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← Back to GamesOct 2, 2021Week 5
MinnesotaMinnesota
20
-Final
13
PurduePurdue
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Purdue by 3.2

Home Win Probability

Purdue 58%

Market (consensus)

Purdue -2.5

Edge: Purdue -2.5 (0.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 2, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MinnesotaMinnesota
737320
PurduePurdue
3100013

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-710-713-1013-1713-20
PurdueMinnesota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PURMINPURMINPURMINPURMINPURMINPURMINMINPURMINPURMINPURMINPURMINPURMINTO719ydTD444ydFG1056ydPUNT39ydTD1491ydPUNT36ydPUNT30ydPUNT31ydPUNT519ydFG659ydFG1168ydEND1-2ydTD375ydPUNT946ydPUNT837ydPUNT515ydPUNT6-4ydMISS1158ydPUNT533ydDOWNS658ydFG1040ydTO748ydEND2-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Minnesota and Purdue
StatisticMinnesotaPurdue
Passing9-1834-52
Pass Yards169371
Rush Yards12577
Total Yards294448
Turnovers02
3rd Down5-137-18
Penalties4-553-30
Possession26:3833:22

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Minnesota
passing
Tanner Morgan
9/18, 169 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Treyson Potts
15 CAR, 78 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Mike Brown-Stephens
2 REC, 105 YDS
defense
Purdue
passing
Aidan O'Connell
34/52, 371 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
King Doerue
21 CAR, 95 YDS
receiving
David Bell
6 REC, 120 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

King Doerue run for 3 yds to the Prdue 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.27

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 13 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

King Doerue run for 5 yds to the Prdue 46

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Prdue 48

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.84

Austin Burton run for 8 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.97

Aidan O'Connell sacked for 0 yards to the Prdue 44

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Treyson Potts run for 2 yds to the Prdue 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Ko Kieft for 6 yds to the Prdue 36

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.77

Cole Kramer run for 4 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 32 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.97

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 15 yds to the Minn 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

King Doerue run for 6 yds to the Minn 19

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.02

King Doerue run for 8 yds to the Minn 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Minn 9

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty0 yds

PURDUE Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.73

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 32 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ja'Quez Cross run for 4 yds to the Minn 39

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.22

Dylan Downing run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 40

4th & 18Field Goal Good+36 yds

Mitchell Fineran 36 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Chris Van Eekeren kickoff for 63 yds , Bryce Williams return for 22 yds to the Minn 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Treyson Potts run for 4 yds to the Minn 28

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Treyson Potts run for 3 yds to the Minn 31

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Ko Kieft for 2 yds to the Minn 33

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 58 yds, downed at the Prdue 9

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

King Doerue run for 4 yds to the Prdue 13

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.60

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 9 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

O'CONNELL, Aidan pass to the left complete for 14 yards to DOERUE, King caught at the PUR20 and advanced to the PUR36 (WALLEY, Justin), 1ST DOWN. PENALTY MIN Unsportsmanlike Conduct on DEW-TREADWAY, Micah enforced 15 yards from the end of the play at the PUR36 to the MIN49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Ja'Quez Cross run for no gain to the Minn 49

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.76

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Paul Piferi for 10 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.52

King Doerue run for 19 yds to the Minn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to King Doerue for 2 yds to the Minn 18

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 7 yds to the Minn 11

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.57

King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Minn 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Austin Burton run for 2 yds to the Minn 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 7 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

VAN EEKEREN, Chris kickoff 53 yards to the MIN12, WILLIAMS, Bryce return 17 yards to the MIN29 (GRANT, Marvin). PENALTY PUR Offsides on SAUNDERS, Khali enforced 5 yards after the change of possession from the end of the play at the MIN29 to the MIN34. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Mar'Keise Irving run for 2 yds to the Minn 36

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Cole Kramer run for 4 yds to the Minn 40

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 60 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

King Doerue run for no gain to the Prdue 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Treyson Potts run for 1 yd to the Minn 39

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 46 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the Prdue 15

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ja'Quez Cross run for 5 yds to the Prdue 20

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.54

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Ja'Quez Cross for 6 yds to the Prdue 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ja'Quez Cross run for 5 yds to the Prdue 31

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Austin Burton run for 4 yds to the Prdue 35

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.83

Ja'Quez Cross run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 34

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Mar'Keise Irving run for 2 yds to the Minn 19

2nd & 8Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +4.04

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 51 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Mar'Keise Irving run for 4 yds to the Prdue 26

2nd & 6Penalty-15 yds

IRVING, Mar'Keise rush to the right for a gain of 13 yards to the PUR13 (ALLEN, Cam), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. PENALTY MIN Personal Foul on JACKSON, Daniel enforced 15 yards from the PUR22 to the PUR37, from the the spot of the ball when the foul occurred, runner is credited with 4 yards on the play [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

3rd & 17Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.69

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 13 yds to the Prdue 24

4th & 4Field Goal Good+42 yds

Matthew Trickett 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 10 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

King Doerue run for 3 yds to the Prdue 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 6 yds to the Prdue 44

3rd & 1Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.00

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Garrett Miller for 14 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.63

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 19 yds to the Minn 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 5 yds to the Minn 18

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.08

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Paul Piferi for 8 yds to the Minn 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Minn 8

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to King Doerue for 1 yd to the Minn 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+24 yds

Mitchell Fineran 24 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Chris Van Eekeren kickoff for 40 yds , Derik LeCaptain return for no gain to the Minn 25

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+54 ydsPPA +3.45

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 54 yds to the Prdue 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.94

Treyson Potts run for 17 yds to the Prdue 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Treyson Potts 4 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+56 yds

Dragan Kesich kickoff for 56 yds , return for no gain to the Prdue 9 , return for no gain to the Prdue 9

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.41

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 7

2nd & 12Penalty+15 yds

O'CONNELL, Aidan pass to the left incomplete intended for WRIGHT, Milton thrown to the PUR20. PENALTY MIN Pass Interference on SMITH, Terell enforced 15 yards to the PUR22 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.81

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 21 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Prdue 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.54

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 8 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.76

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to King Doerue for 14 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

King Doerue run for no gain to the Minn 33

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -1.02

Aidan O'Connell sacked by Nyles Pinckney and Coney Durr for 0 yards to the Minn 45

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Treyson Potts run for 2 yds to the Minn 11

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

MORGAN, Tanner pass to the right incomplete intended for SPANN-FORD, Brevyn thrown to the MIN40. PENALTY PUR Pass Interference on ALLEN, Cam enforced 15 yards to the MIN26 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Mar'Keise Irving run for 1 yd to the Minn 27

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 8 yds to the Minn 35

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Cole Kramer run for 2 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Treyson Potts run for 4 yds to the Minn 41

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Tanner Morgan run for 3 yds to the Minn 44

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Tanner Morgan run for 2 yds to the Minn 46

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 39 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the Prdue 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 8 yds to the Prdue 23

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

King Doerue run for 5 yds to the Prdue 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.80

Aidan O'Connell sacked by Jaqwondis Burns for 0 yards to the Prdue 18

2nd & 20Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.05

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Garrett Miller for 2 yds to the Prdue 20

3rd & 18Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.13

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Paul Piferi for 10 yds to the Prdue 30

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Treyson Potts run for 2 yds to the Minn 24

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.65

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 9 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

MORGAN, Tanner pass to the right complete for 12 yards to SPANN-FORD, Brevyn caught at the MIN39 and advanced to the MIN45 (DOUGLAS, Kieren). PENALTY MIN Holding on SCHMITZ, John Michael enforced 10 yards from the MIN33 to the MIN23 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Tanner Morgan run for 1 yd to the Minn 24

3rd & 19Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -0.09

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for a loss of 6 yards to the Minn 18

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 60 yds, downed at the Prdue 22

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Mitchell Fineran 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+10 yds

PURDUE Penalty, Defensive Holding (Lawrence Johnson) to the Minn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Treyson Potts run for 7 yds to the Prdue 46

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.21

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Treyson Potts run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 47

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 45 yds, downed at the Prdue 2

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.83

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 34 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.46

King Doerue run for 16 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

King Doerue run for 5 yds to the Minn 43

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -1.24

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 3 yds to the Minn 40

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Treyson Potts run for 5 yds to the Minn 45

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Cole Kramer run for 2 yds to the Minn 47

3rd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.21

Cole Kramer run for 14 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Mar'Keise Irving run for 2 yds to the Prdue 37

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Treyson Potts run for 5 yds to the Prdue 32

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.78

Treyson Potts run for 6 yds to the Prdue 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Cole Kramer run for 2 yds to the Prdue 24

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Cole Kramer run for 3 yds to the Prdue 21

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Cole Kramer run for 1 yd to the Prdue 20

4th & 4Field Goal Good+38 yds

Matthew Trickett 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 6 yds to the Prdue 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.50

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to King Doerue for 4 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.95

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 23 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.55

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 15 yds to the Minn 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.10

Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted return for no gain to the Minn 17

No play data available

Situational Analysis

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
26%
19 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
44%
9 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
57%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th

Purdue

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
35 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
8 plays
36%
14 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
50%
8 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play