplete to Vaughn,Deuce QB hurried by Martin,Brock and Jernigan,Jayden PENALTY OSU Offside (Martin,Brock) 5 yards from KSU48 to OSU47. NO PLAY.

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Phillip Brooks run for no gain to the OKSt 47

4th & 3Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.13

Jaren Lewis sacked by Israel Antwine for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line

4th & 3Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.13

Jaren Lewis sacked by Israel Antwine for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Dominic Richardson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 48

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Blaine Green

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Dominic Richardson

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY OSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from KSU48 to OSU47. NO PLAY.

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Tom Hutton punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.19

Jaren Lewis pass complete to Sammy Wheeler for 18 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Jaren Lewis pass complete to Malik Knowles for 12 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.28

Jaren Lewis pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 55 yds for a TD (Taiten Winkel KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dominic Richardson run for no gain to the OKSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tay Martin

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Rashod Owens

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tom Hutton punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jaren Lewis pass incomplete to Jax Dineen

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the KanSt 25

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Jaren Lewis pass incomplete to Malik Knowles

4th & 15Punt+1 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 45 yds , Brennan Presley returns for 1 yd to the OKSt 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.60

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 33 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Spencer Sanders run for 1 yd to the KanSt 37

2nd & 11Penalty-15 yds

Sanders,Spencer pass complete to Martin,Tay for 26 yards to the KSU11, out of bounds PENALTY OSU Pass Interference (Martin,Tay) 15 yards from KSU37 to OSU48. NO PLAY.

2nd & 26Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.24

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Rashod Owens for 17 yds to the KanSt 35

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Brennan Presley

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Tom Hutton punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 7

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Jaren Lewis run for 6 yds to the KanSt 13

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the KanSt 13

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Jaren Lewis pass incomplete to Phillip Brooks

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 32 , Tay Martin returns for no gain to the OKSt 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaylen Warren for 8 yds to the OKSt 40

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the OKSt 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.98

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 19 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jaylen Warren run for no gain to the KanSt 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaylen Warren for 4 yds to the KanSt 32

3rd & 6Penalty-10 yds

Sanders,Spencer rush for 7 yards gain to the KSU25 (Henington,Ryan) PENALTY OSU Holding (Springfield,Jake) 10 yards from KSU32 to KSU42. NO PLAY.

3rd & 16Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.09

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braden Cassity for 10 yds to the KanSt 32

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Alex Hale 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jaren Lewis pass incomplete to Deuce Vaughn

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-12 ydsPPA -0.91

Jaren Lewis sacked by Tyler Lacy for a loss of 12 yards to the KanSt 20 Jaren Lewis fumbled, recovered by KanSt Christian Duffie , return for 0 yards

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Jaren Lewis pass incomplete to Phillip Brooks

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds to the OKSt 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.43

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 9 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the OKSt 34

2nd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.57

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Rashod Owens for 14 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Jaylen Warren run for 7 yds to the KanSt 45

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd to the KanSt 44

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.07

Spencer Sanders run for 3 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.50

Jaylen Warren run for 14 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.21

run for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 32

2nd & 15Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.96

run for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 37

Situational Analysis

Kansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
55%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
44%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
33%
3 plays

Oklahoma State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
47%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
4 plays
0%
1 play
33%
15 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
25%
8 plays
100%
2 plays
4th