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← Back to GamesSep 4, 2021Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Iowa State by 16.8

Home Win Probability

Iowa State 85%

Market (consensus)

Iowa State -28.5

Edge: Northern Iowa +28.5 (11.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 4, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern Iowa
730010
Iowa StateIowa State
3100316

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40143-710-710-1013-1016-10
Iowa StateNorthern Iowa

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NIISNIISNIISNIISNIISISNIISNIISNIISNIISNIPUNT3-10ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT35ydTD587ydFG657ydPUNT3-2ydTD1459ydFG1051ydEND1052ydPUNT523ydPUNT615ydPUNT426ydTO1030ydPUNT535ydPUNT615ydFG1057ydTO710ydPUNT39ydEND857yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Iowa and Iowa State
StatisticNorthern IowaIowa State
Passing21-3421-26
Pass Yards230199
Rush Yards45136
Total Yards275335
Turnovers20
3rd Down8-175-14
Penalties5-284-31
Possession28:4831:12

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Iowa
passing
Will McElvain
21/34, 230 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Dom Williams
12 CAR, 43 YDS
receiving
Quan Hampton
8 REC, 99 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Iowa State
passing
Brock Purdy
21/26, 199 YDS
rushing
Breece Hall
23 CAR, 69 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Xavier Hutchinson
7 REC, 88 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.56

Will McElvain pass complete to Vance McShane for no gain to the NIowa 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.26

Will McElvain pass complete to Quan Hampton for no gain to the NIowa 20

3rd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.19

Will McElvain sacked by Will McDonald IV for a loss of 10 yards to the NIowa 10

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Nate Murphy punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the NIowa 49

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the NIowa 47

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -2.39

Brock Purdy pass complete to Joe Scates for a loss of 8 yards Joe Scates fumbled, recovered by IowSt Jared Rus

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Brock Purdy pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Corey Dunn punt for 38 yds, downed at the NIowa 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Will McElvain pass complete to Quan Hampton for 4 yds to the NIowa 21

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Dom Williams run for no gain to the NIowa 21

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.31

Will McElvain sacked by O'Rien Vance for a loss of 7 yards to the NIowa 14

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Nate Murphy punt for 52 yds, downed at the IowSt 34

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for no gain to the IowSt 34

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 4 yds to the IowSt 38

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Brock Purdy run for 1 yd to the IowSt 39 IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 5Punt+9 yds

Corey Dunn punt for 57 yds , Quan Hampton returns for 9 yds to the NIowa 13

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

McElvain, Will pass complete to McShane, Deion for 22 yards to the NORTHIOWA35, PENALTY NORTHIOWA ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the NORTHIOWA8, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.14

Will McElvain run for 1 yd to the NIowa 9

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Tyler Hoosman run for 3 yds to the NIowa 12

3rd & 11Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.38

Will McElvain pass complete to Deion McShane for 37 yds to the NIowa 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Dom Williams run for 4 yds to the IowSt 47

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

McElvain, Will pass complete to Scott, Jayden for 7 yards to the IOWAST40, PENALTY NORTHIOWA illegal touching 5 yards to the NORTHIOWA48, NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +5.29

Will McElvain pass complete to Quan Hampton for 52 yds for a TD (Matthew Cook KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Breece Hall run for 12 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.37

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 39 yds to the NIowa 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Easton Dean) to the NIowa 29

1st & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.34

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 8 yds to the NIowa 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 3 yds to the NIowa 18

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

Brock Purdy run for no gain to the NIowa 18

4th & 4Field Goal Good+35 yds

Connor Assalley 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Quan Hampton run for a loss of 4 yards to the NIowa 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Will McElvain pass complete to Quan Hampton for 2 yds to the NIowa 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Isaiah Weston

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Nate Murphy punt for 36 yds, downed at the IowSt 41

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the IowSt 45

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.17

Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the NIowa 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 5 yds to the NIowa 41

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.47

Jirehl Brock run for 6 yds to the NIowa 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Jirehl Brock run for 3 yds to the NIowa 32

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.32

Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 10 yds to the NIowa 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Tarique Milton

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Breece Hall run for 6 yds to the NIowa 16

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.38

Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the NIowa 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the NIowa 10

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Brock Purdy run for 5 yds to the NIowa 5

3rd & 3Penalty+3 yds

Purdy, Brock pass incomplete to Scates, Joe, PENALTY NORTHIOWA pass interference (Sapp III, Benny) 3 yards to the NORTHIOWA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWAST.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Breece Hall run for 2 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Dom Williams run for 9 yds to the NIowa 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.06

Will McElvain pass complete to Quan Hampton for 17 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Dom Williams run for 11 yds to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Will McElvain run for 4 yds to the IowSt 34

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Dom Williams run for 4 yds to the IowSt 30

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.52

Bradrick Shaw run for 3 yds to the IowSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.74

Will McElvain run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 29

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Will McElvain pass complete to Deion McShane for 5 yds to the IowSt 24

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Dom Williams

4th & 7Field Goal Good+41 yds

Matthew Cook 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 11 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Breece Hall run for 6 yds to the IowSt 42

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Chase Allen

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.01

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 7 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.73

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 11 yds to the NIowa 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.43

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 12 yds to the NIowa 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the NIowa 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 3 yds to the NIowa 21

3rd & 3Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.95

Brock Purdy sacked by Jared Brinkman and Devin Rice for a loss of 2 yards to the NIowa 23

4th & 5Field Goal Good+40 yds

Andrew Mevis 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Breece Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 10

2nd & 11Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.32

Brock Purdy run for 18 yds to the IowSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 28

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Brock Purdy pass complete to Darren Wilson Jr. for 6 yds to the IowSt 34

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Chase Allen

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Corey Dunn punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Quan Hampton at the NIowa 30

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Tyler Hoosman run for 1 yd to the NIowa 31

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Will McElvain run for 8 yds to the NIowa 39

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.07

Bradrick Shaw run for 2 yds to the NIowa 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTHERN IOWA Penalty, False Start (Justin Peine) to the NIowa 36

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Logan Wolf

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Quan Hampton

3rd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.37

Will McElvain pass complete to Logan Wolf for 9 yds to the NIowa 45

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Nate Murphy punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.25

Brock Purdy pass complete to Joe Scates for 17 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 7 yds to the IowSt 42

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 2 yds Jaylin Noel fumbled, recovered by IowSt

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Corey Dunn punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NIowa 28

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Dom Williams run for 1 yd to the NIowa 29

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Will McElvain pass complete to Quan Hampton for 7 yds to the NIowa 36

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.45

Dom Williams run for 5 yds to the NIowa 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Dom Williams run for 4 yds to the NIowa 45

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Tyler Hoosman

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.25

Will McElvain pass complete to Sam Schnee for 7 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.54

Quan Hampton run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Will McElvain pass complete to Deion McShane for 8 yds to the IowSt 42

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Isaiah Weston

4th & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.45

Will McElvain pass intercepted Isheem Young return for no gain to the IowSt 26

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the IowSt 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.26

Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 34 yds to the NIowa 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-11 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-11 Yards) to the NIowa 48

1st & 21Penalty-5 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 47

1st & 26Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.65

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for no gain to the IowSt 47

2nd & 26Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Brock Purdy run for 5 yds to the NIowa 48

3rd & 21Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.57

Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 9 yds to the NIowa 39

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Corey Dunn punt for 39 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Dom Williams run for 2 yds to the NIowa 22

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Dom Williams run for 2 yds to the NIowa 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.75

Will McElvain pass complete to Isaiah Weston for 11 yds to the NIowa 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Dom Williams run for no gain to the NIowa 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Tyler Hoosman NORTHERN IOWA Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Dom Williams

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Nate Murphy punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.56

Brock Purdy pass complete to Jared Rus for 19 yds to the NIowa 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the NIowa 40

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the NIowa 35

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Brock Purdy run for 8 yds to the NIowa 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Breece Hall run for no gain to the NIowa 27

2nd & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.91

Brock Purdy run for 19 yds to the NIowa 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the NIowa 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the NIowa 2

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.44

Breece Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the NIowa 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

Connor Assalley 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Dom Williams run for 1 yd to the NIowa 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Will McElvain pass complete to Tyler Hoosman for 3 yds to the NIowa 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Will McElvain pass complete to Dom Williams for 4 yds to the NIowa 33

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.85

Tyler Hoosman run for 4 yds to the NIowa 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

NORTHERN IOWA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jared Penning) to the NIowa 27

1st & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Will McElvain run for 1 yd to the NIowa 28

2nd & 19Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.14

Will McElvain pass complete to Deion McShane for 7 yds to the NIowa 35

3rd & 12Pass Interception Return+15 ydsPPA -0.05

Will McElvain pass intercepted Datrone Young return for 15 yds to the IowSt 40

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the IowSt 42

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the IowSt 45

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Brock Purdy run for 4 yds to the IowSt 49

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Corey Dunn punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Quan Hampton at the NIowa 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Will McElvain pass complete to Quan Hampton for 8 yds to the NIowa 18

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Deion McShane

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.95

Will McElvain pass complete to Quan Hampton for 9 yds to the NIowa 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Isaiah Weston

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Will McElvain pass complete to Deion McShane for 8 yds to the NIowa 35

3rd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.61

Will McElvain pass complete to Sam Schnee for 7 yds to the NIowa 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Quan Hampton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.81

Will McElvain pass complete to Sam Schnee for 25 yds to the IowSt 33 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Northern Iowa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
17%
18 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
57%
7 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Iowa State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
42%
24 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
64%
11 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th