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← Back to GamesSep 4, 2021Week 1
LouisianaLouisiana
18
-Final
38
TexasTexas

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas by 1.9

Home Win Probability

Texas 53%

Market (consensus)

Texas -8.5

Edge: Louisiana +8.5 (6.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 4, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisianaLouisiana
336618
TexasTexas
77141038

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-37-314-321-621-1228-1235-1238-18
TexasLouisiana

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUTEXLOUTEXLOUTEXLOUTEXLOUTEXLOUTEXLOUTEXLOUTEXLOUTEXLOUPUNT38ydPUNT3-1ydFG842ydTD1170ydPUNT513ydMISS965ydPUNT37ydTD1462ydEND944ydTD865ydTD1279ydTD648ydPUNT3-4ydTD1083ydTD975ydFG618ydTO762ydPUNT31ydEND1242yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisiana and Texas
StatisticLouisianaTexas
Passing28-4018-26
Pass Yards282265
Rush Yards76170
Total Yards358435
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-1310-15
Penalties5-257-64
Possession26:4733:13

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisiana
passing
Levi Lewis
28/40, 282 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Chris Smith
11 CAR, 54 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jalen Williams
5 REC, 71 YDS
defense
Texas
passing
Hudson Card
14/21, 224 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Bijan Robinson
20 CAR, 103 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jordan Whittington
7 REC, 113 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Chris Smith run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Michael Jefferson

4th & 2Punt+6 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 50 yds , D'Shawn Jamison returns for 6 yds to the Texas 39 TEXAS Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Texas 13

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Hudson Card pass incomplete to Jordan Whittington

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.20

Bijan Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 12

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Hudson Card pass incomplete to Joshua Moore

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 50 yds , Eric Garror returns for no gain to the LaLaf 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.66

Levi Lewis pass complete to Emani Bailey for 20 yds to the Texas 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Emani Bailey run for 3 yds to the Texas 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.92

Levi Lewis pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 16 yds to the Texas 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.13

Montrell Johnson run for 10 yds to the Texas 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Montrell Johnson run for 2 yds to the Texas 11

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Levi Lewis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 12

3rd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.87

Levi Lewis sacked by DeMarvion Overshown and Luke Brockermeyer for a loss of 8 yards to the Texas 20

4th & 17Field Goal Good+37 yds

Kenneth Almendares 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Hudson Card pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 9 yds to the Texas 39

2nd & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.93

Bijan Robinson run for 17 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Hudson Card pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 43

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 40

4th & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.67

Hudson Card run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 30

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Bijan Robinson run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Hudson Card run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 20

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 18

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.96

Hudson Card pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 18 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (Peter LeBlanc) to the LaLaf 20

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.98

Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 15 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 38

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Levi Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Peter LeBlanc

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 54 yds, downed at the Texas 8

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Bijan Robinson run for no gain to the Texas 8

2nd & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.61

Hudson Card pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 34 yds to the Texas 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.55

Hudson Card sacked by Andre Riley for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 40

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Hudson Card pass complete to Joshua Moore for 6 yds to the Texas 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.14

Hudson Card pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 28 yds to the LaLaf 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 22

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS Penalty, False Start (Junior Angilau) to the LaLaf 27

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Hudson Card pass incomplete to Joshua Moore

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Hudson Card pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Cameron Dicker 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Montrell Johnson run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 34

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Neal Johnson

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 29

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 5 yds to the LaLaf 34

4th & 3Punt+18 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 46 yds , Xavier Worthy returns for 18 yds to the Texas 38

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Texas 28

1st & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Hudson Card pass complete to Joshua Moore for 4 yds to the Texas 32

2nd & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Texas 36

3rd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.16

Hudson Card pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 15 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the LaLaf 44

1st & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.93

Hudson Card sacked by AJ Washington for a loss of 8 yards to the Texas 48

2nd & 13Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.40

Hudson Card pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 13 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Hudson Card pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 34

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Hudson Card pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 14 yds to the LaLaf 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Christian Jones) to the LaLaf 30

1st & 20Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Hudson Card pass complete to Joshua Moore for 7 yds to the LaLaf 23

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 19

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Hudson Card pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 11 yds to the LaLaf 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Roschon Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 6

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Bijan Robinson run for no gain to the LaLaf 6

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Hudson Card pass complete to Cade Brewer for 6 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 9 yds to the LaLaf 34

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.47

Emani Bailey run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Emani Bailey run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 34

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.75

Montrell Johnson run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Levi Lewis run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jacob Bernard

2nd & 10Field Goal Good+48 yds

Kenneth Almendares 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Bijan Robinson run for 8 yds to the Texas 43

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.35

Hudson Card pass incomplete to Xavier Worthy

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.55

Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Hudson Card sacked by Chauncey Manac for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 44

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Texas 47

3rd & 11Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.77

Hudson Card pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 41 yds to the LaLaf 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 7

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.46

Bijan Robinson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Levi Lewis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Emani Bailey run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 28

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 30

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.41

Montrell Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Levi Lewis pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 3 yds to the LaLaf 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.48

Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 21 yds to the Texas 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 5 yds to the Texas 39

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Montrell Johnson run for 3 yds to the Texas 36

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.86

Chris Smith run for 7 yds to the Texas 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Chris Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 30

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Chris Smith run for 3 yds to the Texas 27

3rd & 8Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.71

Chris Smith run for 27 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.90

Bijan Robinson run for 19 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 28

2nd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.68

Hudson Card pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 18 yds to the LaLaf 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 9

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Roschon Johnson run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Hudson Card run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Errol Rogers Jr.

3rd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.34

Levi Lewis sacked by Ovie Oghoufo for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 21

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 62 yds, downed at the Texas 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Texas 21

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Casey Thompson pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 8 yds to the Texas 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Keilan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Texas 34

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.82

Keilan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Keilan Robinson run for 1 yd to the Texas 40

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Cade Brewer

3rd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.15

Casey Thompson pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 16 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +0.81

Keilan Robinson run for 25 yds to the LaLaf 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 14

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.53

Casey Thompson pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 14 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 7 yds to the LaLaf 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jalen Williams

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 34

4th & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.14

Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 7 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.76

Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 26 yds to the Texas 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Chris Smith

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Texas 28

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.16

Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 5 yds to the Texas 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 4 yds to the Texas 19

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.70

Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 19 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Keilan Robinson run for no gain to the LaLaf 49

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, Defensive Offside (AJ Washington) to the LaLaf 44

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.73

Bijan Robinson run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Casey Thompson pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 3 yds to the LaLaf 31

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.94

Keilan Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 32

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 31

4th & 7Field Goal Good+49 yds

Cameron Dicker 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Johnny Lumpkin

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.69

Levi Lewis pass complete to Chris Smith for 7 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.95

Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 14 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the Texas 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.96

Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 17 yds to the Texas 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Chris Smith run for 3 yds to the Texas 17

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -4.26

Levi Lewis pass complete to Emani Bailey for 4 yds Emani Bailey fumbled, forced by Darion Dunn, recovered by Texas Jerrin Thompson

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Keilan Robinson run for 6 yds to the Texas 19

2nd & 4Penalty-9 yds

TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Denzel Okafor) to the Texas 10

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.10

Keilan Robinson run for no gain to the Texas 10

3rd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Texas 14

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Levi Lewis pass complete to Chris Smith for 6 yds to the LaLaf 39

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 8 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Levi Lewis pass complete to Chris Smith for 6 yds to the Texas 47

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Dontae Fleming

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.58

Levi Lewis pass complete to Montrell Johnson for 4 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.59

Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 15 yds to the Texas 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 8 yds to the Texas 20

2nd & 2Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.59

Levi Lewis pass complete to Chris Smith for no gain to the Texas 20

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.29

Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 4 yds to the Texas 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Levi Lewis pass complete to Pearse Migl for 6 yds to the Texas 10

3rd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.38

Levi Lewis sacked by Jett Bush for a loss of 9 yards to the Texas 25

Situational Analysis

Louisiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
54%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
56%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
33%
6 plays
100%
1 play
33%
6 plays
4th
100%
3 plays

Texas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
33%
24 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
75%
8 plays
50%
8 plays
29%
7 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
100%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play