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← Back to GamesOct 16, 2021Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 6.4

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 63%

Market (consensus)

Minnesota +4.5

Edge: Minnesota +4.5 (10.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 16, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NebraskaNebraska
367723
MinnesotaMinnesota
7140930

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-314-921-921-1630-23
MinnesotaNebraska

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NEBMINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINMINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINPUNT3-1ydTD1461ydFG643ydTD779ydPUNT3-4ydMISS843ydTD968ydTD875ydPUNT723ydEND2-6ydTO642ydPUNT32ydTO2-3ydTD345ydPUNT3-4ydDOWNS846ydPUNT32ydMISS546ydPUNT521ydDOWNS1250ydPUNT39ydSAF1-11ydTD572ydTD675ydEND310yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Nebraska and Minnesota
StatisticNebraskaMinnesota
Passing18-3321-25
Pass Yards241214
Rush Yards136182
Total Yards377396
Turnovers02
3rd Down4-123-9
Penalties3-253-25
Possession21:5938:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Nebraska
passing
Adrian Martinez
18/33, 241 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Rahmir Johnson
11 CAR, 83 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Austin Allen
5 REC, 121 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Minnesota
passing
Tanner Morgan
20/24, 209 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Bryce Williams
17 CAR, 127 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Chris Autman-Bell
11 REC, 103 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Austin Allen

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Oliver Martin

4th & 11Punt+3 yds

William Przystup punt for 40 yds , Brock Annexstad returns for 3 yds to the Minn 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 9 yds to the Minn 48

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.19

Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Dylan Wright

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.67

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 10 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the Neb 33

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.31

Bryce Williams run for 8 yds to the Neb 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 5 yds to the Neb 20

2nd & 5Pass Reception-9 ydsPPA -1.86

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mar'Keise Irving for 1 yd to the Neb 19 MINNESOTA Penalty, Illegal Block (Brevyn Spann-Ford) to the Neb 29

2nd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.99

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 13 yds to the Neb 16

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.11

Cole Kramer run for 2 yds to the Neb 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Neb 12

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Cole Kramer run for 5 yds to the Neb 7

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Cole Kramer run for 2 yds to the Neb 5

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.85

Cole Kramer pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 5 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 22 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.33

Rahmir Johnson run for 25 yds to the Minn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the Minn 24

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Rahmir Johnson run for no gain to the Minn 24

3rd & 6Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.41

Adrian Martinez sacked by Nyles Pinckney for a loss of 8 yards to the Minn 32

4th & 14Field Goal Good+50 yds

Connor Culp 50 yd FG GOOD

4th & 14Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Brendan Franke kickoff for 65 yds , Mar'Keise Irving return for 21 yds to the Minn 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 7 yds to the Minn 28

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.36

Ky Thomas run for 5 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 10 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Mar'Keise Irving run for 3 yds to the Minn 46

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Morgan, Tanner pass incomplete to Autman-Bell, Chris, PENALTY NEBRASKA pass interference (Williams, Deontai) 15 yards to the NEBRASKA39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MINNESOTA.

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Bryce Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 40

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.39

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brady Boyd for 12 yds to the Neb 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 28 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (Turner Corcoran) to the Neb 20

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd to the Neb 21

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Rahmir Johnson

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

William Przystup punt for 54 yds, downed at the Minn 25

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Mar'Keise Irving run for 10 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Mar'Keise Irving run for 9 yds to the Minn 44

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Mar'Keise Irving run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.83

Ky Thomas run for 14 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Tanner Morgan run for 3 yds to the Neb 33

2nd & 7Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.18

Tanner Morgan sacked by Cam Taylor-Britt for a loss of 12 yards to the Neb 45

3rd & 19Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.58

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 13 yds to the Neb 32

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Matthew Trickett 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jaquez Yant run for 1 yd to the Neb 33

2nd & 9Rush+27 ydsPPA +3.10

Zavier Betts run for 27 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Samori Toure

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.29

Jaquez Yant run for 13 yds to the Minn 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Samori Toure

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the Minn 27

3rd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.70

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 20 yds to the Minn 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd to the Minn 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Rahmir Johnson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Connor Culp PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.94

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 36 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Ky Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 40

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 3 yds to the Neb 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.90

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 17 yds to the Neb 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Cole Kramer run for 9 yds to the Neb 11

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Neb 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the Neb 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 7 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wyatt Liewer for 6 yds to the Neb 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 6 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Rahmir Johnson run for 3 yds to the Neb 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.38

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Levi Falck for 7 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Samori Toure

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 1 yd to the Neb 48

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

William Przystup punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 16

2nd & 14Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.16

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 14

0th & 14End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Mar'Keise Irving run for 3 yds to the Minn 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.28

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 19 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 46

2nd & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.43

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Dylan Wright for 17 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Ky Thomas run for 4 yds to the Neb 33

2nd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.87

Tanner Morgan pass intercepted, touchback. Cam Taylor-Britt return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Jaquez Yant run for 2 yds to the Neb 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Levi Falck

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Samori Toure

4th & 8Punt0 yds

William Przystup punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Brock Annexstad at the Minn 31

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.24

Mar'Keise Irving run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 28

2nd & 13Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.15

Tanner Morgan pass intercepted Deontai Williams return for no gain to the Minn 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +0.92

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 30 yds to the Minn 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.62

Rahmir Johnson run for 14 yds to the Minn 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty0 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) to the Minn 1

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Culp KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 21

2nd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.18

Mar'Keise Irving run for no gain to the Minn 21

3rd & 14Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.08

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Dylan Wright for no gain to the Minn 21

4th & 14Punt+6 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 32 yds , Oliver Martin returns for 6 yds to the Minn 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Levi Falck for 5 yds to the Minn 42

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Rahmir Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.86

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Zavier Betts for 8 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +0.92

Rahmir Johnson run for 29 yds to the Minn 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the Minn 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd to the Minn 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the Minn 1

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Jaquez Yant run for no gain to the Minn 1

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Bryce Williams run for no gain to the Minn 1

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Mike Brown-Stephens

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.03

Cole Kramer run for 2 yds to the Minn 3

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +1.72

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 40 yds to the Minn 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jaquez Yant run for no gain to the Minn 15

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 17

3rd & 12Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Jaquez Yant run for 8 yds to the Minn 9

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+27 yds

Connor Culp 27 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Bryce Williams run for 7 yds to the Minn 27

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.43

Bryce Williams run for 6 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Tanner Morgan run for 1 yd to the Minn 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 7 yds to the Minn 41

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Cole Kramer run for no gain to the Minn 41

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 16

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Oliver Martin run for no gain to the Neb 16

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Sevion Morrison

3rd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.78

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Zavier Betts for 27 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Sevion Morrison run for 5 yds to the Neb 48

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Sevion Morrison

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.94

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Omar Manning for 5 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Sevion Morrison run for 5 yds to the Minn 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Levi Falck for 8 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Samori Toure

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Sevion Morrison run for 5 yds to the Minn 29

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (Nouredin Nouili) to the Minn 34

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.49

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Minn 37

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the Minn 41

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Minn 43

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 11

1st & 10Safety-11 ydsPPA -2.24

Esezi Otomewo Safety

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Brendan Franke kickoff for 62 yds , Bryce Williams return for 10 yds to the Minn 28

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.10

Ky Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 25

2nd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.49

Bryce Williams run for 9 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the Minn 39

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.86

Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +4.37

Bryce Williams run for 56 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 2 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the Neb 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.62

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Omar Manning for 24 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.32

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Levi Falck for 14 yds to the Minn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Omar Manning for 7 yds to the Minn 13

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Sevion Morrison run for 4 yds to the Minn 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 9 yds for a TD, (Connor Culp KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Neb 40

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Bryce Williams run for 9 yds to the Neb 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 33

Situational Analysis

Nebraska

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
54%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
44%
9 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
33 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
9 plays
50%
8 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play