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← Back to GamesNov 20, 2021Week 12

House Prediction

Model Margin

Liberty by 0.8

Home Win Probability

Liberty 51%

Market (consensus)

Liberty -4.5

Edge: Louisiana +4.5 (3.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 20, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisianaLouisiana
71471442
LibertyLiberty
077014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-147-2114-2814-3514-42
LibertyLouisiana

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LIBLOULOULIBLOULIBLOULIBLOULIBLOULIBLIBLOULIBLOULOULIBLOULIBLOULIBLOULIBLOULIBLOUTO721ydPUNT35ydMISS42ydPUNT67ydPUNT30ydPUNT30ydTD1041ydPUNT3-19ydTD356ydPUNT37ydPUNT39ydTD5-6ydTD678ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT1314ydEND26ydPUNT3-21ydTD340ydTD874ydTO10ydDOWNS47ydTO753ydTD665ydDOWNS1042ydTD1266ydTO45ydEND2-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisiana and Liberty
StatisticLouisianaLiberty
Passing14-2515-37
Pass Yards166206
Rush Yards13087
Total Yards296293
Turnovers06
3rd Down3-136-17
Penalties3-307-76
Possession31:4928:11

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisiana
passing
Levi Lewis
14/25, 166 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Emani Bailey
13 CAR, 60 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Peter Leblanc
2 REC, 38 YDS
defense
Liberty
passing
Malik Willis
14/34, 162 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
TJ Green
4 CAR, 56 YDS
receiving
Kevin Shaa
3 REC, 72 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Malik Willis run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 43

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.06

Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 46

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ Daniels

4th & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.21

Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 13 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Demario Douglas

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ Daniels

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -2.60

Shedro Louis run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 29 Shedro Louis fumbled, forced by Andre Jones, recovered by LaLaf Andre Jones

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Chris Smith run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 32

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 34

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Chris Smith

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Montrell Johnson run for 2 yds to the Liber 12

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Hunter Bergeron

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+29 yds

Nate Snyder 29 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Malik Willis pass complete to Johnny Huntley for 9 yds to the Liber 29

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Noah Frith

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.06

Malik Willis run for 5 yds to the Liber 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

T.J. Green run for 1 yd to the Liber 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Malik Willis pass complete to T.J. Green for 2 yds to the Liber 33

3rd & 11Penalty-15 yds

Willis,Malik pass complete to Douglas,Demario for 20 yards to the LOU47 (Pedescleaux,Kam) PENALTY LIB Personal Foul (Schultz,Tristan) 15 yards from LIB33 to LIB18. NO PLAY.

3rd & 26Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.04

Malik Willis run for 9 yds to the Liber 27

4th & 17Punt+26 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 40 yds , Eric Garror returns for 26 yds to the LaLaf 44

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for no gain to the LaLaf 44

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Neal Johnson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Errol Rogers Jr.

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 43 yds, fair catch by DJ Stubbs at the Liber 13

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Joshua Mack run for no gain to the Liber 13

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ Daniels

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Noah Frith

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Errol Rogers Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Chris Smith run for 7 yds to the Liber 34

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Chris Smith run for no gain to the Liber 34

4th & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.83

Levi Lewis run for 4 yds to the Liber 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.20

Chris Smith run for 10 yds to the Liber 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Errol Rogers Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 4 yds to the Liber 24

3rd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.96

Levi Lewis pass complete to John Stephens Jr. for 12 yds to the Liber 12

4th & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.41

Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 8 yds to the Liber 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Levi Lewis pass complete to John Stephens Jr. for 4 yds for a TD (Nate Snyder KICK)

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.84

Malik Willis sacked by Chauncey Manac for a loss of 12 yards to the Liber 21

2nd & 22Penalty-10 yds

Willis,Malik rush for 6 yards gain to the LIB27, End Of Play PENALTY LIB Holding (Sargeant,Thomas) 10 yards from LIB21 to LIB11. NO PLAY.

2nd & 32Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.01

Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ Daniels

3rd & 32Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.00

Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the Liber 14

4th & 29Punt0 yds

Max Morgan punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaLaf 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.69

Levi Lewis pass complete to Emani Bailey for 32 yds to the Liber 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Levi Lewis run for 9 yds to the Liber 15

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.04

Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 15 yds for a TD (Nate Snyder KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Malik Willis pass complete to Shedro Louis for 3 yds to the Liber 34

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Malik Willis run for 4 yds to the Liber 38

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Demario Douglas

4th & 3Punt+7 yds

Max Morgan punt for 49 yds , Eric Garror returns for 7 yds to the LaLaf 20

1st & 10Penalty+13 yds

Lewis,Levi pass incomplete to Jefferson,Michael, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY LIB Pass Interference (Anthony,Daijahn) 13 yards from LOU20 to LOU33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.23

Levi Lewis sacked by Storey Jackson for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 31

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 33

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Chris Smith run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 29

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 39 yds, fair catch by DJ Stubbs at the Liber 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Malik Willis pass complete to Shedro Louis for 22 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Malik Willis run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 43

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Johnny Huntley

3rd & 7Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.13

Malik Willis sacked by Chauncey Manac for a loss of 10 yards to the Liber 47

4th & 17Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +7.09

Max Morgan run for 21 yds for a TD (Nate Snyder KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Demario Douglas

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.64

Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 13 yds to the Liber 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +2.61

DJ Stubbs pass complete to Shedro Louis for 44 yds to the LaLaf 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Brody Brumm

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.92

Malik Willis sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the LaLaf 29

3rd & 18Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +4.94

Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 29 yds for a TD (Brayden Beck KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Montrell Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Pearse Migl

3rd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.35

Levi Lewis sacked by Aakil Washington for a loss of 7 yards to the LaLaf 20

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 38 yds, fair catch by DJ Stubbs at the Liber 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Malik Willis pass complete to Trevor Hobbs for 5 yds to the Liber 47

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.96

Malik Willis run for 1 yd to the Liber 48

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.27

Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 13 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Kevin Shaa

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ Daniels

3rd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.28

Malik Willis run for 15 yds to the LaLaf 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Johnny Huntley

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.48

T.J. Green run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 15

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.11

Malik Willis run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.32

Malik Willis run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Penalty-10 yds

Willis,Malik rush for 2 yards gain to the LOU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:00 PENALTY LIB Holding (Bodden,Jacob) 10 yards from LOU02 to LOU12. NO PLAY.

1st & 12Penalty-10 yds

Willis,Malik rush for 1 yard gain to the LOU11 (Gardner,Ferrod), out of bounds PENALTY LIB Holding (Schultz,Tristan) 10 yards from LOU12 to LOU22. NO PLAY.

1st & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Kevin Shaa

2nd & 22Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.57

Malik Willis sacked by Chauncey Manac for a loss of 9 yards to the LaLaf 31

3rd & 31Sack-13 ydsPPA -0.94

Malik Willis sacked by Chauncey Manac for a loss of 13 yards to the LaLaf 44

4th & 44Punt0 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Emani Bailey run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 15

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 13

0th & 2End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Errol Rogers Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 2 yds to the LaLaf 15

3rd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.18

Levi Lewis sacked by Stephen Sings V for a loss of 8 yards to the LaLaf 7

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 48 yds for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 38

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Shedro Louis run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 30 yds for a TD (Brayden Beck KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Montrell Johnson run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 31

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Montrell Johnson run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 35

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.08

Montrell Johnson run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Montrell Johnson run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.42

Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 34 yds to the Liber 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 4 yds to the Liber 14

2nd & 6Penalty+12 yds

Lewis,Levi pass incomplete to Jefferson,Michael, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY LIB Pass Interference (Anthony,Daijahn) 12 yards from LIB14 to LIB02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Montrell Johnson run for no gain to the Liber 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Montrell Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD (Nate Snyder KICK)

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.46

Malik Willis pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the Liber 14

2nd & 12Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.23

Emani Bailey run for 8 yds to the Liber 6

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Emani Bailey run for 1 yd to the Liber 5

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.04

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Pearse Migl

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Malik Willis run for 6 yds to the Liber 11

2nd & 4Rush+43 ydsPPA +3.19

T.J. Green run for 43 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 4 yds to the LaLaf 42

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Malik Willis run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 38

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Malik Willis run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-6 yds

Willis,Malik pass complete to Daniels,CJ for 16 yards to the LOU20 (Butler,Percy; Amos,Trey) PENALTY LIB Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Sargeant,Thomas) 6 yards from LOU36 to LOU42. NO PLAY.

1st & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Noah Frith

2nd & 16Interception0 ydsPPA -2.05

Malik Willis pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Chris Smith run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 39

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Michael Jefferson

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY LOU Delay Of Game 5 yards from LOU39 to LOU34. NO PLAY.

3rd & 11Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.59

Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 23 yds to the Liber 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.63

Chris Smith run for 17 yds to the Liber 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.51

Levi Lewis pass complete to Johnny Lumpkin for 24 yds to the Liber 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 2 yds for a TD (Nate Snyder KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

T.J. Green run for 3 yds to the Liber 27

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 9 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.78

Malik Willis sacked by Jourdan Quibodeaux for a loss of 6 yards to the Liber 30

2nd & 16Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Malik Willis pass complete to T.J. Green for 6 yds to the Liber 36

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 8 yds to the Liber 44

4th & 2Rush+23 ydsPPA +3.51

Malik Willis run for 23 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Shedro Louis run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 28

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Jaivian Lofton

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Shedro Louis

4th & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.66

Malik Willis sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 34

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Montrell Johnson run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 41

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.01

Montrell Johnson run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 42

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Montrell Johnson run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 43

4th & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.76

Levi Lewis pass complete to Pearse Migl for 10 yds to the Liber 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.71

Emani Bailey run for 14 yds to the Liber 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Emani Bailey run for 4 yds to the Liber 29

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.37

Emani Bailey run for 11 yds to the Liber 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Emani Bailey run for 4 yds to the Liber 14

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Emani Bailey run for 3 yds to the Liber 11

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.54

Emani Bailey run for 4 yds to the Liber 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Emani Bailey run for 5 yds to the Liber 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Emani Bailey run for 2 yds for a TD (Nate Snyder KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Malik Caper run for 4 yds to the Liber 44

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Malik Caper run for 1 yd to the Liber 45

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Johnathan Bennett pass incomplete to D'Wayne Crawford

4th & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -0.40

Johnathan Bennett pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.28

run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 32

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.54

run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 30

Situational Analysis

Louisiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
46%
26 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
14%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
75%
4 plays

Liberty

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
36%
25 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
36%
11 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play