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← Back to GamesSep 11, 2021Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 4.1

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 59%

Market (consensus)

Minnesota -19

Edge: Miami (OH) +19 (14.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 11, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Miami (OH)Miami (OH)
03101326
MinnesotaMinnesota
71401031

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-314-321-321-1021-1321-2028-2031-26
MinnesotaMiami (OH)

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20M(MINM(MINM(MINM(MINM(MINM(MINM(MINM(MINM(MINM(MINM(MINTO417ydTD742ydPUNT418ydPUNT520ydFG1050ydTD889ydPUNT32ydTD842ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT520ydEND313ydPUNT3-8ydTD859ydPUNT823ydFG857ydPUNT3-5ydTD960ydTD553ydTO36ydFG40ydTD875ydEND822yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Miami (OH) and Minnesota
StatisticMiami (OH)Minnesota
Passing16-318-17
Pass Yards237112
Rush Yards104175
Total Yards341287
Turnovers20
3rd Down6-147-14
Penalties4-504-45
Possession27:2432:36

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Miami (OH)
passing
Brett Gabbert
14/29, 201 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Brett Gabbert
6 CAR, 27 YDS
receiving
Jack Sorenson
6 REC, 97 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Matthew Salopek
1 TFL, 1 PD
Minnesota
passing
Tanner Morgan
8/17, 112 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Treyson Potts
34 CAR, 178 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Dylan Wright
3 REC, 73 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Mariano Sori-Marin
1.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 10 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 38

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Kevin Davis run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 44

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -1.70

Brett Gabbert run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 42 fumbled, recovered by Minn Justus Harris

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.48

Treyson Potts run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Treyson Potts run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 26

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Treyson Potts run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 24

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.64

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 11 yds to the MiaOh 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Treyson Potts run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 6

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Treyson Potts run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 4

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.48

Treyson Potts run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Dragan Kesich kickoff for 64 yds , Kevin Davis return for 20 yds to the MiaOh 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.77

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 21 yds to the MiaOh 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.87

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Davion Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 38

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 39

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 39 yds

2nd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.82

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 15 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

run for 8 yds to the Minn 44

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.09

Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the Minn 45

3rd & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.59

run for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 41

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 37 yds, downed at the MiaOh 22

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Treyson Potts run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.42

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 17 yds to the MiaOh 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

David Afari run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 42

3rd & 7Rush+24 ydsPPA +3.33

Brett Gabbert run for 9 yds to the MINNESOTA 49 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Minn 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.97

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Keyon Mozee for 13 yds to the Minn 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Keyon Mozee run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 22

2nd & 11Penalty-15 yds

GABBERT, Brett pass to the left incomplete intended for WALKER, Jalen thrown to the UMN19. PENALTY MIA Face mask on VAUGHAN, Sam enforced 15 yards from the UMN22 to the UMN37 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 26Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the Minn 34

3rd & 23Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Brett Gabbert run for 6 yds to the Minn 28

4th & 17Field Goal Good+46 yds

Graham Nicholson 46 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Graham Nicholson kickoff for 65 yds , Mar'Keise Irving return for 21 yds to the Minn 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.20

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Dylan Wright for 31 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tanner Morgan run for 4 yds to the Minn 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 9 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Treyson Potts run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 41

2nd & 6Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.91

Treyson Potts run for 17 yds to the MiaOh 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.74

Cam Wiley run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 25

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.85

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Dylan Wright for 25 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

David Afari run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 30 yds, downed at the Minn 43

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MORGAN, Tanner pass to the left incomplete intended for WRIGHT, Dylan thrown to the MIA11. PENALTY MIA Pass Interference on BOSWELL, Cedric enforced 15 yards from the UMN43 to the MIA42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Treyson Potts run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 37

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Treyson Potts run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 35

3rd & 3Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.13

Treyson Potts run for 18 yds to the MiaOh 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 19

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Tanner Morgan run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 18

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Daniel Jackson 6 Yd pass from Tanner Morgan (Matthew Trickett Kick)

3rd & 11Penalty+12 yds

MORGAN, Tanner pass to the right incomplete intended for WRIGHT, Dylan thrown to the MIA3. PENALTY MIA Pass Interference on BOSWELL, Cedric enforced at the spot of the foul for 12 yards from the MIA6 to the MIA6 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Treyson Potts run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 5

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Treyson Potts run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 6

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Keyon Mozee run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Treyson Potts at the Minn 40

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Treyson Potts run for 2 yds to the Minn 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.20

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Dylan Wright for 17 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declined

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 36 yds, downed at the MiaOh 4

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

David Afari run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 11

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Keyon Mozee run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the MiaOh 17

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.16

Tanner Morgan sacked by Lonnie Phelps for 0 yards to the Minn 17

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 42 yds, downed at the MiaOh 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 13 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the Minn 46

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Brett Gabbert run for 8 yds to the Minn 38

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.86

AJ Mayer run for 4 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

David Afari run for 7 yds to the Minn 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.28

AJ Mayer pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 26 yds to the Minn 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

AJ Mayer 1 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Treyson Potts run for 5 yds to the Minn 30

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Tanner Morgan run for 7 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Treyson Potts run for 3 yds to the Minn 40

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Treyson Potts run for 5 yds to the Minn 45

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.28

Treyson Potts run for 2 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Cam Wiley run for 2 yds to the Minn 49

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Cam Wiley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 48

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Kenny Tracy run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 24

2nd & 2Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.46

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 32 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Brett Gabbert run for 3 yds to the Minn 41

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.97

Kenny Tracy run for 13 yds to the Minn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.08

Keyon Mozee run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 30

3rd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Brett Gabbert run for 3 yds to the Minn 27

4th & 9Field Goal Good+45 yds

Graham Nicholson 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the Minn 20

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jalen Walker at the MiaOh 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 8 yds to the MiaOh 48

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Kevin Davis run for 3 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

David Afari run for 1 yd to the Minn 48

2nd & 9Penalty0 yds

GABBERT, Brett pass to the right incomplete intended for COLDIRON, Jack thrown to the UMN18. PENALTY MIA Holding on VAUGHAN, Sam UMN Pass Interference on SORI-MARIN, Mariano , Offsetting penalties [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Keyon Mozee run for 7 yds to the Minn 41

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.90

AJ Mayer run for 2 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 7 yds to the Minn 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 9 yds to the Minn 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Jack Sorenson 23 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Graham Nicholson Kick)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

MIAMI OH Penalty, Sideline Interference (TEAM) to the Minn 8

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Graham Nicholson kickoff for 61 yds , return for no gain to the Minn 47

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.08

Treyson Potts run for 17 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Treyson Potts run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 29

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Treyson Potts run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Treyson Potts run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 21

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.74

Treyson Potts run for 21 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 5 yds to the MiaOh 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Kenny Tracy run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 31

3rd & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.39

Brett Gabbert pass intercepted return for no gain to the MiaOh 32

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.76

Treyson Potts run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 33

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Treyson Potts run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 29

3rd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.57

Bryce Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 32

4th & 10Field Goal Good+50 yds

Matthew Trickett 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.98

AJ Mayer pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 10 yds to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 14 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

4th & 10Penalty+15 yds

GABBERT, Brett pass to the right incomplete intended for SORENSON, Jack broken up by NUBIN, Tyler at the UMN38. PENALTY UMN Personal Foul on CHENEY JR., Rashad enforced 15 yards from the UMN48 to the UMN33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

Mac Hippenhammer 33 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Treyson Potts run for 4 yds to the Minn 29

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Treyson Potts run for 6 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Treyson Potts run for 3 yds to the Minn 38

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Treyson Potts run for 3 yds to the Minn 41

3rd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.32

Treyson Potts run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Miami (OH)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
44%
27 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
55%
11 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
35%
23 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
63%
8 plays
25%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th