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← Back to GamesNov 20, 2021Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 22.9

Home Win Probability

Wisconsin 91%

Market (consensus)

Wisconsin -10

Edge: Wisconsin -10 (12.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 20, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NebraskaNebraska
777728
WisconsinWisconsin
14014735

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-714-714-1421-2128-2128-2835-28
WisconsinNebraska

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISTD00ydTD574ydDOWNS1044ydPUNT725ydTD380ydDOWNS975ydPUNT3-2ydTD848ydMISS754ydPUNT32ydPUNT32ydEND26ydTO319ydTD433ydTD1175ydTD875ydTO515ydDOWNS622ydTD768ydTD575ydDOWNS1044ydEND114yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Nebraska and Wisconsin
StatisticNebraskaWisconsin
Passing23-3512-18
Pass Yards351145
Rush Yards101252
Total Yards452397
Turnovers20
3rd Down4-93-9
Penalties5-434-42
Possession33:1726:43

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Nebraska
passing
Adrian Martinez
23/35, 351 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Brody Belt
7 CAR, 31 YDS
receiving
Austin Allen
7 REC, 143 YDS
defense
Garrett Nelson
1 TFL, 1 PD
Wisconsin
passing
Graham Mertz
12/18, 145 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Braelon Allen
22 CAR, 228 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Jake Ferguson
8 REC, 92 YDS
defense
Leo Chenal
0.5 TFL

Play-by-Play

No play data available
1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.14

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 42 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Markese Stepp run for 2 yds to the Wisc 30

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 35

2nd & 13Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.65

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 27 yds to the Wisc 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Markese Stepp run for 7 yds to the Wisc 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Markese Stepp run for 1 yd for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Braelon Allen run for 9 yds to the Wisc 32

2nd & 1Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.17

Braelon Allen run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Neb 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 4 yds to the Neb 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Dunn for 4 yds to the Neb 41

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.00

John Chenal run for 4 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Kendric Pryor

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Neb 36

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 3 yds to the Neb 33

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.07

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Brady Schipper, broken up by Cam Taylor-Britt

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Marvin Scott III for 9 yds to the Neb 42

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.05

Marvin Scott III run for 5 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brody Belt run for 5 yds to the Wisc 48

2nd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.15

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 17 yds to the Wisc 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.43

Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wisc 36

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Levi Falck

3rd & 15Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.64

Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 6 yards to the Wisc 42

4th & 21Punt0 yds

William Przystup punt for 42 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the Wisc 25

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the Wisc 29

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+71 ydsPPA +6.39

Braelon Allen run for 71 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.83

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 34 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Brody Belt run for no gain to the Wisc 47

2nd & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.90

Adrian Martinez run for 19 yds to the Wisc 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Brody Belt run for 3 yds to the Wisc 25

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.37

Brody Belt run for 11 yds to the Wisc 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Brody Belt run for 8 yds to the Wisc 6

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Markese Stepp run for 1 yd to the Wisc 5

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.44

Markese Stepp run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 6

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.07

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Austin Allen, broken up by Scott Nelson

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

John Chenal run for 3 yds to the Wisc 9

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.19

Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Wisc 10

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.18

Graham Mertz sacked by Garrett Nelson for a loss of 6 yards to the Wisc 4

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 48

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Wisc 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Austin Allen

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Omar Manning for 9 yds to the Wisc 24

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.23

Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the Wisc 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the Wisc 20

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.18

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 16 yds to the Wisc 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Markese Stepp run for no gain to the Wisc 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Zavier Betts

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 4 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.67

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 35 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Julius Davis run for 5 yds to the Neb 29

2nd & 5Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.33

Julius Davis run for 17 yds to the Neb 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Allen, Braelon rush for no gain to the NEBRASKA12, PENALTY WISCONSIN holding 10 yards to the NEBRASKA22, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Neb 19

2nd & 17Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Graham Mertz pass complete to Brady Schipper for 4 yds to the Neb 15

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

4th & 13Field Goal Missed+33 yds

Collin Larsh 33 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Markese Stepp run for 3 yds to the Neb 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Samori Toure

3rd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.22

Markese Stepp run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 22

4th & 8Punt0 yds

William Przystup punt for 34 yds, downed at the Wisc 44

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Brady Schipper run for 2 yds to the Wisc 46

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Brady Schipper, broken up by Garrett Nelson

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Danny Davis III

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 10

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Logan Smothers run for no gain to the Neb 10

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Markese Stepp run for 6 yds to the Neb 16

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 16 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Marvin Scott III run for 3 yds to the Neb 44

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return+40 ydsPPA -1.91

Adrian Martinez pass intercepted Collin Wilder return for 40 yds to the Neb 33

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Neb 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.64

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 12 yds to the Neb 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Neb 17

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.80

Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 17 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Marvin Scott III run for no gain to the Neb 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Zavier Betts for 12 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Marvin Scott III run for 2 yds to the Neb 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.78

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 10 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Brody Belt run for 4 yds to the Wisc 47

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Samori Toure

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.03

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 7 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Marvin Scott III run for 5 yds to the Wisc 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.44

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Levi Falck for 12 yds to the Wisc 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.73

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 22 yds to the Wisc 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the Wisc 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Julius Davis run for 1 yd to the Wisc 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.28

Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 28 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 10 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.49

Braelon Allen run for 22 yds to the Neb 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Neb 5

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Neb 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Braelon Allen run for 3 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-3 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-3 Yards) to the Neb 3

1st & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Alante Brown for 8 yds to the Neb 11

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Marvin Scott III run for 4 yds to the Neb 15

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.29

Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd to the Neb 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds to the Neb 21

2nd & 5Pass Interception Return+3 ydsPPA -0.50

Adrian Martinez pass intercepted Collin Wilder return for 3 yds to the Wisc 46

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Wisc 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.67

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 12 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the Neb 35

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 40

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.95

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 9 yds to the Neb 31

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -2.89

John Chenal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 15 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 4 yds to the Wisc 49

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Marvin Scott III run for 3 yds to the Wisc 46

3rd & 3Penalty-10 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Neb 44

3rd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.07

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 11 yds to the Wisc 45

4th & 2Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.37

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 38 yds to the Wisc 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Marvin Scott III run for 4 yds to the Wisc 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Marvin Scott III run for 3 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Braelon Allen run for 7 yds to the Wisc 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the Wisc 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.21

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 7 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +4.10

Braelon Allen run for 53 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the Neb 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.22

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Brody Belt for 7 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.21

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 19 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Levi Falck for 5 yds to the Wisc 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 7 yds to the Wisc 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Brody Belt run for no gain to the Wisc 23

2nd & 10Penalty+12 yds

Martinez, Adrian pass incomplete to Allen, Austin, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference 12 yards to the WISCONSIN11, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEBRASKA.

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Martinez, Adrian pass incomplete to Vokolek, Travis, PENALTY NEBRASKA holding 10 yards to the WISCONSIN21, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Samori Toure

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Samori Toure

4th & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.61

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Zavier Betts

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 35

Situational Analysis

Nebraska

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
45%
29 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
44%
9 plays
78%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
38%
8 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play