Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 23, 2021Week 8
WisconsinWisconsin
30
-Final
13
PurduePurdue
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Purdue by 3

Home Win Probability

Purdue 53%

Market (consensus)

Purdue +3.5

Edge: Purdue +3.5 (6.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 23, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
WisconsinWisconsin
7671030
PurduePurdue
0130013

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-1013-1013-1313-2013-2713-30
PurdueWisconsin

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WISPURWISPURWISPURWISPURWISWISPURWISPURPURWISPURWISPURWISPURWISPURWISPURWISPURWISPUNT39ydPUNT531ydTD1392ydTO3-2ydTO112ydTD439ydFG1056ydTO37ydTD3-8ydPUNT37ydTO3-1ydFG4-3ydEND829ydTO312ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT843ydTD394ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT30ydTO1152ydTD672ydPUNT30ydPUNT39ydTO1-4ydFG4-4ydDOWNS73ydEND3-7yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wisconsin and Purdue
StatisticWisconsinPurdue
Passing5-827-38
Pass Yards52219
Rush Yards290-13
Total Yards342206
Turnovers25
3rd Down1-113-12
Penalties8-794-45
Possession32:3827:22

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wisconsin
passing
Graham Mertz
5/8, 52 YDS
rushing
Chez Mellusi
27 CAR, 149 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jake Ferguson
2 REC, 23 YDS
defense
Leo Chenal
5.5 TFL
Purdue
passing
Aidan O'Connell
24/32, 200 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
King Doerue
9 CAR, 20 YDS
receiving
Payne Durham
9 REC, 112 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the Wisc 23

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.61

Chez Mellusi run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 21

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Graham Mertz run for 7 yds to the Wisc 28

4th & 1Punt+9 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 52 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for 9 yds to the Prdue 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 13 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.09

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 13 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Caesar Williams) to the Wisc 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

King Doerue run for no gain to the Wisc 30

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.64

Aidan O'Connell sacked by Leo Chenal for a loss of 10 yards to the Wisc 40

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 8

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Chez Mellusi run for 6 yds to the Wisc 14

2nd & 4Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.13

Chez Mellusi run for 18 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the Wisc 36

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 31

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the Wisc 32

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 27

3rd & 15Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.85

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 17 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 9 yds to the Prdue 47

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the Prdue 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.90

Graham Mertz pass complete to Braelon Allen for 9 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the Prdue 27

2nd & 4Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.36

Braelon Allen run for 19 yds to the Prdue 8 Braelon Allen fumbled, recovered by Wisc

1st & 8Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 13

1st & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.39

Chez Mellusi run for 9 yds to the Prdue 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Braelon Allen run for 4 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.96

Aidan O'Connell sacked by Leo Chenal for a loss of 8 yards to the Prdue 13

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David Bell

3rd & 18Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.01

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 6 yds to the Prdue 19

4th & 12Punt+53 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 53 yds , Dean Engram returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 27 Dean Engram fumbled, recovered by Wisc

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+12 ydsPPA -1.07

Braelon Allen run for 12 yds to the Wisc 39 Braelon Allen fumbled, forced by Jamari Brown, recovered by Prdue Cam Allen

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Wisc 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 2 yds to the Wisc 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.39

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 11 yds to the Wisc 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Dylan Downing run for 1 yd to the Wisc 10

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.75

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 10 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the Wisc 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.32

Graham Mertz pass complete to Chez Mellusi for 11 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.83

Braelon Allen run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 37

2nd & 14Rush+25 ydsPPA +3.40

Graham Mertz run for 15 yds to the PURDUE 48 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the Prdue 36

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Chez Mellusi run for 9 yds to the Prdue 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Chez Mellusi run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 28

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Brady Schipper run for 3 yds to the Prdue 25

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 6 yds to the Prdue 19

4th & 2Field Goal Good+37 yds

Collin Larsh 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 17 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.47

Aidan O'Connell sacked by Leo Chenal for a loss of 10 yards to the Prdue 32

2nd & 20Pass Interception Return+11 ydsPPA +0.03

Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted Caesar Williams return for 11 yds to the Prdue 36

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Chez Mellusi run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 37

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the Prdue 34

3rd & 8Sack+56 yds

Graham Mertz sacked by Jamari Brown for a loss of 10 yards Graham Mertz fumbled, forced by Jamari Brown, recovered by Prdue George Karlaftis , return for 0 yards , return for 56 yds, (Mitchell Fineran PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the Wisc 32

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the Wisc 34

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Chimere Dike

4th & 3Punt+11 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 48 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for 11 yds to the Prdue 29

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Prdue 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.80

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Spencer Holstege for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 28

3rd & 11Pass Interception Return+37 ydsPPA +0.10

Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted John Torchio return for 37 yds to the Prdue 1

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Chez Mellusi run for no gain to the Prdue 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Chez Mellusi run for no gain to the Prdue 1

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.53

Kendric Pryor run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+23 yds

Collin Larsh 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.60

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 15 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.61

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for no gain to the Prdue 22

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 5 yds to the Prdue 27

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.42

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 6 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Payne Durham

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.20

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 13 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

PURDUE Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the Prdue 31

1st & 25Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.30

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Dylan Downing for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 30

2nd & 26Penalty+4 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive Offside (4 Yards) to the Prdue 34

2nd & 22Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 2 yds to the Prdue 36

0th & 22End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

King Doerue run for 6 yds to the Prdue 31

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

King Doerue run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 30

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -0.26

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 7 yds Payne Durham fumbled, forced by Collin Wilder, recovered by Wisc Collin Wilder

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the Prdue 35 Chez Mellusi fumbled, forced by Jaylan Alexander, recovered by Wisc Josh Seltzner

2nd & 8Sack-13 ydsPPA -3.27

Graham Mertz sacked by Kydran Jenkins for a loss of 13 yards to the Prdue 48

3rd & 21Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Brady Schipper run for 4 yds to the Prdue 44

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 39 yds, downed at the Prdue 5

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

King Doerue run for 7 yds to the Prdue 12

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Dylan Downing run for no gain to the Prdue 12

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.44

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 3 yds to the Prdue 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

King Doerue run for 1 yd to the Prdue 16

2nd & 9Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.23

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 24 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 3 yds to the Prdue 43

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jack Plummer run for 5 yds to the Prdue 48

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

King Doerue run for no gain to the Prdue 48

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 46 yds, downed at the Wisc 6

1st & 10Rush+70 ydsPPA +4.22

Braelon Allen run for 70 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the Prdue 20

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.71

Chez Mellusi run for 20 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Jack Plummer sacked by Isaiah Mullens for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 21

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David Bell

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the Wisc 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Kendric Pryor

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Braelon Allen run for no gain to the Wisc 44

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Kendric Pryor

4th & 10Punt+7 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 44 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for 7 yds to the Prdue 19

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Jack Plummer run for 9 yds to the Prdue 28

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jack Plummer run for 1 yd to the Prdue 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.75

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 10 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Jack Plummer run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 39

2nd & 12Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.89

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 19 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Austin Burton run for 1 yd to the Wisc 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 13 yds to the Wisc 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Jack Plummer run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 29

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Kyle Bilodeau for 5 yds to the Wisc 24

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

PURDUE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 29

3rd & 11Pass Interception Return+10 ydsPPA -2.84

Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted Collin Wilder return for 10 yds to the Wisc 28

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the Wisc 33

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.19

Chez Mellusi run for 9 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the Wisc 46

2nd & 6Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.12

Chez Mellusi run for 35 yds to the Prdue 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the Prdue 14

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.53

Braelon Allen run for 14 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 7 yds to the Prdue 46

3rd & 3Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.63

Aidan O'Connell sacked by Leo Chenal for a loss of 7 yards to the Prdue 39

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the Wisc 22

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Wisc 23

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Braelon Allen run for 8 yds to the Wisc 31

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

John Chenal run for no gain to the Wisc 31

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 44 yds, downed at the Prdue 25

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -0.92

Jack Plummer run for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 21 Jack Plummer fumbled, recovered by Wisc Nick Herbig

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the Prdue 18

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the Prdue 15

3rd & 4Penalty-15 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Prdue 30

3rd & 19Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Brady Schipper run for 5 yds to the Prdue 25

4th & 14Field Goal Good+43 yds

Collin Larsh 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

King Doerue run for 3 yds to the Prdue 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David Bell

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 8 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

PURDUE Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Prdue 21

1st & 25Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 6 yds to the Prdue 27

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David Bell

3rd & 19Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jack Plummer sacked by Noah Burks for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 23

4th & 23Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.38

Jack Plummer pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 5 yds to the Prdue 28

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.78

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 30

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.22

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 32

3rd & 14Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.52

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 35

Situational Analysis

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
35%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
80%
10 plays
50%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th

Purdue

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
28%
25 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
75%
12 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play