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← Back to GamesSep 4, 2021Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Houston by 5.1

Home Win Probability

Houston 62%

Market (consensus)

Houston -2.5

Edge: Houston -2.5 (2.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 4, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas TechTexas Tech
07171438
HoustonHouston
1470021

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-014-721-721-2121-2421-38
HoustonTexas Tech

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20HOUHOUTTHOUTTHOUTTHOUTTHOUTTTTHOUTTHOUHOUTTHOUTTHOUTTHOUTTHOUTTHOUTD1675ydTD854ydTO1074ydPUNT3-1ydTD141ydTO10ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT412ydTD1375ydEND13ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT3-15ydTD660ydTD2-7ydPUNT417ydPUNT547ydTO20ydFG46ydPUNT827ydPUNT619ydPUNT35ydTD871ydTO33ydTD248ydEND413yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas Tech and Houston
StatisticTexas TechHouston
Passing17-2427-38
Pass Yards231174
Rush Yards14577
Total Yards376251
Turnovers14
3rd Down4-106-18
Penalties6-476-50
Possession23:2336:37

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas Tech
passing
Tyler Shough
17/24, 231 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Tahj Brooks
15 CAR, 134 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Erik Ezukanma
7 REC, 179 YDS
defense
Houston
passing
Clayton Tune
27/38, 174 YDS, 2 TD, 4 INT
rushing
Mulbah Car
13 CAR, 37 YDS
receiving
Nathaniel Dell
7 REC, 80 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Mulbah Car run for 6 yds to the Houst 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel Dell

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Clayton Tune pass complete to Marcus Jones for 3 yds to the Houst 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.65

Clayton Tune run for 2 yds to the Houst 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Clayton Tune run for 7 yds to the Houst 43

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.27

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel Dell

3rd & 3Rush+32 ydsPPA +3.01

Clayton Tune run for 32 yds to the TexTc 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.45

Clayton Tune pass complete to Marcus Jones for no gain to the TexTc 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 6 yds to the TexTc 19

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 3 yds to the TexTc 16

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.61

Mulbah Car run for 1 yd to the TexTc 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Mulbah Car run for 1 yd to the TexTc 14 for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, Defensive Holding (7 Yards) to the TexTc 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Clayton Tune run for no gain to the TexTc 7

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Clayton Tune pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 6 yds to the TexTc 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Clayton Tune run for no gain to the TexTc 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Clayton Tune 1 Yd Run (Dalton Witherspoon Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Marcus Jones run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Clayton Tune pass complete to Alton McCaskill for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 5 yds to the TexTc 45

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.02

Clayton Tune run for 1 yd to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 8 yds to the TexTc 36

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Alton McCaskill run for 1 yd to the TexTc 35

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (Keenan Murphy) to the TexTc 40

3rd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.88

Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 17 yds to the TexTc 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 23 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Tyler Shough pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 7 yds to the TexTc 31

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.41

Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.46

Tyler Shough pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 16 yds to the Houst 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the Houst 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyler Shough pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 5 yds to the Houst 41

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the Houst 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-9 ydsPPA -2.63

Tyler Shough pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 1 yd to the Houst 36 TEXAS TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mason Tharp) to the Houst 46

1st & 19Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Tyler Shough pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 5 yds to the Houst 41

2nd & 14Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.39

Tyler Shough pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 39 yds to the Houst 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -5.79

Xavier White run for no gain to the Houst 2 Xavier White fumbled, forced by D'Anthony Jones, recovered by Houst Donavan Mutin

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Mulbah Car run for 2 yds to the Houst 4

2nd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.21

Clayton Tune sacked by Riko Jeffers for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 1

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel Dell

4th & 11Punt+1 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 41 yds , Eric Monroe returns for 1 yd to the Houst 41

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.24

Tahj Brooks run for 41 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.92

Clayton Tune pass intercepted Reggie Pearson Jr. return for no gain to the TexTc 31

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Shough, Tyler pass complete to Geiger, Kaylon for 7 yards to the TEXASTECH38, PENALTY TEXASTECH ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the TEXASTECH26, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Kaylon Geiger run for 1 yd to the TexTc 27

2nd & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Tyler Shough pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 6 yds to the TexTc 33

3rd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.51

Tyler Shough sacked by D'Anthony Jones for a loss of 7 yards to the TexTc 26

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Austin McNamara punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Houst 36

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Ta'Zhawn Henry run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 34

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Ta'Zhawn Henry run for no gain to the Houst 34

3rd & 12Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.26

Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 33

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 41 yds, downed at the TexTc 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Erik Ezukanma

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Shough, Tyler pass incomplete to Rigdon, Dalton, PENALTY HOUSTON pass interference (Rogers, Jayce) 15 yards to the TEXASTECH41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASTECH.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Xavier White run for 2 yds to the TexTc 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler Shough pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 4 yds to the TexTc 47

3rd & 4Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.68

Tyler Shough sacked by Sedrick Williams for a loss of 9 yards to the TexTc 38

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Austin McNamara punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Houst 25

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nathaniel Dell run for 5 yds to the Houst 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Clayton Tune pass complete to Mulbah Car for 5 yds to the Houst 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Mulbah Car run for 1 yd to the Houst 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.94

Clayton Tune pass complete to Marcus Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 33

3rd & 12Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.66

Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 24 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Marcus Jones run for no gain to the TexTc 43

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.57

Clayton Tune run for 17 yds to the TexTc 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Mulbah Car run for 2 yds to the TexTc 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.86

Clayton Tune pass complete to Jake Herslow for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 26

3rd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.41

Mulbah Car run for 17 yds to the TexTc 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Mulbah Car run for no gain to the TexTc 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Clayton Tune pass incomplete

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.01

Clayton Tune pass complete to Seth Green for 9 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Tahj Brooks run for 8 yds to the TexTc 35

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 30

0th & 2End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyler Shough pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 5 yds to the TexTc 30

2nd & 5Penalty-15 yds

Shough, Tyler pass complete to Ezukanma, Erik for 33 yards to the HOUSTON37, PENALTY TEXASTECH pass interference (Ezukanma, Erik) 15 yards to the TEXASTECH15, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Kaylon Geiger

3rd & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Tyler Shough run for 5 yds to the TexTc 20

4th & 15Punt+9 yds

Austin McNamara punt for 54 yds , Marcus Jones returns for 9 yds to the Houst 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Mulbah Car run for 3 yds to the Houst 38

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

Tune, Clayton pass incomplete to Dell, Nathaniel, PENALTY HOUSTON holding (Murphy, Keenan) 10 yards to the HOUSTON28, NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.35

Clayton Tune sacked by Jaylon Hutchings for a loss of 11 yards to the Houst 17

3rd & 28Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Mulbah Car run for 3 yds to the Houst 20

4th & 25Punt+15 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 55 yds , Eric Monroe returns for 15 yds to the TexTc 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Xavier White run for 3 yds to the TexTc 43

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.43

Myles Price run for 8 yds to the Houst 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Myles Price run for no gain to the Houst 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.28

Tyler Shough pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 32 yds to the Houst 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Tyler Shough pass complete to Travis Koontz for 9 yds to the Houst 8

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +1.96

Tyler Shough run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.66

Clayton Tune sacked by Tony Bradford Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Houst 7

2nd & 17Interception Return Touchdown+13 ydsPPA -6.68

Clayton Tune pass intercepted for a TD Riko Jeffers return for 13 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Clayton Tune pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 15 yds to the Houst 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

TEXAS TECH Penalty, Defensive Offside (Tony Bradford Jr.) to the Houst 45

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.37

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Christian Trahan

2nd & 5Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.72

Clayton Tune pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 42

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to KeSean Carter

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 54 yds, downed at the TexTc 4

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TexTc 7

2nd & 7Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.00

Tyler Shough pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 30 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Shough, Tyler pass incomplete to Price, Myles, PENALTY HOUSTON pass interference (Rogers, Jayce) 15 yards to the HOUSTON48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASTECH.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the Houst 42

2nd & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.64

Tyler Shough sacked by Derek Parish for a loss of 7 yards to the Houst 49

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Tahj Brooks

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Austin McNamara punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Alton McCaskill run for no gain to the Houst 20

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.06

Clayton Tune pass intercepted Eric Monroe return for no gain to the Houst 22

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the Houst 17

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the Houst 16

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Kaylon Geiger

4th & 4Field Goal Good+34 yds

Jonathan Garibay 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Clayton Tune pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 6 yds to the Houst 25

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.47

Mulbah Car run for 5 yds to the Houst 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Clayton Tune run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 29

2nd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Clayton Tune pass complete to Mulbah Car for 2 yds to the Houst 31

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)+11 ydsPPA +2.38

Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 11 yds Nathaniel Dell fumbled, forced by Reggie Pearson Jr., recovered by Houst Kody Russey for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Alton McCaskill run for 4 yds to the Houst 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Clayton Tune pass complete to Jaylen Erwin for 5 yds to the TexTc 49

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.17

Alton McCaskill run for no gain to the TexTc 49

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

HOUSTON Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Houst 46

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 54 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Erik Ezukanma

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Tyler Shough run for 8 yds to the TexTc 28

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.13

Tyler Shough pass complete to Travis Koontz for 5 yds to the TexTc 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TexTc 38

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TexTc 39

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Mason Tharp

4th & 4Punt+4 yds

Austin McNamara punt for 52 yds , Marcus Jones returns for 4 yds to the Houst 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Clayton Tune pass complete to KeSean Carter for 9 yds to the Houst 22

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Mulbah Car run for no gain to the Houst 22

3rd & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.58

Mulbah Car run for a loss of 4 yards to the Houst 18

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 53 yds, downed at the TexTc 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tyler Shough pass complete to Travis Koontz for 5 yds to the TexTc 34

2nd & 5Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +3.11

Tyler Shough pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 50 yds to the Houst 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the Houst 14

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Erik Ezukanma

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Tyler Shough pass complete to Travis Koontz for 9 yds to the Houst 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Xavier White run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 6

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Tyler Shough pass complete to Xavier White for 3 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.79

Clayton Tune sacked by TEAM for a loss of 10 yards to the Houst 23 HOUSTON Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Clayton Tune) to the Houst 23

2nd & 20Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.59

Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 13 yds to the Houst 36

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.38

Clayton Tune pass intercepted Adrian Frye return for no gain to the Houst 48

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.82

Tahj Brooks run for 44 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 3 yds to the Houst 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Ke'Andre Street

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 4 yds to the Houst 32

4th & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.03

Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 6 yds to the Houst 38 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Texas Tech

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
53%
19 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
71%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th

Houston

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
35%
26 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
9 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
4 plays