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← Back to GamesSep 18, 2021Week 3
BaylorBaylor
45
-Final
7
KansasKansas
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Baylor by 8.9

Home Win Probability

Kansas 25%

Market (consensus)

Kansas +17

Edge: Kansas +17 (8.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 18, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BaylorBaylor
77141745
KansasKansas
07007

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-147-147-287-357-427-45
KansasBaylor

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BAYKANBAYKANBAYKANBAYKANBAYKANKANBAYKANBAYKANBAYKANBAYKANBAYKANBAYKANBAYTD975ydPUNT38ydTO1054ydPUNT3-16ydTD439ydPUNT524ydPUNT727ydTD1176ydPUNT34ydEND13ydPUNT32ydTD169ydPUNT30ydTD860ydPUNT514ydUncategorized541ydDOWNS725ydTD657ydPUNT36ydTD981ydUncategorized313ydFG48ydPUNT37ydEND336yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Baylor and Kansas
StatisticBaylorKansas
Passing19-248-18
Pass Yards26957
Rush Yards307109
Total Yards576166
Turnovers21
3rd Down6-113-12
Penalties5-452-20
Possession33:2226:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Baylor
passing
Gerry Bohannon
19/23, 269 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Abram Smith
16 CAR, 122 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
R.J. Sneed
6 REC, 128 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Kansas
passing
Jason Bean
8/17, 57 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jason Bean
12 CAR, 62 YDS
receiving
Luke Grimm
2 REC, 25 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Abram Smith run for 14 yds to the Bayl 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Abram Smith run for 3 yds to the Bayl 42

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Gerry Bohanon run for 2 yds to the Bayl 40

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Trestan Ebner run for 6 yds to the Bayl 46

4th & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +3.03

Trestan Ebner run for 11 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Abram Smith run for 4 yds to the Kans 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.84

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 19 yds to the Kans 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 6 yds to the Kans 14

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.43

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Ben Sims for 14 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jason Bean run for 1 yd to the Kans 24

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Velton Gardner run for 2 yds to the Kans 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 7 yds to the Kans 33

4th & 2Punt+86 yds

Reis Vernon punt for 53 yds , Trestan Ebner returns for 86 yds

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.23

Abram Smith run for 19 yds to the Bayl 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Abram Smith run for 7 yds to the Bayl 40

2nd & 3Penalty-10 yds

(07:15) Bohanon,Gerry rush for 2 yards loss to the BAY38 (Dotson,Ra'Mello) PENALTY BAY Holding (Kimble,Jackson) 10 yards from BAY40 to BAY30. NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Ben Sims for 9 yds to the Bayl 39

3rd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.74

Trestan Ebner run for 17 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

R.J. Sneed run for no gain to the Kans 44

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Trestan Ebner run for 6 yds to the Kans 38

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Abram Smith run for 1 yd to the Kans 39

4th & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.49

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 6 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Abram Smith run for no gain to the Kans 33

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 1 yd to the Kans 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jason Bean pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter II

2nd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.50

run for 23 yds to the Kans 23

3rd & 33Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.01

Jason Bean run for 7 yds to the Kans 30

4th & 26Punt+50 yds

Reis Vernon punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 39 , Trestan Ebner returns for 50 yds to the Kans 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.54

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Drew Estrada for 20 yds to the Kans 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.18

Gerry Bohanon run for 10 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Abram Smith run for 7 yds to the Kans 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Gavin Yates run for 2 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the Kans 28

2nd & 7Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.76

Jason Bean run for 25 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 6 yds to the Bayl 41

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Jason Bean run for no gain to the Bayl 41

3rd & 4Penalty-10 yds

(11:03) Neal,Devin rush for 3 yards gain to the BAY38 (Bernard,Terrel) PENALTY Kan Holding (Bostick Jr.,Earl) 10 yards from BAY41 to Kan49. NO PLAY.

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jason Bean pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter II

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Reis Vernon punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Trestan Ebner run for no gain to the Bayl 20

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.25

Trestan Ebner run for 10 yds to the Bayl 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 11 yds to the Bayl 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 12 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Trestan Ebner run for 2 yds to the Kans 49

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Abram Smith run for 6 yds to the Kans 43

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Tyquan Thornton

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

(06:40) Power,Issac punt 39 yards to the Kan04 PENALTY BAY Illegal Formation 5 yards from Kan43 to Kan48. NO PLAY.

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Kwamie Lassiter II at the Kans 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Kwamie Lassiter II at the Kans 24

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Jason Bean run for no gain to the Kans 24

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Devin Neal run for no gain to the Kans 24

3rd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.68

Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 19 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jason Bean run for 5 yds to the Kans 48

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.26

Trevor Wilson run for 14 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Devin Neal run for no gain to the Bayl 38

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

(02:54) Bean,Jason pass incomplete to McBride,Steven PENALTY BAY Pass Interference (Morgan,Christian) 15 yards from BAY38 to BAY23, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the Bayl 19

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jason Bean run for 3 yds to the Bayl 16

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.62

Jason Bean run for 9 yds to the Bayl 7 KANSAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Luke Grimm) to the Bayl 20

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.37

Jason Bean pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 15 yds to the Bayl 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 5 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Ben Sims for 4 yds to the Bayl 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Ben Sims

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Trestan Ebner

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 3 yds to the Kans 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 3 yds to the Kans 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Jason Bean run for 2 yds to the Kans 30

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jason Bean run for 3 yds to the Kans 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Reis Vernon punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +5.61

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 69 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jason Bean pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jason Bean pass incomplete to Mason Fairchild

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jason Bean pass incomplete to Trevor Wilson

4th & 10Punt+2 yds

Reis Vernon punt for 37 yds , Trestan Ebner returns for 2 yds to the Bayl 40

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Abram Smith run for 1 yd to the Bayl 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Ben Sims for 7 yds to the Bayl 48

3rd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.90

Abram Smith run for 12 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Abram Smith run for 2 yds to the Kans 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.06

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 21 yds to the Kans 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 8 yds to the Kans 9

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.44

Abram Smith run for 5 yds to the Kans 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Abram Smith run for 4 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the Kans 30

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Devin Neal run for 7 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the Kans 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jason Bean pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 1 yd to the Kans 39

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jason Bean pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Reis Vernon punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Gerry Bohanon run for 10 yds to the Bayl 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.76

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 19 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Monaray Baldwin run for 2 yds to the Kans 47

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Trestan Ebner run for 4 yds to the Kans 43

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.49

Trestan Ebner run for 6 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jason Bean run for 3 yds to the Kans 35

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the Kans 40

3rd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.33

Jason Bean run for 15 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jason Bean pass incomplete to Luke Grimm

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jason Bean pass incomplete to Torry Locklin

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Velton Gardner run for 2 yds to the Bayl 43

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Jason Bean pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter II

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.92

Abram Smith run for 11 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Ben Sims

2nd & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.98

Abram Smith run for 28 yds to the Kans 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Trestan Ebner run for 7 yds to the Kans 11

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Trestan Ebner run for 2 yds to the Kans 9

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.54

Gerry Bohanon run for 9 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the Kans 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the Kans 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter II

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Reis Vernon punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 19

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Taye McWilliams run for 2 yds to the Bayl 17

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Gerry Bohanon run for 6 yds to the Bayl 23

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.58

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 10 yds to the Bayl 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Taye McWilliams run for 3 yds to the Bayl 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Drake Dabney for 5 yds to the Bayl 41

3rd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.04

Taye McWilliams run for 11 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 10 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.48

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Gavin Yates for 18 yds to the Kans 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Taye McWilliams run for 20 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 5 yds to the Kans 30

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 7 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 1 yd to the Kans 38

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Craig Williams run for 3 yds to the Kans 34

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Hal Presley

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jacob Zeno run for 5 yds to the Kans 29

4th & 2Field Goal Good+48 yds

Isaiah Hankins 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Miles Kendrick run for 7 yds to the Kans 32

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Torry Locklin run for no gain to the Kans 32

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Torry Locklin run for no gain to the Kans 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Reis Vernon punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 23

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.16

Monaray Baldwin run for 14 yds to the Bayl 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.51

Taye McWilliams run for 17 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Taye McWilliams run for 5 yds to the Kans 41

Situational Analysis

Baylor

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
60%
35 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
60%
10 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Kansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
32%
19 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
6 plays
38%
8 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play