Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 6, 2021Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 9.8

Home Win Probability

Rutgers 23%

Market (consensus)

Rutgers +13

Edge: Rutgers +13 (3.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 6, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
WisconsinWisconsin
72421052
RutgersRutgers
30003

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-73-103-243-383-52
RutgersWisconsin

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WISRUTWISRUTWISRUTWISWISRUTRUTWISRUTRUTWISRUTWISRUTWISRUTWISRUTWISRUTWISTO746ydTO2-2ydTD215ydFG1068ydFG1158ydPUNT34ydFG1160ydTD529ydTD10ydDOWNS1029ydTD553ydEND2-3ydPUNT421ydTD986ydPUNT518ydTD172ydPUNT418ydTD682ydTO1051ydPUNT36ydDOWNS49ydPUNT57ydPUNT39ydEND764yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wisconsin and Rutgers
StatisticWisconsinRutgers
Passing13-1913-27
Pass Yards274112
Rush Yards30595
Total Yards579207
Turnovers14
3rd Down6-121-11
Penalties5-404-39
Possession37:3222:28

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wisconsin
passing
Graham Mertz
11/16, 240 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Braelon Allen
15 CAR, 129 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kendric Pryor
4 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Rutgers
passing
Noah Vedral
8/16, 81 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Isaih Pacheco
9 CAR, 55 YDS
receiving
Bo Melton
6 REC, 61 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the Wisc 29

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY WIS False Start (Beach,Tyler) 5 yards from WIS29 to WIS24. NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Penalty+14 yds

Mertz,Graham pass incomplete to Davis III,Danny, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY RUT Pass Interference (Abraham,Kessawn) 14 yards from WIS24 to WIS38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.14

Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 15 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Mellusi,Chez rush for 2 yards gain to the WIS40 (Fatukasi,Olakunle; Turner,Julius) PENALTY RUT Illegal Substitution 5 yards from WIS38 to WIS43. NO PLAY.

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Chez Mellusi run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 27

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Julius Davis run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 29

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 41

3rd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -3.25

Graham Mertz pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 32

2nd & 12Interception0 ydsPPA -0.39

Noah Vedral pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 14

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.81

Chez Mellusi run for 14 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Noah Vedral pass complete to Johnny Langan for 11 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.05

Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 35 yds to the Wisc 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Isaih Pacheco run for 7 yds to the Wisc 20

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Wisc 19

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.28

Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 5 yds to the Wisc 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Noah Vedral run for no gain to the Wisc 14

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 5 yds to the Wisc 9

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the Wisc 7

4th & 3Field Goal Good+24 yds

Valentino Ambrosio 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Danny Davis III

2nd & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +3.49

Braelon Allen run for 33 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Chez Mellusi run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 33

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

John Chenal run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 31

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 28

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.04

Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 15 yds to the Rutgr 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 14

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 12

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Mertz,Graham pass complete to Dike,Chimere for 11 yards to the RUT01 (Fatukasi,Olakunle; Young,Avery) PENALTY WIS Illegal Shift (Dike,Chimere) 5 yards from RUT12 to RUT17. NO PLAY.

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jake Ferguson

4th & 14Field Goal Missed+35 yds

Collin Larsh 35 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 24

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Bo Melton

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Bo Melton

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Adam Korsak punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 29

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Chez Mellusi run for 6 yds to the Wisc 35

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the Wisc 38

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.96

John Chenal run for 1 yd to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.98

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 29 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 8 yds to the Rutgr 24

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Chez Mellusi run for no gain to the Rutgr 24

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.38

Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 17

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Chez Mellusi run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 11

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Braelon Allen

4th & 2Field Goal Good+29 yds

Collin Larsh 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Jack Van Dyke kickoff for 65 yds , Aron Cruickshank return for 29 yds to the Rutgr 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.90

Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 24 yds to the Rutgr 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Braelon Allen run for no gain to the Rutgr 1

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

John Chenal 1 Yd pass from Graham Mertz (Collin Larsh Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Jack Van Dyke kickoff for 58 yds , Chris Long return for 14 yds to the Rutgr 21

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+29 ydsPPA -7.67

Caesar Williams 29 Yd Interception Return (Collin Larsh Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Jack Van Dyke kickoff for 64 yds , Chris Long return for 23 yds to the Rutgr 24

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.97

Noah Vedral sacked by Jack Sanborn for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 20

2nd & 14Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.97

Isaih Pacheco run for 16 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 39

2nd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.55

Noah Vedral sacked by Nick Herbig for a loss of 7 yards to the Rutgr 32

3rd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.86

Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 13 yds to the Rutgr 45

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.06

Noah Vedral run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Isaiah Washington pass incomplete to Noah Vedral

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 47

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Noah Vedral pass complete to Shameen Jones for 6 yds to the Wisc 47

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Shameen Jones

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.00

Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 15 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.35

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 11 yds to the Rutgr 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Danny Davis III

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Brady Schipper run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 25

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.58

Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 25 yds for a TD

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY RUT Personal Foul (Powell,Tyreem) 15 yards from WIS35 to WIS50. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.21

Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the Rutgr 22

0th & 13End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Isaih Pacheco run for 23 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 49

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Bo Melton

3rd & 9Penalty0 yds

RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY RUT Delay Of Game 5 yards from WIS49 to RUT46. NO PLAY.

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Adam Korsak punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 14

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the Wisc 17

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Braelon Allen run for no gain to the Wisc 17

3rd & 7Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.60

Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 25 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Chez Mellusi run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 45

2nd & 8Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.62

Braelon Allen run for 28 yds to the Rutgr 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Braelon Allen run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 10

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.33

Braelon Allen run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Braelon Allen run for 1 yd for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Jack Van Dyke kickoff for 63 yds , Chris Long return for 23 yds to the Rutgr 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 4 yds to the Rutgr 29

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.24

Kyle Monangai run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Bo Melton run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 43

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Isaiah Washington

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Noah Vedral pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Adam Korsak punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 28

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+72 ydsPPA +5.86

Graham Mertz pass complete to Danny Davis III for 72 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Noah Vedral run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 24

2nd & 11Penalty+15 yds

Simon,Evan pass incomplete to Melton,Bo PENALTY WIS Pass Interference (Smith,Alexander) 15 yards from RUT24 to RUT39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 43

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Evan Simon pass incomplete to Bo Melton

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Evan Simon pass incomplete to Shameen Jones

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Adam Korsak punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.95

Braelon Allen run for 36 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Julius Davis run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 42

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Julius Davis run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Julius Davis run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 29

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Julius Davis run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Jackson Acker run for 18 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Collin Larsh kickoff for 48 yds , Chris Long return for no gain to the Rutgr 17

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 19

2nd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.80

Evan Simon pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 18 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.61

Evan Simon pass complete to Victor Konopka for 8 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Simon,Evan pass incomplete to Konopka,Victor PENALTY WIS Offside (Blaylock,Travian) 5 yards from RUT47 to WIS48. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Aaron Young run for 4 yds to the Wisc 44

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.06

Aaron Young run for 9 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Evan Simon run for 2 yds to the Wisc 33

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the Wisc 31

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Evan Simon pass complete to Bo Melton for 1 yd to the Wisc 32

4th & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -2.04

Evan Simon pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Julius Davis run for 3 yds to the Wisc 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Julius Davis run for 3 yds to the Wisc 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Chase Wolf pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Avery Young at the Rutgr 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Isaiah Washington

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Isaiah Washington

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.55

Cole Snyder run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 44

4th & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.69

Cole Snyder pass complete to Isaiah Washington for no gain to the Rutgr 44

4th & 1Penalty0 yds

RUTGERS Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Allen,Markus rush for 8 yards gain to the RUT36 (Lusardi,Joe) PENALTY WIS Holding (Kodanko,Kerry) 10 yards from RUT44 to WIS46. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jackson Acker run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 48

2nd & 14Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.57

Chase Wolf pass complete to Markus Allen for 22 yds to the Rutgr 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Chase Wolf run for no gain to the Rutgr 26

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jackson Acker run for no gain to the Rutgr 26

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-11 ydsPPA -2.86

Chase Wolf sacked by Aaron Lewis for a loss of 11 yards to the Rutgr 37 Chase Wolf fumbled, recovered by Wisc Cormac Sampson , return for 0 yards

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Conor Schlichting punt for 37 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Cole Snyder pass complete to Victor Konopka for 6 yds to the Rutgr 28

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Aaron Young run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Adam Korsak punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.20

Grover Bortolotti run for 16 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Markus Allen run for 4 yds to the Wisc 39

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Grover Bortolotti run for 2 yds to the Wisc 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.39

Chase Wolf pass complete to Markus Allen for 12 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.91

Grover Bortolotti run for 22 yds to the Rutgr 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Grover Bortolotti run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 24

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Grover Bortolotti run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 17

Situational Analysis

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
52%
31 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
55%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Rutgers

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
19%
21 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play