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← Back to GamesSep 19, 2021Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Boise State by 6.6

Home Win Probability

Boise State 69%

Market (consensus)

Boise State -3.5

Edge: Boise State -3.5 (3.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 19, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Oklahoma StateOklahoma State
7140021
Boise StateBoise State
10100020

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142810-717-721-1420-21
Boise StateOklahoma State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BSOSBSOSBSOSBSOSBSOSBSOSBSOSBSOSBSOSBSOSBSOSBSOSBSOSFG1252ydPUNT32ydTD1070ydTD175ydPUNT410ydPUNT32ydPUNT522ydPUNT30ydTD943ydPUNT30ydFG835ydTD1075ydTO13ydTD521ydEND1-1ydPUNT1441ydPUNT34ydMISS729ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT519ydPUNT933ydPUNT834ydTO221ydTO37ydMISS622ydEND613yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Oklahoma State and Boise State
StatisticOklahoma StateBoise State
Passing6-1322-35
Pass Yards82242
Rush Yards24661
Total Yards328303
Turnovers12
3rd Down9-197-16
Penalties5-402-20
Possession33:1826:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Oklahoma State
passing
Spencer Sanders
6/13, 82 YDS
rushing
Jaylen Warren
32 CAR, 218 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Rashod Owens
2 REC, 34 YDS
defense
Boise State
passing
Hank Bachmeier
22/34, 242 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
George Holani
12 CAR, 28 YDS
receiving
Khalil Shakir
8 REC, 78 YDS
defense
JL Skinner
2.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 5 yds to the BoiSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.13

George Holani run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

George Holani run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 40

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

George Holani run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 42

3rd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.98

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 16 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for no gain to the OKSt 42

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.41

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Latrell Caples for 11 yds to the OKSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Andrew Van Buren run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 32

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Andrew Van Buren run for 4 yds to the OKSt 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Davis Koetter for 5 yds to the OKSt 23

4th & 2Field Goal Good+40 yds

Jonah Dalmas 40 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Joel Velazquez kickoff for 62 yds , LD Brown return for 16 yds to the OKSt 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Spencer Sanders pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jaylen Warren run for 5 yds to the OKSt 24

3rd & 5Penalty-10 yds

SANDERS, Spencer scrambles to the left for a gain of 11 yards to the OSU35 (ROBINSON, Rodney), out of bounds. PENALTY OSU Holding on SILLS, Josh enforced 10 yards from the OSU24 to the OSU14 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.04

Spencer Sanders pass complete to LD Brown for 7 yds to the OKSt 21

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tom Hutton punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Khalil Shakir at the BoiSt 30

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tom Hutton punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Khalil Shakir at the BoiSt 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

George Holani run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 33

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

George Holani run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.94

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Octavius Evans for 7 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 9 yds to the OKSt 49

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.22

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 4 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.57

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to George Holani for 12 yds to the OKSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Hank Bachmeier run for 2 yds to the OKSt 31

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.48

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Davis Koetter for 28 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Jaylen Warren run for 75 yds for a TD, (Alex Hale KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 13 yds to the BoiSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 42

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

3rd & 6Sack0 ydsPPA -0.64

Hank Bachmeier sacked by Brock Martin for 0 yards to the BoiSt 35

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Joel Velazquez punt for 42 yds

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Joel Velazquez punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the OKSt 26

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.57

Jaylen Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 25

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Spencer Sanders pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tom Hutton punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Khalil Shakir at the BoiSt 20

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tom Hutton punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Khalil Shakir at the BoiSt 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

George Holani run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.51

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Octavius Evans for 13 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 5 yds to the BoiSt 40

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

George Holani run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 42

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Hank Bachmeier run for no gain to the BoiSt 42

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Joel Velazquez punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 11

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Joel Velazquez punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 11

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Spencer Sanders pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.07

Spencer Sanders run for no gain to the OKSt 11

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.16

Spencer Sanders run for no gain to the OKSt 11

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tom Hutton punt for 32 yds, fair catch by CT Thomas at the OKSt 43

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tom Hutton punt for 32 yds, fair catch by CT Thomas at the OKSt 43

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

George Holani run for no gain to the OKSt 43

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Davis Koetter for 7 yds to the OKSt 36

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

George Holani run for 1 yd to the OKSt 35

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.74

Hank Bachmeier run for 3 yds to the OKSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.28

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to George Holani for 14 yds to the OKSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Billy Bowens for 8 yds to the OKSt 10

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.25

Andrew Van Buren run for 5 yds to the OKSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.15

LD Brown run for a loss of 7 yards to the OKSt 18

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Spencer Sanders pass incomplete

3rd & 17Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.04

Spencer Sanders run for 7 yds to the OKSt 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tom Hutton punt for 29 yds

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tom Hutton punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.25

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cyrus Habibi-Likio for 20 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Davis Koetter pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

BACHMEIER, Hank pass to the right complete for 18 yards to SHAKIR, Khalil caught at the OSU16 and advanced to the OSU16 (MUHAMMAD, Jabbar), out of bounds. PENALTY BSU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on STETZ, Jake enforced 5 yards from the OSU34 to the OSU39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 15Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.32

Hank Bachmeier run for 12 yds to the OKSt 27

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.59

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 6 yds to the OKSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 2 yds to the OKSt 19

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+36 yds

Jonah Dalmas 36 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.39

Jaylen Warren run for 27 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jaylen Warren run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 42

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Spencer Sanders pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.57

Spencer Sanders run for 10 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Jaylen Warren run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 26

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 23

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.58

LD Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 17

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Spencer Sanders run for 10 yds to the BoiSt 13 for a 1ST down

2nd & 14Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.09

Brennan Presley run for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 21

3rd & 18Penalty+15 yds

SANDERS, Spencer pass to the right incomplete intended for PRESLEY, Brennan thrown to the BSU0. PENALTY BSU Pass Interference on ROBINSON, Rodney enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the BSU6 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Jaylen Warren 6 Yd Run (Alex Hale Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Tanner Brown kickoff for 60 yds , CT Thomas return for 13 yds to the BoiSt 18

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

George Holani run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 21

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

George Holani run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 21

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Jaylen Warren run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 15

2nd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.51

Jaylen Warren run for 14 yds to the BoiSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jaylen Warren run for no gain to the BoiSt 1

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (Danny Godlevske) to the BoiSt 6

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Spencer Sanders run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Spencer Sanders 1 Yd Run (Alex Hale Kick)

0th & 3End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the OKSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds to the OKSt 30

3rd & 5Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.55

Jaylen Warren run for 16 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.21

LD Brown run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 45

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.26

LD Brown run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jaylen Warren run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 36

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Dominic Richardson run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 32

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.46

Spencer Sanders run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (Dominic Richardson) to the BoiSt 34

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jaylen Warren run for no gain to the BoiSt 34

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Spencer Sanders pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.48

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Rashod Owens for 16 yds to the BoiSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.51

Spencer Sanders run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 20

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 25

2nd & 17Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Jaylen Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 26

3rd & 18Sack0 ydsPPA -1.00

Spencer Sanders sacked by Scott Matlock for 0 yards to the BoiSt 34

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Tom Hutton punt for 26 yds, downed at the BoiSt 8

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Hank Bachmeier run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 14

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.54

George Holani run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 12

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Joel Velazquez punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 47

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jaylen Warren run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 48

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.42

Jaylen Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 49

3rd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.57

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Rashod Owens for 18 yds to the BoiSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Jaylen Warren run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 33

2nd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 3 yds to the BoiSt 30

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Spencer Sanders run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 24

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Alex Hale 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

George Holani run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 29

2nd & 5Sack0 ydsPPA -0.72

Hank Bachmeier sacked by Jayden Jernigan for 0 yards to the BoiSt 23

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Joel Velazquez punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 34

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd to the OKSt 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.23

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 14 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -1.13

Spencer Sanders sacked by Shane Irwin for 0 yards to the OKSt 47

2nd & 12Penalty0 yds

OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

3rd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Spencer Sanders run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 47

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tom Hutton punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Khalil Shakir at the BoiSt 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 1 yd to the BoiSt 12

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.32

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 8 yds to the BoiSt 20

3rd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.81

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Riley Smith for 7 yds to the BoiSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 35

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.12

Hank Bachmeier run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 35

2nd & 12Sack0 ydsPPA -0.51

Hank Bachmeier sacked by Lamont Bishop for 0 yards to the BoiSt 28

3rd & 19Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.77

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Davis Koetter for 16 yds to the BoiSt 44

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Joel Velazquez punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 19

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Jaylen Warren run for 6 yds to the OKSt 25

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Jaylen Warren run for 9 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Jaylen Warren run for 6 yds to the OKSt 40

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the OKSt 43

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.20

Spencer Sanders run for 3 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Jaylen Warren run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 47

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.23

Spencer Sanders pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Dominic Richardson run for no gain to the BoiSt 47

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tom Hutton punt for 41 yds, downed at the BoiSt 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.96

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 21 yds to the BoiSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.07

Hank Bachmeier pass intercepted return for no gain to the OKSt 34

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds to the OKSt 36

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the OKSt 39

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds to the OKSt 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.48

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Octavius Evans for 13 yds to the OKSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Roughing the Passer on MARTIN, Brock enforced (Brock Martin) to the OKSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Khalil Shakir run for 1 yd to the OKSt 19

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

4th & 9Blocked Field Goal+36 yds

Jonah Dalmas 36 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Spencer Sanders run for 1 yd to the OKSt 21

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds to the OKSt 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.96

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Cale Cabbiness for 24 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Oklahoma State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
48%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
38%
8 plays
29%
7 plays
0%
5 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
4th

Boise State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
38%
29 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play