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← Back to GamesNov 20, 2021Week 12

House Prediction

Model Margin

Army by 61.7

Home Win Probability

Army 100%

Market (consensus)

Army -37

Edge: Army -37 (24.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 20, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MassachusettsMassachusetts
370717
ArmyArmy
81101433

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428428-316-316-1019-1019-1726-1733-17
ArmyMassachusetts

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MASARMMASARMMASARMMASARMMASARMMASARMARMMASARMMASARMMASARMMASPUNT33ydTO5-7ydFG40ydTD289ydTO727ydTD1052ydTO549ydDOWNS939ydTD1091ydPUNT415ydTO418ydFG527ydDOWNS1442ydPUNT31ydPUNT3-2ydTD1155ydTD1175ydTO10ydTD963ydEND523yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Massachusetts and Army
StatisticMassachusettsArmy
Passing7-132-12
Pass Yards7842
Rush Yards199377
Total Yards277419
Turnovers41
3rd Down5-106-15
Penalties3-205-50
Possession27:0432:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Massachusetts
passing
Garrett Dzuro
7/13, 78 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Ellis Merriweather
17 CAR, 110 YDS
receiving
Tray Pettway
1 REC, 38 YDS
defense
Army
passing
Christian Anderson
2/12, 42 YDS
rushing
Tyrell Robinson
9 CAR, 137 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Isaiah Alston
2 REC, 42 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Ellis Merriweather run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Zamar Wise for 2 yds to the UMass 26

3rd & 9Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.25

Garrett Dzuro sacked by Andre Carter II for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 23

4th & 12Penalty+5 yds

Georgopoulos, G punt 48 yards to the ARMY29, ROBINSON,T. return to the UMASS47 (Helm, Dorian), PENALTY ARMY offside defense 5 yards to the UMASS28, NO PLAY.

4th & 7Punt+3 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 40 yds , Tyrell Robinson returns for 3 yds to the Army 35

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Cade Barnard run for 6 yds to the Army 41

2nd & 4Rush-11 ydsPPA -2.33

Christian Anderson run for 4 yds to the Army 45 ARMY Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the Army 30

2nd & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.52

Christian Anderson run for 9 yds to the Army 39

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Tyrell Robinson run for 2 yds to the Army 41

4th & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-15 ydsPPA -0.27

Zach Harding run for a loss of 15 yards to the Army 28 Zach Harding fumbled, recovered by UMass Raiheem Olalekan

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.78

Garrett Dzuro run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 37 Garrett Dzuro fumbled, recovered by UMass

2nd & 19Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Ellis Merriweather run for 9 yds to the Army 28

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+45 yds

Cameron Carson 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Army 13

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+87 ydsPPA +7.00

Tyrell Robinson run for 87 yds for a TD (Cade Barnard pass to Joshua Lingenfelter for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Josiah Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Onuma Dieke for 4 yds to the UMass 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.15

Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Eric Collins for 12 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Ellis Merriweather run for 7 yds to the UMass 46

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.31

Zamar Wise run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the Army 48

2nd & 8Sack+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Garrett Dzuro sacked by Andre Carter II for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 48 Garrett Dzuro fumbled, recovered by Army Cedrick Cunningham Jr. , return for 0 yards , return for 4 yds to the UMass 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Christian Anderson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Christian Anderson run for 2 yds to the UMass 46

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

A.J. Howard run for 7 yds to the UMass 39

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.95

Jakobi Buchanan run for 6 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Tyson Riley run for 7 yds to the UMass 26

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Tyson Riley run for 1 yd to the UMass 25

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Jakobi Buchanan run for 8 yds to the UMass 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Tyhier Tyler run for no gain to the UMass 17

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.46

Tyrell Robinson run for 14 yds to the UMass 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Wilson Catoe run for 3 yds for a TD (Christian Anderson pass to Chris Cameron for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+43 ydsPPA +3.21

Josiah Johnson run for 43 yds to the Army 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the Army 31

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 5 yds to the Army 26

4th & 4Pass Interception Return+30 ydsPPA -2.94

Garrett Dzuro pass intercepted Jaylen Jacobs return for 30 yds to the UMass 48

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Christian Anderson run for 5 yds to the UMass 43

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Cade Barnard run for 3 yds to the UMass 40

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.09

Christian Anderson run for 8 yds to the UMass 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Anthony Adkins run for 7 yds to the UMass 25

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.09

Anthony Adkins run for 7 yds to the UMass 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Tyson Riley run for 6 yds to the UMass 12

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Christian Anderson run for no gain to the UMass 12

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the UMass 10

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -3.97

Tyrell Robinson run for 1 yd to the UMass 9

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Ellis Merriweather run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 8

2nd & 11Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.15

Garrett Dzuro sacked by Kwabena Bonsu for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 6

3rd & 13Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.69

Ellis Merriweather run for 35 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Ellis Merriweather run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.14

Garrett Dzuro run for 5 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +1.28

Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Tray Pettway for 38 yds to the Army 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Ellis Merriweather run for 6 yds to the Army 1

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Army 6

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Garrett Dzuro run for 1 yd to the Army 5

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Tray Pettway run for no gain to the Army 5

4th & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +3.05

Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Jacob Orlando for 5 yds for a TD ARMY Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined (Cameron Carson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Christian Anderson pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 15 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Tyrell Robinson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Isaiah Alston, broken up by Josh Wallace

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Christian Anderson pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+13 yds

Zach Harding punt for 48 yds , Eric Collins returns for 13 yds to the UMass 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete to Ellis Merriweather

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Ellis Merriweather run for 6 yds to the UMass 31

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Garrett Dzuro run for 4 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.79

Garrett Dzuro sacked by Andre Carter II for a loss of 7 yards to the UMass 43 Garrett Dzuro fumbled, recovered by Army Nolan Cockrill , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.78

Christian Anderson pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 27 yds to the UMass 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Christian Anderson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Isaiah Alston, broken up by Josh Wallace

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Isaiah Alston, broken up by Josh Wallace

4th & 10Field Goal Good+33 yds

Cole Talley 33 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Tyrell Robinson run for 14 yds to the Army 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyson Riley run for 4 yds to the Army 43

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Brandon Walters

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.25

Tyrell Robinson run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Tyrell Robinson run for 6 yds to the UMass 44

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the UMass 42

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.04

Tyson Riley run for 4 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Christian Anderson run for 2 yds to the UMass 36

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.79

Christian Anderson run for 10 yds to the UMass 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the UMass 23

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Tyrell Robinson run for 4 yds to the UMass 19

3rd & 3Rush-14 ydsPPA -3.22

Christian Anderson run for 1 yd to the UMass 18 ARMY Penalty, illegal block (Mason Kolinchak) to the UMass 33

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Reikan Donaldson

4th & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Isaiah Alston, broken up by Josh Wallace

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete to Tray Pettway

2nd & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.85

Zamar Wise run for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 27

3rd & 16Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.43

Ellis Merriweather run for 12 yds to the UMass 39

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, delay of game (Avien Peah) to the UMass 34

4th & 9Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 47 yds, downed at the Army 19

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Army 21

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Tyrell Robinson run for 2 yds to the Army 23

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.34

Christian Anderson sacked by Gerrell Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the Army 17

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Zach Harding punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 45

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 48

2nd & 7Rush-9 ydsPPA -2.29

Garrett Dzuro run for 1 yd to the UMass 49 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive holding (Avien Peah) to the UMass 39

2nd & 16Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the UMass 39

3rd & 16Rush+17 ydsPPA +3.58

Ellis Merriweather run for 17 yds to the Army 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Garrett Dzuro run for 4 yds to the Army 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Onuma Dieke for 12 yds to the Army 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the Army 27

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the Army 24

3rd & 6Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.14

Garrett Dzuro run for 22 yds to the Army 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the Army 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Josiah Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Jakobi Buchanan run for 26 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Anthony Adkins run for 9 yds to the UMass 40

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Tyson Riley run for 3 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the UMass 33

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Christian Anderson run for 5 yds to the UMass 28

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Anthony Adkins run for 4 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.16

Jakobi Buchanan run for 13 yds to the UMass 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tyson Riley run for 5 yds to the UMass 6

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Anthony Adkins run for no gain to the UMass 6

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the UMass 2

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.80

Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds for a TD (Cole Talley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.92

Garrett Dzuro pass intercepted Cedrick Cunningham Jr. return for no gain to the Army 37

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Tyhier Tyler run for 6 yds to the Army 43

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.98

Anthony Adkins run for 1 yd to the Army 44

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Army 46

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.42

Jakobi Buchanan run for 5 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the UMass 46

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Tyhier Tyler run for 6 yds to the UMass 40

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Jakobi Buchanan run for 11 yds to the UMass 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the UMass 25

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.83

Tyhier Tyler run for 25 yds for a TD (Cole Talley KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Chisari, Jared rush for 3 yards to the UMASS34 (COCKRILL, Nolan), PENALTY ARMY offside defense (CARTER, Andre) 5 yards to the UMASS36, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.49

Jared Chisari run for 6 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jared Chisari run for 5 yds to the UMass 47

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Jared Chisari run for 6 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.96

Jared Chisari run for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 49

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Cyrus Bonsu run for 5 yds to the Army 46

Situational Analysis

Massachusetts

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
30%
20 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Army

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
54%
26 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
22%
9 plays
44%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
71%
7 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play