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← Back to GamesNov 27, 2021Week 13
ArmyArmy
31
-Final
16
LibertyLiberty

House Prediction

Model Margin

Liberty by 8.2

Home Win Probability

Liberty 65%

Market (consensus)

Liberty -3.5

Edge: Liberty -3.5 (4.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 27, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ArmyArmy
10147031
LibertyLiberty
0313016

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-30-100-173-243-3110-3116-31
LibertyArmy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LIBARMLIBARMLIBARMLIBARMLIBARMLIBARMARMLIBARMLIBARMLIBARMLIBARMDOWNS519ydFG1142ydTO716ydTD545ydDOWNS519ydTD544ydDOWNS734ydTD455ydFG938ydPUNT512ydPUNT3-7ydEND1-2ydTD1475ydTD773ydPUNT36ydTD885ydPUNT1020ydDOWNS1474ydPUNT832ydTO823ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Army and Liberty
StatisticArmyLiberty
Passing3-424-47
Pass Yards102305
Rush Yards22079
Total Yards322384
Turnovers02
3rd Down7-145-15
Penalties2-207-56
Possession36:1323:47

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Army
passing
Christian Anderson
3/4, 102 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jakobi Buchanan
22 CAR, 80 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Tyrell Robinson
1 REC, 51 YDS
defense
Liberty
passing
Malik Willis
24/46, 305 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Josh Mack
7 CAR, 38 YDS
receiving
C.J. Daniels
8 REC, 118 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.76

Malik Willis run for 19 yds to the Army 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Malik Willis run for 2 yds to the Army 47

2nd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Malik Willis sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 49

3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.74

Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for no gain to the Army 49

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Kevin Shaa

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.99

Tyrell Robinson run for 17 yds to the Liber 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Liber 31

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyrell Robinson run for 5 yds to the Liber 26

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.41

Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Liber 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Cade Barnard run for 2 yds to the Liber 21

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Christian Anderson run for 3 yds to the Liber 18

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Brandon Walters run for 8 yds to the Liber 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Christian Anderson run for 6 yds to the Liber 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyson Riley run for 1 yd to the Liber 3

3rd & 3Rush+6 yds

Christian Anderson run for 6 yds to the Liber 9

4th & 9Field Goal Good+26 yds

Cole Talley 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Malik Willis pass complete to Noah Frith for 2 yds to the Liber 28

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Malik Willis run for 1 yd to the Liber 29

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.95

Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 9 yds to the Liber 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Joshua Mack run for 2 yds to the Liber 40

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Malik Willis run for 3 yds to the Liber 43

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 4 yds to the Liber 47

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY LIB False Start (Sargeant,Thomas) 5 yards from LIB47 to LIB42. NO PLAY.

4th & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -0.19

Max Morgan pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyson Riley run for 5 yds to the Liber 40

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Liber 38

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Christian Anderson run for 2 yds to the Liber 36

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.63

Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Liber 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.94

Christian Anderson pass complete to Braheam Murphy for 34 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.73

Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 32 yds to the Army 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the Army 40

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Jerome Jackson

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Joshua Mack

4th & 7Sack-16 ydsPPA -1.28

Malik Willis sacked by Arik Smith for a loss of 16 yards to the Liber 44

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Liber 42

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.15

Brandon Walters run for 13 yds to the Liber 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the Liber 28

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.59

Tyhier Tyler run for 9 yds to the Liber 19 for a 1ST down

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.59

Tyhier Tyler run for 9 yds to the Liber 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Jakobi Buchanan run for 19 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Joshua Mack run for 2 yds to the Liber 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.66

Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 14 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Malik Willis run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 4 yds to the Army 46

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY LIB False Start 5 yards from AWP46 to LIB49. NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Malik Willis run for 6 yds to the Army 45

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Joshua Mack

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Joshua Mack

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Johnny Huntley

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Christian Anderson run for 1 yd to the Army 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +3.74

Christian Anderson pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 51 yds to the Liber 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Liber 1

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Liber 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Malik Willis run for 2 yds to the Liber 43

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.00

Malik Willis pass complete to Trevor Hobbs for 9 yds to the Army 48

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Malik Willis run for 1 yd to the Army 47

4th & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.74

Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 11 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.42

Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 18 yds to the Army 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

T.J. Green run for 5 yds to the Army 13

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Kevin Shaa

3rd & 5Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.97

Malik Willis sacked by Nolan Cockrill for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 17

3rd & 5Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.97

Malik Willis sacked by Nolan Cockrill for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 17

4th & 9Field Goal Good+36 yds

Brayden Beck 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyhier Tyler run for 5 yds to the Army 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.09

Christian Anderson pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 17 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Christian Anderson run for 4 yds to the Army 41

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Christian Anderson run for no gain to the Army 41

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Christian Anderson run for 4 yds to the Army 37

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Zach Harding punt for 48 yds , Demario Douglas returns for no gain to the Liber 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 3 yds to the Liber 18

2nd & 7Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.56

Malik Willis sacked by Jaylen Jacobs for a loss of 10 yards to the Liber 8

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ Daniels

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ Daniels

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 66 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Army 26

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.93

run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jakobi Buchanan run for 5 yds to the Army 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Army 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyson Riley run for 4 yds to the Army 40

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Cade Barnard run for 2 yds to the Army 42

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.83

Tyhier Tyler run for 5 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Jakobi Buchanan run for 11 yds to the Liber 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyhier Tyler run for 5 yds to the Liber 37

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Cade Barnard run for 4 yds to the Liber 33

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.51

Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the Liber 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.25

Cade Barnard run for 16 yds to the Liber 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Cade Barnard run for 2 yds to the Liber 11

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.77

Tyhier Tyler run for 10 yds to the Liber 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Quinn Maretzki kickoff for 60 yds , Duron Lowe return for 22 yds to the Liber 27

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.56

Joshua Mack run for 17 yds to the Liber 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Joshua Mack run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Jerome Jackson

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.08

Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 11 yds to the Army 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 1 yd to the Army 38

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.97

Joshua Mack run for 9 yds to the Army 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Willis,Malik pass incomplete to Daniels,CJ broken up by Broughton,Marquel PENALTY AWP Pass Interference (Adkins,Anthony) 15 yards from AWP29 to AWP14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Willis,Malik pass incomplete to Daniels,CJ broken up by Broughton,Marquel PENALTY AWP Pass Interference (Adkins,Anthony) 15 yards from AWP29 to AWP14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Malik Willis pass complete to Noah Frith for 14 yds for a TD, (Brayden Beck KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the Army 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Army 28

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Army 31

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Army 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Zach Harding punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.59

Malik Willis sacked by Leo Lowin for a loss of 3 yards to the Liber 12

2nd & 13Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.60

Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 41 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.74

Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 15 yds to the Army 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Joshua Mack

2nd & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.43

Malik Willis pass complete to Brody Brumm for 26 yds to the Army 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Joshua Mack run for 1 yd to the Army 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Noah Frith

3rd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Malik Willis run for 7 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY LIB Offside (Boti,Chris) 5 yards from AWP25 to AWP30. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.81

Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Army 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Army 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Cade Barnard run for 2 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the Army 40

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Cade Barnard run for 2 yds to the Army 42

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Braheam Murphy run for 3 yds to the Army 45

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.24

Tyson Riley run for 3 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.33

Tyhier Tyler sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the Army 42

2nd & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Army 45

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Isaiah Alston

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Zach Harding punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Malik Willis pass incomplete to DJ Stubbs

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.65

Malik Willis pass complete to Noah Frith for 15 yds to the Liber 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

T.J. Green run for 1 yd to the Liber 15

2nd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.23

Malik Willis run for 7 yds to the Liber 22 LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tristan Schultz) to the Liber 10

2nd & 16Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.07

Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 7 yds to the Liber 17

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY AWP Offside (Carter II,Andre) 5 yards from LIB17 to LIB22. NO PLAY.

3rd & 4Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.74

Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 24 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Johnny Huntley

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 2 yds to the Liber 48

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Noah Frith

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Johnny Huntley

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 2 yds to the Liber 48

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Noah Frith

4th & 8Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.96

Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 27 yds to the Army 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ Daniels

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Kevin Shaa

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Demario Douglas

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.36

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Noah Frith

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Tyhier Tyler run for 8 yds to the Army 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the Army 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST down

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyson Riley run for 3 yds to the Army 40

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.55

Tyhier Tyler run for 9 yds to the Army 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jakobi Buchanan run for 5 yds to the Liber 46

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the Liber 43

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jakobi Buchanan run for no gain to the Liber 43

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Zach Harding punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Joshua Mack

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Kevin Shaa

3rd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.29

Malik Willis run for 17 yds to the Liber 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 9 yds to the Liber 35

2nd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Malik Willis pass complete to Joshua Mack for 7 yds to the Liber 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Joshua Mack

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ Daniels

3rd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Willis,Malik pass complete to Douglas,Demario for 58 yards to the AWP00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:32 PENALTY LIB Holding (Jackson,Jerome) 10 yards from LIB42 to LIB32. NO PLAY.

3rd & 20Interception0 ydsPPA +0.24

Malik Willis pass intercepted

3rd & 20Penalty-19 yds

LIBERTY Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct Personal Foul (Malik Willis) to the Liber 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.40

run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 12

Situational Analysis

Army

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
46%
26 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
8 plays
78%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
75%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays

Liberty

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
36%
28 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
27%
15 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
29%
7 plays
38%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays