Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 4, 2021Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kansas State by 4

Home Win Probability

Kansas State 60%

Market (consensus)

Kansas State -3

Edge: Kansas State -3 (0.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 4, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
StanfordStanford
00077
Kansas StateKansas State
7701024

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-017-024-7
Kansas StateStanford

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20STAKSSTAKSSTAKSSTAKSSTAKSKSSTAKSSTAKSSTAKSSTAKSPUNT519ydTO872ydPUNT37ydTD262ydPUNT932ydPUNT530ydPUNT37ydTD371ydTO639ydEND45ydPUNT30ydPUNT832ydPUNT618ydPUNT33ydFG944ydTO59ydTD220ydTD1075ydEND412yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Stanford and Kansas State
StatisticStanfordKansas State
Passing23-309-14
Pass Yards194144
Rush Yards39200
Total Yards233344
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-122-7
Penalties9-659-80
Possession32:5327:07

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Stanford
passing
Tanner McKee
15/18, 118 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Austin Jones
9 CAR, 25 YDS
receiving
Brycen Tremayne
5 REC, 62 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Kansas State
passing
Skylar John Thompson
9/14, 144 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Deuce Vaughn
13 CAR, 124 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Phillip Brooks III
3 REC, 81 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the Stanf 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.62

Jack West pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 12 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Jack West pass complete to E.J. Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 38

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, false start (Walter Rouse) to the Stanf 33

2nd & 17Penalty-5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, false start (Myles Hinton) to the Stanf 28

2nd & 22Penalty+5 yds

Jones, Austin rush for 2 yards to the SU30 (Huggins, Eli), PENALTY KSU offside defense (Horne, Timmy) 5 yards to the SU33, NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the Stanf 38

3rd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Jack West pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 6 yds to the Stanf 44

4th & 6Punt+2 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 48 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for 2 yds to the KanSt 46 KANSAS ST Penalty, illegal block (5 Yards) to the KanSt 5

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.65

Deuce Vaughn run for 17 yds to the KanSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the KanSt 22

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.52

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 22 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.18

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 16 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Joe Ervin run for 6 yds to the Stanf 34

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.14

Malik Knowles run for 5 yds to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 6 yds to the Stanf 23

2nd & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.42

Skylar Thompson pass intercepted, touchback. Kyu Blu Kelly return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Nathaniel Peat run for 4 yds to the Stanf 24

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jack West run for 4 yds to the Stanf 28

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Nathaniel Peat run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 27

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+56 ydsPPA +2.90

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 56 yds to the Stanf 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Skylar Thompson run for 6 yds for a TD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the Stanf 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 4 yds to the Stanf 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.85

Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 20 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Austin Jones run for 6 yds to the KanSt 43

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Tanner McKee run for 1 yd to the KanSt 42

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.48

Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 12 yds to the KanSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Benjamin Yurosek

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Peat, Nathaniel rush for no gain to the KSU30 ( Brents, Julius; Elder, Ross), PENALTY SU holding ( Rouse, Walter) 10 yards to the KSU40, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Tanner McKee pass complete to E.J. Smith for 2 yds to the KanSt 38

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Benjamin Yurosek

4th & 18Penalty-5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, false start (Stephen Herron) to the KanSt 43

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KanSt 24

2nd & 6Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.93

Malik Knowles run for 30 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.52

Skylar Thompson sacked by Tucker Fisk for a loss of 7 yards to the KanSt 47

2nd & 17Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nathaniel Peat run for no gain to the Stanf 10

2nd & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.21

Tanner McKee pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 6

3rd & 14Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.13

Tanner McKee run for 11 yds to the Stanf 17

4th & 3Punt+7 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 29 , Phillip Brooks returns for 7 yds to the KanSt 24 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the KanSt 29

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Thompson, Skyla pass incomplete to Garber, Keenan, PENALTY SU pass interference ( Bonner, Ethan) 15 yards to the KSU44, 1ST DOWN KSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.93

Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 40

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Joe Ervin run for 1 yd to the KanSt 41

3rd & 13Rushing Touchdown+59 ydsPPA +6.78

Deuce Vaughn run for 59 yds for a TD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the Stanf 25

2nd & 6Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Jack West pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 27 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jack West pass incomplete to Brycen Tremayne

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.86

Jack West pass complete to Austin Jones for 15 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.97

Jack West sacked by Cody Fletcher for a loss of 7 yards to the KanSt 40

2nd & 17Pass Interception Return-2 ydsPPA -2.13

Jack West pass intercepted Russ Yeast return for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 6 yds to the KanSt 37

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.76

Skylar Thompson run for 6 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Thompson, Skyla pass complete to Howell, Tyrone for 6 yards to the KSU49, out-of-bounds ( Reid, Gabe), PENALTY KSU personal foul ( Johnson, Noah) 15 yards to the KSU28, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Skylar Thompson run for 6 yds to the KanSt 34

2nd & 19Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 36

0th & 19End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Deuce Vaughn

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Skylar Thompson run for 6 yds to the KanSt 41

3rd & 4Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.15

Skylar Thompson sacked by Stephen Herron for a loss of 6 yards to the KanSt 35

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Austin Jones run for 1 yd to the Stanf 28

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, delay of game (Jack West) to the Stanf 23

2nd & 14Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.36

Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 29 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for 2 yds to the KanSt 46

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

Jones, Austin rush for 11 yards to the KSU35 ( Brents, Julius), PENALTY SU holding ( Rouse, Walter) 10 yards to the SU44, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Penalty+5 yds

McKee, Tanner pass complete to Tremayne, Bryc for 10 yards to the KSU46, out-of-bounds, PENALTY KSU offside defense (Horne, Timmy) 5 yards to the SU49, NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for 12 yds to the KanSt 39

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.78

Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

McKee, Tanner pass intercepted by Yeast, Russ at the KSU17, Yeast, Russ return to the KSU18, out-of-bounds, PENALTY KSU holding ( McPherson, Jah) 10 yards to the KSU24, 1ST DOWN SU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.21

Tanner McKee sacked by Eli Huggins for a loss of 6 yards to the KanSt 30

2nd & 16Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for 1 yd to the KanSt 29

3rd & 15Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.10

Tanner McKee sacked by Khalid Duke for a loss of 7 yards to the KanSt 36

4th & 22Penalty-5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, delay of game (Jack West) to the KanSt 41

4th & 27Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 9

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Thompson, Skyla rush for 3 yards to the KSU12 ( Herron, Stephe), PENALTY KSU holding ( Duffie, Christ) 5 yards to the KSU4, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KanSt 8

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.13

Skylar Thompson run for 7 yds to the KanSt 15

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.99

Skylar Thompson run for 10 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Joe Ervin run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 22

2nd & 13Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.34

Skylar Thompson sacked by Dalyn Wade-Perry for a loss of 8 yards to the KanSt 14

3rd & 21Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.14

Deuce Vaughn run for 13 yds to the KanSt 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Jack West pass complete to Casey Filkins for 6 yds to the Stanf 39

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -1.29

Austin Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 36 Austin Jones fumbled, forced by Jahron McPherson, recovered by Stanf Benjamin Yurosek

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Jack West pass incomplete to Elijah Higgins, broken up by Reggie Stubblefield

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 10 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jacardia Wright run for 6 yds to the Stanf 49

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

Thompson, Skyla pass complete to Brooks, Phillip for 4 yards to the SU45 ( Kelly, Kyu Blu), PENALTY SU offside defense ( Bonner, Ethan) 5 yards to the SU44, 1ST DOWN KSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Stanf 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.53

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 22 yds to the Stanf 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.94

Joe Ervin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 24 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

3rd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 3 yds to the Stanf 21

4th & 10Field Goal Good+40 yds

Taiten Winkel 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jack West pass complete to E.J. Smith for 9 yds to the Stanf 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Jack West pass complete to E.J. Smith for 3 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

E.J. Smith run for no gain to the Stanf 37

2nd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.91

Jack West sacked by Spencer Trussell for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 34

3rd & 13Pass Interception Return+39 ydsPPA +0.02

Jack West pass intercepted TJ Smith return for 39 yds to the Stanf 20

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the Stanf 13

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.30

Skylar Thompson run for 13 yds for a TD (Taiten Winkel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

E.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the Stanf 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 4 yds to the Stanf 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.71

Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 8 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.28

E.J. Smith run for 15 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.78

Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 5 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, targeting (Daniel Green) to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Tanner McKee pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 5 yds to the KanSt 20

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 4 yds to the KanSt 16

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.62

Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the KanSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 14 yds for a TD (Joshua Karty KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Vaughn, Deuce rush for 42 yards to the SU5 ( Williamson, Ke), PENALTY KSU holding ( Adler, Ben) 10 yards to the KSU43, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Joe Ervin run for 1 yd to the KanSt 44

2nd & 19Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the Stanf 49

3rd & 12Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.11

Deuce Vaughn run for 10 yds to the Stanf 39

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.02

Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Stanford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
21 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
60%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Kansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
47%
17 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
75%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play