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← Back to GamesSep 11, 2021Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Baylor by 20.3

Home Win Probability

Baylor 88%

Market (consensus)

Baylor -44.5

Edge: Texas Southern +44.5 (24.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 11, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas Southern
00077
BaylorBaylor
2121101466

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-021-028-035-042-049-052-059-7
BaylorTexas Southern

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BAYTSBAYTSBAYTSBAYTSBAYTSBAYTSBAYTSBAYTSTSTSBAYBAYTD1293ydPUNT3-8ydTD148ydPUNT421ydTD585ydDOWNS833ydTD1060ydPUNT30ydTD682ydPUNT619ydTD980ydPUNT620ydTD786ydDOWNS839ydFG745ydTO1172ydTD1075ydPUNT35ydEND963ydTD475yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas Southern and Baylor
StatisticTexas SouthernBaylor
Passing12-2219-26
Pass Yards120295
Rush Yards161419
Total Yards281714
Turnovers10
3rd Down3-125-9
Penalties4-333-32
Possession27:5632:04

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas Southern
passing
Jalen Brown
7/12, 96 YDS
rushing
Jacorey Howard
11 CAR, 68 YDS
receiving
Ke'Lenn Davis
2 REC, 45 YDS
defense
Baylor
passing
Gerry Bohannon
17/23, 247 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Abram Smith
12 CAR, 126 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Tyquan Thornton
5 REC, 103 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.10

Trestan Ebner run for 22 yds to the Bayl 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Ben Sims for 9 yds to the Bayl 38

2nd & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.52

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 11 yds to the Bayl 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(13:19) Ebner,Trestan rush for 51 yards gain to the TSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 13:19 PENALTY BAY Holding (Gall,Jacob) 10 yards from BAY49 to BAY39. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(13:19) Ebner,Trestan rush for 51 yards gain to the TSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 13:19 PENALTY BAY Holding (Gall,Jacob) 10 yards from BAY49 to BAY39. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 2 yds to the Bayl 41

2nd & 18Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.08

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 15 yds to the TexSo 44

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Abram Smith

4th & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.56

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Abram Smith for 7 yds to the TexSo 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Abram Smith run for 10 yds to the TexSo 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Trestan Ebner run for 5 yds to the TexSo 22

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Ben Sims

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Abram Smith run for 2 yds to the TexSo 20

4th & 3Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.54

Abram Smith run for 20 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jeff Proctor run for 3 yds to the TexSo 22

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Jeff Proctor run for 5 yds to the TexSo 17

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Jalen Brown pass incomplete to Jyrin Johnson

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Sawyer Evans punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the TexSo 48

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +3.69

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 48 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the TexSo 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Jeff Proctor run for 8 yds to the Bayl 48

2nd & 2Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.67

Jalen Brown sacked by Matt Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSo 46

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Jalen Brown pass incomplete to Jonathan Giles

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Sawyer Evans punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 15

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Trestan Ebner run for 8 yds to the Bayl 23

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Josh Fleeks run for 5 yds to the Bayl 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+58 ydsPPA +3.31

Trestan Ebner run for 58 yds to the TexSo 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Abram Smith run for 7 yds to the TexSo 7

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.24

Gerry Bohanon run for 7 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Andrew Body pass complete to Derrick Morton for no gain to the TexSo 25

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.12

Andrew Body run for 16 yds to the TexSo 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jacorey Howard run for no gain to the TexSo 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.11

Andrew Body pass complete to Jacorey Howard for 11 yds to the Bayl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

run for 2 yds to the Bayl 48

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Jeff Proctor run for 1 yd to the Bayl 47

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Andrew Body run for 8 yds to the Bayl 39

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.76

Andrew Body run for 1 yd to the Bayl 40

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Abram Smith run for 1 yd to the Bayl 39

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Gerry Bohanon run for 4 yds to the Bayl 43

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Abram Smith for 4 yds to the Bayl 47

4th & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.90

Abram Smith run for 9 yds to the TexSo 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Gerry Bohanon run for no gain to the TexSo 44

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Tyquan Thornton

3rd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.68

Trestan Ebner run for 16 yds to the TexSo 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.22

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 14 yds to the TexSo 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Trestan Ebner run for 4 yds to the TexSo 10

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.57

Gerry Bohanon run for 10 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Andrew Body pass complete to Jonathan Giles for 1 yd to the TexSo 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Andrew Body pass complete to Jonathan Giles for 1 yd to the TexSo 20

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Andrew Body pass incomplete to Kevin Harris

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Sawyer Evans punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.97

Abram Smith run for 14 yds to the Bayl 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Gerry Bohanon run for 6 yds to the Bayl 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.78

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 19 yds to the TexSo 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 2 yds to the TexSo 45

2nd & 12Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.17

Abram Smith run for 10 yds to the TexSo 35

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +3.57

Abram Smith run for 35 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jeff Proctor run for 6 yds to the TexSo 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jeff Proctor run for 1 yd to the TexSo 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.61

Jalen Brown pass complete to Jonathan Giles for 7 yds to the TexSo 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the TexSo 43

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the TexSo 44

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Jalen Brown pass incomplete to Kevin Harris

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Sawyer Evans punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Ben Sims for 5 yds to the Bayl 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.54

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 26 yds to the TexSo 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Trestan Ebner run for 9 yds to the TexSo 40

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Tyquan Thornton

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.79

Abram Smith run for 4 yds to the TexSo 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to R.J. Sneed

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Ben Sims for 7 yds to the TexSo 29

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.73

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 11 yds to the TexSo 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 18 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jeff Proctor run for 1 yd to the TexSo 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.30

Jalen Brown pass complete to Jyrin Johnson for 18 yds to the TexSo 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -2.52

Jeff Proctor run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line TEXAS SOUTHERN Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jeff Proctor) to the TexSo 35

1st & 19Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jalen Brown pass complete to Jacorey Howard for no gain to the TexSo 35

2nd & 19Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jacorey Howard run for 4 yds to the TexSo 31

3rd & 23Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.08

Jalen Brown pass complete to Jyrin Johnson for 19 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY TSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from TSU50 to TSU45. NO PLAY.

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY TSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from TSU50 to TSU45. NO PLAY.

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Sawyer Evans punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 14

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Abram Smith run for 7 yds to the Bayl 21

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.53

Abram Smith run for 9 yds to the Bayl 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Ben Sims

2nd & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.77

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 41 yds to the TexSo 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.22

Hal Presley run for 13 yds to the TexSo 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Trestan Ebner run for 4 yds to the TexSo 12

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.59

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 12 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the TexSo 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.61

Jalen Brown pass complete to Ke'Lenn Davis for 34 yds to the Bayl 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the Bayl 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Jalen Brown pass complete to Ke'Lenn Davis for 11 yds to the Bayl 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Jalen Brown pass complete to Jonathan Giles for 7 yds to the Bayl 23

2nd & 3Penalty-13 yds

TEXAS SOUTHERN Penalty, Intentional Grounding. (-13 Yards) to the Bayl 36

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Jalen Brown pass incomplete

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jalen Brown pass incomplete to Jonathan Giles

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jalen Brown pass incomplete to Jonathan Giles

4th & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jalen Brown pass incomplete to Jonathan Giles

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Trestan Ebner run for 2 yds to the Bayl 34

2nd & 12Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.80

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 41 yds to the TexSo 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.17

Jacob Zeno run for no gain to the TexSo 25 for a 1ST down TEXAS SOUTHERN Penalty, Targeting (13 Yards) to the TexSo 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Tyquan Thornton

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Trestan Ebner run for 1 yd to the TexSo 11

3rd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.80

Jacob Zeno sacked by Isaiah Hamilton for a loss of 8 yards to the TexSo 19

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Trestan Ebner run for 1 yd to the TexSo 11

3rd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.80

Jacob Zeno sacked by Isaiah Hamilton for a loss of 8 yards to the TexSo 19

4th & 17Field Goal Good+37 yds

Isaiah Hankins 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Andrew Body pass incomplete to Derrick Morton

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jacorey Howard run for no gain to the TexSo 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.17

Andrew Body pass complete to C'ing Blanton for 13 yds to the TexSo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Andrew Body run for 10 yds to the TexSo 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Andrew Body pass incomplete to Sol'dreveon Degrate

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.21

Jacorey Howard run for 18 yds to the Bayl 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +0.88

Jacorey Howard run for 28 yds to the Bayl 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Jacorey Howard run for 2 yds to the Bayl 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jacorey Howard run for 1 yd to the Bayl 3

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Jacorey Howard run for 1 yd to the Bayl 2

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jacorey Howard run for 5 yds to the TexSo 30

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Andrew Body run for 8 yds to the TexSo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Andrew Body pass incomplete to C'ing Blanton

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.03

Andrew Body run for 10 yds to the TexSo 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.07

Jacorey Howard run for 18 yds to the Bayl 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.34

Jeff Proctor run for 16 yds to the Bayl 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Jeff Proctor run for 1 yd to the Bayl 19

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the Bayl 17

3rd & 9Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.32

Andrew Body run for 16 yds to the Bayl 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Kevin Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Richard Garcia III KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Dominic Franklin run for 4 yds to the TexSo 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Dominic Franklin run for 1 yd to the TexSo 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Andrew Body pass incomplete to Travaris Achane

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Sawyer Evans punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 29

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.01

Monaray Baldwin run for 22 yds to the TexSo 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Taye McWilliams run for 7 yds to the TexSo 42

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.32

Taye McWilliams run for 10 yds to the TexSo 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.31

Taye McWilliams run for 17 yds to the TexSo 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jacoby Clarke run for 5 yds to the TexSo 10

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jacoby Clarke run for 4 yds to the TexSo 6

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.62

Brandon Bass run for 1 yd to the TexSo 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSo 6

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.42

run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSo 8

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.32

Taye McWilliams run for 14 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+44 ydsPPA +3.24

Taye McWilliams run for 44 yds to the BAYLOR 31 for a 1ST down TEXAS SOUTHERN Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Jonathan Giles) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.21

Taye McWilliams run for 10 yds to the TexSo 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Blake Shapen pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 7 yds to the TexSo 14

Situational Analysis

Texas Southern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
35%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
67%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Baylor

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
73%
33 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
86%
7 plays
57%
7 plays
40%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
3 plays