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← Back to GamesOct 9, 2021Week 6

House Prediction

Model Margin

UConn by 19.3

Home Win Probability

Massachusetts 5%

Market (consensus)

Massachusetts +3

Edge: UConn -3 (16.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 9, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UConnUConn
1000313
MassachusettsMassachusetts
7031727

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-77-1010-1020-1027-13
MassachusettsUConn

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UCOMASUCOMASUCOMASUCOMASUCOMASUCOMASUCOMASMASUCOMASUCOMASUCOMASUCOMASUCOMASUCOMASPUNT34ydTD1273ydTD374ydPUNT63ydFG950ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT33ydPUNT39ydPUNT831ydPUNT39ydPUNT320ydPUNT615ydTO3-8ydMISS532ydFG1072ydPUNT3-3ydDOWNS849ydMISS833ydFG655ydTO20ydTD36ydFG975ydTD878ydTO00ydPUNT31ydDOWNS4-8ydEND65yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UConn and Massachusetts
StatisticUConnMassachusetts
Passing13-2411-23
Pass Yards128160
Rush Yards163247
Total Yards291407
Turnovers30
3rd Down1-117-18
Penalties6-493-30
Possession20:4939:11

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UConn
passing
Steven Krajewski
13/24, 128 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Nathan Carter
20 CAR, 136 YDS
receiving
Keelan Marion
4 REC, 80 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Massachusetts
passing
Brady Olson
10/22, 162 YDS
rushing
Ellis Merriweather
39 CAR, 171 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Eric Collins
3 REC, 66 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Aaron Turner

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Nathan Carter run for 1 yd to the UConn 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Nathan Carter for 3 yds to the UConn 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Joe McFadden punt for 44 yds, downed at the UMass 27

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UMass 31

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.10

Ellis Merriweather run for 7 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Ellis Merriweather

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.03

Zamar Wise run for 10 yds to the UMass 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

CONNECTICUT Penalty, Defensive offside (Pierce DeVaughn) to the UConn 47

1st & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA -0.11

Ellis Merriweather run for 15 yds to the UConn 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UConn 29

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the UConn 24

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UConn 23

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.93

Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the UConn 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UConn 14

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the UConn 9

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.54

Ellis Merriweather run for 9 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.59

Nathan Carter run for 30 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Nathan Carter run for 10 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.94

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Keelan Marion for 34 yds for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the UMass 21

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Zamar Wise run for 5 yds to the UMass 26

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.72

Ellis Merriweather run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 25

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.63

Brady Olson pass complete to Rico Arnold for 9 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Rico Arnold

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Brady Olson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Onuma Dieke

4th & 10Punt+3 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 40 yds , Keelan Marion returns for 3 yds to the UConn 29

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.84

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Devontae Houston for 12 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Nathan Carter run for 4 yds to the UConn 47

2nd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.54

Nathan Carter run for 15 yds to the MASS 38 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.35

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Keelan Marion for 11 yds to the UMass 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.74

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Aaron Turner for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 29

2nd & 12Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.66

Nathan Carter run for 10 yds to the UMass 19

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.86

Nathan Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 21

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Nathan Carter run for 7 yds to the UConn 36

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (Noel Ofori-Nyadu) to the UConn 31

4th & 4Field Goal Good+38 yds

Joe McFadden 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the UMass 25

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Brady Olson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Brady Olson pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Keelan Marion at the UConn 40

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -1.12

Steven Krajewski sacked by Cody Jones for a loss of 7 yards to the UConn 30 Steven Krajewski fumbled, recovered by UConn Christian Haynes , return for 0 yards , return for 0 yards to the UConn 30

2nd & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 32

3rd & 18Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Kevin Mensah for 11 yds to the UConn 43

4th & 7Punt+3 yds

Joe McFadden punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 20 , Eric Collins returns for 3 yds to the UMass 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the UMass 25

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Zamar Wise run for 4 yds to the UMass 29

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the UMass 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 49 yds, downed at the UConn 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Nathan Carter run for 3 yds to the UConn 25

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Nathan Carter run for 1 yd to the UConn 26

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.60

Steven Krajewski run for 8 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.28

Nathan Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 32

2nd & 12Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.42

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Keelan Marion for 28 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Nathan Carter run for 2 yds to the UMass 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Devontae Houston for 5 yds to the UMass 33

3rd & 3Rush-14 ydsPPA -3.35

Steven Krajewski run for 1 yd to the UMass 32 CONNECTICUT Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Keelan Marion) to the UMass 47

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Haydn Kerr punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Brady Olson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Brady Olson pass complete to Isaac Ross for 6 yds to the UMass 20

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA +0.83

Brady Olson pass complete to Isaac Ross for 4 yds Isaac Ross fumbled, forced by Jackson Mitchell, recovered by UMass

4th & 1Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 47 yds, downed at the UConn 30

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Krajewski, Stev pass incomplete to Clercius, Keven, PENALTY UMASS pass interference (Lindsey,Donte) 15 yards to the UCONN45, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Aaron Turner for 9 yds to the UMass 46

2nd & 1Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -2.32

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Kevens Clercius for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Keelan Marion, broken up by Bryce Watts

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Joe McFadden punt for 42 yds, downed at the UMass 8

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Ellis Merriweather run for 7 yds to the UMass 15

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UMass 17

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.34

Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Rico Arnold

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Brady Olson pass complete to Tray Pettway for 7 yds to the UMass 25

3rd & 3Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.45

Zamar Wise pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 23

4th & 5Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 39

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.97

Nathan Carter run for a loss of 6 yards to the UConn 33

2nd & 16Penalty-10 yds

Krajewski, Stev rush for 9 yards to the UCONN42, out-of-bounds, PENALTY UCONN holding (Keating, Brian) 10 yards to the UCONN23, NO PLAY.

2nd & 26Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.08

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Aaron Turner for 8 yds to the UConn 31

3rd & 18Pass Interception Return+5 ydsPPA +0.22

Steven Krajewski pass intercepted Donte Lindsey return for 5 yds to the UConn 40

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Brady Olson run for 11 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Brady Olson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.00

Brady Olson pass complete to Rico Arnold for 12 yds to the UConn 17 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, face mask (9 yards) (Eric Watts) to the UConn 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Rico Arnold

2nd & 8Field Goal Missed+26 yds

Cameron Carson 26 yd FG MISSED

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Ellis Merriweather run for 18 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.32

Zamar Wise run for 18 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.49

Ellis Merriweather run for 17 yds to the UConn 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UConn 20

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Zamar Wise run for 2 yds to the UConn 18

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.91

Brady Olson pass complete to Eric Collins for 11 yds to the UConn 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UConn 6

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UConn 5

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Brady Olson run for 2 yds to the UConn 3

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 yds

Cameron Carson 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Nathan Carter run for 2 yds to the UConn 45

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (Jay Rose) to the UConn 40

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Jay Rose, broken up by Josh Wallace

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Kevens Clercius, broken up by Josh Wallace

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Joe McFadden punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Eric Collins at the UMass 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Isaac Ross

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Eric Collins run for 4 yds to the UMass 23

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.32

Zamar Wise run for 7 yds to the UMass 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.55

Brady Olson pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 31 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the UConn 34

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UConn 33

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Zamar Wise run for 2 yds to the UConn 31

4th & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -2.76

Zamar Wise run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 32

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Nathan Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 31

2nd & 11Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.49

Heron Maurisseau run for 16 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Kevin Mensah run for 6 yds to the UMass 47

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.72

Kevin Mensah run for 11 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Steven Krajewski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UMass 35

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Kevin Mensah

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+53 yds

Joe McFadden 53 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the UMass 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.69

Brady Olson pass complete to Eric Collins for 49 yds to the UConn 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Onuma Dieke

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Josiah Johnson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Brady Olson pass complete to Eric Collins for 6 yds to the UConn 10

4th & 4Field Goal Good+28 yds

Cameron Carson 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Nathan Carter run for no gain to the UConn 5

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Steven Krajewski pass intercepted Bryce Watts return for 7 yds to the UConn 6

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UConn 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Zamar Wise run for 3 yds to the UConn 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK) CONNECTICUT Penalty, Defensive offside (Keelan Marion) declined

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Aaron Turner for 6 yds to the UConn 28

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.54

Nathan Carter run for 5 yds to the UConn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+46 ydsPPA +2.80

Nathan Carter run for 46 yds to the UMass 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Keelan Marion for 7 yds to the UMass 14

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.43

Nathan Carter run for 9 yds to the UMass 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Steven Krajewski run for no gain to the UMass 5

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Nathan Carter run for 2 yds to the UMass 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Steven Krajewski pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 yds

Joe McFadden 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.43

Brady Olson pass complete to Onuma Dieke for 28 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Ellis Merriweather run for 8 yds to the UConn 42

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 43

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UConn 41

2nd & 13Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.88

Ellis Merriweather run for 22 yds to the UConn 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the UConn 14

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.59

Zamar Wise run for 13 yds to the UConn 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Zamar Wise run for 1 yd for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)

No play data available
1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 49

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UConn 48

3rd & 4Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.74

Ellis Merriweather run for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 47

4th & 9Punt+45 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 40 yds , Keelan Marion returns for 45 yds to the UMass 42

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Steven Krajewski run for 2 yds to the UMass 40

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Aaron Turner

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Heron Maurisseau

4th & 8Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.17

Steven Krajewski sacked by Uchenna Ezewike for a loss of 10 yards to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Ellis Merriweather run for 8 yds to the UConn 42

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Ellis Merriweather run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 43

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.20

Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Ellis Merriweather run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 41

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 43

3rd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.03

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 45

Situational Analysis

UConn

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
43%
23 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
67%
6 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Massachusetts

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
43%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
50%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
57%
7 plays
57%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays