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← Back to GamesOct 30, 2021Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 10.9

Home Win Probability

Northwestern 21%

Market (consensus)

Northwestern +7.5

Edge: Minnesota -7.5 (3.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 30, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MinnesotaMinnesota
13702141
NorthwesternNorthwestern
070714

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-30-137-137-207-277-3314-41
NorthwesternMinnesota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINNORNORMINNORMINNORMINNORNORMINNORMINNORMINNORMINNORFG1367ydTD10ydPUNT3-4ydFG1148ydTD1175ydTD1175ydPUNT30ydTO956ydEND1-1ydDOWNS1247ydPUNT36ydPUNT36ydTD1171ydDOWNS729ydTD543ydTD974ydTD954ydEND35yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Minnesota and Northwestern
StatisticMinnesotaNorthwestern
Passing12-1711-22
Pass Yards13498
Rush Yards308143
Total Yards442241
Turnovers11
3rd Down10-144-11
Penalties4-354-33
Possession40:0919:51

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Minnesota
passing
Tanner Morgan
12/17, 134 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Mar'Keise Irving
19 CAR, 110 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Mike Brown-Stephens
4 REC, 63 YDS
defense
Northwestern
passing
Andrew Marty
10/16, 93 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Evan Hull
15 CAR, 107 YDS
receiving
Malik Washington
4 REC, 33 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Bryce Williams run for 7 yds to the Minn 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the Minn 34

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.34

Cole Kramer run for 6 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Personal Foul (Dylan Wright) to the Minn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Minn 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.63

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Ky Thomas run for 9 yds to the Nwest 41

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Mar'Keise Irving run for 2 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+14 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Roughing the Passer on MEISER, Jeremy enforced half the distance from the goal (14 Yards) to the Nwest 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Mar'Keise Irving run for 3 yds to the Nwest 9

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Cole Kramer run for 1 yd to the Nwest 8

4th & 6Field Goal Good+26 yds

Matthew Trickett 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 20

1st & 15Fumble Return Touchdown+25 ydsPPA -7.18

Justin Walley 25 Yd Fumble Return (Matthew Trickett Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack0 ydsPPA -0.27

Ryan Hilinski sacked by Boye Mafe for 0 yards to the Nwest 21

4th & 14Punt+13 yds

Derek Adams punt for 51 yds , Brock Annexstad returns for 13 yds to the Minn 41

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Ky Thomas run for 11 yds to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ky Thomas run for no gain to the Nwest 48

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.02

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Bryce Williams for 19 yds to the Nwest 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ky Thomas run for 5 yds to the Nwest 24

2nd & 5Penalty0 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declined

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Ky Thomas for 11 yds to the Nwest 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Mar'Keise Irving run for 4 yds to the Nwest 11

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.34

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for no gain to the Nwest 11

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+30 yds

Matthew Trickett 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.60

Evan Hull run for 30 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Minn 42

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Minn 38

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.10

Evan Hull run for 7 yds to the Minn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.82

JJ Jefferson run for 12 yds to the Minn 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Andrew Marty run for 9 yds to the Minn 10

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Andrew Clair run for 2 yds to the Minn 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Andrew Marty run for 1 yd to the Minn 7

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Minn 6

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

A. Marty pass,to E. Hull for 6 yds for a TD, (C. Kuhbander KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Mar'Keise Irving run for 4 yds to the Minn 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Mar'Keise Irving run for 4 yds to the Minn 33

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Ky Thomas run for 13 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.04

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 17 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Mar'Keise Irving run for 2 yds to the Nwest 33

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 38

2nd & 13Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.60

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 18 yds to the Nwest 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Ky Thomas run for 4 yds to the Nwest 16

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Ky Thomas run for 10 yds to the Nwest 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Nwest 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

M. Irving run for 3 yds for a TD, (M. Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Derek Adams punt for 53 yds, downed at the Minn 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Minn 25

2nd & 7Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.61

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 24 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.83

Ky Thomas run for 13 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Mar'Keise Irving run for 8 yds to the Nwest 30

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Mar'Keise Irving run for 1 yd to the Nwest 29

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.37

Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Nwest 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Ky Thomas run for no gain to the Nwest 26

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mar'Keise Irving for 4 yds to the Nwest 22

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.74

Tanner Morgan pass intercepted, touchback. return for no gain

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 19

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Andrew Marty run for 1 yd to the Nwest 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.91

Andrew Marty pass complete to Malik Washington for 14 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 42

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

JEFFERSON, JJ rush to the left for a gain of 7 yards to the NU49 (NUBIN, Tyler). PENALTY Before the snap, NU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the NU42 to the NU37. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Andrew Marty run for 8 yds to the Nwest 45

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Nwest 49

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.27

Andrew Marty run for 3 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Evan Hull run for 8 yds to the Minn 40

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.08

Evan Hull run for 5 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Andrew Marty pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -2.18

JJ Jefferson run for a loss of 6 yards to the Minn 41 fumbled, recovered by Nwest JJ Jefferson

3rd & 16Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.74

Andrew Marty pass complete to JJ Jefferson for 13 yds to the Minn 28

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.89

Andrew Marty pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mar'Keise Irving for 1 yd to the Minn 29

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

MORGAN, Tanner pass to the left complete for 16 yards to BROWN-STEPHENS, Mike caught at the MIN41 and advanced to the MIN45 (HAMPTON, JR., A.J.). PENALTY MIN Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on OLSON, Conner enforced 5 yards from the MIN29 to the MIN24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

3rd & 14Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Mar'Keise Irving run for 10 yds to the Minn 34

4th & 4Punt+1 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 46 yds , JJ Jefferson returns for 1 yd to the Nwest 21

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Andrew Marty run for 9 yds to the Nwest 30

2nd & 1Sack0 ydsPPA -1.15

Andrew Marty sacked by MJ Anderson for 0 yards to the Nwest 27

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Andrew Marty pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Derek Adams punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brock Annexstad at the Minn 29

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Mar'Keise Irving run for 6 yds to the Minn 35

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.55

Mar'Keise Irving run for 4 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Mar'Keise Irving run for 8 yds to the Minn 47

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Tanner Morgan run for 8 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Mar'Keise Irving run for 3 yds to the Nwest 42

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.83

Ky Thomas run for 7 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Ky Thomas run for 7 yds to the Nwest 28

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Nwest 26

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.31

Mar'Keise Irving run for 4 yds to the Nwest 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 4 yds to the Nwest 18

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.68

T. Morgan run for 18 yds for a TD, (M. Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.65

Andrew Marty pass complete to Evan Hull for 12 yds to the Nwest 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.00

Andrew Marty pass complete to Evan Hull for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 23

2nd & 13Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.35

Andrew Marty pass complete to Wayne Dennis Jr. for 18 yds to the Nwest 41 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Andrew Marty pass complete to Berkeley Holman for 2 yds to the Nwest 43

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Andrew Marty pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Andrew Marty pass incomplete

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Andrew Marty pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Tanner Morgan run for 3 yds to the Nwest 40

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Ky Thomas run for 6 yds to the Nwest 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.46

Mar'Keise Irving run for 1 yd to the Nwest 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Mar'Keise Irving run for 2 yds to the Nwest 31

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

THOMAS, Ky rush to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the NU28 (MITCHELL, Cameron). PENALTY MIN Holding on ANDRIES, Blaise enforced 10 yards from the NU31 to the NU41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Rushing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +5.09

Mar'Keise Irving run for 41 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Nwest 30

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Andrew Marty pass complete to Malik Washington for 5 yds to the Nwest 35

3rd & 1Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.27

Evan Hull run for 16 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Andrew Marty pass complete to Malik Washington for 9 yds to the Minn 40

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA -0.07

Evan Hull run for 12 yds to the Minn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Evan Hull run for 7 yds to the Minn 21

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Minn 20

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.28

Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the Minn 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Andrew Marty pass complete to Berkeley Holman for 17 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ky Thomas run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Nwest 47

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.42

Cole Kramer run for 4 yds to the Nwest 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Mar'Keise Irving run for no gain to the Nwest 43

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Cole Kramer run for 6 yds to the Nwest 37

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.16

Cole Kramer run for 6 yds to the Nwest 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Derik LeCaptain run for 4 yds to the Nwest 27

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Derik LeCaptain run for 3 yds to the Nwest 24

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.09

D. LeCaptain run for 24 yds for a TD, (M. Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Andrew Clair run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 22

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the Nwest 26

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the Nwest 28

Situational Analysis

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
39%
28 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
43%
7 plays
63%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
5 plays
100%
1 play
25%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play