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← Back to GamesSep 11, 2021Week 2
CaliforniaCalifornia
32
-Final
34
TCUTCU

House Prediction

Model Margin

TCU by 15

Home Win Probability

TCU 82%

Market (consensus)

TCU -11.5

Edge: TCU -11.5 (3.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 11, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
CaliforniaCalifornia
61301332
TCUTCU
01471334

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-67-127-1921-1921-2627-2634-32
TCUCalifornia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CALTCUCALTCUCALTCUCALTCUTCUCALTCUCALTCUCALTCUCALTCUCALTCUCALTCUCALTCUCALTCUDOWNS868ydPUNT713ydTD368ydPUNT33ydPUNT37ydPUNT621ydPUNT837ydTD3-6ydTD975ydTD275ydPUNT733ydPUNT38ydTD265ydEND1-1ydTD1575ydPUNT34ydFG645ydPUNT530ydPUNT630ydTD980ydTD475ydPUNT36ydTD581ydTD675ydEND917yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing California and TCU
StatisticCaliforniaTCU
Passing16-2717-31
Pass Yards309234
Rush Yards133271
Total Yards442505
Turnovers01
3rd Down5-1310-18
Penalties8-746-59
Possession23:3736:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

California
passing
Chase Garbers
16/27, 309 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Damien Moore
14 CAR, 71 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Trevon Clark
2 REC, 122 YDS, 1 TD
defense
TCU
passing
Max Duggan
17/31, 234 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Zach Evans
22 CAR, 190 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Quentin Johnston
5 REC, 95 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Damien Moore run for 2 yds to the Cal 27

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CAL False Start (Moore,Collin) 5 yards from CAL27 to CAL22. NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Damien Moore run for 8 yds to the Cal 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.49

Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 5 yds to the Cal 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +2.67

Chase Garbers pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 49 yds to the TCU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Nikko Remigio run for 5 yds to the TCU 11

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Christopher Brooks run for 1 yd to the TCU 10

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Chase Garbers pass complete to Christopher Brooks for 3 yds to the TCU 7

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.10

Christopher Brooks run for no gain to the TCU 7

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the TCU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Max Duggan run for 5 yds to the TCU 34

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Derius Davis run for no gain to the TCU 34

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.70

Max Duggan run for 5 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the TCU 42

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Derius Davis

4th & 7Penalty-15 yds

PENALTY TCU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Eze,Obinna) 15 yards from TCU42 to TCU27. NO PLAY.

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the Cal 32

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Garbers,Chase pass incomplete to Clark,Trevon PENALTY TCU Pass Interference (Ceasar,C.J.) 15 yards from CAL32 to CAL47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Damien Moore run for 2 yds to the Cal 45

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Damien Moore run for 1 yd to the Cal 46

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+54 ydsPPA +6.37

Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 54 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Carter Ware

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the TCU 21

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Taye Barber

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the Cal 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Damien Moore run for 3 yds to the Cal 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Chase Garbers pass complete to Collin Moore for 4 yds to the Cal 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Kekoa Crawford

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Derius Davis at the TCU 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Savion Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Max Duggan pass complete to JD Spielman for 9 yds to the TCU 37

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.70

Max Duggan run for 9 yds to the TCU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.86

Max Duggan sacked by Cameron Goode for a loss of 12 yards to the TCU 34

3rd & 16Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.43

Max Duggan pass complete to Quincy Brown for 9 yds to the TCU 49

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the Cal 5

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Damien Moore run for 3 yds to the Cal 8

2nd & 7Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.89

Chase Garbers pass complete to Jake Tonges for 28 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 4 yds to the Cal 40

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Damien Moore run for 4 yds to the Cal 44

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.63

Chase Garbers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Jeremiah Hunter

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Chase Garbers run for 6 yds to the TCU 44

3rd & 4Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.32

Chase Garbers sacked by Dee Winters for a loss of 9 yards to the Cal 47

4th & 13Penalty-5 yds

Sheahan,Jamieson punt 41 yards to the TCU12 fair catch by Davis,Derius at TCU12 PENALTY CAL Illegal Formation 5 yards from CAL47 to CAL42. NO PLAY.

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Derius Davis at the TCU 11

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Zach Evans run for 1 yd to the TCU 10

2nd & 11Penalty0 yds

TCU Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Max Duggan) to the TCU 5

3rd & 16Interception Return Touchdown+8 ydsPPA -6.63

Daniel Scott 8 Yd Interception Return (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CAL Delay Of Game 5 yards from TCU03 to TCU08. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty+4 yds

PENALTY TCU Offside (Ceasar,C.J.) 4 yards from TCU08 to TCU04. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the TCU 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Max Duggan run for 3 yds to the TCU 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.56

Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 6 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston

2nd & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.88

Zach Evans run for 22 yds to the Cal 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Max Duggan run for 2 yds to the Cal 39

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Max Duggan run for no gain to the Cal 39

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.90

Max Duggan run for 9 yds to the Cal 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 30 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+68 ydsPPA +3.88

Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 68 yds to the TCU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 7 yds for a TD, (Dario Longhetto KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 12 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Max Duggan pass complete to Zach Evans for 14 yds to the TCU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Zach Evans run for 5 yds to the Cal 49

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.73

Zach Evans run for 6 yds to the Cal 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Taye Barber

2nd & 10Sack-15 ydsPPA -2.89

Max Duggan sacked by Cameron Goode for a loss of 15 yards to the TCU 42

3rd & 25Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.41

Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 11 yds to the Cal 47

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

DeCarlos Brooks run for 1 yd to the Cal 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Chase Garbers pass complete to DeCarlos Brooks for 7 yds to the Cal 28

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Kekoa Crawford pass intercepted

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 14 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +3.92

Zach Evans run for 51 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 22

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Max Duggan run for 6 yds to the TCU 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the TCU 33

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.44

JD Spielman run for 6 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Kendre Miller run for 3 yds to the TCU 36

3rd & 13Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.28

Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 16 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Derius Davis

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.95

Kendre Miller run for 18 yds to the Cal 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Kendre Miller run for 2 yds to the Cal 28

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 9 yds to the Cal 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Max Duggan run for 3 yds to the Cal 16

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

TCU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Cal 25

2nd & 16Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Max Duggan pass complete to Geor'Quarius Spivey for 7 yds to the Cal 18

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.30

Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 18 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Damien Moore

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Chase Garbers pass complete to Marcel Dancy for 4 yds to the Cal 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Trevon Clark

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Derius Davis at the TCU 33

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Zach Evans run for 11 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +1.67

Zach Evans run for 16 yds to the CALIFORNIA 40 for a 1ST down CALIFORNIA Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Cameron Goode) to the Cal 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Max Duggan run for no gain to the Cal 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 3 yds to the Cal 22

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Kendre Miller

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+39 yds

Griffin Kell 39 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.84

Damien Moore run for 11 yds to the Cal 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Damien Moore run for 13 yds to the Cal 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Justin Richard Baker

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Chase Garbers run for 6 yds to the TCU 48

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Justin Richard Baker

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Derius Davis at the TCU 6

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Zach Evans run for 1 yd to the TCU 7

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.70

Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 12 yds to the TCU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.92

Zach Evans run for 13 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Zach Evans run for 4 yds to the TCU 36

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quincy Brown

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Marcel Brooks

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 64 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Jake Tonges

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CAL False Start (Terry II,Jermaine) 5 yards from CAL20 to CAL15. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.53

Chase Garbers run for 12 yds to the Cal 27

3rd & 3Penalty+15 yds

TCU Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Dylan Horton) to the TCU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Trevon Clark

2nd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.67

Chase Garbers sacked by La'Kendrick Van Zandt for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 45

3rd & 13Rush+18 ydsPPA +3.14

Chase Garbers run for 18 yds to the TCU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.19

Nikko Remigio run for 13 yds to the TCU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Damien Moore run for 2 yds to the TCU 12

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.72

Damien Moore run for 12 yds for a TD, (Dario Longhetto KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Zach Evans run for 9 yds to the TCU 34

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Zach Evans run for 7 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Duggan,Max pass incomplete to Johnston,Quentin PENALTY CAL Pass Interference (Anusiem,Chigozie) 15 yards from TCU41 to CAL44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

JD Spielman run for 1 yd to the Cal 45

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +4.61

Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 45 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Damien Moore run for 6 yds to the Cal 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.87

Chase Garbers pass complete to Collin Moore for no gain to the Cal 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Nikko Remigio

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Derius Davis at the TCU 19

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Max Duggan run for 7 yds to the TCU 26

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Zach Evans run for 8 yds to the TCU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.41

Zach Evans run for 15 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +1.33

Max Duggan run for 33 yds to the Cal 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+9 yds

Duggan,Max rush for 5 yards loss to the CAL23 (Goode,Cameron) PENALTY CAL Horse Collar Tackle (Goode,Cameron) 9 yards from CAL18 to CAL09, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Max Duggan run for 9 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Damien Moore run for 7 yds to the Cal 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Trevon Clark

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.10

Chase Garbers pass complete to Jake Tonges for 12 yds to the Cal 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +1.82

Chase Garbers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 42 yds to the TCU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.61

Chase Garbers run for 13 yds for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Damien Moore run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Max Duggan run for 3 yds to the TCU 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Max Duggan run for 3 yds to the TCU 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.24

Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 13 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the TCU 46

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the TCU 48

3rd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.14

Max Duggan run for 6 yds to the Cal 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Zach Evans run for 1 yd to the Cal 45

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 47

3rd & 11Rush-11 ydsPPA -1.44

run for a loss of 11 yards to the TCU 42

Situational Analysis

California

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
46%
24 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
63%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
17%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

TCU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
36 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
27%
15 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
80%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
4th